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Journal articles on the topic 'OECD leading indicators'

Author: Grafiati

Published: 3 June 2025

Last updated: 31 July 2025

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1

Nilsson, Ronny, and Emmanuelle Guidetti. "Current Period Performance of OECD Composite Leading Indicators." Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis 2007, no. 2 (2008): 235–66. http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/jbcma-2007-5km7vgqh718t.

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2

Weale, Martin. "An Assessment of OECD and UK Leading Indicators." National Institute Economic Review 156 (May 1996): 63–71. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/002795019615600105.

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Leading indicators are produced by both the OECD and the UK Office of National Statistics as tools for predicting turning points of the business cycle. An assessment on the basis of performance at turning points is frustrated by their scarcity. It is found that the indicators generally have significant (but not good) ability to predict changes in the direction of the variable they are intended to lead. When they are included in VAR models the standard error of quarter on quarter changes is generally lower than when pure autoregressions are used. However, the forecasting power of such equations

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Handoko, Rudi. "DEVELOPING LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS FOR EASTERN INDONESIAN ECONOMY." Kajian Ekonomi dan Keuangan 1, no. 1 (2017): 85–108. http://dx.doi.org/10.31685/kek.v1i1.243.

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The main reason for the construction of the leading indicators for Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) of Eastern Indonesia is the need for macro-economic policy decision making to obtain the up-to-date condition of the GRDP of Eastern Indonesia development. Using the methodology which was used by the OECD, the composite of leading index for GRDP of Eastern Indonesia has built with its components consist of the 24 variables of total 59 variables relevant to the economy of Eastern Indonesia. This study will contribute to knowledge in terms of the methods used would be adapted to the conditio

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Dzikevičius, Audrius, and Jaroslav Vetrov. "Stock Market Analysis Through Business Cycle Approach." Business: Theory and Practice 13, no. (1) (2012): 36–42. https://doi.org/10.3846/btp.2012.04.

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It is often claimed that stock prices are determined on the basis of some key macroeconomic indicators. Presumably, stock market movements reflect positions taken by market participants based on their assessment about the current state of the economy. Given the forward-looking behaviour of OECD Composite Leading Indicator which identifies business cycle phase, this paper explores the possibility of improving risk-adjusted returns of portfolio of US stocks. Using portfolios which are composed only of US stocks we show that asset weights should be modified to accommodate cyclical shifts in the e

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Stetsenko, Sergii, and Anton Moholivets. "Methodical approaches to forecasting and early detection of economic cyclicity." Ways to Improve Construction Efficiency 2, no. 47 (2021): 120–31. http://dx.doi.org/10.32347/2707-501x.2021.47(2).120-131.

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The analysis and generalization of theoretical preconditions of formation of the advancing economic indicators which at different times in different countries of the world are used as indicators of change of a phase of an economic cycle is carried out. Based on the analysis of literature sources, it is established that the methodology of economic forecasting of cyclicality in the scientific literature includes two main areas, namely: a) direct forecasting of the dynamics of key macroeconomic indicators based on extrapolation, correlation and regression analysis, expert surveys (consensus forec

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Dzikevičius, Audrius, and Jaroslav Vetrov. "Investment Portfolio Management Using the Business Cycle Approach." Business: Theory and Practice 14, no. (1) (2013): 57–63. https://doi.org/10.3846/btp.2013.07.

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A dissimilar performance characteristic displayed by asset classes over the economic business cycle has determined the purpose of this study - the integration of the business cycle approach into the construction of optimal investment portfolios. The paper combines business cycle, asset allocation and portfolio optimization theories by presenting a new model of the investment process and adding valuable information about the performance of asset classes in different phases of the business cycle. One of the best measures for the business cycle are leading indicators that can provide significant

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Горбунова, Виктория. "СОВРЕМЕННЫЕ ТЕНДЕНЦИИ РАЗВИТИЯ НАУЧНО-ТЕХНИЧЕСКОЙ БЕЗОПАСНОСТИ ТЕРРИТОРИЙ". Baltic Economic Journal 2, № 30 (2020): 39–45. http://dx.doi.org/10.46845/2073-3364-2020-2-30-39.

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The work substantiates the importance of increasing the level of scientific and technological security both in regions separately and in the state as a whole. The author assessed the innovative "involvement" of the Kaliningrad region according to a specific system of indicators. The article analyzes the seven leading OECD countries in research and ranking these developed countries according to the most significant indicators. In order to increase national security and strengthen the policy of supporting science and technology, a set of specific strategic actions is proposed. The findings and s

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Korobkov, D. S., S. Yu Filimonov, and A. S. Nikolaev. "«Green» Technical Solutions as One of the Indicators of Innovation Activity in the Field of Sustainable Development." Economics. Law. Innovaion, no. 4 (December 29, 2022): 12–20. http://dx.doi.org/10.17586/2713-1874-2022-4-12-20.

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The preservation of the environment is one of the highest priorities of the world community. An important role played by «green» technical solutions that combine functionality and reduce the negative impact on the environment. Today, such technical solutions are becoming the subject of active patenting by the world's leading companies and individual authors. This work is devoted to the analysis of «green» patent activity of the countries of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) in the context of its impact on sustainable development. The authors of the study analyze

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9

Pestova, A. "Predicting Turning Points of the Business Cycle: Do Financial Sector Variables Help?" Voprosy Ekonomiki, no. 7 (July 20, 2013): 63–81. http://dx.doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2013-7-63-81.

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The objective of this study is to develop a system of leading indicators of the business cycle turning points for a wide range of countries, including Russia, over a period of more than thirty years. We use a binary choice model with the dependent variable of the state of economy: the recession, there is no recession. These models allow us to assess how likely is the change of macroeconomic dynamics from positive to negative and vice versa. Empirical analysis suggests that the inclusion of financial sector variables into equation can significantly improve the predictive power of the models of

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10

Jakubíková, Emília, Andrea Tkáčová, and Anna Bánociová. "Composite Leading Indicators of Economic Cycles of V4 Countries and their Comparison to the CLI of the Eurostat and the OECD." Politická ekonomie 62, no. 2 (2014): 194–215. http://dx.doi.org/10.18267/j.polek.946.

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11

Celebi, Kaan, and Michaela Hönig. "The Impact of Macroeconomic Factors on the German Stock Market: Evidence for the Crisis, Pre- and Post-Crisis Periods." International Journal of Financial Studies 7, no. 2 (2019): 18. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijfs7020018.

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Today we live in a post-truth and highly digitalized era characterized by a flow of (mis-) information around the world. Identifying the impact of this information on stock markets and forecasting stock returns and volatilities has become a much more difficult task, perhaps almost impossible. This paper investigates the impact of macroeconomic factors, German government bond yields, sentiment and other leading indicators on the main German stock index, namely the DAX30, for the time period from 1991 to 2018. Using a dataset on 24 factors and over a timeframe of about 27 years, we found evidenc

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Rakhmonov, Nuriddin. "PROSPECTS FOR THE USE OF INTERNATIONAL EXPERIENCE IN IMPROVING THE PENSION SYSTEM OF THE REPUBLIC OF UZBEKISTAN." International Journal Of Management And Economics Fundamental 03, no. 01 (2023): 1–12. http://dx.doi.org/10.37547/ijmef/volume03issue01-01.

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The article deals with the evaluation of pension systems in the light of existing and recognized by leading economic scientists static indicators on a global scale: demographic load, replacement rate, government expenditures on pension payments, assets of the pension system, the efficiency of the pension system. Practical results of the experience and reforms of pension systems of foreign countries, mainly OECD countries, were taken as the initial data of the analysis. Developed recommendations and proposals for the possibilities of improving the pension system of the Republic of Uzbekistan at

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Al, Rajhi Imad Saif. "CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR HUMAN CAPITAL AND RESEARCH IN OMAN'S INNOVATION SYSTEM: ANALYZING GLOBAL INNOVATION INDEX DATA FOR 2012-2024." Bulletin Social-Economic and Humanitarian Research 24 (26) (November 3, 2024): 28–35. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14030838.

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<strong> </strong>This article examines Oman's human capital and research performance in the Global Innovation Index (GII) in 2012 and looking forward to 2024. The analysis shows that Oman has experienced significant ranking changes (both positive and negative) in education and research indicators. Oman has excelled in producing science and engineering graduates, but its ranking on human capital and research indicators is still very low compared to OECD countries. Researchers believe that these results point to areas where investment and policies need to be improved, focusing on R&D a

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14

Yamada, Hiroshi. "A Note on Band-Pass Filters Based on the Hodrick-Prescott Filter and the OECD System of Composite Leading Indicators." OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis 2011, no. 2 (2012): 105–9. http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/jbcma-2011-5kg0pb01sbbt.

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15

Molnár, Albert, Laszlo Vasa, and Ágnes Csiszárik-Kocsir. "Detecting business cycles for Hungarian leading and coincident indicators with a Markov switching dynamic model to improve sustainability in economic growth." Decision Making: Applications in Management and Engineering 6, no. 1 (2023): 744–73. http://dx.doi.org/10.31181/dmame060120032023m.

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This paper applies the hidden Markov switching dynamic regression (MSDR) model to estimate transition probabilities of the Hungarian GDP between recessionary and expansionary periods. The transition probabilities are then compared to the OECD Hungarian binary business cycle indicator to assess the predictive power of the model. The paper proposes a linear model with a mean and a homoscedastic component. The level of symmetricity between the GDP and business cycles is explained by the panel data variables (Unemployment rate, IPI index, Inflation, BUX year-on-year change, and 10-3 Year sovereign

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16

Papić, Milica. "IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON PRIVATE RETIREMENT SAVINGS IN SERBIA." Ekonomske ideje i praksa, no. 48 (March 31, 2023): 67–88. http://dx.doi.org/10.54318/eip.2023.mp.334.

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: The outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic and the related economic downturn have impacted retirement savings, retirement saving schemes, providers, regulators and supervisors, potentially leading to future lower incomes during retirement and significant dysfunctions in the market. The main goal of this paper is to investigate how key indicators of the voluntary pension funds market in the Republic of Serbia were influenced by the Pandemic. The Pandemic certainly had an important effect, and we all had the opportunity to learn first-hand that low frequency high severity events do happen, so they

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Abilkaiyr, Nazerke, Nursymbat Sabyr, Aigul Tazhiyeva, and Azimkhan Satybaldin. "Comparative analysis of primary health care indicators security standing in Belgium and Norway: Lessons from readiness to COVID-19." Journal of Medicine and Life 14, no. 6 (2021): 816–22. http://dx.doi.org/10.25122/jml-2021-0111.

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The research aims to suggest the most enabling indicator of COVID-19 resistance in Belgium and Norway by studying the dynamics of staff and bed security indicators of the primary health care sector. The research methodology comprises Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) statistical analysis of staff and bed security indicators. The reason for choosing Belgium and Norway for comparative analysis regarding the readiness to face the COVID-19 pandemic in terms of staff and bed security is because Belgium is leading by the highest level and Norway is leading by the lowest le

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18

Cosier, James, Eva Šabec, Luka Verlič, et al. "Understanding disparities in Slovenian rural areas: various new indicatiors." Geoadria 19, no. 2 (2017): 149. http://dx.doi.org/10.15291/geoadria.32.

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It has been widely accepted that regional development disparities are multi-faceted: on the one hand they hinder the development potentials of structurally weak rural areas, whilst on the other they stimulate faster development in distinctive, leading areas, thus re-creating old and generating new, more complex, regional differences. The paper focuses on quantitative ways of understanding the nature of rural disparities in Slovenia where the vast majority of national territory is defined as "rural" by OECD indicators. From the methodological perspective, single- and multi-level indicators were

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19

Putri Valentine, Sabilayana Sabilayana, Rusiadi Rusiadi, Suhendi Suhendi, and Lia Nazliana Nasution. "Integration Of Green Monetary and Green Fiscal Policies In Supporting The Effectiveness Of Economic Transformation Towards Development Sustainable In Indonesia." International Journal of Economics, Management and Accounting 1, no. 2 (2024): 113–23. http://dx.doi.org/10.61132/ijema.v1i2.52.

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This research aims to determine Renewable Energy, Emission Intensity, Life Expectancy, and Unemployment Rate on Gross National Income (GNI) in Estonia, Finland, Germany, Hungary, and Norway. The variables in this research are Renewable Energy, Emission Intensity, Life Expectancy, and Unemployment Rate as independent variables, while the Gross National Income variable is the dependent variable. This research uses secondary data taken from the OECD from 2011-2023. The data analysis technique used is the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) panel. The research results from the ARDL model analysi

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Strzelecka, Agnieszka. "The Field of “Public Health” as a Component of Sustainable Development—Poland Compared to the European Union." Sustainability 13, no. 18 (2021): 10351. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su131810351.

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The objective of the article is to analyse selected indicators of sustainable development in the field of “public health”, especially those related to health and health-related inequalities. The article focuses on the analysis of indicators in the field of “public health” presented by Eurostat. These indicators were presented in terms of averages and medians. Moreover, the paper indicates the amount of funds allocated for prevention in health care. In addition, the cluster method was used to identify EU countries similar to each other in terms of the leading indicator of sustainable developmen

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21

Partyka, Olga, Monika Pajewska, Aleksandra Czerw, et al. "Influence of Selected Indicators of Healthcare System Functioning Evaluation on the Health Result." International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 19, no. 21 (2022): 14618. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph192114618.

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Background: According to the World Health Organization’s statistics, 7 of the 10 main causes of death in 2019 were noncommunicable diseases. Health indicators are measures used to evaluate public health system effectiveness and functioning. Monitoring mortality rates from leading causes, life expectancy and other health indicators is essential to address their causes and adapt health systems to react adequately. The aim of this study is to present the dependencies of selected health care indicators and health outcomes. Methods: Based on the literature review conducted, selected health indicato

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22

Kutsenko, E. S., K. N. Boyakova, T. V. Ostashchenko, K. S. Tyurchev, and S. V. Artemov. "When size does not matter: Innovation attractiveness factors of medium-sized cities." Voprosy Ekonomiki, no. 6 (June 5, 2024): 96–119. http://dx.doi.org/10.32609/10.32609/0042-8736-2024-6-96-119.

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This paper investigates the key features of modern innovative medium-sized cities. The study sample consists of 23 cities with the highest concentration of global high tech corporations, unicorn companies, leading universities, and highly cited researchers among all OECD countries. The distinctive features of cities were identified by comparing the average values of their indicators of well-being, openness to talent, transport accessibility, education coverage, knowledge and technology development, digital infrastructure and ecology with similar indicators of the countries where they are locat

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Kutsenko, E. S., K. N. Boyakova, T. V. Ostashchenko, K. S. Tyurchev, and S. V. Artemov. "When size does not matter: Innovation attractiveness factors of medium-sized cities." Voprosy Ekonomiki, no. 6 (June 5, 2024): 96–119. http://dx.doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2024-6-96-119.

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This paper investigates the key features of modern innovative medium-sized cities. The study sample consists of 23 cities with the highest concentration of global high tech corporations, unicorn companies, leading universities, and highly cited researchers among all OECD countries. The distinctive features of cities were identified by comparing the average values of their indicators of well-being, openness to talent, transport accessibility, education coverage, knowledge and technology development, digital infrastructure and ecology with similar indicators of the countries where they are locat

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Nam, Sookyong, Yong-Tae Kim, and Serim Won. "Medium- to long-term higher education investment expansion targets and strategies to reach the top 10 in the world in terms of national competitiveness." Korean Society for the Economics and Finance of Education 34, no. 1 (2025): 29–66. https://doi.org/10.46967/jefe.2025.34.1.29.

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This study aims to set medium- to long-term tertiary education investment targets to secure the country's competitiveness in the world. To do so, we first reviewed the domestic and international debate on the level of adequate funding for higher education, including key indicators of OECD country average levels that have been discussed as targets for higher education financing. Second, we analysed the significant higher education expenditure variables that affect national competitiveness, focusing on the higher education-related indicators used in the IMD Country Competitiveness Ranking, and e

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Zander, Tobias. "Does corruption matter for FDI flows in the OECD? A gravity analysis." International Economics and Economic Policy 18, no. 2 (2021): 347–77. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10368-021-00496-4.

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AbstractIn this paper, the effect of corruption on foreign direct investment (FDI) flows is analyzed. The literature is thus far divided regarding the effects of corruption: One hypothesis argues that corruption greases the wheels of government and is therefore beneficial while the other hypothesis argues that it sands the wheels of government leading to suboptimal results in an economy. For the empirical analysis, a dataset consisting of bilateral FDI data from the OECD and the control of corruption measure from the World Governance Indicators of the World Bank is compiled. To further analyze

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Shah, Mumtaz Hussain. "Economic Institutions and Foreign Direct Investment in South Asia." Journal of Business & Tourism 9, no. 02 (2024): 13–29. http://dx.doi.org/10.34260/jbt.v9i02.280.

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Two fundamental questions about multinationals global investment behaviour are: Why do some nations receive more Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) than others? and How do multinational companies select which countries to invest in? This paper will try to answer both of them by analysing the significance of the presence of rigorous economic institutions in five SAARC member nations, that are, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, Nepal, India and Pakistan for multinational investors from the five major OECD outward FDI makers, that are, United States of America, United Kingdom, France, Japan and Germany. The lo

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Adikari, Y., R. Osti, and K. Hiroki. "Governance, socio-economic and geophysical indices for determining water-related disaster risk." Water Policy 15, no. 2 (2012): 179–92. http://dx.doi.org/10.2166/wp.2012.170.

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Governance, socio-economic and geophysical indicators are indispensable measures of risk for water-related disasters leading to a better disaster risk mitigation and management for sustainable development. Water-related disaster countermeasures are weak in non-OECD (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development) countries, thus higher economic losses and younger fatalities are concentrated there; for example, the majority of fatalities in developing nations are 50 years old or less, in contrast to those in developed nations where the most are older than 60 years old; furthermore, econ

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Kastey, Rauan, Ermek Dyussembekov, Kuanysh Nikatov, et al. "Avoidable Mortality in its Economic Impact in Almaty City, Kazakhstan." Asian Journal of Social Health and Behavior 8, no. 3 (2025): 141–51. https://doi.org/10.4103/shb.shb_438_24.

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Introduction: Studying performance indicators is necessary to understand priorities in the healthcare system and implement specific measures to improve health services. The purpose is to study the avoidable mortality in Almaty city (Kazakhstan) from 2014 to 2023 and its economic impact. Methods: To calculate avoidable mortality, we used the data taken from the Almaty city branch of the National Scientific Center for Health Development between 2014 and 2023. We separately analyzed avoidable deaths from noncommunicable diseases, injuries, and other groups of diseases in accordance with OECD/Euro

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MAKHONIN, Vladyslav. "INTERRELATION OF THE INCLUSIVE DEVELOPMENT INDEX SYSTEM AND CURRENT GDP & GDP BASED ON PPP INDICATORS." Herald of Khmelnytskyi National University. Economic sciences 308, no. 4 (2022): 118–24. http://dx.doi.org/10.31891/2307-5740-2022-308-4-18.

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This article is empirical in nature. Its purpose is to analyze, on the basis of a multivariate regression model, the question of the impact of the Inclusive Development Index–as the first index instrument of an inclusive economy–on such two forms of GDP as an indicator that the Inclusive Development Index was recognized to replace: current GDP per capita and GDP based purchasing power parity (given that the constant GDP indicator is officially included in the structure of the Index). The dimension of analysis described above and presented in this article is a component of the author’s research

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Васильєва, Тетяна, Ірина Діденко, Наталія Сідельник, Аліна Єфіменко, and Вікторія Боженко. "ASSESSMENT OF SOCIETY'S READINESS FOR MODERN CHALLENGES OF THE INSURANCE MARKET." Mechanism of an economic regulation, no. 3-4(97-98) (October 25, 2022): 40–45. http://dx.doi.org/10.32782/mer.2022.97-98.09.

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The article summarizes the theoretical aspects of the insurance market. The authors systematize the main approaches to determining the specifics of the insurance sector based on a review of publications of foreign and domestic scientists. The aim of the study is to assess the readiness of society to the challenges of the insurance market as one of the leading elements of the financial system. The article identifies the main trends in the activities of insurance companies. The authors have analyzed the following indicators: the volume of insurance premiums to the total population, the share of

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Klimenko, V. V., A. V. Klimenko, and A. G. Tereshin. "Prospects for achieving carbon neutrality by economically developed countries." Doklady Rossijskoj akademii nauk. Fizika, tehničeskie nauki 517, no. 1 (2024): 71–80. https://doi.org/10.31857/s2686740024040116.

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The prospects for achieving carbon neutrality by economically developed countries (USA, EU, Norway, Canada, Japan and Australia) are studied. An analysis of the structure of energy and land use in these countries is carried out. Scenario estimates of the dynamics of carbon indicators of the economies of the world’s leading countries have been developed. It is shown that the current rates of decarbonisation and development of the carbon capture and storage industry do not guarantee the achievement of climate neutrality by 2050, even in the world’s leading economies. A central challenge in achie

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Sereda, Valentina, and Tetiana Trubnik. "INFORMATION SUPPORT FOR THE QUALITY OF THE SDG INDICATORS." THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ISSUES OF ECONOMICS, no. 49 (2024): 183–94. https://doi.org/10.17721/tppe.2024.49.16.

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The article analyzes the quality of (statistical) information support for monitoring the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and assesses the quality of their indicators. The author identifies the elements of the SDG data and its statistics, mainly indicators, data sources, data quality, disaggregation, exchange, monitoring and reporting. The Global edition of the Sustainable Development Report is considered, which allows to assess progress in achieving the SDGs, to analyze the positioning of countries in terms of the overall productivity rating and spillover score. The possibilities of an in

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Romanov, Igor G. "Methodological Approaches to Assessing the Participation of National Economies in Global Value Chains." Administrative Consulting, no. 1 (187) (March 11, 2025): 45–57. https://doi.org/10.22394/1726-1139-2025-1-45-57.

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The article examines the conceptual basis of international fragmentation of production in the form of global value chains (GVCs) as an important feature of globalization of the world economy. The aim of the study is to reveal the key methodological approaches that allow measuring the participation of national economies in GVCs. Traditional international trade statistics published on the official websites of  state customs authorities are not sufficient to address this task. The concept of trade in value added suggested by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) in

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Samoilikova, Anastasiia, Jaroslaw Korpysa, Tetiana Vasylieva, and Bálint Filep. "Business – education collaboration in R&D investment: Analysis of development gaps and critical points using MAR-splines." JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL STUDIES 16, no. 2 (2023): 57–71. http://dx.doi.org/10.14254/2071-8330.2023/16-2/3.

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The purpose of the article is to determine development gaps and critical points in the system of business – education collaboration in R&D investment using MAR-splines. The study attempts to confirm hypotheses about the impact of business – education collaboration in R&D investment on the sustainable development, and, in turn, the influence of chosen factors on the level of cooperation of business and education in R&D investment taking into account development gaps and critical points. These factors include the values of gross domestic expenditure on R&D spent by the business e

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Xu, Jiangyan, and Jiahui Wen. "The Impact of School Competitive Learning Climate on Student Academic Achievement and Non-cognitive Abilities: An Analysis Based on PISA 2022 Data from East Asian Countries and Regions." Asian Journal of Education and Social Studies 51, no. 3 (2025): 235–57. https://doi.org/10.9734/ajess/2025/v51i31823.

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East Asian countries and regions often achieve leading global scores in international assessments such as PISA, but simultaneously, students in these regions face significant academic pressure and burdens, which affect their overall development. This study used data from PISA 2022 to explore the impact of the Competitive Learning Climate (CLC) in schools in East Asian countries and regions on students' academic achievement and non-cognitive abilities, and compares the results with a sample from OECD countries. Methodologically, this study selected core indicators from the PISA questionnaire in

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Tomyuk, Olga N., Anna V. Diachkova, Nataliia A. Kiseleva, Svetlana V. Kamka, and Olga I. Nikolenko. "Global trends in the education system of high-ranking countries according to PISA-2018." Perspectives of Science and Education 55, no. 1 (2022): 10–24. http://dx.doi.org/10.32744/pse.2022.1.1.

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Problem and aim. The modern education system is a complex of developed social institutions that form a system of connections and social norms that correspond to promising tasks focused on personal development and socialization. The PISA program evaluates the educational achievements of students and thereby identifies and interprets new global trends in the field of education. The aim of the article is to study the global trends in the education system of the high-ranking countries according to the PISA-2018. Materials and research methods. Empirical research has three stages. The first stage i

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Emelianov, E. V. "RATINGS AND PROJECTIONS OF U.S . ECONOMIC RECOVERY." International Trade and Trade Policy 7, no. 1 (2021): 27–35. http://dx.doi.org/10.21686/2410-7395-2021-1-27-35.

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The forecasts of the economic development for the next years vary among countries and projections depend greatly on how long the pandemic and social distancing will take place and on the measures that are taken place for increasing social and economic activities, commerce. Meanwhile ratings of US leadership are declining, with the worst results in Europe. The rapid spread of the virus that causes COVID-19 made US leading country in confirmed cases and created a new reality for the national economy. As to the US the fall of real gross domestic product in 2020 is expected around the average of O

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Ndlovu, Xolani, Eric Schaling, and Paul Alagidede. "Modelling the rand and commodity prices: A Granger causality and cointegration analysis." South African Journal of Economic and Management Sciences 17, no. 5 (2014): 673–90. http://dx.doi.org/10.4102/sajems.v17i5.334.

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This paper examines the ‘commodity currency’ hypothesis of the Rand, that is, the postulate that the currency moves in line with commodity prices, and analyses the associated causality using nominal data between 1996 and 2010. We address both the short run and long run relationship between commodity prices and exchange rates. We find that while the levels of the series of both assets are difference stationary, they are not cointegrated. Further, we find the two variables are negatively related, with strong and significant causality running from commodity prices to the exchange rate and not vic

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Rromanov, I. G. "Methodological Approaches to Assessing the Participation of National Economies in Global Value Chains." Administrative Consulting, no. 1 (February 25, 2025): 45–57. https://doi.org/10.22394/1726-1139-2025-1-45-57.

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The article examines the conceptual basis of international fragmentation of production in the form of global value chains (GVCs) as an important feature of globalization of the world economy. The aim of the study is to reveal the key methodological approaches that allow measuring the participation of national economies in GVCs. Traditional international trade statistics published on the oﬃcial websites of state customs authorities are not suﬃcient to address this task. The concept of trade in value added suggested by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) in the early

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Kuzmina, Violetta M., and Mariya A. Parkhomchuk. "Comparative Analysis of Macroeconomic Indicators of the EU and the USA." Proceedings of the Southwest State University. Series: Economics, Sociology and Management 12, no. 1 (2022): 23–36. http://dx.doi.org/10.21869/2223-1552-2022-12-1-23-36.

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Relevance. At the beginning of the second decade of the XXI century. economic relations between the United States and the European Union continue to largely determine the development trends of the global economy and the world financial system. The stable dynamics of the transatlantic flows of goods, services and capital reflects the traditional proximity of the models of economic development of the United States and Western Europe, the stability of the existing ties, and the high effective demand of both regions for modern goods and services. The purpose is to carry out a comparative analysis

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Škrabal, Jaroslav. "THE INFLUENCE OF FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT ON SELECTED ECONOMIES IN CENTRAL EUROPE." Balkans Journal of Emerging Trends in Social Sciences 3, no. 2 (2020): 122–30. http://dx.doi.org/10.31410/balkans.jetss.2020.3.2.122-130.

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Nowadays, the decline in agricultural land is more evident than in the previous decades, and land is becoming a valuable natural resource. Agricultural land often gives way to construction activities, leading to the degradation of land resources almost all over the world. Foreign direct investment also affects the decline in agricultural land. The aim of this paper is to determine the influence of foreign direct investment (FDI) on the situation in individual economies in Central Europe (the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Germany, Austria, Poland and Hungary). In general, foreign direct investment

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Hybka, Małgorzta Magdalena. "Collecting and Managing Tax Debt in Poland." Prace Naukowe Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu 69, no. 1 (2025): 46–58. https://doi.org/10.15611/pn.2025.1.04.

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Aim: The paper highlights the formation of tax debt, compares it among EU member states, examines certain factors contributing to its accumulation, and evaluates measures taken to manage tax debt collection. Methodology: Indicators from OECD publications were utilized to evaluate the accumulation and recovery of tax arrears. A comparative analysis juxtaposed their operational performance in EU member states, and a multiple regression model was employed to estimate the effect of independent variables on tax debt accumulation in Poland. Results: Some countries continuously face the problem of sk

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Tkáčová, Andrea, and Marianna Siničáková. "New composite leading indicator of the Hungarian business cycle." Acta Oeconomica 65, no. 3 (2015): 479–501. http://dx.doi.org/10.1556/032.65.2015.3.7.

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The objective of the paper is to create a composite leading indicator (CLI) for monitoring and predicting Hungarian business cycles. We compare the existing CLI applied by the OECD and Eurostat with our own CLI. According to our findings, our CLI forecasts the evolution of a referential series more precisely than the CLIs developed by the OECD and Eurostat. Nevertheless, from our point of view, the application of all existing CLIs at the same time can be appropriate. Consequently, the number of false signals should be reduced. The CLIs allow us to receive the first rough preliminary estimation

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Gospodarchuk, Galina G., and Elena S. Zeleneva. "Stability of financial development: Problems of measurement, assessment and regulation." PLOS ONE 17, no. 11 (2022): e0277610. http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0277610.

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Adequate measurement, assessment, and regulation of financial development stability are key components, the formation of effective macroprudential policies, and the coordination of these policies among countries. However, an analysis materials on the subject shows that work in this area is fragmented,. In this regard, the purpose of this study is to develop a methodology for diagnosing and regulating the stability of financial development based on a systematic approach. The study used systematic, comparative, and GEO analysis, econometric methods. As a result, new indicators have been develope

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Krasnova, Gulnara. "Analysis of the Principles, Models and Mechanisms of Financing of University Science in Russia." Science Governance and Scientometrics 17, no. 1 (2022): 108–35. http://dx.doi.org/10.33873/2686-6706.2022.17-1.108-135.

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Introduction. The development of university science is one of the priorities of the state scientific and technical policy, as evidenced by the increase in funding and organisational and legal changes in the functioning in this field. The Decree of the President of the Russian Federation "On the National Development Goals of the Russian Federation for the Period up to 2030" dated July 21, 2020, sets the goal of "ensuring the presence of the Russian Federation among the 10 leading countries in the world in terms of the volume of research and development, including through the creation of an

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Pereira, Amaro Olimpio, Rafael Cancella Morais, Bruno S. L. Cunha, Maria Bernadete Gomes Pereira Sarmiento Gutierrez, and Mario Jorge Cardoso de Mendonça. "Allocative Efficiency towards Energy Transition: The Cases of Natural Gas and Electricity Markets." Energies 16, no. 2 (2023): 796. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/en16020796.

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Conventional economic theory indicates that the free market contributes to allocative efficiency. However, specific energy markets present network industry characteristics which distance them from perfect competition. These markets, therefore, need effective regulation. The liberalizing reforms which took place in the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) and emerging countries from the 1990s onwards have reduced the share of state ownership in the energy sector, but not its functions of regulation, coordination and planning. It is also worth noting the expansion of the

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Thanh, Huong Vu, Thuy Hanh Lam Thi, and Ha Phuong Nguyen. "An Empirial Study on Vietnam’s Trade Faclilitation in the Digital Economy." International Academy of Global Business and Trade 19, no. 2 (2023): 97–117. http://dx.doi.org/10.20294/jgbt.2023.19.2.97.

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Purpose - Vietnam is among the fastest growing digital economies in the Southeast Asian region, and has made enormous efforts to adopt digital measures to facilitate trade. The paper aims to assess Vietnam’s performance of digital trade facilitation and estimate the impact of digital trade facilitation on Vietnam’s exports to the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN). Design/Methodology/Approach - Vietnam’s implementation of digital trade facilitation is assessed through a constructed framework based on two groups of indicators, including Information Availability and Formalities

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Krasnova, GA, and ER Burangulov. "Analysis of the Principles, Models and Mechanisms of Financing of University Science in Russia." Science Governance and Scientometrics 17, no. 1 (2022): 108–35. https://doi.org/10.33873/2686-6706.20221.17-1.108-135.

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<strong>Introduction. </strong>The development of university science is one of the priorities of the state scientific and technical policy, as evidenced by the increase in funding and organisational and legal changes in the functioning in this field. The Decree of the President of the Russian Federation "On the National Development Goals of the Russian Federation for the Period up to 2030" dated July 21, 2020, sets the goal of "ensuring the presence of the Russian Federation among the 10 leading countries in the world in terms of the volume of research and de

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Safaei, Jalil. "Social policy as social vaccine." Social Medicine 8, no. 1 (2014): 11–22. https://doi.org/10.71164/socialmedicine.v8i1.2014.672.

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Background: The social and economic woes that have inflicted many countries around the world are testimony to the inadequacy of current institutional makeup of societies where individualism and market forces by and large have taken the leading role in directing societies’ choices and resources. Problems of inequities in health and wealth, the widening gaps between the rich and the poor, employment insecurities, the growing social exclusion of the marginalized, and the looming environmental concerns are acute as ever. At the same time, the progressive social forces and the counter-balancing cap

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Mironov, A. A., N. Sh Mamina, S. Ye Voronin, and A. A. Bayramov. "Study of acute toxicity of a new drug “AOS” for the treatment of osteoporosis." Translational Medicine 10, no. 5 (2023): 363–75. http://dx.doi.org/10.18705/2311-4495-2023-10-5-363-375.

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Background. Osteoporosis is one of the most common diseases, which, along with myocardial infarction, stroke, cancer, and sudden death, occupies a leading place in the structure of morbidity and mortality of the population. Postmenopausal women are most vulnerable and are approximately 4 times more likely to be affected than men (80 % of all patients), and osteoporosis-related fractures are responsible for a significant increase in morbidity, disability, and mortality, especially in the elderly.Objective. To study the acute toxicity of the new drug “Antiosteoporosis drug” (patent No. 02-04-166

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