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Journal articles on the topic 'Population projection, Italy'

Author: Grafiati

Published: 9 March 2023

Last updated: 19 July 2025

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1

Nalmpatian, Asmik, Christian Heumann, and Stefan Pilz. "Forecasting Mortality Trends: Advanced Techniques and the Impact of COVID-19." Stats 7, no. 4 (2024): 1172–88. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/stats7040069.

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The objective of this research is to evaluate four distinct models for multi-population mortality projection in order to ascertain the most effective approach for forecasting the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on mortality. Utilizing data from the Human Mortality Database for five countries—Finland, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, and the United States—the study identifies the generalized additive model (GAM) within the age–period–cohort (APC) analytical framework as the most promising for precise mortality forecasts. Consequently, this model serves as the basis for projecting the impact of

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Hassan Akhtar, Ibrar ul. "EXPLORING COVID-19 PANDEMIC INITIAL 2020 CURVE BASED ON STATISTICAL EVALUATION." Acta Scientifica Malaysia 7, no. 1 (2023): 08–16. http://dx.doi.org/10.26480/asm.01.2023.08.16.

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This research was to explore CoVID-19 at initial stage of 2020 based on statistical techniques using probability density function (PDF), with different statistical measures, polynomial data fitting along with 30 day projections. The Covid-19 analysis was carried out only for highly affected countries along with six different regions and global level for 64 days covering period of January to March during 2020. It was found that infection and recovery rate for cases were ranged from 0 ‒ 9.89 and 0 ‒ 8.89% at global level, respectively. The PDF was observed highly positive skewed, leptokurtic, fo

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De Angelis, Roberta, Fulvia Valente, Luisa Frova, et al. "Incidence, Mortality and Prevalence of Stomach Cancer in Italian Regions." Tumori Journal 82, no. 4 (1996): 314–20. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/030089169608200404.

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The basic descriptive epidemiologic data on stomach cancer occurrence in Italian regions are presented and discussed. Incidence and prevalence were estimated from official mortality and survival data provided by four population-based Italian cancer registries. Age-adjusted mortality, incidence, and prevalence rates are presented by region for the year 1990. Time trends of incidence and their projection for the year 2000 are also presented by region and three broad age classes. Althrough the occurence of stomach cancer has been decreasing in Italy and most western countries over the last decade

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Mehta, Jyotsna, Adeline Abbe, Peter C. Trask, Frank Neumann, and Alaa Hamed. "Epidemiology Projection Trends for Hodgkin Lymphoma Patients in the U.S. and Europe." Blood 120, no. 21 (2012): 4782. http://dx.doi.org/10.1182/blood.v120.21.4782.4782.

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Abstract Abstract 4782 Background: Hodgkin lymphoma represents 11.7% of all types of lymphoma diagnosed in 2011. (Leukemia and Lymphoma Society) In 2012, an estimated 9,060 of new HL cases and 1,190 deaths will occur in North America and mostly in either young adults between 15 and 30 years of age, or after the age of 45. (American Cancer Society) The five-year relative survival rate for all patients with HL is 86.3% from 2001 to 2007 and 92.8% for patients less than 45 years at diagnosis. (SEER Review) Initial treatment of HL depends on the stage of the disease at diagnosis. Chemotherapy with

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Galloway, Patrick R. "A reconstruction of the population of North Italy from 1650 to 1881 using annual inverse projection with comparisons to England, France, and Sweden." European Journal of Population 10, no. 3 (1994): 223–74. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/bf01265303.

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Gazzola, Michele, and Torsten Templin. "Language Competition and Language Shift in Friuli-Venezia Giulia: Projection and Trajectory for the Number of Friulian Speakers to 2050." Sustainability 14, no. 6 (2022): 3319. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su14063319.

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This article analyses how the number of speakers of the Friulian language changes over time in the territory where this language is traditionally spoken, that is, the provinces of Udine, Pordenone, and Gorizia, located in the north-east of Italy in the autonomous region of Friuli-Venezia Giulia. The aim of this research is twofold. First, it illustrates how the number of speakers of Friulian evolved over the past 40 years. To this end, we provide an overview of the findings of empirical studies on the Friulian language from 1977, 1998, and 2014. We complement these findings with population fig

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Trask, Peter C., Jyotsna Mehta, Adeline Abbe, and Rodrigo RuizSoto. "Epidemiology Projection Trends for Non-Hodgkin Lymphoma (NHL) and Its Subtypes in the United States (US) and Europe (EU)." Blood 120, no. 21 (2012): 5074. http://dx.doi.org/10.1182/blood.v120.21.5074.5074.

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Abstract Abstract 5074 Background NHL is the 10th most common cancer worldwide, and a major cause of cancer-related deaths despite major advances in therapy (GLOBOCAN 2008). It encompasses a heterogeneous group of hematological malignancies originating in lymphoid tissue, mainly B lymphocytes (B-cell NHL) with an overall 5-year survival of 50–60%. There is lack of published data on the distribution of patients across lines of therapy and by subtype. Method Epidemiological data was obtained for US and EU using the 'epic oncology' 2012 database (Epiphany Partners Inc.). The database includes lin

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Focardi, Stefano, Barbara Franzetti, and Francesca Ronchi. "Nocturnal distance sampling of a Mediterranean population of fallow deer is consistent with population projections." Wildlife Research 40, no. 6 (2013): 437. http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/wr12218.

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Context Precise and accurate methods are essential to assess wildlife populations for sound management. We surveyed a managed population of fallow deer (Dama dama) in a Mediterranean environment in Italy, where this non-native ungulate has a negative impact on biodiversity. Aims We compare nocturnal distance-sampling (deer are detected by thermal imagery at night) population estimates with demographic projections of the same population. Methods We estimated natural survival in fawns (0.86), yearlings (0.83), adult males (0.70) and adult females (0.90) using capture–mark–recapture. By integrati

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Terra Abrami, Valerio. "Aging and social expenditures in Italy: Some issues associated with population projections." Statistical Journal of the United Nations Economic Commission for Europe 7, no. 4 (1991): 221–30. http://dx.doi.org/10.3233/sju-1990-7401.

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Sacco, Giuseppina, and Pietro Sacco. "The Valency Of The Natural And Social Components As Determinants Of A Population’s Future Development." European Scientific Journal, ESJ 12, no. 8 (2016): 284. http://dx.doi.org/10.19044/esj.2016.v12n8p284.

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The relation which ties the sociodemographic phenomena to the reference population of a given territory, is the representative essence of every social organism. Hence, there is the statistical need to get as many data as possible, as they become essential when you must make a decision that will influence the future choices of any human aggregation. The goal of the present contribution is to make population projections of the city of Bari (South Italy), studied by sex and age, aimed at knowing the future social effects through the analysis of the natural components (fecundity, mortality) and th

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Di Carlo, Antonio, Leonardo Bellino, Domenico Consoli, et al. "Prevalence of atrial fibrillation in the Italian elderly population and projections from 2020 to 2060 for Italy and the European Union: the FAI Project." EP Europace 21, no. 10 (2019): 1468–75. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/europace/euz141.

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Abstract Aims To estimate prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) in a representative sample of the Italian elderly population, projecting figures for Italy and the European Union. Methods and results A cross-sectional examination of all subjects aged 65+ years from three general practices in Northern, Central, and Southern Italy started in 2016. Participants were administered a systematic and an opportunistic screening, followed by clinical and electrocardiogram confirmation. The study sample included 6016 subjects. Excluding 235 non-eligible, among the remaining 5781 participation was 78.3%,

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Wang, Tianbing, Yanqiu Wu, Johnson Yiu-Nam Lau, et al. "A four-compartment model for the COVID-19 infection—implications on infection kinetics, control measures, and lockdown exit strategies." Precision Clinical Medicine 3, no. 2 (2020): 104–12. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/pcmedi/pbaa018.

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Abstract Objective To analyse the impact and repercussions of the surge in healthcare demand in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, assess the potential effectiveness of various infection/disease control measures, and make projections on the best approach to exit from the current lockdown. Design A four-compartment model was constructed for SARS-CoV-2 infection based on the Wuhan data and validated with data collected in Italy, the UK, and the US. The model captures the effectiveness of various disease suppression measures in three modifiable factors: (a) the per capita contact rate (β) that ca

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Robinson, James C. "Social trust and regional variation in the adoption of biosimilars in Italy and Germany." Generics and Biosimilars Initiative Journal 11, no. 3 (2022): 89–95. http://dx.doi.org/10.5639/gabij.2022.1103.015.

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Introduction/Study Objectives: Adoption of biosimilars has fallen below projections, despite the vigorous implementation of economic incentives, thereby highlighting the importance of behavioural factors such as social trust. This paper analyses biosimilar adoption across provinces in Italy and Germany, which evince strong variation in social trust, and across nations in Europe. Methods: Data for 2020 biosimilar adoption for Italian provinces were obtained from the national pharmaceutical organization and for German states from the association of biosimilar manufacturers. Social trust was code

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Monaco, Salvatore. "Risk Communication in Coastal Cities: The Case of Naples, Italy." Land 14, no. 6 (2025): 1288. https://doi.org/10.3390/land14061288.

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Coastal cities are increasingly exposed to the risks posed by climate change, including rising sea levels, intensified storms, and coastal erosion. In this context, risk communication plays a crucial role, as it can shape public perception, promote preparedness, and influence both emergency responses and long-term mitigation strategies. This study investigated how disaster-related risks are framed in the media, focusing on the case of Naples, Italy, following a severe coastal storm surge that struck the city’s waterfront on December 2020. Using Dynamic Latent Dirichlet Allocation (DLDA), the r

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Klupt, M. "Centre-Periphery Relations in Europe: Demographic Aspect." World Economy and International Relations, no. 2 (2015): 58–67. http://dx.doi.org/10.20542/0131-2227-2015-2-58-67.

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The paper deals with the impact of centre-periphery relations on the demographic change in Europe in the 21st century. The reasons why the projections presented by Statistics Netherlands and the Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute in 1999 underestimated the future population growth in France, Italy, Spain and UK are analyzed. Current statistics and UN population projections (2012 revision) demonstrate that the idea of the total depopulation coming in Europe, commonly held there over the 20th century, is out of date. In fact, depopulation is far from being total; it is common on

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Cerri, Jacopo, Carmela Musto, Marco Ferretti, et al. "COVID-19 could accelerate the decline in recreational hunting: A natural experiment from Northern Italy." PLOS ONE 19, no. 8 (2024): e0309017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0309017.

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Although many studies highlighted the potential of COVID-19 to reshape existing models of wildlife management, empirical research on this topic has been scarce, particularly in Europe. We investigated the potential of COVID-19 pandemic to accelerate the ongoing decline in an aging population of recreational hunters in Italy. Namely, we modelled spatiotemporal trends between 2011 and 2021 in the number of recreational hunters in 50 Italian provinces with a varying incidence of COVID-19, and temporally delayed waves of infection. Compared to projections from 2011–2019 data, we detected a lower n

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Кашницкий, Илья Савельевич, та Светлана Сергеевна Бирюкова. "Демографический дайджест". Демографическое обозрение 3, № 4 (2017): 171–91. http://dx.doi.org/10.17323/demreview.v3i4.3210.

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  Parr N., J. Li, L. Tickle. A cost of living longer: projections of the effects of prospective mortality improvement on economic support ratios for 14 advanced economies (NCD-RisC), N. R. F. C. A century of trends in adult human height Pal I., J. Waldfogel. The family gap in pay: new evidence for 1967 to 2013 Jakobsson N., A. Kotsadam. Does marriage affect men’s labor market outcomes? A European perspective Gershoff E.T., A. Grogan-Kaylor. Spanking and child outcomes: old controversies and new meta-analyses (NCD-RisC), N.R.F.C. Trends in adult body-ma

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Culotta, Fabrizio. "Life Expectancy Heterogeneity and Pension Fairness: An Italian North-South Divide." Risks 9, no. 3 (2021): 57. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/risks9030057.

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This work documents a persistent life expectancy heterogeneity by gender and geography in Italy during the period 1995–2019. Based on deviations of life expectancy at age 65, it quantifies the implicit tax/subsidy mechanism triggered when pensions annuities are computed by adopting the same value of longevity for the whole population. The intensity of this transfer mechanism is then measured and projected over the decade 2020–2030. Results show that females are subsidized while males are taxed by around 10%. Differences by geography persist along the Italian territory. Since 1995 the macroarea

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Tettamanti, Mauro, and Gabriella Marcon. "Cohort profile: ‘Centenari a Trieste’ (CaT), a study of the health status of centenarians in a small defined area of Italy." BMJ Open 8, no. 2 (2018): e019250. http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2017-019250.

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PurposeCentenarians, a segment of the population which some 50 years ago comprised only a few individuals, now count thousands in many countries, and demographic projections forecast that this growth will continue. The study of this new population will give us new information on extreme longevity and help prepare for their health and social needs. The aim of the Centenari a Trieste study is to describe the health and health service use by centenarians, with specific focus on cognitive status.ParticipantsThis is a population-based study of centenarians living in the province of Trieste (Italy),

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Iannazzo, Sergio, Lorenzo Pradelli, and Orietta Zaniolo. "Pharmacoeconomic analysis of valsartan for the treatment of chronic congestive heart failure in Italy." Farmeconomia. Health economics and therapeutic pathways 9, no. 3 (2008): 125–35. http://dx.doi.org/10.7175/fe.v9i3.225.

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Objective: to evaluate pharmacoeconomic implications of the use of valsartan, an angiotensin II antagonist in addition to standard therapy for the treatment of chronic congestive heart failure (CHF). Methods: the study was conducted performing cost-utility and budget impact (B.I.) analyses by means of a cohort simulation based on a probabilistic Markov model and projecting 23-months follow-up results in the Val-HeFT trial study over a 10-years time horizon. The model included four states (class NYHA I, II and III and death), and had a cycle of 1 year. Two probabilistic simulations (varying fir

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Lian, Yanxue, and Pincheng Luo. "Mortality of Three Major Gynecological Cancers in the European Region: An Age–Period–Cohort Analysis from 1992 to 2021 and Predictions in a 25-Year Period." Annals of Global Health 91, no. 1 (2025): 30. https://doi.org/10.5334/aogh.4688.

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Background: The European region is marked by pronounced disparities in healthcare access, socioeconomic conditions, and cancer control policies, which influence the mortality trends of gynecological cancers across countries and may persist or intensify in the coming decades. Objective: This study analyses mortality trends of three main gynecological cancers, including ovarian, uterine, and cervical cancers in the European region from 1992 to 2021 and projects rates for the next 25 years to support targeted public health interventions. Methods: Data from the Global Burden of Disease 2021 were u

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Capuozzo, Maurizio, Andrea Zovi, Roberto Langella, et al. "Optimizing Antibiotic Use: Addressing Resistance Through Effective Strategies and Health Policies." Antibiotics 13, no. 12 (2024): 1112. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/antibiotics13121112.

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Background: Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) has emerged as a significant challenge to public health, posing a considerable threat to effective disease management on a global scale. The increasing incidence of infections caused by resistant bacteria has led to heightened morbidity and mortality rates, particularly among vulnerable populations. Main text: This review analyzes current strategies and health policies adopted in the European Union (EU) and Italy to manage AMR, presenting an in-depth examination of approaches for containment and mitigation. Factors such as excessive prescriptions, sel

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DIMITRIADIS, CHARALAMPOS, MARIKA GALANIDI, ARGYRO ZENETOS, et al. "Updating the occurrences of Pterois miles in the Mediterranean Sea, with considerations on thermal boundaries and future range expansion." Mediterranean Marine Science 21, no. 1 (2020): 62. http://dx.doi.org/10.12681/mms.21845.

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Here we present an update of the Mediterranean distribution of the lionfish Pterois miles, based on a comprehensive list of geo-referenced occurrences up to October 2019. New data were provided by multiple reporting tools and citizen science initiatives. Our findings suggest that well established populations of P. miles exist in the Levantine Sea, in the southern and central Aegean Sea, as well as in the Greek Ionian Sea, whilst so far, only a few individuals were reported from Tunisia and southern Sicily (Italy). We also argue about the future expansion of this invasive species in the Mediter

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Saraiva, Miguel, Peter Roebeling, Silvia Sousa, Carla Teotónio, Anna Palla, and Ilaria Gnecco. "Dimensions of shrinkage: Evaluating the socio-economic consequences of population decline in two medium-sized cities in Europe, using the SULD decision support tool." Environment and Planning B: Urban Analytics and City Science 44, no. 6 (2016): 1122–44. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0265813516659071.

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All over Europe, it is a known fact that cities are shrinking. One of the main causes is population decline, but the consequent reduction of urban area is neither immediate nor easy to foresee spatially. Questions arise such as where do cities start to ‘shrink’ first? What are the most fragile areas that face the risk of becoming derelict? What are the most vulnerable social groups? And how does this affect real estate values across the city? Existing models for projecting the effects of shrinkage have been criticized for lacking spatial-explicitness, being excessively data-dependent, and fail

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Busca, Francesco, and Roberto Revelli. "Green Areas and Climate Change Adaptation in a Urban Environment: The Case Study of “Le Vallere” Park (Turin, Italy)." Sustainability 14, no. 13 (2022): 8091. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su14138091.

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The balance governing the exploitation of resources on Earth is nowadays undermined by different accelerating processes, as population growth, pollution increase and, above all, climate change: the consequences on human well-being and on natural ecosystems health is incontrovertible. Hence, there is the need to undertake mitigation actions aimed at slowing down the uncontrolled development of negative effects. Within this work, the goal is to analyze the role of urban green infrastructures in the complex panorama of the climate change fight, through the ability to restore ecological functions.

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Biancifiori, Sara, Yogender Yadav, Piero Boccardo, Sisi Zlatanova, Sara Torabi Moghadam, and Adriano Bisello. "Evaluating the Potential of Nature-Based Solutions (NBS) and Solar Energy in Urban Built Environments with Aerial Photogrammetry Dataset." International Archives of the Photogrammetry, Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences XLVIII-4-2024 (October 21, 2024): 65–72. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/isprs-archives-xlviii-4-2024-65-2024.

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Abstract. The process of urbanisation has a significant impact on climate change, with projections indicating that over 70% of the global population will live in cities by 2050. The challenges associated with climate change impacts on urban areas include urban heat islands, unsustainable water management, floods and air pollution. This study explores the potential of Nature-Based Solutions (NBS) and renewable energy in Torino, Italy, with a particular focus on the exploitation of rooftops for solar panels and green roofs. The data from 159 buildings in San Salvario was collected using aerial p

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Mongelli, Ignazio, Michalis Vousdoukas, Luc Feyen, Antonio Soria, and Juan-Carlos Ciscar. "Long-term economic impacts of coastal floods in Europe: a probabilistic analysis." AIMS Environmental Science 10, no. 5 (2023): 593–608. http://dx.doi.org/10.3934/environsci.2023033.

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<abstract> <p>In this article we quantify the long-term economic impacts of coastal flooding in Europe. In particular, how the direct coastal damages generate long-term economic losses that propagate and compound throughout the century. A set of probabilistic projections of inundation-related direct damages (to residential buildings, firms' physical assets and agriculture production) is used as an exogenous shock to a dynamic stochastic economic model. The article considers explicitly the uncertainty related to the economic agents' behaviour and other relevant macroeconomic assumpt

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Di Brino, Eugenio, Michele Basile, Filippo Rumi, Giovanna Elisa Calabrò, and Americo Cicchetti. "PP153 The Economic And Fiscal Impact Of Public Health Programs For Diabetic Patients In Italy." International Journal of Technology Assessment in Health Care 38, S1 (2022): S90. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s0266462322002653.

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IntroductionTechnological innovations in the health sector have economic implications that go beyond their effects on health expenditure, expanding into other areas of the state budget (e.g., the social security system). Furthermore, innovation can affect the production of wealth by workers and companies, which in turn affects tax revenues. In addition, the presence of chronic diseases tends to reduce the propensity to consume and changes the allocation of consumption between the different sectors. Allocative decisions in the health system are rarely supported by an analysis that combines the

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Watt, Michael S., Darren J. Kriticos, Shona L. Lamoureaux, and Graeme W. Bourdôt. "Climate Change and the Potential Global Distribution of Serrated Tussock (Nassella trichotoma)." Weed Science 59, no. 4 (2011): 538–45. http://dx.doi.org/10.1614/ws-d-11-00032.1.

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We used the process-oriented niche model CLIMEX to estimate the potential global distribution of serrated tussock under projected future climates. Serrated tussock is a drought-tolerant, wind- and human-dispersed grass of South American origin that has invaded pastures in Australia, Europe, New Zealand, and South Africa. The likely effect of climate change on its potential global distribution was assessed by applying six climate-change scenarios to a previously developed model. The projections of climatic suitability under the current climate revealed considerable scope for spread, with the mo

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Harper, Sam, Muralikrishnan Kartha, Stuart Mealing, Maurizio Pavanello, and Luigi Bonavina. "PD101 Evaluating The Budget Impact Of Introducing RefluxStop™ As A Novel Treatment Option For Gastroesophageal Reflux Disease In Italy." International Journal of Technology Assessment in Health Care 40, S1 (2024): S134. https://doi.org/10.1017/s0266462324003465.

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IntroductionIn Italy, the first-line treatment for gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) is proton pump inhibitors (PPIs). Other options considered after PPI failure include Nissen fundoplication and magnetic sphincter augmentation. RefluxStop is a novel device for treating GERD. The aim of this study was to evaluate the budget impact of introducing RefluxStop into the Italian National Health Service (SSN).MethodsThe analysis, which used a five-year time horizon, one-year cycle length, and Italian payer perspective, was developed in line with ISPOR recommendations. Estimates for the Italian p

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Gentili, Rodolfo, Roberto Ambrosini, Benno A. Augustinus, et al. "High Phenotypic Plasticity in a Prominent Plant Invader along Altitudinal and Temperature Gradients." Plants 10, no. 10 (2021): 2144. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/plants10102144.

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Studies on plant growth and trait variation along environmental gradients can provide important information for identifying drivers of plant invasions and for deriving management strategies. We used seeds of the annual plant invader Ambrosia artemisiifolia L. (common ragweed) collected from an agricultural site in Northern Italy (226 m. a.s.l; Mean Annual Air Temperature: 12.9 °C; precipitations: 930 mm) to determine variation in growth trajectories and plant traits when grown along a 1000-m altitudinal gradient in Northern Italy, and under different temperature conditions in the growth chambe

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Goroshko, Nadezhda, and Sergey Patsala. "THE PHENOMENON OF LONGEVITY IN THE STRUCTURE OF GLOBAL POPULATION." Social Aspects of Population Health 69, no. 3 (2023): 8. http://dx.doi.org/10.21045/2071-5021-2023-69-3-8.

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Significance. One of the main features of the demographic picture of the modern world is the population aging, which is becoming one of the most significant factors of the current and future socio-economic and cultural agenda of the global development. Despite the fact that the population aging is accompanied by increased life expectancy, reaching the age of ninety and over is yet a rare phenomenon. Identification of the factors determining the level of longevity remains an important medical and social objective. An important role here plays the understanding of spatio-temporal features of the

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Amadio, Mattia, Arthur H. Essenfelder, Stefano Bagli, et al. "Cost–benefit analysis of coastal flood defence measures in the North Adriatic Sea." Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 22, no. 1 (2022): 265–86. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-265-2022.

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Abstract. The combined effect of global sea level rise and land subsidence phenomena poses a major threat to coastal settlements. Coastal flooding events are expected to grow in frequency and magnitude, increasing the potential economic losses and costs of adaptation. In Italy, a large share of the population and economic activities are located along the low-lying coastal plain of the North Adriatic coast, one of the most sensitive areas to relative sea level changes. Over the last half a century, this stretch of coast has experienced a significant rise in relative sea level, the main componen

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carbone, anna, Luisangela Quici, and Giovanni Pica. "The age dynamics of vineyards: past trends affecting the future." wine economics and policy 2019, no. 8 (2019): 38–48. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wep.2019.02.004.

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Carbone A., Quici L., Pica G. (2019), The age dynamics of vineyards: past trends affecting the future, W<em>ine</em> <em>Economics and Policy</em>, 8(2019), 38:48, (online 20 February 2019), doi.org/10.1016/j.wep.2019.02.004 https://reader.elsevier.com/reader/sd/pii/S2212977418300371?token=D805B9C2A47809563AB1C91571DE157444F67A25D1B3725931BC07408E352074C33365AA090D0CA68FEDBA2A0A958856 ABSTRACT The paper introduces a modified version of the demographic balance equation commonly used in human demography in the study of populations of permanent crops. The proposed methodology is then applied to a

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Hens, Luc, Nguyen An Thinh, Tran Hong Hanh, et al. "Sea-level rise and resilience in Vietnam and the Asia-Pacific: A synthesis." VIETNAM JOURNAL OF EARTH SCIENCES 40, no. 2 (2018): 127–53. http://dx.doi.org/10.15625/0866-7187/40/2/11107.

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Climate change induced sea-level rise (SLR) is on its increase globally. Regionally the lowlands of China, Vietnam, Bangladesh, and islands of the Malaysian, Indonesian and Philippine archipelagos are among the world’s most threatened regions. Sea-level rise has major impacts on the ecosystems and society. It threatens coastal populations, economic activities, and fragile ecosystems as mangroves, coastal salt-marches and wetlands. This paper provides a summary of the current state of knowledge of sea level-rise and its effects on both human and natural ecosystems. The focus is on coastal urban

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Longo, Umile Giuseppe, Giuseppe Salvatore, Laura Risi Ambrogioni, et al. "Epidemiology of Achilles tendon surgery in Italy: a nationwide registry study, from 2001 through 2015." BMC Musculoskeletal Disorders 21, no. 1 (2020). http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12891-020-03688-2.

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Abstract Background This study aims (1) to estimate the yearly number of Achilles tendon (AT) surgeries in Italy from 2001 to 2015 based on official hospitalization records; (2) to investigate the eventual presence of geographical variation in equity in access to AT surgery between three macroregions of Italy (North, Center and South); (3) to perform statistical projections of the number of AT procedure volumes and rates based on these data. Methods We analysed the National Hospital Discharge records (SDO) maintained at the Italian Ministry of Health for a 15-year period, from 2001 through 201

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Surdo, Salvatore. "First estimates of Common Sandpiper <i>Actitis hypoleucos</i> and Ruddy Turnstone <i>Arenaria interpres</i> wintering along the coast of Trapani (Sicily, Italy)." Rivista Italiana di Ornitologia 94, no. 1 (2024). http://dx.doi.org/10.4081/rio.2024.713.

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A census was carried out using the method of transects along stretches of coast of the Province of Trapani in order to estimate the wintering population of Common Sandpiper and Ruddy Turnstone. Although the International Waterbird Census (IWC) provides accurate estimation of wintering waders in Italy, the number of wintering individuals of Common Sandpiper Actitis hypoleucos and Ruddy Turnstone Arenaria interpres are strongly underestimated. The reason for this underestimation lies in the type of habitat they are used to populate along with the solitary life habits of the Common Sandpiper. To

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Serraino, D., G. Valdi, F. Toffolutti, et al. "Lung cancer cases attributable to PM2.5 in northeastern Italy." European Journal of Public Health 33, Supplement_2 (2023). http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/eurpub/ckad160.028.

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Abstract Background According to the International Agency for Cancer Research (IARC), outdoor pollution is a well established cause of lung cancer, with a prominent carcinogenic role attributed to particulate matter (PM) pollution. 2001 WHO guidelines on outdoor pollution includes a recommendation to reach a PM2.5 annual average of 5ug/m3. The WHO recommendation is in sharp contrast with EU limits: thus, in the present study we estimated the number of incident lung cancer cases due to PM2.5 according to three different scenarios. Methods The number of newly incident lung cancer cases diagnosed

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Ginebri, Sergio, and Carlo Lallo. "Disaggregation of official demographic projections in sub-groups by education level: the neglected “composition effect” in the future path of life expectancy." Genus 77, no. 1 (2021). http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s41118-020-00113-3.

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AbstractWe developed an innovative method to break down official population forecasts by educational level. The mortality rates of the high education group and low education group were projected using an iterative procedure, whose starting point was the life tables by education level for Italy, based on the year 2012. We provide a set of different scenarios on the convergence/divergence of the mortality differential between the high and low education groups. In each scenario, the demographic size and the life expectancy of the two sub-groups were projected annually over the period 2018–2065. W

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Martinelli, Salvatore. "Fascist Italy as the Heir of the Imperium Romanum Celebration of Romanism as an ideological instrument of legitimation." July 24, 2022. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6889418.

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On May 9, 1936, at 9:45 p.m., on the balcony of Palazzo Venezia, Benito Mussolini proclaimed: “Italy, at last, has an empire of its own“ For Mussolini, revealing Italy as an “empire” was not just the simple use of a term. Still, it was to be the cornerstone of the large-scale adaptation of the Imperium Romanum that Fascism had made its primary goal. With this proclamation, a new era dawned for Italy, which is why the year in question was also meaningfully touted by Mussolini at the time as “anno zero”. However, Italy's basic idea of using the Roman Empir

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Trias-Llimós, Sergi, Anastasios Bardoutsos, and Fanny Janssen. "Future Alcohol-Attributable Mortality in France Using a Novel Generalizable Age-Period-Cohort Projection Methodology." Alcohol and Alcoholism, October 21, 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/alcalc/agaa107.

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Abstract Aim To forecast age- and sex-specific alcohol-attributable mortality in France for the period 2015–2050 using a novel generalizable methodology that includes different scenarios regarding period and cohort change. Methods For the French national population aged 25–90 years (1979–2014), we estimated alcohol-attributable mortality by mortality from the main causes of death wholly attributable to alcohol, plus liver cirrhosis mortality. We modelled sex-specific alcohol-attributable mortality by adjusting for age, period and birth cohort. We forecasted the model parameters to obtain futur

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Vaughn-Valencia, Micah Martin, Yan D. Zhao, Rodney K. Edwards, Shari Clifton, and Hugh Nadeau. "Fetal weight extrapolation following a third-trimester ultrasound examination using the gestation-adjusted projection method: a systematic review and meta-analysis." American Journal of Perinatology, June 5, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1055/a-2628-2364.

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Objective Using systematic review and meta-analysis methodology, we sought to evaluate the accuracy of the gestation-adjusted projection (GAP) method of fetal weight extrapolation in the prediction of actual birth weight. Study Design A systematic literature search was performed using MEDLINE/PubMed, Embase, Scopus, and Web of Science for studies published from database inception to June 2023. Studies were compiled that assessed accuracy of the GAP method in pregnant women at term (≥37 weeks’ gestation) with an ultrasound performed at 34 to 36 weeks’ gestation. Quality was assessed using the N

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Giulio, Perrotta. "Clinical evidence in the phenomenon of Alien Abduction." Annals of Psychiatry and Treatment, December 21, 2021, 107–15. http://dx.doi.org/10.17352/apt.000037.

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Purpose: Starting from the classic definition of “alien abduction”, the present research, starting from the study published in 2020 on the proposed clinical classification of this particular phenomenon, is aimed at confirming the theoretical assumption of psychopathological origin. Methods: Clinical interview, based on narrative-anamnestic and documentary evidence and the basis of the Perrotta Human Emotions Model (PHEM) concerning their emotional and perceptual-reactive experience, and administration of the battery of psychometric tests published in international scientific journals by the au

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Rosina, Alessandro, and Roberto Impicciatore. "The end of a growing Italy. What are the conditions for well-being and development in an aging population?" Rivista Italiana di Economia Demografia e Statistica, October 1, 2023, 5–18. https://doi.org/10.71014/sieds.v77i3.189.

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Demographic projections indicate a significant decline in both the overall and working-age populations, resulting in increased economic and social dependency on older generations. This demographic shift requires strategic planning, especially in terms of employment and social welfare systems. This paper emphasizes the importance of policies addressing both quantitative factors (such as increasing birth rates and immigration) and qualitative aspects (such as enhancing workforce efficiency and integration). The paper underscores the significance of aligning Italy's demographic strategy with succ

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ARESU, MAURO, ANDREA ROTTA, ALBERTO FOZZI, et al. "Assessing the effects of different management scenarios on the conservation of small island vulture populations." Bird Conservation International, March 16, 2020, 1–18. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s0959270920000040.

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Summary Although the population of Griffon Vulture Gyps fulvus is significantly increasing in Europe, in Italy the species is still on the Red List as ‘Critically Endangered’, with the last natural population persisting on the island of Sardinia. Several episodes of poisoning hampered the success of conservation actions implemented in the years 1987–1995. In 2005 there were estimated to be only 31–32 territorial pairs, with the population occupying the territories of Alghero and Bosa. We used a long-term dataset of reproductive records from the Sardinian Griffon Vulture populations to run a po

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Borghi, C., J. G. Wang, A. V. Rodionov, et al. "Projecting the long-term benefits of single pill combination therapy for patients with hypertension in five countries." European Heart Journal 41, Supplement_2 (2020). http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ehjci/ehaa946.2781.

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Abstract Background It is well established that single pill combination (SPC) therapies have the potential to improve patient adherence versus multi-pill regimens, thereby improving blood pressure control and clinical outcomes in populations with hypertension. Purpose To develop a microsimulation model, capturing different treatment pathways, to project the impact on clinical outcomes of using single pill combination therapies for the management of hypertension in five countries (Italy, Russia, China, South Korea and Mexico). Methods The model was designed to project health outcomes between 20

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Camacho, Oscar M., Andrew Hill, Stacy Fiebelkorn, Aaron Williams, and James Murphy. "Investigating the Health Effects of 3 Coexisting Tobacco-Related Products Using System Dynamics Population Modeling: An Italian Population Case Study." Frontiers in Public Health 9 (November 16, 2021). http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2021.700473.

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With the proliferation of tobacco products, there might be a need for more complex models than current two-product models. We have developed a three-product model able to represent interactions between three products in the marketplace. We also investigate if using several implementations of two-product models could provide sufficient information to assess 3 coexisting products. Italy is used as case-study with THPs and e-cigarettes as the products under investigation. We use transitions rates estimated for THPs in Japan and e-cigarettes in the USA to project what could happen if the Italian p

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Sacco, Giuseppina, and Pietro Sacco. "The Valency Of The Natural And Social Components As Determinants Of A Population's Future Development." April 6, 2016. https://doi.org/10.19044/esj.2016.v12n8p284.

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The relation which ties the sociodemographic phenomena to the reference population of a given territory, is the representative essence of every social organism. Hence, there is the statistical need to get as many data as possible, as they become essential when you must make a decision that will influence the future choices of any human aggregation. The goal of the present contribution is to make population projections of the city of Bari (South Italy), studied by sex and age, aimed at knowing the future social effects through the analysis of the natural components (fecundity, mortality) and th

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Alburez-Gutierrez, Diego, Iván Williams, and Hal Caswell. "Projections of human kinship for all countries." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 120, no. 52 (2023). http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2315722120.

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Demographers have long attempted to project future changes in the size and composition of populations, but have ignored what these processes will mean for the size, composition, and age distribution of family networks. Kinship structures matter because family solidarity—a crucial source of informal care for millions of people around the world—is conditional on kin being alive. Here, we present innovative projections of biological kin for the 1950 to 2100 period and discuss what they imply for the availability of informal care. Overall, we project that the number of living kin for individuals w

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Fania, Alessandro, Alfonso Monaco, Nicola Amoroso, et al. "A Dementia mortality rates dataset in Italy (2012–2019)." Scientific Data 10, no. 1 (2023). http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41597-023-02461-z.

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AbstractDementia is on the rise in the world population and has been defined by the World Health Organization as a global public health priority. In Italy, according to demographic projections, in 2051 there will be 280 elderly people for every 100 young people, with an increase in all age-related chronic diseases, including dementia. Currently the total number of patients with dementia is estimated to be over 1 million (mainly with Alzheimer’s disease (AD) and Parkinson’s disease (PD)). In-depth studies of the etiology and physiology of dementia are complicated due to the complexity of these

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