Academic literature on the topic 'Prebisch-Singer'

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Journal articles on the topic "Prebisch-Singer"

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Futerman, Alan G., and Walter E. Block. "An Austrian critique of the Prebisch-singer theory of the deterioration in the terms of trade." Journal of Financial Economic Policy 12, no. 4 (January 25, 2020): 721–35. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/jfep-09-2019-0181.

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Purpose This study aims to offer a critique of the theory of the deterioration in terms of trade, developed by Raúl Prebisch and Hans Singer. Design/methodology/approach As an example of the theory’s shortcomings, the case of Argentina’s import substitution model is analyzed. Findings This study demonstrates how a misunderstanding of the influence of price variability in international trade may lead to the mistaken conclusion that protectionist measures must be enforced to achieve growth and prosperity. Originality/value This is the first study that criticizes the Prebisch-Singer theory of the deterioration in the terms of trade from an Austrian economics.
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Chen, John-Ren, and Herbert Stocker. "Composite commodities and the Prebisch-Singer thesis." World Development 25, no. 11 (November 1997): 1863–71. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0305-750x(97)00078-8.

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Sapsford, David. "The Prebisch-Singer terms of trade hypothesis." Economics Letters 18, no. 2-3 (January 1985): 229–32. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0165-1765(85)90187-9.

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Sapsford, D., P. Sarkar, and H. W. Singer. "The prebisch-singer terms of trade controversy revisited." Journal of International Development 4, no. 3 (May 1992): 315–32. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/jid.3380040305.

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Lutz, Matthias G. "A General Test of the Prebisch-Singer Hypothesis." Review of Development Economics 3, no. 1 (February 1999): 44–57. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1467-9361.00050.

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Harvey, David I., Neil M. Kellard, Jakob B. Madsen, and Mark E. Wohar. "The Prebisch-Singer Hypothesis: Four Centuries of Evidence." Review of Economics and Statistics 92, no. 2 (May 2010): 367–77. http://dx.doi.org/10.1162/rest.2010.12184.

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Toye, J. "The Origins and Interpretation of the Prebisch-Singer Thesis." History of Political Economy 35, no. 3 (September 1, 2003): 437–67. http://dx.doi.org/10.1215/00182702-35-3-437.

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Winkelried, Diego. "Unit roots, flexible trends, and the Prebisch-Singer hypothesis." Journal of Development Economics 132 (May 2018): 1–17. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2017.11.005.

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Aslı CİNEL, Emek. "TÜRKİYE DIŞ TİCARET HADLERİNİN PREBİSCH-SİNGER HİPOTEZİ KAPSAMINDA ANALİZİ." SOCIAL MENTALITY AND RESEARCHER THINKERS JOURNAL 7, no. 46 (January 1, 2021): 1237–49. http://dx.doi.org/10.31576/smryj.909.

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Dávila-Fernández, Marwil, and Adriana Amado. "Entre a lei de Thirlwall e a hipótese Prebisch-Singer: uma avaliação da dinâmica dos termos de troca em um modelo de crescimento com restrição no Balanço de Pagamentos." Economia e Sociedade 24, no. 1 (April 2015): 87–119. http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/1982-3533.2015v24n1art4.

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Os modelos de crescimento com restrição no balanço de pagamentos (BOPC) podem ser utilizados para capturar importantes insights tanto da tradição keynesiana quanto estruturalista do pensamento econômico. Sugerimos que a Lei de Thirlwall corresponde a uma derivação matemática da regra de Prebisch. Dessa forma, este trabalho se propõe a estreitar a relação entre a Lei de Thirlwall e o pensamento cepalino por meio da inclusão, na primeira, de um componente que capte a hipótese Prebisch-Singer de deterioração dos termos de troca, empregando para tal uma definição de taxa de câmbio real alternativa. Chamamos a expressão final obtida de "regra Prebisch-Thirlwall". Propomonos, ainda, a endogeneizar a taxa de crescimento do produto e da produtividade a partir da combinação de nossa versão da lei de Thirlwall com a lei de Kaldor-Verdoorn.
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Dissertations / Theses on the topic "Prebisch-Singer"

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Oberson, Yannick. "Long-run trends in commodity prices and the current copper and zinc boom." St. Gallen, 2007. http://www.biblio.unisg.ch/org/biblio/edoc.nsf/wwwDisplayIdentifier/02606606002/$FILE/02606606002.pdf.

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Cederlöf, Jonas. "Are the labor market conditions causing the terms of trade to deteriorate? : A statistical evaluation of the Prebisch- Singer hypothesis." Thesis, Stockholms universitet, Statsvetenskapliga institutionen, 2012. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:su:diva-88437.

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The study examines to what extent weak labor unions and an abundance of labor have a negative effect on less developed countries terms of trade, as hypothesized by Hans Singer (1950) and Rául Prebisch (1950). Using a sample from panel data for 74 less developed countries during the period 1980 – 2010 in OLS-regressions with fixed effects, I find some evidence that weak labor unions and abundance of labor is negatively correlated with the terms of trade, which could be interpreted in favor of the Prebisch-Singer hypothesis. The marginal effect of an abundance of labor also appears to have less negative impact on the terms of trade as labor unions grow stronger.
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Zubíková, Adéla. "Prokletí nebo požehnání: přírodní zdroje a ekonomický růst – komparace vývoje Botswany, Nigérie,Norska a Kanady na počátku 21. století." Master's thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2016. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-262311.

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This thesis seeks to verify the concept of so-called resource curse at the beginning of the new millennium. The theoretical part defines the symptoms of the alleged curse, curse transmission channels and criticism of the concept. Compared to other studies dealing with the theme of the resource curse this work is not focused on just one transmission channel. The practical part verifies several hypotheses established by comparing research papers on impacts of natural resources. The validity of the Prebisch-Singer hypothesis, Dutch disease symptoms and a negative impact on political institutions (inclination toward authoritarianism, high level of corruption, high government spending, low efficiency of economic and political decision-making and low investment in education) is verified. For the analysis have been selected two African countries (Nigeria and Botswana) and two advanced countries (Canada and Norway). The last part of this thesis provides policy implications. The results confirm the Prebisch-Singer hypothesis for selected commodities in the long term and some of the symptoms of Dutch disease at the beginning of the new millennium. Hypotheses regarding the impact on the political institutions have not been confirmed, since the results varied across the countries. The high vulnerability of the countries to movements in commodity prices was found.
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Freitas, Junior Gerson Alves de. "Recursos naturais e desenvolvimento econômico: uma revisão do debate teórico." Pontifícia Universidade Católica de São Paulo, 2012. https://tede2.pucsp.br/handle/handle/9197.

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The aim of this work is to revisit the debate surrounding the role of natural resources in economic development. This is an exploratory essay, which examines theses and stylized facts on the topic especially those that establish a negative relationship between natural resource endowment and economic growth in light of structural changes in the global economy and the rise in international primary product prices in the last decade. Its first conclusion is that there isn t any conclusive literary evidence of the so-called "resource curse," although some of the assumptions associated with it, such as the existence of a secular trend of decline in terms of the primary goods trade, have been proven true in the past century although, perhaps, not in the 21st century so far. The technical and economic characteristics of the current globalization process suggest, on the other hand, an increasing trend of dynamic natural resource markets, which may represent a window of opportunity for commodity-rich economies
O objetivo desse trabalho é revisitar o debate sobre o papel dos recursos naturais no desenvolvimento econômico. Trata-se de uma pesquisa exploratória, de caráter ensaístico, que analisa teses e fatos estilizados sobre o tema sobretudo aqueles que estabelecem uma relação negativa entre a dotação de recursos naturais e o crescimento econômico à luz das mudanças estruturais na economia mundial e à alta nos preços internacionais dos produtos primários na última década. Sua primeira conclusão é que não há, na literatura, trabalhos capazes de atestar de maneira conclusiva a maldição dos recursos naturais , embora alguns dos pressupostos a ela associados, tal como a existência de uma tendência secular de queda nos termos de troca dos produtos primários, tenham se mostrado verdadeiras no século passado ainda que não o sejam nesse curto começo do século 21. As características técnicas e econômicas do atual processo de globalização sugerem, pelo contrário, uma tendência crescente de dinamização dos mercados de recursos naturais, o que pode representar uma janela de oportunidades para economias ricas em produtos primários
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Tugan, Mustafa. "Terms Of Trade And Economic Development In Turkey Since 1970." Master's thesis, METU, 2006. http://etd.lib.metu.edu.tr/upload/12607463/index.pdf.

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In this thesis, the terms of trade changes in Turkey since 1970 are analyzed. In the 1970s, Turkey faced strong terms of trade declines mainly due to two oil price shocks. Rapid diversification of Turkish exports into manufactures was instrumental in avoiding further declines in its terms of trade in the 1980s. However, the slow pace of the diversification into more skill- and technology-intensive manufactures in Turkey combined with the fallacy of composition problem in low-tech, labourintensive manufactures may pose a real danger to the prices of its exports. To the extent that in the long-term, the changes in terms of trade of a country are determined by the level of technology embodied in its exports, the concentration of Turkish exports in low-tech, labour-intensive manufactures may highlight the need for upgrading exports and establishing backward- and forward-linkages between industries to escape from the trap of terms of trade deterioration in the long-term.
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Diasso, Yankou. "Dynamiques de moyen et long terme des cours des matières premières : les enjeux pour le développement dans les pays africains producteurs de coton." Thesis, Strasbourg, 2015. http://www.theses.fr/2015STRAB003/document.

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Cette thèse analyse les enjeux du développement économique liés aux dynamiques des cours des matières premières en général et ceux du coton en particulier. Traditionnellement, les travaux s’inscrivant dans une optique de long terme questionnent la pertinence des spécialisations primaires des PMA. À moyen terme l’intérêt porte davantage sur l’instabilité dont les conséquences sont d’autant plus importantes que la dépendance des pays à l’exportation de tels produits est forte. Les enjeux s’articulent alors autour des modalités de régulation des marchés, du choix d'outils (publics ou marchands) pour la gestion des incertitudes, le tout dépendant de l’appréhension de l’instabilité comme un phénomène endogène ou exogène. Dans un contexte nouveau marqué par l’affirmation d’oligopoles de firmes, la segmentation du processus productif mondial, et la financiarisation des marchés de matières premières, nous proposons un cadre analytique permettant d’aborder différemment ces problématiques. Nos travaux montrent d’abord comment les approches du type chaînes globales de valeur peuvent être mobilisées pour mieux orienter les stratégies commerciales / industrielles des PMA. S’appuyant sur la notion de rationalité limitée dans le cadre de modèles de comportements hétérogènes, ils prouvent ensuite l’existence d’une forte composante endogène dans l’instabilité et par là même, l'inefficacité des seuls outils marchands. Au final, pour les pays africains producteurs de coton, il apparait qu’il reste possible de mettre ce produit au service d’une stratégie globale de développement. Cela passe par le recours à des mécanismes hybrides de gestion de l’instabilité, combiné au renforcement des dynamiques de coopération transfrontalières en vue d’une structuration de chaînes régionales de valeur
This thesis analyzes the economic development issues related to the medium and long-term dynamics of commodities prices in general and cotton prices in particular. Studies on the long-term perspective traditionally question the relevance of primary specializations of LDCs. In the medium term, the interest is relates to price instability for which the consequences are all the more important as countries’ dependency on the exports of such products becomes stronger. The stakes then revolve around market regulation modalities, and the choice of risk management tools (e.g. public or private interventions). These depend on the apprehension of price fluctuations as a phenomenon arising from endogenous or exogenous market factors. In a new economical context influenced by the growing importance of oligopolistic firms, a segmentation of the productive process and the financialization of commodity markets, we address differently these issues through a new analytical framework. The proposed analysis first shows how approaches such as the ones related to global value chains are more adapted to tackle industrial/commercial policies in commodity dependent LDCs. Second, in a context of heterogeneous behavioral models, we rely on the concept of bounded rationality to show the presence of a strong endogenous component in instability. Thus, it proves the inefficiency of private interventions to counter instability. Considering these findings in the case of African cotton producers, we conclude that it remains possible to incorporate the commodity in a global development strategy. But this involves the use of hybrid-type mechanisms (public-private) for managing uncertainty, combined with a reinforcement of cross-border cooperation dynamics in order to structure regional value chains
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Schmiedecke, Wendell Gomes. "Efeito-China sobre os termos de trocas globais e a recente alta nos preços de commodities." Pontifícia Universidade Católica de São Paulo, 2008. https://tede2.pucsp.br/handle/handle/9359.

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The objective of this work is to answer the following question: How we can explain the recent rise in the commodities prices, due to the entry of China in the international market and which are the tendencies for the next years? For this, the work initially will present the deterioration in terms of trade from Prebisch and Singer, with an evolution of this thought, as well as criticism of this thesys. Afterwards we will present the Chinese economy, as well his impact in the demand of raw-materials and food and in the production capacity of industrialized products, presenting impacts over the terms of trade in the worldwide scenario, after that, we will use the Enzo Grilli and Maw Cheng Yang series updated, to show the prices behavior of the main commodities, with a special focus in the high occurred in this prices in the period comprehended between the Chinese market overture to the worldwide economy until 2007, fact contrary to the Prebisch and Singer thesis. At least we will conclude the work answering the question object of this work
O objetivo deste trabalho é responder a seguinte questão: Como podemos explicar a alta recente do preço dos commodities, face a entrada da China no mercado internacional e quais as tendências para os próximos anos? Para isso, o trabalho inicialmente apresentará a tese de deterioração dos termos de troca de Prebisch e Singer, com uma evolução desse pensamento, bem como críticas a estas teses. Posteriormente apresentaremos a economia chinesa, bem como seu impacto sobre a demanda de matérias-primas e alimentos e na capacidade de produção de produtos industrializados, apresentando impactos sobre os termos de troca no cenário mundial, em seguida, utilizaremos a série de preços formulada por Enzo Grilli e Maw Cheng Yang, que mostra uma evolução de preços dos principais commodities ao longo do tempo, focando na alta ocorrida nos preços de produtos primários no período compreendido entre a abertura do mercado chinês a economia mundial até 2007, fato este que contrária a tese de Prebisch e Singer. Por último teremos a conclusão que responderá a questão objeto deste trabalho
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Erten, Bilge. "Uneven development and the terms of trade: A theoretical and empirical analysis." 2010. https://scholarworks.umass.edu/dissertations/AAI3427523.

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Despite the voluminous literature on North-South macroeconomic interactions and the key role of terms of trade variations in growth transmission from one region to another, a significant research gap persists for two reasons. First, there has been very little empirical work on testing of the relationships between growth patterns and terms of trade movements. Second, the empirical studies dedicated to testing the Prebisch-Singer Thesis (PST) focused on testing the long-run tendency for the terms of trade of primary commodities to deteriorate and neglected the joint nature of the predictions arising out of a complete formulation of PST. This dissertation seeks to properly specify the PST, provide a generalization of it to the case of imbalanced trade, and extend it to a three-region framework through a structuralist North-South model. Multiple paths of growth divergence/convergence and terms of trade deterioration/improvement emerge depending on the structural changes influencing the income-elasticity differentials. I carry out two sets of empirical analyses. First, I use aggregate data on North-South terms of trade indices to test the presence and significance of a downward trend. Second, I use panel data analysis and rolling regressions to show the evolution of income-elasticity differentials. The results suggest that the growth rates of developing countries during the 1980s declined in both absolute and relative terms partly as a result of the downward trend in terms of trade and partly as a result of income elasticity differentials reflecting the productive and technological asymmetries between the developed and developing economies. However, these structural asymmetries have not remained constant: the results show that they changed both over time and over cross-sections of different groups of countries. In general the countries that diversified towards manufactured exports had better chances of eliminating the elasticity differentials, and thus attaining relatively higher rates of growth. The cross-country study is complemented by a comparative case study of Turkey and Malaysia. The results show that industrial and trade policies, if carefully designed and effectively implemented, can counter potential costs of external market dynamics while taking advantage of the opportunities for advancing dynamic comparative advantages.
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Books on the topic "Prebisch-Singer"

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Hadass, Yael S. Terms of trade shocks and economic performance 1870-1940: Prebisch and Singer revisited. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research, 2001.

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Bloch, Harry. Prebisch and singer effects on the terms of trade between primary producers and manufacturers. Lancaster: University of Lancaster, Management School, 1996.

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Auslandsverschuldung, terms of trade und überlappende Generationen: Eine theoretische Überprüfung der Schuldenzyklushypothese und der Prebisch-Singer-These. Frankfurt am Main: P. Lang, 1990.

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Sarkar, Prabirjit. Theories of worsening North-South terms of trade from Prebisch-Singer to Emmanuel: A survey and synthesis. Calcutta: Centre for Studies in Social Sciences, Calcutta, 1991.

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Alyousha, Ahmed. Two notes on Prebisch-Singer hypothesis: Implications of the unit root tests. University of Hull. Department of Economics, 1995.

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Book chapters on the topic "Prebisch-Singer"

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Maizels, Alfred, Theodosios B. Palaskas, and Trevor Crowe. "The Prebisch-Singer Hypothesis Revisited." In Development Economics and Policy, 63–85. London: Palgrave Macmillan UK, 1998. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-26769-9_5.

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Möller, Sebastian. "Raúl Prebisch & Hans W. Singer." In Handelspolitik und Welthandel in der Internationalen Politischen Ökonomie, 157–76. Wiesbaden: Springer Fachmedien Wiesbaden, 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-658-28656-9_13.

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Ziesemer, Thomas. "A Prebisch-Singer Growth Model and the Debt Crises." In Development Economics and Policy, 300–317. London: Palgrave Macmillan UK, 1998. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-26769-9_16.

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Raffer, Kunibert. "Food Aid, North-South Trade, and the Prebisch-Singer Thesis." In Development Economics and Policy, 230–48. London: Palgrave Macmillan UK, 1998. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-26769-9_12.

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Chen, John-ren, and Herbert Stocker. "A Contribution to Empirical Research on the Prebisch-Singer Thesis." In Development Economics and Policy, 86–109. London: Palgrave Macmillan UK, 1998. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-26769-9_6.

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Sapsford, David, and John-ren Chen. "The Prebisch-Singer Terms of Trade Hypothesis: Some (Very) New Evidence." In Development Economics and Policy, 27–34. London: Palgrave Macmillan UK, 1998. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-26769-9_3.

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Bloch, Harry, and David Sapsford. "Prebisch and Singer Effects on the Terms of Trade between Primary Producers and Manufacturers." In Development Economics and Policy, 35–62. London: Palgrave Macmillan UK, 1998. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-26769-9_4.

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Sarkar, Prabirjit. "Endogenous Technical Progress and North-South Terms of Trade: Modelling the Ideas of Prebisch and Singer on the Lines of Kalecki-Kaldor." In Development Economics and Policy, 249–57. London: Palgrave Macmillan UK, 1998. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-26769-9_13.

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Reports on the topic "Prebisch-Singer"

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Hadass, Yael, and Jeffrey Williamson. Terms of Trade Shocks and Economic Performance 1870-1940: Prebisch and Singer Revisited. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research, March 2001. http://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w8188.

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