Relevant bibliographies by topics / Prediction of military conflict

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Academic literature on the topic 'Prediction of military conflict'

Author: Grafiati
Published: 30 May 2022
Last updated: 31 May 2022

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Journal articles on the topic "Prediction of military conflict"

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Dnov, K. V., A. I. Kolchev, D. А. Seregin, V. K. Mikhalsky, V. D. Bigunets, and A. N. Yatmanov. "Prediction of Suicidal Behavior in Students at Military Academies." Doctor.Ru 19, no. 9 (2020): 65–70. http://dx.doi.org/10.31550/1727-2378-2020-19-9-65-70.

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Study Objective: To develop a mathematical model for predicting suicide risk in students at military academies. Study Design: This was a comparative prospective study. Materials and Methods: One hundred and thirty-three students at the Naval Polytechnic Institute, a subdivision of the Naval Academy named for the Admiral of the Fleet of the Soviet Union N.G. Kuznetsov, participated in the study. Assessment of the participants was done with the following tools: “The Ratio of Value and Accessibility in Various Areas of Life,” “Self-reflection Test,” “Semantic Differential,” “Military Occupational Aptitude,” and the “Mental Well-being Scale” questionnaire. Discriminative analysis was done to develop a mathematical model for predicting suicide risk. Study Results: Participants at high risk for suicide had scores for their personal emotional attitude towards the concepts “military service” and “ego ideal” that were lower by a statistically significant margin (p<0.05), and higher levels of self-reflection. In addition, more of them had intrapsychic conflict. The combination of these psychological characteristics was a risk factor for suicidal behavior in these military academy students. Conclusion: An informative model for predicting suicide risk in naval academy students was created, using discriminant modelling. Keywords: suicide risk, prediction, officer trainee, semantic differential, military servicemen
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Goldfarb, Avi, and Jon R. Lindsay. "Prediction and Judgment: Why Artificial Intelligence Increases the Importance of Humans in War." International Security 46, no. 3 (2022): 7–50. http://dx.doi.org/10.1162/isec_a_00425.

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Abstract Recent scholarship on artificial intelligence (AI) and international security focuses on the political and ethical consequences of replacing human warriors with machines. Yet AI is not a simple substitute for human decision-making. The advances in commercial machine learning that are reducing the costs of statistical prediction are simultaneously increasing the value of data (which enable prediction) and judgment (which determines why prediction matters). But these key complements—quality data and clear judgment—may not be present, or present to the same degree, in the uncertain and conflictual business of war. This has two important strategic implications. First, military organizations that adopt AI will tend to become more complex to accommodate the challenges of data and judgment across a variety of decision-making tasks. Second, data and judgment will tend to become attractive targets in strategic competition. As a result, conflicts involving AI complements are likely to unfold very differently than visions of AI substitution would suggest. Rather than rapid robotic wars and decisive shifts in military power, AI-enabled conflict will likely involve significant uncertainty, organizational friction, and chronic controversy. Greater military reliance on AI will therefore make the human element in war even more important, not less.
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Lutsik, Julia, Serhii Korotin, and Olexandr Kuchmeyev. "Prediction of possible scenarios for the development of the Ukrainian economy in the context of a “hybrid” war the Russian Federation." Journal of Scientific Papers "Social development and Security" 10, no. 1 (2020): 156–70. http://dx.doi.org/10.33445/sds.2020.10.1.16.

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In the article identifies that in modern military conflicts have emphasis is shifting towards a comprehensive application of political, economic, informational and other non-military measures.
 It was noted that for achieve the objectives in the “hybrid” war – the economic sphere is an important operating space and a key non-military mechanism for the preparation and realization of aggression. It was found that for maximum attenuation in the “non-contact” economic potential enemy state, the use of economic instruments in combination with other non-military levers can significantly minimize the use of armed arsenal of the aggressor country. In the article selected research object, the object of the conflict and stakeholders.
 The purpose of the article was to predict the four scenarios of development of the Ukrainian economy and the probability of their achievements along 2020-2035 years, based on the selected baseline scenario. For the formation of the main components of the baseline scenario were analyzed strengths and weaknesses of the internal factors of the economy in view of the major contributing factors, and direct and indirect losses from the warfare of the Russian Federation (RF) in the east of Ukraine and the Autonomous Republic of Crimea.
 They were analyzed by external economic threats, focusing on the monopoly of economic dependence of Ukraine from Russian markets. As a result, it was revealed the main trends and the key factors that have the largest share of influence on forecasting of economic conflict. Based on this analysis defines the main axis with the extrema, the most affecting on the object of investigation.
 Based on the method of scenario planning predicted four possible scenarios of economic development of Ukraine for the next 15 years, the strengths and weaknesses of each simulated scenario. The probabilities of accomplishing the desired, not desired, probable and least probable scenarios are determined.
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DIEHL, PAUL F., and GARY GOERTZ. "Entering International Society." Comparative Political Studies 23, no. 4 (1991): 497–518. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0010414091023004004.

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This article seeks to predict and explain when the process of national independence is accompanied by military conflict. In order to account for military conflict in 121 cases of national independence from 1816-1980, a LISREL model (with multiple indicators) with the following variables is employed: (a) the intrinsic importance of the territory gaining independence, (b) the specific importance of the territory to the former sovereign, (c) the relative power decline of the former sovereign, and (d) international norms at the time of the independence. All variables but the first are statistically significant, and the model accounts for half of the variation in the incidence of military conflict. The international norms variable was found to be the strongest predictor of military conflict. Implications for theory and policy are discussed.
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Simons, Greg. "Hard and Soft Power Approaches to Armed Conflicts: The United States in Iraq and Russia in Syria." Russia in Global Affairs 19, no. 2 (2021): 86–110. http://dx.doi.org/10.31278/1810-6374-2021-19-2-86-110.

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Armed conflicts are generally associated with the use of hard power for coercing and forcing an opponent to do something against its will in a situation where war is an extension of politics. However, there are many scholarly observations about the important role of soft power in armed conflicts, the interaction between hard and soft power, and the effects on one another within the framework of an armed conflict. This paper explores two specific armed conflicts, the 2003 U.S.-led military intervention in Iraq and the 2015 Russian intervention in Syria. Various aspects of hard and soft power approaches are discussed, and the outcome of military operations for the national soft power potential is analyzed. The results of the study show that whereas the Iraq War came as a disaster for the U.S., the military operation in Syria—despite dire predictions—created strengths and opportunities for Russia in international relations.
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Islamova, Oleksandra, Nadiia Moroz, Iryna Kryvoruchko, Inna Savina, Lesia Balahur, and Oleksandr Samoilenko. "Pedagogical Conditions of Conflict Management Readiness Formation of Border Guard Officers." Revista Romaneasca pentru Educatie Multidimensionala 13, no. 4 (2021): 373–93. http://dx.doi.org/10.18662/rrem/13.4/488.

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The article is dedicated to the research of the problem of forming conflict management readiness of future border guard officers. The concept "conflict management readiness of future border guards" has been defined. The structure of conflict management readiness of a border guard officer has been determined, which consists of motivational, operational and predictive components. The main criteria for assessing the motivational component of conflict readiness are motivational and regulatory, for operational - cognitive and operational, for predictive component - communicative and prognostic. The study proves that formation of conflict management readiness of future border guard officers is effective if the educational process at a higher military educational institution encompasses the following pedagogical conditions: creation of a favorable socio-psychological climate for the development of the experience of constructive resolution of conflict situations; the use of incentive measures to develop cadets' motivation for constructive resolution of conflict situations; enrichment of the content of professional training of future border guard officers with special knowledge about the nature, structure, functions of conflicts and mechanisms for their prevention and resolution; gradual acquisition by cadets of knowledge and skills of conflict management; ensuring a high level of psychological and pedagogical competence of teaching staff and leaders of training units of higher military educational institutions. Based on the Sectoral Qualification Framework for border guarding in European Union and Common Core Curriculum for training European border guards was developed a curriculum of the training course "Conflict Management in a Border Guard Unit" at the National academy of the State Border Guard Service of Ukraine named after Bohdan Khmelnytskyi. The results of the pedagogical experiment showed effectiveness of the defined pedagogical conditions to form conflict management readiness of future border guard officers. The distribution of cadets by levels of conflict management readiness formation in experimental groups at the end of the forming experiment is characterized by a decrease in the number of cadets with a low level (from 48.81% to 21.01%), as well as an increase in the number of future officers with a high level of conflict management readiness formation (from 4,76% to 26,19%). As for the control group, there were less significant changes regarding the level of conflict management readiness formation.
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Beliakova, Polina. "Erosion of Civilian Control in Democracies: A Comprehensive Framework for Comparative Analysis." Comparative Political Studies 54, no. 8 (2021): 1393–423. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0010414021989757.

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Civilian control of the military is a fundamental attribute of democracy. While democracies are less coup-prone, studies treating civilian control as a dependent variable mostly focus on coups. In this paper, I argue that the factors predicting coups in autocracies, weaken civilian control of the military in democracies in different ways. To capture this difference, I advance a new comprehensive framework that includes the erosion of civilian control by competition, insubordination, and deference. I test the argument under conditions of an intrastate conflict—a conducive environment for the erosion of civilian control. A large-N analysis confirms that while intrastate conflict does not lead to coups in democracies, it increases the military’s involvement in government, pointing to alternative forms of erosion taking place. Further case study—Russia’s First Chechen War—demonstrates the causal logic behind the new framework, contributing to the nuanced comparative analysis of civil-military relations across regimes.
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Skibińska, Anna. "Book review: Informacyjny wymiar wojny hybrydowej, red. Marek Wrzosek, Szymon Markiewicz, Zbigniew Modrzejewski, Akademia Sztuki Wojennej, Warszawa 2018, ss. 183." Wschód Europy. Studia humanistyczno-społeczne 6, no. 2 (2020): 201–5. http://dx.doi.org/10.17951/we.2020.6.2.201-205.

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A review of the monograph titled “The Information Dimension of Hybrid Warfare,” edited by scientific editors Marek Wrzosk, Szymon Markiewicz, and Zbigniew Modrzejewski, presents the most important issues discussed in this book. Attention was paid to the extensive request of the authors - both in foreign and domestic literature. Although it did not result in a universal, generally accepted definition of "hybrid war", it outlined the context of hybrid conflicts with a particular emphasis on informational actions (including propaganda, disinformation) that are used during this type of conflict. The review also provides an interesting case study. This concerns the course of the hybrid war on the example of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, which has been going on since 2014. Despite the difficulties associated with describing the existing conflict, the authors managed to identify several of the most important areas of action on both sides, and then outline three predictive scenarios, "events". The reviewer also recreates the military doctrine of the Russian Federation and the evolution that took place in the 21st century. The electronic and media dimension of hybrid warfare was also analyzed, which is related to technological development and globalization, which is an increasingly important aspect of this type of conflict. The review also highlights the practical implications of skillfully securing information transmitted over wireless networks and protecting the original information from being captured or lost. According to the reviewer, government agencies should strive to create the appropriate infrastructure necessary to counter potential hybrid conflicts.
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Liu, Liwen, Yuanming Wu, Gui Fu, and Chao Zhou. "An Improved Four-Rotor UAV Autonomous Navigation Multisensor Fusion Depth Learning." Wireless Communications and Mobile Computing 2022 (May 26, 2022): 1–8. http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/2701359.

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Whether it is for military or civilian use, quadrotor UAV has always been one of research central issues. Most of the current quadrotor drones are manually operated and use GPS signals for navigation, which not only limits the operating range of the drone but also consumes a lot of manpower and material resources. This research mainly studies the method of realizing autonomous flight and conflict avoidance of quadrotor UAV by using multisensor system and deep learning method in extreme flight conditions through track prediction. The convolutional neural network method is used to extract the image information collected by the UAV sensor system. And it uses the cyclic neural network to extract the time feature of the information collected by the UAV sensor. The research results show that the track prediction method based on the deep learning method has higher flight accuracy for quadrotor UAVs. The yaw error of the spatial position is only 2.82%, and the maximum error of the time characteristic error tolerance is only 0.77%.
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Somer, Eli, Aviva Zrihan-Weitzman, Tiffany Fusé, et al. "Israeli Civilians under Heavy Bombardment: Prediction of the Severity of Post-Traumatic Symptoms." Prehospital and Disaster Medicine 24, no. 5 (2009): 389–94. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s1049023x00007196.

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AbstractContext:The military conflict that occurred between Lebanon and Israel in July and August of 2006 was characterized by the heavy bombardment of specific geographic regions in Israel, resulting in considerable civilian casualties and property damage.Objective:Israeli civilians directly and indirectly exposed to bombardment were compared on exposure to the recent bombardment, trauma history, perceived life threat and peritraumatic dissociation during the recent bombardment, and current post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) symptom severity.Design, Setting, and Participants:Following the conflict, data were collected by telephone from 317 Israeli residents randomly selected from two towns that were subject to differing levels of exposure to the bombardment.Intervention(s):NoneMain Outcome Measure(s):Exposure to trauma during the Second Lebanon War, prior trauma exposure, PTSD symptom severity, perceived life threat, and peri-traumatic dissociation.Results:The residents directly affected by the bombardment (Kiryat Shmona; KS) endorsed more trauma exposure, (p <0.01); more prior trauma, (p <0.01); more life threat, (p <0.01); and greater PTSD symptomatology (12 % of KY participants and 38% of KS participants had probable PTSD), compared to residents in the comparison town (Kfar Yona; KY). Both groups reported a similar degree of peri-event dissociation (KS: M = 7.2 ±3.7; KY: M = 7.3 ±3.0). Perceived life threat mediated the relationship between exposure to bombardment and PTSD symptomatology. Time spent in bomb shelters was not associated with PTSD symptom severity. Prior shelling-related trauma negatively predicted PTSD.Conclusions:The terror of bombardment is a risk factor for PTSD among civil-ians. Although there is considerable resilience in chronically threatened commu-nities, it is prudent to develop and implement public health approaches to prevent those most distressed during and after attacks from developing PTSD. Because, to a small degree, prior trauma exposure buffers the response to bombardment, interventions should consider leveraging citizens' past successful coping.
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Dissertations / Theses on the topic "Prediction of military conflict"

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Сопілков, Максим Романович. "Система прогнозування виникнення збройних конфліктів за допомогою ймовірнісно-статистичних методів". Master's thesis, Київ, 2018. https://ela.kpi.ua/handle/123456789/23902.

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Магістерська дисертація: 111 с., 19 рис., 30 табл., 2 додатки, 27 джерел. Об’єкт дослідження – прогнозування сучасних військових конфліктів за допомогою імовірнісно-статистичних методів. Мета роботи – розробка та дослідження інтелектуальної системи прогнозування потенціального виникнення військового конфлікту у країнах світу , що дає можливість підготуватися до такої ситуації і, в деяких випадках, попередити її. В роботі розглянуто і проаналізовано прогнозування виникнення сучасних військових (збройних) конфліктів, проаналізовані методи та алгоритми побудови байєсівських та нейронних мереж, їх використання у різноманітних галузях військового моделювання. Розроблено систему побудови прогнозу виникнення військового конфлікту у країні на основі використання методів побудови байєсівських та нейронних мереж. Система побудови пронозу реалізована за допомогою мови програмування Java (Spring), JavaScript (Angular 2). Точність та правильність роботи системи показують результати наявної політичної ситуації у світі, які ми можемо з вами спостерігати за допомогою засобів масової інформації (ЗМІ). Результати даної роботи рекомендується використовувати для передбачення виникнення військових збройних конфліктів, що допоможе попередити виникнення даного, або ж по можливості зменшити ризик його виникнення.<br>Theme: “System of forecasting the emergence of armed conflicts via probability statistical methods”. Master’s thesis: 111 p., 19 fig., 30 tab., 2 appendices, 27 sources. The object of study - the prediction of modern military conflicts through bayesian and neural networks. The purpose of the work - research and development of intelligent system of forecasting the potential occurrence of military conflict in the world, which makes it possible to prepare for such situation and, in some cases, prevent it. In this work was reviewed and analyzed next problems: predicting the emergence of modern military (armed) conflict, was analyzed the methods and algorithms of bayesian and neural networks, their use in various fields of military simulation. Also was developed the system of forecasting the emergence of armed conflict in the country using constructing bayesian and neural networks methods. The forecasting system was implemented by using programming languages Java (Spring) and JavaScript (Angular 2). Precision and accuracy of the system shows the results of the political situation in the world which we can observe through the mass media (MSM) The results of this study are recommended for predicting the emergence of armed military conflict that will help prevent them, or as much as possible to reduce the risk of their occurrence.
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Campbell, Benjamin W. "Supervised and Unsupervised Machine Learning Strategies for Modeling Military Alliances." The Ohio State University, 2019. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=osu1558024695617708.

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Alptekin, Aynur. "Military expenditure, institutions and conflict." Thesis, University of Surrey, 2008. http://epubs.surrey.ac.uk/904/.

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The aim of the thesis is to examine and estimate the effects of military expenditure, institutions and conflict on economic development. The military expenditure and economic growth nexus is re-analysed in the context of threat and security dimensions. In particular the proposed empirical model is a non-linear one that is characterised by the external and internal threat levels. The findings are that when the internal and external threat levels are below threshold values, a rise in military expenditure results in a fall in growth. Conversely, when the external and internal threat levels are higher than threshold values, a rise in military expenditure results in a rise in growth.
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Cicek, Edvin. "Framing the public opinion on military conflict." Thesis, Försvarshögskolan, 2021. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:fhs:diva-10140.

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In many cases, an effective method used by political elites to influence public opinion is throughframing strategies. The use of frames by political elites has the power to change the opinion of agreat mass of people. On October 9, 2019, Turkey launched the military operation Peace Spring.Despite being criticized internationally, the Turkish president managed through framing of theoperation, gaining public approval in its domestic sphere. The purpose of this article is to analysehow president Recep Tayyip Erdoğan frames Operation Peace Spring through Twitter as primarysource. The results show that Erdoğan uses a complex framing that contains several recurringsegments that build on each other and enhances the overall effect.
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Rodt, Annemarie Peen. "Success? : ESDP military conflict management operations : 2003-2009." Thesis, University of Nottingham, 2009. http://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/11431/.

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From 2003 to 2009, the EU launched five military conflict management operations within the framework of the European Security and Defence Policy. This thesis examines their success. To this end, the thesis develops a definition and a set of criteria for success. It applies this theoretical framework in an empirical case study of success in the five EU operations, which were undertaken in Macedonia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Chad and the Central African Republic. Having established the level and nature of their success, the thesis goes on to examine the conditions under which ESDP military conflict management operations can be successful. The key finding of the research is that for an operation of this nature to succeed, it is necessary that it secures sufficient support internally, within the EU, and externally, outside the EU, from domestic, regional and international actors involved in the conflict and its management.
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Herath, Ihalagedera Herath Mudiyanselage Nishantha Nandaji. "Role of Military in Post-Conflict Sri Lanka." Thesis, Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2012. http://hdl.handle.net/10945/6812.

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Sri Lanka has suffered a violent conflict between the government of Sri Lanka (GoSL) and the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) for nearly three decades. By the time LTTE was crushed in 2009, over 80,000 had been killed, 11,656 Tamil Tigers were either arrested or surrendered, and 294,000 people had been internally displaced during the final phase of the conflict. Furthermore, almost all the infrastructure in formerly terrorist-held areas was damaged or destroyed. The GoSL recognized its obligation to provide humanitarian relief; essential services, rehabilitation, and development support to people in LTTE-controlled areas and began post-conflict reconstruction. The GoSL decision to house internally displaced persons (IDPs) prevented much-needed, international-community support during the initial stage of reconstruction. The drain of GoSL resources due to the prolonged conflict and reconstruction in the Eastern Province forced GoSL to use the military to fill gaps in the post-conflict reconstruction process. By doing so, the GOSL was able to resettle 97% of the total IDPs, providing them infrastructure facilities and livelihood opportunities, while reintegrating more than 90% of ex-combatants after their rehabilitation by the end of 2011. This study will examine the way in which the military used its capabilities to shape the reconstruction process.
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Tian, Nan. "The economics of military spending, conflict and growth." Doctoral thesis, University of Cape Town, 2015. http://hdl.handle.net/11427/16720.

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Includes bibliographical references<br>This dissertation is a collection of studies on the economics of peace and security. Chapter one introduces the roles military spending and conic play in affecting economic growth, while also considering the causes of civil conflict. Chapter two investigates the relationship between military expenditure and economic growth, considering group heterogeneity and non-linearity. Using an exogenous growth model and dynamic panel approach, the results suggest military burden to have a negative effect on growth. Breaking the overall panel down into various sub-samples shows estimates that are remark-ably consistent with the full panel. These results provide strong support for the argument that military spending has an adverse effect on growth. There are, however, some intriguing results suggesting that for certain types of countries military burden has no negative growth effect. Chapter three deals with the transnational spatial spillover effects of conflict on neighbouring countries. It moves beyond using geographical dis-tance as a spillover measurement and allows for economic and political distances. The initial empirical results suggest that conflict has a strong negative spillover effect on directly contiguous countries growth, but no significant impacts were observed for non-contiguous countries. When economic and political factors are considered, this result remains, but the spillover effect is smaller. While the impact of conflict remains devastating, it is important to take other factors into account as studies using only geographical distance may be overestimating the impact on neighbours. The fourth chapter examines the determinants of civil war, using a zero-inflated modelling approach to deal with excess zeroes in the dependent variable. Traditional probit and logit models have limited capacity in dealing with this issue and can create misleading results, which is illustrated through replicating published work. A general greed-grievance model is then estimated giving further support to using zero-inflated models. While the standard probit models tend to emphasise opportunity variables, consistent in other studies, the zero inflated model gives supports both opportunity and grievance variables. In particular, ethnicity, democracy and inequality are found to play a significant role in civil war prevalence. Finally, chapter five summarises the findings of the dissertation, providing some policy recommendations, concluding remarks and discusses future research opportunities.
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Šetina, Martin. "Risk Analysis of Sino-American Military Conflict: The Trends in China-US Military Relationship." Master's thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2014. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-193920.

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The ascent of China to a global power status has created a new wave of theoretical discourse on what this means for the future of international relations. The general consensus on a unipolar order of international relations is slowly giving way to discourse. The time of polarity shift in the system is associated with a likely conflict between the descending hegemon and the ascending power (Snyder 2002; Mearsheimer 2010). This theoretical background suggest that in the future, we might witness a military conflict between the US and China. On the other side of the spectrum is a more optimistic view of China's rise, which emphasizes the role of economic interdependence and the extreme cost of any aggressive foreign policy that would escalate the conflict potential between China and the US (Ikenberry 2008; Kang 2007; Fravel 2010). This assumption of a future military conflict between the US and China is at the center of this research. In the following pages I will explore the idea of a military conflict between the US and China in an in-depth analysis of the most contested and conflict-prone issues between China and the US: the future of Taiwan and the Senkaku Island dispute.
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Erturk, Sait. "Reintegration of the Iraqi military in post-conflict era." Thesis, Monterey, Calif. : Springfield, Va. : Naval Postgraduate School ; Available from National Technical Information Service, 2005. http://library.nps.navy.mil/uhtbin/hyperion/05Mar%5FErturk.pdf.

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Thesis (M.A. in National Security Affairs)--Naval Postgraduate School, March 2005.<br>Thesis Advisor(s): Vali Nasr, Karen Guttieri. Includes bibliographical references (p. 125-134) Also available online.
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Viktorin, Mattias. "Exercising Peace : Conflict Preventionism, Neoliberalism, and the New Military." Doctoral thesis, Stockholms universitet, Socialantropologiska institutionen, 2008. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:su:diva-8141.

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This study takes the changing role of the military as a starting point for exploring a set of broader ongoing processes at the intersection of security and humanitarianism. The focus is on one particular assemblage, described here as conflict preventionism. This notion brings together the transformation of the military, the proliferation of civil-military cooperation, and the increasing interest in managing and preventing violent conflicts within a single framework. As such, conflict preventionism helps render visible how various actors, concepts, and organizational techniques converge in emergent forms of intervention. The research was carried out during the planning, execution, and evaluation of Viking 03, a civil-military exercise organized in 2003 by the Swedish Armed Forces. An examination of Viking 03 evinces intriguing resemblances between conflict preventionism and organizational facets of neoliberalism, epitomized by increasingly ubiquitous concepts such as “partnership,” “transparency,” and “evaluation.” Also, it shows that conflict preventionism does not settle on one particular understanding of conflict, but rather imposes directionality on contemporary engagements with the world.
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Books on the topic "Prediction of military conflict"

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L, Sullivan Patricia. Who wins?: Predicting strategic success and failure in armed conflict. Oxford University Press, 2012.

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Who wins?: Predicting strategic success and failure in armed conflict. Oxford University Press, 2012.

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Thackrah, John Richard. Companion to military conflict. Routledge, 2008.

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Military power, conflict, and trade. Frank Cass, 2004.

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Dridze, T. M. Sot︠s︡ialʹno obosnovannoe gradoustroĭstvo v rezhime prognoznogo proektirovanii︠a︡: Ot sot︠s︡ialʹnoĭ diagnostiki k profilaktike konfliktnykh situat︠s︡iĭ i konstruktivnomu dialogu zainteresovannykh storon. Institut munit︠s︡ipalʹnogo upravlenii︠a︡, 2005.

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Carman, John. Archaeologies of conflict. Bloomsbury Academic, an imprint of Bloomsbury Publishing Plc, 2013.

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Conflict in Afghanistan. ABC-CLIO, 2008.

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McCausland, Jeffrey D. The Gulf conflict: A military analysis. Brassey's for the International Institute for Strategic Studies, 1993.

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Ethics of 21st century military conflict. International Debate Education Association, 2012.

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Vickers, Michael G. The military revolution and intrastate conflict. Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments, 1997.

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Book chapters on the topic "Prediction of military conflict"

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Black, Jeremy. "Conflict, 1590–1615." In Beyond the Military Revolution. Macmillan Education UK, 2011. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-0-230-34415-0_3.

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Black, Jeremy. "Conflict, 1616–1650." In Beyond the Military Revolution. Macmillan Education UK, 2011. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-0-230-34415-0_4.

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Black, Jeremy. "Conflict, 1650–1683." In Beyond the Military Revolution. Macmillan Education UK, 2011. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-0-230-34415-0_5.

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Black, Jeremy. "Conflict, 1683–1707." In Beyond the Military Revolution. Macmillan Education UK, 2011. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-0-230-34415-0_7.

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Tanase, Claudiu, and Andreea Urzica. "Global Military Conflict Simulator." In Studies in Computational Intelligence. Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2009. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-03214-1_36.

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Everts, Philip P. "Innocence Lost: the Yugoslav Conflict." In Democracy and Military Force. Palgrave Macmillan UK, 2002. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/9780230509863_7.

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Whetham, David. "Ethics, Law and Conflict." In Ethics, Law and Military Operations. Macmillan Education UK, 2011. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-137-06381-6_2.

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Breight, Curtis C. "Military Conflict among the Elite." In Surveillance, Militarism and Drama in the Elizabethan Era. Palgrave Macmillan UK, 1996. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/9780230373020_8.

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Kelly, Zane M. "Sovereign Debt and Military Conflict." In Sovereign Debt. John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 2011. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/9781118267073.ch7.

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Durac, Vincent, and Francesco Cavatorta. "The Military, Security and Conflict." In Politics and Governance in the Middle East. Macmillan Education UK, 2015. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-137-52127-9_10.

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Conference papers on the topic "Prediction of military conflict"

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Wong, Chan Wong, John M. Shea, and Yumin Lee. "Trellis-Based Conflict Resolution for Bidirectional Decision-Feedback Equalization." In MILCOM 2007 - IEEE Military Communications Conference. IEEE, 2007. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/milcom.2007.4454992.

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George, F. Elmasry, Manoj Jain, Kim Jakubowski, and Keith Whittaker. "Conflict resolution for shared resources between network managers." In MILCOM 2010 - 2010 IEEE Military Communications Conference. IEEE, 2010. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/milcom.2010.5680132.

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Moore, Daniel. "Targeting technology: Mapping military offensive network operations." In 2018 10th International Conference on Cyber Conflict (CyCon). IEEE, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.23919/cycon.2018.8405012.

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Plummer, Anthony, Tao Wu, and Subir Biswas. "A Cognitive Spectrum Assignment Protocol using Distributed Conflict Graph Construction." In MILCOM 2007 - IEEE Military Communications Conference. IEEE, 2007. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/milcom.2007.4455299.

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Bigelow, Brad. "What are Military Cyberspace Operations Other Than War?" In 2019 11th International Conference on Cyber Conflict (CyCon). IEEE, 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.23919/cycon.2019.8756835.

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Vempati, Lakshmi, and Hisham Assal. "An Approach to Airborne Conflict Prediction." In 6th AIAA Aviation Technology, Integration and Operations Conference (ATIO). American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics, 2006. http://dx.doi.org/10.2514/6.2006-7799.

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Tabba, Fuad, Andrew W. Hay, and James R. Goodman. "Transactional conflict decoupling and value prediction." In the international conference. ACM Press, 2011. http://dx.doi.org/10.1145/1995896.1995904.

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Liu, Ke, and Yunxia Song. "Application of Armed Conflict Law in Non-war Military Operations." In 2017 World Conference on Management Science and Human Social Development (MSHSD 2017). Atlantis Press, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.2991/mshsd-17.2018.16.

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Hart, Stephen W., and Mark C. Klink. "1st Troll Battalion: Influencing military and strategic operations through cyber-personas." In 2017 International Conference on Cyber-Conflict (CyCon U.S.). IEEE, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/cyconus.2017.8167503.

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Arora, Ritu, Anand Wani, Ankur Vineet, Bhavik Dhandhalya, Yashvardhan Sharma, and Sanjay Goel. "Continuous Conflict Prediction during Collaborative Software Development." In ICSIM '20: The 3rd International Conference on Software Engineering and Information Management. ACM, 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.1145/3378936.3378951.

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Reports on the topic "Prediction of military conflict"

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Thomas, Timothy M. Conflict Termination and Military Strategy. Defense Technical Information Center, 1994. http://dx.doi.org/10.21236/ada283406.

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Pingley, Randall L. Military/Media Relationship in Future Conflict. Defense Technical Information Center, 1993. http://dx.doi.org/10.21236/ada264942.

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Xavier, Francis V. Iran and Iraq: A Prediction for Future Conflict. Defense Technical Information Center, 1997. http://dx.doi.org/10.21236/ada397846.

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Snyder, John B. Seeing Through the Conflict: Military-Media Relations. Defense Technical Information Center, 2003. http://dx.doi.org/10.21236/ada413584.

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Knowles, James F. Conflict Resolution among Senior Leaders within the U.S. Military. Defense Technical Information Center, 2013. http://dx.doi.org/10.21236/ad1018819.

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Friend, James W. Military Occupation and the Law of Armed Conflict: Discouraging Resistance. Defense Technical Information Center, 2003. http://dx.doi.org/10.21236/ada415475.

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Owens, Dallas. Stabilization and Post-Conflict Operations: The Role of the Military. Defense Technical Information Center, 2004. http://dx.doi.org/10.21236/ada430615.

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Boltuc, Douglas A. Into the Eye of the Commander: Military Advisory During Conflict. Defense Technical Information Center, 2011. http://dx.doi.org/10.21236/ada547254.

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Thornton, William H. The Role of Military Working Dogs in Low Intensity Conflict. Defense Technical Information Center, 1990. http://dx.doi.org/10.21236/ada224049.

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Lopes da Silva, Diego, Nan Tian, and Alexandra Marksteiner. Pathways for Reducing Military Spending in Post-civil Conflict Settings. Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.55163/ywho8693.

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Abstract:
High military spending is a common and consequential legacy of civil conflict. Reducing military spending can yield valuable economic gains and further contribute to the recovery of post-civil conflict societies. However, little is known about the conditions that enable military spending reductions in a conflict’s aftermath. This SIPRI Insights on Peace and Security tackles this issue and provides a comparison of post-civil conflict conditions and military burden—military spending as a share of gross domestic product—outcomes. It builds on a comparative analysis of 19 post-civil conflict episodes between 1970 and 2020, as well as three detailed case studies, to identify common pathways to post-civil conflict military burden reductions. This research finds that reductions in military burden usually follow peace agreements that encompass trustworthy and legitimate verification mechanisms, the strengthening of institutional means to resolve grievances, and improvements in relations with neighbouring countries.
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