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Journal articles on the topic 'Prediction of military conflict'

Author: Grafiati

Published: 30 May 2022

Last updated: 31 July 2025

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1

Dnov, K. V., A. I. Kolchev, D. А. Seregin, V. K. Mikhalsky, V. D. Bigunets, and A. N. Yatmanov. "Prediction of Suicidal Behavior in Students at Military Academies." Doctor.Ru 19, no. 9 (2020): 65–70. http://dx.doi.org/10.31550/1727-2378-2020-19-9-65-70.

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Study Objective: To develop a mathematical model for predicting suicide risk in students at military academies. Study Design: This was a comparative prospective study. Materials and Methods: One hundred and thirty-three students at the Naval Polytechnic Institute, a subdivision of the Naval Academy named for the Admiral of the Fleet of the Soviet Union N.G. Kuznetsov, participated in the study. Assessment of the participants was done with the following tools: “The Ratio of Value and Accessibility in Various Areas of Life,” “Self-reflection Test,” “Semantic Differential,” “Military Occupational

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Utkin, I. A., M. D. Mandritza, and D. S. Nagorny. "Predicting Social Tensions in Individual Countries Based on Military, Political, Economic, and Demographic Factors Using Machine Learning Methods." LETI Transactions on Electrical Engineering & Computer Science 16, no. 9 (2023): 49–59. http://dx.doi.org/10.32603/2071-8985-2023-16-9-49-59.

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The purpose of the work is to increase the effectiveness of prediction using the analysis of military, political, economic, and demographic factors, as well as the preprocessing of selected predictors. Models for predicting social tensions in individual countries based on machine learning methods are presented. The results include machine learning models that predict internal armed conflict as the highest form of social tension, with the accuracy of calculated metrics provided.

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Goldfarb, Avi, and Jon R. Lindsay. "Prediction and Judgment: Why Artificial Intelligence Increases the Importance of Humans in War." International Security 46, no. 3 (2022): 7–50. http://dx.doi.org/10.1162/isec_a_00425.

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Abstract Recent scholarship on artificial intelligence (AI) and international security focuses on the political and ethical consequences of replacing human warriors with machines. Yet AI is not a simple substitute for human decision-making. The advances in commercial machine learning that are reducing the costs of statistical prediction are simultaneously increasing the value of data (which enable prediction) and judgment (which determines why prediction matters). But these key complements—quality data and clear judgment—may not be present, or present to the same degree, in the uncertain and c

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Suntsova, Olesia. "Econometric forecasting of academic management in the face of uncertainty regarding hostilities." Financial and credit systems: prospects for development 4, no. 11 (2023): 41–47. http://dx.doi.org/10.26565/2786-4995-2023-4-05.

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This article addresses the problem of interrelations between economic factors and military conflicts, examining the role of econometric forecasting in the context of academic management during periods of uncertainty surrounding hostilities. It delves into the two principal theories of classical macroeconomics – neutrality and dichotomy – and explores their applicability to the complex interplay between economic forces and military dynamics. In doing so, it challenges the conventional binary view of conflicts as either war or peace, emphasizing the nuanced gradations that emerge over time.&#x0D

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ROMAN, Daniel. "Scenario Development in Planning Military Actions to Prevent a Crisis Situation." Romanian Military Thinking 2023, no. 1 (2023): 108–27. http://dx.doi.org/10.55535/rmt.2023.1.6.

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The Russian-Ukrainian military conflict is the most unexpected event having a major societal impact, not only on the conflicting parties, but also on the entire international community. The irreparable damage to critical infrastructures, the loss of human life and the constantly increasing considerable material damage are just three indicators that signal possible future crisis situations. The question that is justifiably raised is “Could this military conflict have been prevented?” Implicitly, another series of questions arises, such as “Can future crisis situations generated by this military

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ROMAN, Daniel. "Elaborarea scenariilor în planificarea acțiunilor militare pentru prevenirea unei situații de criză." Gândirea Militară Românească 2023, no. 1 (2023): 126–45. http://dx.doi.org/10.55535/gmr.2023.1.06.

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The Russian-Ukrainian military conflict is the most unexpected event having a major societal impact, not only on the conflicting parties, but also on the entire international community. The irreparable damage to critical infrastructures, the loss of human life and the constantly increasing considerable material damage are just three indicators that signal possible future crisis situations. The question that is justifiably raised is “Could this military conflict have been prevented?” Implicitly, another series of questions arises, such as “Can future crisis situations generated by this military

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Lutsik, Julia, Serhii Korotin, and Olexandr Kuchmeyev. "Prediction of possible scenarios for the development of the Ukrainian economy in the context of a “hybrid” war the Russian Federation." Journal of Scientific Papers "Social development and Security" 10, no. 1 (2020): 156–70. http://dx.doi.org/10.33445/sds.2020.10.1.16.

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In the article identifies that in modern military conflicts have emphasis is shifting towards a comprehensive application of political, economic, informational and other non-military measures. It was noted that for achieve the objectives in the “hybrid” war – the economic sphere is an important operating space and a key non-military mechanism for the preparation and realization of aggression. It was found that for maximum attenuation in the “non-contact” economic potential enemy state, the use of economic instruments in combination with other non-military levers can significantly minimiz

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Simons, Greg. "Hard and Soft Power Approaches to Armed Conflicts: The United States in Iraq and Russia in Syria." Russia in Global Affairs 19, no. 2 (2021): 86–110. http://dx.doi.org/10.31278/1810-6374-2021-19-2-86-110.

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Armed conflicts are generally associated with the use of hard power for coercing and forcing an opponent to do something against its will in a situation where war is an extension of politics. However, there are many scholarly observations about the important role of soft power in armed conflicts, the interaction between hard and soft power, and the effects on one another within the framework of an armed conflict. This paper explores two specific armed conflicts, the 2003 U.S.-led military intervention in Iraq and the 2015 Russian intervention in Syria. Various aspects of hard and soft power ap

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Tanim, Sharia Arfin, Mursalin Khan, Fariya Sultana Prity, Kazi Tanvir, and Dr Valliappan Raju. "An in-Depth Analysis of Military Casualties: Predicting Russian Losses in the Russia-Ukraine Conflict." Oct-Nov 2023, no. 36 (November 24, 2023): 13–33. http://dx.doi.org/10.55529/jpps.36.13.33.

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This research on the Russia-Ukraine conflict employs sophisticated data science methods and time series forecasting techniques to analyze Russian military casualties within a specific timeframe. The study aims to unravel the intricate dynamics of conflict by scrutinizing complex patterns and trends in the available data. The research encompasses a thorough examination of casualties, including soldiers, equipment, and vehicles, with the incorporation of key performance metrics like accuracy, MAE, MSE, RMSE, and R2. These metrics provide a quantitative assessment of forecasting models, enhancing

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10

Čábelková, Inna, Luboš Smutka, Svitlana Rotterova, Olesya Zhytna, Vít Kluger, and David Mareš. "The Sustainability of International Trade: The Impact of Ongoing Military Conflicts, Infrastructure, Common Language, and Economic Wellbeing in Post-Soviet Region." Sustainability 14, no. 17 (2022): 10840. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su141710840.

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The sustainability of international trade is subject to immense pressure. Apart from obstructed logistics, disruption of production chains and changes in demand, the sustainability of international trade is heavily affected by the sanctions caused by the Russia–Ukraine conflict. This paper studies the factors predicting sustainable international trade in the post-Soviet region. We hypothesize that ongoing conflicts, infrastructure, language integration, geographical proximity, common border, and economic wellbeing significantly impact international trade. Methodologically we rely on linear and

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Knysh, V. V. "The main approaches to solving the latest international and interstate armed conflicts." Actual problems of improving of current legislation of Ukraine, no. 60 (September 15, 2022): 226–35. https://doi.org/10.15330/apiclu.60.226-235.

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The development of international relations leads to a new interpretation of certain categories and concepts in international law. However, despite such changes, the fundamental goal of the functioning of international law is to ensure peace on all continents, economic development of states and stable international cooperation. Even the most complex processes in interstate relations must be achieved thanks to regulation according to the principles of international law, the violation of which by one of the states can cause the destabilization of international relations. Timely recourse to mechan

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Więcek, Wojciech, and Grzegorz Sobolewski. "THE STRATEGIC IMPORTANCE OF CITIES IN THE ASPECT OF WAR IN UKRAINE." Zeszyty Naukowe SGSP 87 (September 29, 2023): 181–99. http://dx.doi.org/10.5604/01.3001.0053.9117.

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Russia, which for many years has been recognised as the second military power in the world,launched a strike against Ukraine on 24 February 2022. This was to be a very quick and efficientoperation intended to demonstrate Russia’s military power and effectiveness. Most expertspredicting potential wars were in agreement that future military operations were all about theneed to forego costly operations, following the principle of winning wars with limited costs.The anticipated type of future war is one of hybrid conflict with an emphasis on the sphere ofinformation, psychological and cyber operat

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Najafov, Zafar Nuri. "Development of a Theoretical and Conceptual Framework for the Transformation of Military Conflicts." Journal of Scientific Papers "Social development and Security" 15, no. 3 (2025): 44–51. https://doi.org/10.33445/sds.2025.15.3.5.

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Purpose: to identify transformational trends that define the development of modern military thought and practice. Method: historical, comparative analysis, systematic approach, and structural analysis methods. Findings: Since the late 20th and early 21st centuries, radical changes in the development of military thought and military-political practice have significantly impacted evolving perspectives on the use of military force. Theoretical implications: Classical theories of war lack contemporary dynamism. The emergence of the 4th and 5th generations of warfare in the last 30 years, and predi

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Raycheva-Danailova, Boryana. "The War in Ukraine in the Perspective of the Election Campaign for the 49th Ordinary National Assembly." Vocational Education 25, no. 3 (2023): 261–81. http://dx.doi.org/10.53656/voc23-351voin.

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The crisis in political speech in our country (2022 – 2023) was strongly influenced by the military conflict in Ukraine that officially began on February 26, 2022. The war, which has shaken politics at the international level, has exposed the thick red lines between political entities in Bulgaria, deepening the parliamentary crisis that has reached a state of collapse in the past year and a half. And the media – intentionally or not, became a witness and accomplice to what was happening. The relevance of the chosen topic is dictated by the need to analyze the political speech regarding the mil

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Beliakova, Polina. "Erosion of Civilian Control in Democracies: A Comprehensive Framework for Comparative Analysis." Comparative Political Studies 54, no. 8 (2021): 1393–423. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0010414021989757.

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Civilian control of the military is a fundamental attribute of democracy. While democracies are less coup-prone, studies treating civilian control as a dependent variable mostly focus on coups. In this paper, I argue that the factors predicting coups in autocracies, weaken civilian control of the military in democracies in different ways. To capture this difference, I advance a new comprehensive framework that includes the erosion of civilian control by competition, insubordination, and deference. I test the argument under conditions of an intrastate conflict—a conducive environment for the er

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Chen, Joy. "State Formation and Bureaucratization: Evidence from Pre-Imperial China." Journal of Economic History 84, no. 3 (2024): 690–726. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s002205072400024x.

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This paper studies the relationship between military conflicts and state-building in pre-imperial China. I develop an incomplete contract model to examine rulers’ and local administrators’ incentives in conflict. Defensive wars drive decentralization: landowning local administrators have more to gain from a successful defense and are therefore more committed to it. Offensive wars drive centralization: the landowning ruler has personnel control over the non-land-owning local administrator and can therefore force the latter to participate in less lucrative attacks. Model predictions are corrobor

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Voronko, Andrii, Olha Selіuk, Alla Buzhenko, et al. "Scoring of Professional Longevity of Patients with Arterial Hypertension of Military Personnel – the Participants of Modern Armed Conflicts." Family medicine. European practices, no. 4 (December 29, 2022): 11–17. http://dx.doi.org/10.30841/2786-720x.4.2022.274623.

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The prediction of ability for military service by the health of patients who are experienced (with war experience) military persons with arterial hypertension (AH) with existing comorbid pathology is an urgent issue of today and a component of national security. The objective: to analyze the of factors that influence on the prognosis of health service for the military service of patientsmilitary personnel with AH – the participants of anti-terrorist operation / operation of the united forces (ATO / OUF), taking into account the available comorbid pathology. Materials and methods. Medical card

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Liu, Liwen, Yuanming Wu, Gui Fu, and Chao Zhou. "An Improved Four-Rotor UAV Autonomous Navigation Multisensor Fusion Depth Learning." Wireless Communications and Mobile Computing 2022 (May 26, 2022): 1–8. http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/2701359.

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Whether it is for military or civilian use, quadrotor UAV has always been one of research central issues. Most of the current quadrotor drones are manually operated and use GPS signals for navigation, which not only limits the operating range of the drone but also consumes a lot of manpower and material resources. This research mainly studies the method of realizing autonomous flight and conflict avoidance of quadrotor UAV by using multisensor system and deep learning method in extreme flight conditions through track prediction. The convolutional neural network method is used to extract the im

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Faruque, Jubaida Auhana, and Fahima Durrat. "The Dynamics of the US-Iran Relationship after the Assassination of Qassem Suleimani: Explanations and Predictions." Social Science Review 40, no. 1 (2023): 185–201. http://dx.doi.org/10.3329/ssr.v40i1.69101.

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The political dynamics of the US-Iran relationship have kept the two states always on the brink of the eruption of a major conflict. The targeted assassination of Major General Qassem Suleimani, one of the most consequential figures in Iranian military history, took the world to the brink of a global conflict on January 3, 2020. Fortunately, however, the subsequent events did not escalate to declared or undeclared war. This article provides a theoretical analysis of the conflict following the assassination of Major Suleimani to explain why and how war was avoided in this context. The analysis

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Voronko, Andrii, Olha Selіuk, Alla Buzhenko, et al. "Scoring of Professional Longevity of Patients with Arterial Hypertension of Military Personnel – the Participants of Modern Armed Conflicts." Family Medicine. European Practices, no. 4 (December 29, 2022): 11–17. https://doi.org/10.30841/2786-720X.4.2022.274623.

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The prediction of ability for military service by the health of patients who are experienced (with war experience) military persons with arterial hypertension (AH) with existing comorbid pathology is an urgent issue of today and a component of national security. <strong>The objective:</strong> to analyze the of factors that influence on the prognosis of health service for the military service of patientsmilitary personnel with AH – the participants of anti-terrorist operation / operation of the united forces (ATO / OUF), taking into account the available comorbid pathology. <strong>

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21

Shamrey, V. K., A. A. Marchenko, V. V. Yusupov, Yu L. Starenchenko, and E. A. Chernyavsky. "Characteristic features of psychological and psychiatric care for military personnel in modern armed conflicts." Medicо-Biological and Socio-Psychological Problems of Safety in Emergency Situations, no. 2 (August 3, 2022): 60–71. http://dx.doi.org/10.25016/2541-7487-2022-0-2-60-71.

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Relevance. The problem of improving the military personnel psychological and psychiatric care in combat conditions is due to high levels of psychogenic losses, sometimes up to 80 % of the combatants. At the same time, insufficient theoretical development of the problem of reactive states in the combat situation, unclear definitions and boundaries, pronounced differences in terminology, classification and methodological approaches used by different specialists significantly impede specialized care.Intention. Based on the analysis of current conception about combat related stress-induced mental

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Givens, Austen D., Max Gorbachevsky, and Anita Biernat. "How Putin's Cyberwar Failed in Ukraine." Journal of Strategic Security 16, no. 2 (2023): 96–121. http://dx.doi.org/10.5038/1944-0472.16.2.2099.

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As Russian military forces surged across the Ukrainian border in February 2022, cybersecurity analysts shared predictions about the ways in which the Russian government would use cyberattacks to thwart Ukrainian defenses. Some government agencies and private sector organizations forecast that the Russians would launch a blitz of devastating electronic attacks against Ukrainian critical infrastructure targets, such as electrical power plants and air traffic control networks, crippling the country. While Russian cyberattacks have played a role in the conflict, their effects to date have been sig

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Somer, Eli, Aviva Zrihan-Weitzman, Tiffany Fusé, et al. "Israeli Civilians under Heavy Bombardment: Prediction of the Severity of Post-Traumatic Symptoms." Prehospital and Disaster Medicine 24, no. 5 (2009): 389–94. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s1049023x00007196.

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AbstractContext:The military conflict that occurred between Lebanon and Israel in July and August of 2006 was characterized by the heavy bombardment of specific geographic regions in Israel, resulting in considerable civilian casualties and property damage.Objective:Israeli civilians directly and indirectly exposed to bombardment were compared on exposure to the recent bombardment, trauma history, perceived life threat and peritraumatic dissociation during the recent bombardment, and current post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) symptom severity.Design, Setting, and Participants:Following the

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Turchyn, Yaryna, and Lesya Dorоsh. "Prospects of the Eastern Partnership under modern challenges to the European security system." Lithuanian Foreign Policy Review 35, no. 1 (2016): 67–91. http://dx.doi.org/10.1515/lfpr-2016-0024.

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Abstract The purpose of the article is to examine the Eastern Partnership initiative as a component of the European Neighbourhood Policy and a tool of regional security by taking into account the factor of Russian aggression and the military conflict in eastern Ukraine. Based on methods of analysis and synthesis, content analysis of primary and secondary sources of information, modelling and prediction, the following objectives are achieved: (1) to determine the vulnerabilities in the programme design, given the current geopolitical threats, and (2) to develop proposals to change the security

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HORIACHKO, Kateryna. "Evaluation of Touristic Risks While Visiting Ukraine and the Risk Perception by Travelers." Journal of Environmental Management and Tourism 12, no. 1 (2021): 134. http://dx.doi.org/10.14505/jemt.12.1(49).11.

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International tourist arrivals increase every year. Ukraine has always been a popular country for spending a vacation. However, many foreign tourists have very bad expectations about the trip to Ukraine. The reason is the military conflict in the East of the country. This article aims to explain whether Ukraine is a risky destination for tourists. For this purpose the determination, estimation and prediction of the risks for tourists in the summer of 2018 was conducted. This study shows that the risk is the main motivation of traveller’s destination choice. The methodology to assess risks for

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Meng, Prof Dr Wei, and Prof Dr Xiaoyin Zhang. "Dynamic modeling of military variables based on structured reconfiguration: an optimal analysis of the relationship between strength, resources and morale in a complex battlefield environment （Findings）." International Journal of Advances in Engineering and Management 6, no. 11 (2024): 582–92. https://doi.org/10.35629/5252-0611582592.

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In light of the complex battlefield environment where military decisions are required, this study seeks, through optimising military variable models using structured reconstruction methods, to enhance the prediction accuracy and dynamic adaptability of the key variables modulating strength, resources, and morale, hence arriving at an optimisation of resource allocation. In this respect, the study applies multilevel decomposition analysis, causal chain analysis, and genetic algorithms to simulate variable dynamics in various tactical scenarios and undertakes real-time monitoring and adjustment

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Perepelytsia, Hryhorii. "Settlement of the Russian-Ukrainian Conflict on the Donbas in the Focus of the Problem of War and Peace." Środkowoeuropejskie Studia Polityczne, no. 2 (June 15, 2021): 21–45. http://dx.doi.org/10.14746/ssp.2021.2.2.

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The purpose of this article is to understand how the blurry nature of hybrid warfare and hybrid peace influences the assessment of national security and the making of adequate foreign and security policy decisions, including, in particular, the prediction of the further course and resolution of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, which is not only a threat to Ukraine’s existence but also to European security in general. In order to properly study this issue, the Russo-Ukrainian war on the Donbas was selected as an object. As the main method of the research of this problem was chosen the conflict a

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Faustino, Paulo. "Foreword - The iron curtain, geopolitics and the cultural exception." Journal of Creative Industries and Cultural Studies 8 (2017): 17–26. http://dx.doi.org/10.56140/jocis-v8-1.

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As I write this editorial, the war going on the air space and on the field and over communication (invasion or the special military intervention, in the words of the Russian government in Ukraine by Russia continues. A situation that would be unthinkable to happen in the 21st century where humanist values seem to follow a path of increasing strength; at least in most continents, although the democratic political system is largely a minority in the world; dictatorships or autocracies are dominating the political landscape, especially in Asia, the Middle East and Africa. We must not forget this!

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Darmawan, Arif, Nairobi Nairobi, Roby Rakhmadi, and Ghania Atiqasani. "The Impact of the Russia and Ukraine War on Indonesian Economic and Trade Performance." Jurnal Ekonomi dan Studi Pembangunan 15, no. 1 (2023): 36. http://dx.doi.org/10.17977/um002v15i12023p036.

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The Russian military invasion of Ukraine surprisingly impacted the world's geopolitical situation. The conflict that started at the end of February is ongoing, potentially disrupting economic and trade performance in the global sector, including Indonesia. The battle has the opportunity to increase some food commodity prices, thus hampering the total imports carried out. In addition, other leading commodities (non-oil and gas) such as gold, oil, and coal will also experience significant turmoil due to the conflict that has continued to heat up recently. The study provides an overview of the sy

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Zaytsev, A. G., M. V. Rezvantsev, V. Yu Tegza, A. N. Yatmanov, and V. B. Dergachev. "Mathematical model of forecast successfulness of N.G. Kuznetsov Naval Academy cadets’ professional military adaptation." Bulletin of the Russian Military Medical Academy 20, no. 1 (2018): 160–63. http://dx.doi.org/10.17816/brmma12286.

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The development of mathematical model for predicting forecast successfulness of N.G. Kuznetsov Naval Academy cadets’ professional military adaptation is substantiated. It is established that a group of the most successful cadets has a statistically significantly higher achievement and fitness score, higher discipline and lower morbidity. Thus, 66% (64,7%) of the most successful cadets have high discipline, 14 (13,7%) - moderately high. 6% (5,9%) of less successful cadets have average discipline, 14 (13,7%) - low, 2 (1,9%) - very low. 62 (60,8%) of the most successful cadets did not get sick du

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Lohachov, Mykhailo, and Nataliya Rybnikova. "A Cellular-Automaton Model for Population-Density and Urban-Extent Dynamics at the Regional Level: The Case of Ukrainian Provinces." Geographies 2, no. 2 (2022): 186–200. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/geographies2020013.

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The efficient modeling of population-density and urban-extent dynamics is a precondition for monitoring urban sprawl and managing the accompanying conflicts. Currently, one of the most promising approaches in this field is cellular automata—spatial models allowing one to anticipate the behavior of unit areas (e.g., evolution or degradation) in response to the influence of their neighborhood. In the present study, the possibility of modeling the population-density and urban-extent dynamics via a cellular automaton with density-specific parameters is tested. Using an adaptive genetic algorithm,

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Likholetov, Yevhenii. "Rationale of personification of treatment and rehabilitation aid of civilians with adaptive disorders who have experienced psychosocial stress under military conflict, based on forecast severity of consequences." Ukrains'kyi Visnyk Psykhonevrolohii, Volume 29, issue 2 (107) (July 15, 2021): 41–46. http://dx.doi.org/10.36927/2079-0325-v29-is2-2021-7.

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The aim of the work was to develop a technology for predictive assessment of the severity of clinical and psychopathological course and psychosocial consequences of adaptation disorders in civilians affected by psychosocial stress in military conflict, as a basis for determining the scope and content of treatment and rehabilitation measures for this group of patients. 109 people who experienced psychosocial stress in a military conflict were examined: group 1 — 6 wives of fallen servicemen; group 2 — mothers, fathers and wives of combatants who returned to peaceful life, a total of 71 people;

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Sprînceană, Alice. "Putin's Playbook: a comparison between the Russo-Georgian War and the ongoing Russo-Ukrainian War." Euro-Atlantic Studies 6, no. 2023 (2024): 45–68. https://doi.org/10.31178/eas.2023.6.2.

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Prior to the 2022 “special military operation” (according to Putin’s view) carried out by the Russian military in Ukraine, in 2008 Russia had another target in sight along its borders, residing in the infamously unstable region of Transcaucasia, Georgia. In an eerily similar fashion to what the current conflict unfolds in terms of Russian military prowess and display of warfare, in August 2008 the Russo – Georgian War marked the beginning of Russia’s reemergence as a military power for both the West as well as its former Soviet constituent states and further deepened the conflict between the N

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Iskandarov, Khayal, Piotr Gawliczek, and Vagif Dadashzade. "The Theories of war in practice: possible outcomes and means for the termination of war. Case study: Russian war against Ukraine." Journal of Scientific Papers "Social Development and Security" 14, no. 4 (2024): 1–21. http://dx.doi.org/10.33445/sds.2024.14.4.1.

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Purpose: is to anticipate the termination of the Russia-Ukraine war considering the underlying causes on the basis of main war termination theories. Method: comparative analysis, and synthesis. Findings: The length of a war is typically unpredictable due to the intricate interplay of elements that affect its duration. Initial assessments often underestimate the enemy's capabilities, resolve, and adaptability. Understanding these factors can help in devising strategies to prevent or shorten wars. In historical records, the majority of military operations, campaigns, and wars have exceeded their

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Bhattacharjee, Dhrubajyoti. "India, Pakistan and China." Jindal Journal of International Affairs 1, no. 2 (2017): 27–39. http://dx.doi.org/10.54945/jjia.v1i2.97.

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China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), a flagship project of OBOR or BRI, has brought China and Pakistan economically and strategically close. As significant part of the corridor develops through the disputed region of Pakistan Occupied Kashmir (PoK), it has been difficult for India to accept the project as it infringes on its sovereignty. The nature of investment, the controversies associated with the location of the corridor in Pakistan, the opacity of the investments, the conflict in Baluchistan, and the manner in which Pakistani civilian and military administration has become embroiled i

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Baranov, Andrii L., and Andrii Yu Zimenkov. "The Military and Political Risk Insurance as a Mechanism for Protecting Investments in the Ukrainian Economy." Business Inform 7, no. 558 (2024): 421–27. http://dx.doi.org/10.32983/2222-4459-2024-7-421-427.

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The aim of the article is to study the approaches to insurance against military and political risks, which are used in different countries of the world to protect investments, as well as to substantiate and assess the possibility of their implementation in Ukraine during the ongoing war. Analyzing and systematizing the scientific works of scholars, also generalizing the practical experience of international and foreign institutions, various options for the implementation of military and political risk insurance were consi-dered. As a result of the study, it is determined that, given the huge a

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FORAN, HEATHER M. "THE MILITARY FAMILY: DYNAMICS, STRENGTHS AND CHALLENGES." CONTEMPORARY MILITARY CHALLENGES, VOLUME 22/2 (June 17, 2020): 121–24. http://dx.doi.org/10.33179/bsv.99.svi.11.cmc.22.2.re.

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Family relationships remain one of the most valuable and meaningful human experiences, within and outside of the military, and when loss or conflict occurs, this has profound effects on individuals and society. Furthermore, family support can influence occupational outcomes such as recruitment, retention, and military readiness. Family loyalty to the armed services can be transmitted intergenerationally and can influence public support for the military as an institution. The interplay between the family, the military, and broader society are considered throughout this special issue. This speci

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Henrickson, Phil. "Predicting the costs of war." Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation: Applications, Methodology, Technology 17, no. 3 (2019): 285–308. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1548512919826375.

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The expected cost of war is a foundational concept in the study of international conflict. However, the field currently lacks a measure of the expected costs of war, and thereby any measure of the bargaining range. In this paper, I develop a proxy for the expected costs of war by focusing on one aspect of war costs – battle deaths. I train a variety of machine learning algorithms on battle deaths for all countries participating in fatal military disputes and interstate wars between 1816 and 2007 in order to maximize out-of-sample predictive performance. The best performing model (random forest

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Karapetyan, Roman. "South Caucasus in the Phase of Russian-Ukrainian War: New Security Challenges and Possible Scenarios for Development." Journal of Political Science: Bulletin of Yerevan University 2, no. 3(6) (2023): 32–46. http://dx.doi.org/10.46991/jops/2023.2.6.032.

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The paper mainly examines the economic, political and military situation in the South Caucasus after the start of Russian-Ukrainian war. In the paper we are focused on the question of what kind of consequences does the Russian-Ukrainian war has on the countries of the South Caucasus. Relying on the analytical-forecasting approach, we also are trying to forecast what developments can be expected in this region. On this regard we especially look onto the facts from Armenia’s perspective. Of course, the discussion of the situation in Georgia and Azerbaijan was also under our great attention, beca

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Kotsyubynska, Julia, Igor Gunas, Marta Garazdiuk, V. Fentsyk, and A. Vadiuk. "Integrated Approach to Personal Identification Using Dermatoglyphs and Artificial Neural Networks." Archive of Clinical Medicine 30, no. 1 (2024): 28–31. https://doi.org/10.21802/acm.2024.1.6.

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Introduction. Due to the full-scale military invasion of Ukraine by the aggressor state, the tendency to aggravate local armed conflicts in the world, which causes a large number of depersonalised, fragmented corpses, the problem of identifying the bodies of two or more persons arises The aim of the study to develop expert criteria for the informativeness of dermatoglyphic fingerprints in the system of forensic medical identification of a person. Materials and methods. The object of the study was fingerprint cards obtained from 460 people (200 women and 260 men) aged 18-59 years living in Ukra

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Yuritsin, A. A. "The Role of Quasi-Power Relations in the Transformation of the Mechanism of Legal Regulation of International Relations." Herald of Omsk University. Series: Law, no. 3 (2024): 30–39. http://dx.doi.org/10.24147/1990-5173.2024.21(3).30-39.

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Introduction. The article concerns the problems and prospects of the impact of quasi-power relations on the existing system of legal regulation of international relations. Purpose. The purpose of the work is to identify international quasi-power relations and the nature of their influence on the existing model of legal regulation of international relations. Methodology. The research methodology is based on a dialectical-materialistic approach to understanding and explaining legal and historical patterns, predicting their development. Results. The existing form of regulation of international re

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Zarudnyi, Oleksii, and Roman Koval. "Forecasting techniques based on the use of time series models for forecasting expenditures on social protection and social security." International Scientific Technical Journal "Problems of Control and Informatics" 69, no. 5 (2024): 64–77. http://dx.doi.org/10.34229/1028-0979-2024-5-5.

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In the context of a military conflict, it is growing the number of people who are in difficult life circumstances and need state assistance. Therefore, the issue of forecasting spending on social protection and social security is becoming increasingly relevant. The aim of the paper is to consider modern methods of analyzing and forecasting time series and propose their application to determine the need for spending on social protection and social security. The article provides a brief overview of regression models, their advantages and features of use for analyzing and predicting nonlinear and

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Lewandowska, Renata, Stanisław Krajewski, and Karolina Juraszek. "Predicting functional performance and locomotion of children with cerebral palsy." Journal of Education, Health and Sport 8, no. 9 (2018): 260–68. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1402584.

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<strong>Lewandowska Renata, Krajewski Stanisław, </strong><strong>Juraszek Karolina</strong><strong>. </strong><strong>Predicting functional performance and locomotion of children with cerebral palsy</strong><strong>. Journal of Education, Health and Sport. 2018;8(9):260-268. </strong><strong>eISNN 2391-8306. DOI </strong><strong>http://dx.doi.org/10.528</strong><strong>1/zenodo.1346614</strong> <strong>http://ojs.ukw.edu.pl/index.php/johs/article/view/5827</strong> <strong>https://pbn.nauka.gov.pl/sedno-webapp/works/873840</strong>           <strong>The journal has ha

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Kravchenko, Kateryna, and Vasyl Yutovets. "RELIANCE ON AVOIDANCE COPING STRATEGY BY MILITARY PERSONNEL IN COMBAT." Visnyk Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv. Military-Special Sciences, no. 1 (61) (2025): 39–45. https://doi.org/10.17721/1728-2217.2025.61.39-45.

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B a c k g r o u n d . The article presents the findings of a theoretical review conducted to analyze the issues military personnel encounter when relying on the avoidance coping strategy in combat. The article also highlights the findings of empirical studies that allowed the authors to identify the correlations between the avoidance coping strategy and other psychological characteristics. In the opinion of the authors such correlations will significantly broaden the prevailing understanding of the research subject. Despite the relevance of the topic, especially in the context of the fullscale

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Lu, Chuan. "FROM CONFLICT TO INTEGRATION: AN ANTHROPOLOGICAL STUDY ON THE PSYCHOLOGICAL AND BEHAVIORAL CHANGES OF MANCHU URBAN PLANNING AND NATIONAL INTEGRATION IN THE QING DYNASTY (1644-1911)." International Journal of Neuropsychopharmacology 25, Supplement_1 (2022): A11. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ijnp/pyac032.014.

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Abstract Background Ethnic integration is a complex human behavior and the result of national psychological protection mechanism. In the process of its occurrence, different nationalities have different national psychological characteristics, and it is easy to produce conflicts and contradictions in symbiosis and coexistence, which is also caused by national psychological differences. In the Chinese historical documents of the 16th and 17th centuries, a large number of historical facts about Manchu immigrants are reflected. After the establishment of Manchu feudal regime in the Qing Dynasty, H

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Asmolov, Konstantin. "Problems and Prospects for the DPRK’s Development: Forecasting Model-2021." Problemy dalnego vostoka, no. 4 (2021): 134. http://dx.doi.org/10.31857/s013128120016161-8.

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Since the 1990s, there have been many publications predicting an imminent &quot;collapse of the North Korean regime&quot; or a shift of the country’s political vector. However, this has not happened so far, and the DPRK’s political regime continues to exist. What leads to such chronically unrealistic forecasts for North Korea, and what are alternative options for the future of this country in the short and medium term? Revising a number of unfulfilled predictions, the authors try to explain the reason for these failures. They are usually closely related to an ideological framework, lac

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Savenkov, Roman. "The Contemporary «clash of civilizations»: have S. Huntington’s predictions come true?" Journal of Political Research 8, no. 2 (2024): 79–90. http://dx.doi.org/10.12737/2587-6295-2024-8-2-79-90.

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The report attempts to identify the logic of world processes outlined in the mid-1990s by S. Huntington in the book “The Clash of Civilizations” and use it to analyze the current international situation on the basis of strategic documents of the Russian Federation, interviews and speeches of the President of the Russian Federation V.V. Putin. The selected sources determine the directions of the country's foreign policy, formally and concisely present an understanding of the challenges, threats and opportunities for Russian partnership. To achieve this goal, we need to solve the following probl

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Weinreb, Alice. "“For the Hungry Have No Past nor Do They Belong to a Political Party”: Debates over German Hunger after World War II." Central European History 45, no. 1 (2012): 50–78. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s0008938911000987.

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When World War II finally came to an end, the Allied forces were primed to face a world of hunger. Since the earliest days of the conflict, experts throughout Europe and Asia had been predicting that the unfathomable scale of the war would result in a massive and permanent restructuring of the global food economy. Military victory itself was cast as inextricably intertwined with control over foodstuffs. In 1940, the British nutritionist and future Director-General of the United Nation's Food and Agriculture Organization, Sir John Boyd-Orr, had warned that “we are only at the beginning of what

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Turk-Sekulic, Maja, Jelena Radonic, Mirjana Vojinovic-Miloradov, Nevena Senk, and Marija Okuka. "Assessment of atmospheric distribution of polychlorinated biphenyls and polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons using polyparameter model." Chemical Industry 65, no. 4 (2011): 371–80. http://dx.doi.org/10.2298/hemind101013046t.

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Results of partial or total destruction of industrial plants, military targets, infrastructure, uncontrolled fires and explosions during the conflict period from 1991 to 1999, at the area of Western Balkans, were large amounts of hazardous organic matter that have been generated and emitted in the environment. In order to assess gas/particle partition of seven EPA polychlorinated biphenyls and sixteen EPA polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons, twenty air samples have been collected at six urban, industrial and highly contaminated localities in Vojvodina. Hi-Vol methodology has been used for collect

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Хитра, О. Л. "Розвиток нормативно-правового забезпечення з реагування на кризові ситуації, що супроводжуються збройним протистоянням". Форум права, № 5 (28 листопада 2017): 415–20. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1206055.

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Здійснено аналіз нормативно-правового забезпечення сектору безпеки і оборони щодо реагування на кризові ситуації, що супроводжуються збройним протистоянням. Визначено головні нормативно-правові акти, що декларують питання врегулювання та припинення збройного протистояння на території України. Досліджено проблемні питання міжвідомчої взаємодії військових формувань та правоохоронних органів за цих обставин. Осуществлен анализ нормативно-правового обеспечения сектора безопасности и обороны по реагированию на кризисные ситуации, сопровождающиеся вооруженным противостоянием. Определены главные норм

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