Relevant bibliographies by topics / Price spike

Contents

  1. Journal articles
  2. Dissertations / Theses
  3. Books
  4. Book chapters
  5. Conference papers
  6. Reports

Academic literature on the topic 'Price spike'

Author: Grafiati
Published: 3 June 2025
Last updated: 31 July 2025

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Journal articles on the topic "Price spike"

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Adline, Bikeri, and Kazushi Ikeda. "A Hawkes Model Approach to Modeling Price Spikes in the Japanese Electricity Market." Energies 16, no. 4 (2023): 1570. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/en16041570.

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The Japan Electric Power Exchange (JEPX) provides a platform for the trading of electric energy in a manner similar to more traditional financial markets. As the number of market agents increase, there is an increasing need for effective price-forecasting models. Electricity price data are observed to exhibit periods of relatively stable, i.e., low-magnitude, low-variance prices interspersed with periods of higher prices accompanied by larger uncertainty. The price data time series therefore exhibits a temporal non-stationarity characteristic that is difficult to capture with typical time seri
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Manfre Jaimes, Daniel, Manuel Zamudio López, Hamidreza Zareipour, and Mike Quashie. "A Hybrid Model for Multi-Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting considering Price Spikes." Forecasting 5, no. 3 (2023): 499–521. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/forecast5030028.

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This paper proposes a new hybrid model to forecast electricity market prices up to four days ahead. The components of the proposed model are combined in two dimensions. First, on the “vertical” dimension, long short-term memory (LSTM) neural networks and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) models are stacked up to produce supplementary price forecasts. The final forecasts are then picked depending on how the predictions compare to a price spike threshold. On the “horizontal” dimension, five models are designed to extend the forecasting horizon to four days. This is an important requirement to
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Zamudio López, Manuel, Hamidreza Zareipour, and Mike Quashie. "Forecasting the Occurrence of Electricity Price Spikes: A Statistical-Economic Investigation Study." Forecasting 6, no. 1 (2024): 115–37. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/forecast6010007.

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This research proposes an investigative experiment employing binary classification for short-term electricity price spike forecasting. Numerical definitions for price spikes are derived from economic and statistical thresholds. The predictive task employs two tree-based machine learning classifiers and a deterministic point forecaster; a statistical regression model. Hyperparameters for the tree-based classifiers are optimized for statistical performance based on recall, precision, and F1-score. The deterministic forecaster is adapted from the literature on electricity price forecasting for th
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Marwan, Marwan, and Pirman Pirman. "Mitigating Electricity a Price Spike under Pre-Cooling Method." International Journal of Electrical and Computer Engineering (IJECE) 6, no. 3 (2016): 1281. http://dx.doi.org/10.11591/ijece.v6i3.9597.

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The growing demand for air-conditioning is one of the largest contributors to Australia overall electricity consumption. This has started to create peak load supply problems for some electricity utilities particularly in Queensland. This research aimed to develop a consumer demand side response model to assist electricity consumers to mitigate peak demand on the electrical network. The proposed model allows consumers to independently and proactively manage air conditioning peak electricity demand. The main contribution of this research is how to show consumers can mitigate peak demands by opti
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Marwan, Marwan, and Pirman Pirman. "Mitigating Electricity a Price Spike under Pre-Cooling Method." International Journal of Electrical and Computer Engineering (IJECE) 6, no. 3 (2016): 1281. http://dx.doi.org/10.11591/ijece.v6i3.pp1281-1293.

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The growing demand for air-conditioning is one of the largest contributors to Australia overall electricity consumption. This has started to create peak load supply problems for some electricity utilities particularly in Queensland. This research aimed to develop a consumer demand side response model to assist electricity consumers to mitigate peak demand on the electrical network. The proposed model allows consumers to independently and proactively manage air conditioning peak electricity demand. The main contribution of this research is how to show consumers can mitigate peak demands by opti
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Li, Kun, Joseph Cursio, and Yunchuan Sun. "Principal Component Analysis of Price Fluctuation in the Smart Grid Electricity Market." Sustainability 10, no. 11 (2018): 4019. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su10114019.

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Large price fluctuations have become a significant character and impede resource allocation in the electricity market. Negative prices and peak load spike prices coexist and represent over-supply and over-demand, respectively. It is important to interpret the impact of these extreme prices on sustainable power management from the perspective of economics. In this paper, we build a principal component analysis (PCA) to assess the impact of the two opposite phenomena on the smart grid electricity system. We perform a big-data study using intra-day data from the Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and Mary
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Ditasari, Prilia, Embay Rohaeti, and Isti Kamila. "Aplikasi Geometric Brownian Motion dengan Jump Diffusion dalam Memprediksi Harga Saham Liquid Quality 45." Euler : Jurnal Ilmiah Matematika, Sains dan Teknologi 10, no. 1 (2022): 111–19. http://dx.doi.org/10.34312/euler.v10i1.14655.

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At the beginning of 2021, stock LQ45 experienced a significant spike in stock prices, making the stock price difficult to predict and the profits obtained by investors uncertain. The purpose of this study is to predict the stock price of LQ45 using the Geometric Brownian Motion model with Jump Diffusion and determine investment by comparing the expected return and return of stock price prediction results. This study uses a Geometric Brownian Motion model with Jump Diffusion to predict stock prices because it can predict when stock prices experience price spikes and fluctuations. Based on the r
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Bajai, Mátyás, Attila A. Víg, and Olivér Hortay. "Electricity Market Liquidity and Price Spikes: Evidence from Hungary." Periodica Polytechnica Social and Management Sciences 30, no. 1 (2022): 49–56. http://dx.doi.org/10.3311/ppso.16857.

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This article examines how electricity market liquidity, renewable production and cross-border activity together in combination explain price spikes in the Hungarian Power Exchange day-ahead auctions. In the applied logit model, the dependent variable representing the price spike is binary, and the key explanatory variable is a modified bid-ask spread depicting liquidity. Weather-dependent renewable production and the difference between exports and imports appear as control variables in the model. The empirical analysis was based on data from 2017 and 2018. The results show that the control var
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Nilsen, Øivind A., Per Marius Pettersen, and Joakim Bratlie. "Time-Dependency in Producers’ Price Adjustments: Evidence from Micro Panel Data." Review of Economics 69, no. 2 (2018): 147–68. http://dx.doi.org/10.1515/roe-2018-0012.

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Abstract Existing micro evidence of firms’ price changes tends to show a downward sloping hazard rate – the longer the price of a product has remained the same, the less likely it is that the price will change. Using a panel of Norwegian plant- and product-specific prices, we also find a downward sloping hazard when applying a Kaplan–Meier model. After having controlled for both observed and unobserved characteristics, we find flat hazards with spikes in the first and twelfth months. This suggests time-dependent price-setting by at least some of the producers. The spike after 12 months might b
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Nesti, T., J. Moriarty, A. Zocca, and B. Zwart. "Large fluctuations in locational marginal prices." Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences 379, no. 2202 (2021): 20190438. http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2019.0438.

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This paper investigates large fluctuations of locational marginal prices (LMPs) in wholesale energy markets caused by volatile renewable generation profiles. Specifically, we study events of the form P ( LMP ∉ ∏ i = 1 n [ α i − , α i + ] ) , where LMP is the vector of LMPs at the n power grid nodes, and α − , α + ∈ R n are vectors of price thresholds specifying undesirable price occurrences. By exploiting the structure of the supply–demand matching mechanism in power grids, we look at LMPs as deterministic piecewise affine, possibly discontinuous functions of the stochastic input process, mode
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Dissertations / Theses on the topic "Price spike"

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Marwan, Marwan. "Smart grid-demand side response model to mitigate prices and peak impact on the electrical system." Thesis, Queensland University of Technology, 2013. https://eprints.qut.edu.au/64180/1/Marwan_Marwan_Thesis.pdf.

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The aims of this project is to develop demand side response model which assists electricity consumers who are exposed to the market price through aggregator to manage the air-conditioning peak electricity demand. The main contribution of this research is to show how consumers can optimise the energy cost caused by the air-conditioning load considering the electricity market price and network overload. The model is tested with selected characteristics of the room, Queensland electricity market data from Australian Energy Market Operator and data from the Bureau of Statistics on temperatures in
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Zainudin, Wan Nur Rahini Aznie Binti. "Essays on Australian wholesale electricity price spikes and the Australian pre-dispatch process." Thesis, University of Manchester, 2014. https://www.research.manchester.ac.uk/portal/en/theses/essays-on-australian-wholesale-electricity-price-spikes-and-the-australian-predispatch-process(7e41cd18-2bf7-49bd-aeb7-c7c5f1b567fa).html.

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In the first essay I examine whether the occurrences of the extreme price events display any regularities that can be captured using an econometric model. Here I treat these price events as point processes and apply Hawkes and Poisson autoregressive models to model the dynamics in the intensity of this process. I use load and meteorological information to model the time variation in the intensity of the process. The models are applied to data from the Australian wholesale electricity market, and a forecasting exercise illustrates both the usefulness of these models and their limitations when a
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Muehlegger, Erich J. "Essays on gasoline price spikes, environmental regulation of gasoline content, and incentives for refinery operation." Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2005. http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/32402.

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Thesis (Ph. D.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Economics, 2005.<br>Includes bibliographical references (p. 145-153).<br>Since 1999, regional retail and wholesale gasoline markets in the United States have experienced significant price volatility, both intertemporally and across geographic markets. In particular, gasoline prices in California, Illinois and Wisconsin have spiked occasionally well above gasoline prices in nearby states. The three chapters of my thesis study the relationship between gasoline price spikes, environmental regulation of gasoline content, unanticipate
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Aydin, Nadi Serhan. "Pricing Power Derivatives: Electricity Swing Options." Master's thesis, METU, 2010. http://etd.lib.metu.edu.tr/upload/3/12612122/index.pdf.

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The Swing options are the natural outcomes of the increasing uncertainty in the power markets, which came along with the deregulation process triggered by the UK government&rsquo<br>s action in 1990 to privatize the national electricity supply industry. Since then, the ways of handling the risks in the price generation process have been explored extensively. Producer-consumers of the power market felt confident as they were naturally hedged against the price fluctuations surrounding the large consumers. Companies with high power consumption liabilities on their books demanded tailored financia
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Higgs, Helen. "Price and volatility relationships in the Australian electricity market." Thesis, Queensland University of Technology, 2006. https://eprints.qut.edu.au/16404/1/Helen_Higgs_Thesis.pdf.

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This thesis presents a collection of papers that has been published, accepted or submitted for publication. They assess price, volatility and market relationships in the five regional electricity markets in the Australian National Electricity Market (NEM): namely, New South Wales (NSW), Queensland (QLD), South Australia (SA), the Snowy Mountains Hydroelectric Scheme (SNO) and Victoria (VIC). The transmission networks that link regional systems via interconnectors across the eastern states have played an important role in the connection of the regional markets into an efficient national electri
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Higgs, Helen. "Price and volatility relationships in the Australian electricity market." Queensland University of Technology, 2006. http://eprints.qut.edu.au/16404/.

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This thesis presents a collection of papers that has been published, accepted or submitted for publication. They assess price, volatility and market relationships in the five regional electricity markets in the Australian National Electricity Market (NEM): namely, New South Wales (NSW), Queensland (QLD), South Australia (SA), the Snowy Mountains Hydroelectric Scheme (SNO) and Victoria (VIC). The transmission networks that link regional systems via interconnectors across the eastern states have played an important role in the connection of the regional markets into an efficient national electri
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Piccirilli, Marco. "Additive models for energy markets." Doctoral thesis, Università degli studi di Padova, 2018. http://hdl.handle.net/11577/3426712.

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This Dissertation explores the capability of additive models to describe prices in energy markets, by focusing in particular on the specific case of electricity and natural gas. In Chapter 1 we study a dynamic portfolio optimization problem designed for intraday electricity trading. In Chapter 2 we introduce a no-arbitrage tractable framework based on the Heath- Jarrow-Morton approach for a multicommodity energy forward market. Chapter 3 deals with a thorough empirical study of a two-factor model derived by the framework of Chapter 2, with an application to the German power futures marke
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Luo, You-Cheng, and 羅有呈. "Observed the Spike Phenomena of Electricity Price under Jump-Diffusion Model." Thesis, 2011. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/14766693515057360701.

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碩士<br>國立中央大學<br>統計研究所<br>99<br>In storable commodities, when we faced the supply and demand imbalance in the spot. The inventories could be slow down the unexpected impact, making the price changes would not be so intensely. In this paper, we explore a very special energy derivatives: electricity spot price. As electricity would be impact because of the supply and demand imbalance shortly. This situation would cause the special phenomena in the price trajectory, and the phenomena be called spike. The spike phenomena would have huge loss for market participants. Hence, we introduce a jump-diffu
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MURATORI, LODOVICO. "Essays on spatial and vertical price transmission." Doctoral thesis, 2017. http://hdl.handle.net/11573/973119.

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This is the final outcome of a three-year joint PhD programme carried out at the Sapienza University of Rome, Italy, and at the Friedrich-Schiller University of Jena, Germany, within the framework of a co-tutelle agreement between the two universities. The first essay (“Vertical price transmission, geographical dispersion and the structure of the Ugandan coffee market”) extends the vertical price transmission analysis through a structural approach, which evaluates whether spatial oligopsony power is prevailing in Ugandan coffee market and in case how strong it is. The first paper tests whethe
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Carbonneau, Shane Edward. "Three essays on competition and market power in airlines' hub-and-spoke networks." Thesis, 2005. http://hdl.handle.net/2152/20993.

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In this dissertation, I investigate hub carriers' competitive advantage in directional markets within their hub and spoke networks. In the first chapter, I examine whether the competitive advantage of hub carriers in attracting hub-to-spoke passengers relative to spoke-to-hub passengers affects rivals' entry decisions in a symmetric way. The hub carrier advantage in attracting passengers at its concentrated hub airport creates an environment in which variation in the composition of demand in hub-to-spoke markets affects entry in a profoundly different way than demand variation in spoke-to-hub
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Books on the topic "Price spike"

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Johnson, Caley. U.S. Virgin Islands petroleum price-spike preparation. National Renewable Energy Laboratory, 2012.

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W, Haynes Richard, and Pacific Northwest Research Station (Portland, Or.), eds. The " great" price spike of '93: An analysis of lumber and stumpage prices in the Pacific Northweat. U.S. Dept. of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, 1994.

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L, Sohngen Brent. The "great" price spike of '93: An analysis of lumber and stumpage prices in the Pacific Northwest. U.S. Dept. of Agriculture, Pacific Northwest Research Station, 1994.

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Illinois. Dept. of Energy and Natural Resources. Office of Research and Planning., ed. The Illinois residential propane market, December 1989-January 1990: A report on the residential propane price spike and its effects on the citizens of Ilinois. Dept. of Energy & Natural Resources, Office of Research & Planning, 1990.

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International Food Policy Research Institute, Concern (Organization), and Deutsche Welthungerhilfe, eds. 2011 Global hunger index: The challenge of hunger : taming price spikes and excessive food price volatility. Welthungerhilfe, 2011.

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Janzen, Joseph P. Deconstructing wheat price spikes: A model of supply and demand, financial speculation, and commodity price comovement. United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, 2014.

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Betsy, Gomberg, Youdovin Susan Schaalman, and Spertus Museum, eds. The havdalah spice container: The Philip and Sylvia Spertus Judaica prize. Spertus Museum, Spertus Institute of Jewish Studies, 1998.

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United States. General Accounting Office, ed. MOTOR FUELS: GASOLINE PRICE SPIKES IN OREGON IN 1999... 163315... U.S. GAO... FEBRUARY 23, 2000. s.n., 2000.

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United States. Congress. House. Committee on Small Business. Spike in metal prices.: Hearing of the Committee on Small Business, House of Representatives, One Hundred Eighth Congress, second session, Washington, DC, March 25, 2004. U.S. G.P.O., 2004.

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United States. Congress. House. Committee on Small Business. Spike in metal prices: What does it mean for small manufacturers? : hearing before the Committee on Small Business, House of Representatives, One Hundred Eighth Congress, second session, Washington, DC, March 10, 2004. U.S. G.P.O., 2004.

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Book chapters on the topic "Price spike"

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Sandhu, Harmanjot Singh, Liping Fang, and Ling Guan. "Day-Ahead Electricity Spike Price Forecasting Using a Hybrid Neural Network-Based Method." In Smart City 360°. Springer International Publishing, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-33681-7_36.

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Silva, Jesús, Mercedes Gaitán Angulo, Jenny Romero Borré, et al. "An Early Warning Method for Agricultural Products Price Spike Based on Artificial Neural Networks Prediction." In Lecture Notes in Computer Science. Springer International Publishing, 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-22741-8_44.

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Petrovič, Pavel. "Spike Up Prime Interest in Physics." In Robotics in Education. Springer International Publishing, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-67411-3_14.

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Anderson, Kym. "International Food Price Spikes and Temporary Trade Policy Responses." In Agricultural Trade, Policy Reforms, and Global Food Security. Palgrave Macmillan US, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/978-1-137-46925-0_8.

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Tadasse, Getaw, Bernadina Algieri, Matthias Kalkuhl, and Joachim von Braun. "Drivers and Triggers of International Food Price Spikes and Volatility." In Food Price Volatility and Its Implications for Food Security and Policy. Springer International Publishing, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-28201-5_3.

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Rosenberg, Michael, Joseph D. Bryngelson, Michael Baron, and Alex D. Papalexopoulos. "Transmission Valuation Analysis based on Real Options with Price Spikes." In Handbook of Power Systems II. Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2010. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-12686-4_4.

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Torero, Maximo. "Alternative Mechanisms to Reduce Food Price Volatility and Price Spikes: Policy Responses at the Global Level." In Food Price Volatility and Its Implications for Food Security and Policy. Springer International Publishing, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-28201-5_6.

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Schoenmaker, Dirk, and Willem Schramade. "Calculating Social and Environmental Value." In Springer Texts in Business and Economics. Springer International Publishing, 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-35009-2_5.

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AbstractThe previous chapters described the importance of balancing the various types of value, but how to calculate those types of value? The core model in corporate finance is the discounted cash flow (DCF) model, used to determine the financial value (FV) of a project or a company. This chapter explains how social (S) and environmental (E) issues can be expressed in value terms to arrive at social value (SV) and environmental value (EV). Recent advances in impact measurement enable companies to measure social and environmental quantities (such as life years saved by medical treatment or car
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Al-Shawarby, Sherine, and Hoda Selim. "Are International Food Price Spikes the Source of Egypt’s High Inflation?" In Financial and Monetary Policy Studies. Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2013. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-35697-1_4.

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Hancock, James F. "End of the spice era." In Spices, scents and silk: catalysts of world trade. CABI, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.1079/9781789249743.0022.

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Abstract As the Dutch and English battled at home and abroad, the major trade commodities also underwent a dramatic shift. Changes in tastes and political climates in Europe caused the profitability of the spices to fall precipitously. This led the VOC and the EIC to seek new markets including cotton, coffee, opium and tea. It was in the middle of the seventeenth century that European interest in spices began to wane. In fact, there was an oversupply of pepper by mid-century, which dropped prices by about 40% compared with that which the Portuguese and then the VOC had long been able to mainta
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Conference papers on the topic "Price spike"

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Lee, Nathaniel, Noel Ngu, Harshdeep Singh Sahdev, et al. "Metal Price Spike Prediction via a Neurosymbolic Ensemble Approach." In 2024 IEEE International Conference on Data Mining Workshops (ICDMW). IEEE, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1109/icdmw65004.2024.00020.

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Dardor, Dareen, Daniel Fl�rez-Orrego, Reginald Germanier, Manuele Margni, and Fran�ois Mar�chal. "On the Economic Uncertainty and Crisis Resiliency of Decarbonization Solutions for the Aluminium Industry." In The 35th European Symposium on Computer Aided Process Engineering. PSE Press, 2025. https://doi.org/10.69997/sct.116664.

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The aluminium industry emits approximately 1.1 billion tonnes of CO2-eq annually, contributing about 2% of global industrial emissions. Decarbonization pathways aim to achieve net-zero emissions by 2050, but this requires making decisions today for technologies having lifetimes of 20 � 25 years, based on uncertain economic assumptions, particularly given the volatility of energy prices. Traditional price forecasting models often fail to anticipate major disruptions, such as the 2022 energy crisis. This work applies Monte-Carlo Analysis (MCA) to evaluate the financial stability of decarbonizati
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Mahajan, Virendra N. "James C. Wyant, A Scholar and a Gentleman." In Latin America Optics and Photonics Conference. Optica Publishing Group, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1364/laop.2024.m3a.1.

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Professor James C. Wyant, was the epitome of a scholar and a gentleman. He possessed extraordinary technical skills, demonstrated exemplary leadership, and displayed monumental philanthropy. He received Ives Medal and Quinn Prize of Optica and the Gold Medal of SPIE, and was president of these societies.
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Beju, Daniela-Georgeta, Vasile Paul Bresfelean, and Maria Ciupac-Ulici. "VIRTUAL CURRENCY: EVOLUTION, TECHONOLOGY, PERSPECTIVES." In 11th SWS International Scientific Conferences on SOCIAL SCIENCES - ISCSS 2024. SGEM WORLD SCIENCE, 2024. https://doi.org/10.35603/sws.iscss.2024/s03/25.

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In this paper we aim to present the theoretical foundations of virtual currencies, distinguishing them from legal tender, and to explore the blockchain technology that underpins their creation. We classify the existing virtual currencies into three categories (cryptocurrencies, stablecoins, and Central Bank Digital Currency), and analyze their characteristics and market evolution. We also present the evolution of popular cryptocurrencies, bitcoin and Ethereum, underline their market dynamics, historical price trends and mining distribution. Moreover, we assess the implications of these digital
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Asrar, Nausha, Saud G. Al-Subai, and David Launey. "Early Cracking of Rightly Selected Materials in Petrochemical Plant." In CORROSION 2001. NACE International, 2001. https://doi.org/10.5006/c2001-01240.

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Abstract Corrosion resistance under working conditions of the process industries is the prime criterion for selecting any construction material. In spite of selecting a suitable material for petrochemical plants, early cracking of the material have been observed. This paper presents failure analysis of some welded structures of charge heater pipes of a petrochemical plant. Stabilized austenitic stainless steels were used at working temperatures of &amp;lt;650°C. Optical microscopy, finite elemental analysis, SEM, EDX and tensile tests were carried out to establish the microstructural changes,
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Mount, T., and Hyungna Oh. "On the first price spike in summer." In 37th Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, 2004. Proceedings of the. IEEE, 2004. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/hicss.2004.1265173.

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Datta, Aditi R., and Sohom Datta. "Electricity market price-spike classification in the smart grid." In 2016 IEEE Power & Energy Society Innovative Smart Grid Technologies Conference (ISGT). IEEE, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/isgt.2016.7781161.

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Zhang, Chenxu, Lin Gong, Yehong Peng, and Yong Fu. "Price Spike Classification and Regression Using A Hybrid Oversampling Method." In 2022 North American Power Symposium (NAPS). IEEE, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/naps56150.2022.10012270.

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Weng, Yingjun, Laide Shi, and Jun Hua Zhao. "Price spike forecasting using concept-tree approach based on cloud model." In 2009 ISECS International Colloquium on Computing, Communication, Control, and Management (CCCM). IEEE, 2009. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/cccm.2009.5267930.

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He, Dawei, and Wei-Peng Chen. "A real-time electricity price forecasting based on the spike clustering analysis." In 2016 IEEE/PES Transmission and Distribution Conference and Exposition (T&D). IEEE, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/tdc.2016.7519941.

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Reports on the topic "Price spike"

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Johnson, Caley. U.S. Virgin Islands Petroleum Price-Spike Preparation. Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI), 2012. http://dx.doi.org/10.2172/1046276.

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Sohngen, Brent L., and Richard W. Haynes. The "great" price spike of '93: an analysis of lumber and stumpage prices in the Pacific Northwest. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, 1994. http://dx.doi.org/10.2737/pnw-rp-476.

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Baldos, Uris Lantz, and Thomas Hertel. Bursting the Bubble: A Long Run Perspective on Crop Commodity Prices. GTAP Working Paper, 2014. http://dx.doi.org/10.21642/gtap.wp80.

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Contrary to the opinions expressed by many commentators, the recent price spike in agricultural commodities is a transitory phenomenon. Using projections from SIMPLE – a global model of the farm and food system – we argue that, in the long run, food prices will most likely resume their historical downward trend. We begin with an evaluation of the historical period 1961 to 2006 wherein the growth in agricultural productivity outpaced that of global crop demand, the latter being fueled by rising population and incomes. As a consequence, we observed a historical decline in global crop prices, whi
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Anderson, Kym, Maros Ivanic, and Will Martin. Food Price Spikes, Price Insulation and Poverty. National Bureau of Economic Research, 2013. http://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w19530.

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Research Institute (IFPRI), International Food Policy. 2011 Global Hunger Index The Challenge of Hunger: Taming price spikes and excessive food price volatility. International Food Policy Research Institute, 2011. http://dx.doi.org/10.2499/9780896299344enghi2011.

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Shulha, Oleksandr. English Lavender Essential Oil Laboratory Guidance Document. ABC-AHP-NCNPR Botanical Adulterants Prevention Program, 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.59520/bapp.lgd/dhaf0609.

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Lavender oil obtained from the flowers of English lavender (Lavandula angustifolia Mill., Lamiaceae) is widely used in the production of fragrances, cosmetics, food, beverage products, and pharmaceuticals. The essential oil (EO) is used orally, by inhalation as a sleep aid, and can be applied topically for skin treatment. Adulteration of lavender oil is considered to be widespread due to high product demand and lower prices for chemically similar EOs and compounded fragrances. Some of the known adulterants are EOs from spike lavender (Lavandula latifolia Medik.) or lavandin (Lavandula × interm
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Bielinskyi, A., S. Semerikov, V. Solovieva, and V. Soloviev. Levy distribution parameters as precursors of crisis phenomena. Видавничий будинок Мелітопольської міської друкарні, 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.31812/123456789/3597.

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In spite of popularity of the Gaussian distribution in financial modeling, we demonstrated that Levy’s stable distribution is more suitable due to its theoretical reasons and analysis results. We study the possibility of construction indicators- precursors relying on one of the most power-law tailed distributions - Levy’s stable distribution. Here, we apply moving window based procedure for calculation of Levy’s parameters - a - stability and /?- skewness for daily values of Dow Jones Industrial Average (from 1 March 2000 to 28 March 2019), the gold price (from 1 April 1968 to 8 May 2019) and
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Hertel, Thomas. The Global Supply and Demand for Agricultural Land in 2050: A Perfect Storm in the Making? AAEA Presidential Address. GTAP Working Paper, 2010. http://dx.doi.org/10.21642/gtap.wp63.

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Over the past three years, there has been a convergence of interest in the global farm and food system and its contributions to feeding the world’s population as well as to ensuring the environmental sustainability of the planet. The 2007/2008 commodity crisis underscored the vulnerability of the global food system to shocks from extreme weather events, energy and financial markets, as well as government interventions in the form of export bans and other measures designed to avoid domestic adjustment to global scarcity. We have learned that a “perfect storm” in which all these factors coincide
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MacFarlane, Andrew. 2021 medical student essay prize winner - A case of grief. Society for Academic Primary Care, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.37361/medstudessay.2021.1.1.

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As a student undertaking a Longitudinal Integrated Clerkship (LIC)1 based in a GP practice in a rural community in the North of Scotland, I have been lucky to be given responsibility and my own clinic lists. Every day I conduct consultations that change my practice: the challenge of clinically applying the theory I have studied, controlling a consultation and efficiently exploring a patient's problems, empathising with and empowering them to play a part in their own care2 – and most difficult I feel – dealing with the vast amount of uncertainty that medicine, and particularly primary care, pre
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Beirne, John, and Eric Sugandi. Risk-Off Shocks and Spillovers in Safe Havens. Asian Development Bank Institute, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.56506/guux7790.

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We examine real and financial spillovers to safe haven financial flow destinations due to risk-off shocks in global financial markets. Using country-specific structural vector autoregression models over the period 1990 to 2021, we show that dynamics for Japan appear to be different to those of Switzerland and the United States in four main ways. First, in response to risk-off episodes over the estimation period, the yen real effective exchange rate appreciates sharply and significantly, with the effect persisting over time. Second, no significant effects on portfolio flows to Japan are found,
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