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Journal articles on the topic 'Prospecting scenarios'

Author: Grafiati

Published: 4 June 2021

Last updated: 6 February 2022

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1

Moraes Vieira, José Artur, Carlos Francisco Simões Gomes, and Igor Engel Braga. "Development of a scenario prospecting model with the use of multicriteria decision aiding: Importance of environmental variables." Brazilian Journal of Operations & Production Management 14, no. 2 (2017): 210. http://dx.doi.org/10.14488/bjopm.2017.v14.n2.a9.

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The significance of using resources optimally comes from its increasingly present scarcity, whether they are related to the environment, term, financial resources, and political or legal difficulties. This study proposes the use of prospective scenarios, considering multiple and uncertain alternatives. It can be an essential tool for the strategic planning process of organizations. The motivation of the subject studied is the possibility to contribute to the expansion of the corporate strategic planning vision and towards social welfare, related to the commitment of companies to society, since

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Correia da Silva, Lydia Lopes. "ANÁLISE MORFOLÓGICA DA INTRODUÇÃO DE VEÍCULOS ELÉTRICOS NO TRÁFEGO URBANO DE SÃO PAULO DOI:10.7444/fsrj.v3i1.66." Future Studies Research Journal: Trends and Strategies 3, no. 1 (2011): 14–37. http://dx.doi.org/10.24023/futurejournal/2175-5825/2011.v3i1.66.

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Pressures of international organizations and governmental regulations have increased substantially when it comes to the reduction of dependence on fossil fuels and transport pollutants emissions. To meet these challenges, the automotive industry invests large sums in research and development on a broad portfolio of new technologies related to vehicular propulsion. Considering the alternatives under development, electric vehicles, specifically, have received increased attention both in Brazil and abroad. This study aims to contribute with the construction of future scenarios in 2020 concerning

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Robinson, Douglas K. R. "Co-evolutionary scenarios: An application to prospecting futures of the responsible development of nanotechnology." Technological Forecasting and Social Change 76, no. 9 (2009): 1222–39. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2009.07.015.

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Harry Luersen, Eduardo. "Re-Entangling Design and Science Fiction: The Case of Daleko." International Journal of Film and Media Arts 6, no. 1 (2021): 33–54. http://dx.doi.org/10.24140/ijfma.v6.n1.02.

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The present article discusses how speculative design relates to technoscientific extrapolation, an important science fiction feature, to plan for potential scenarios and prototype viable models of futurity. Through it, the paper outlines some important nuances between different approaches concerning speculative design’s role, considering their particular epistemological assumptions. A specific case is presented and discussed: Daleko (2020), a project developed for the Strelka Institute’s Terraforming program. This project consists of nine science fiction pieces that entangle issues of waste ma

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Freitas, José Eduardo, and Luiz Guilherme De Oliveira. "PROSPECÇÃO NO SETOR DE DEFESA NO BRASIL: O CASO DO EXÉRCITO BRASILEIRO." Future Studies Research Journal: Trends and Strategies 4, no. 2 (2012): 72–101. http://dx.doi.org/10.24023/futurejournal/2175-5825/2012.v4i2.104.

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The present work deals with technological foresight in the defense sector, in Brazil. The theme deals with the case of technological foresight developed by the Brazilian Army (EB), between the years 2009 to 2012. The objective was to identify the systems and materials needed to EB, the technologies required to enable their achievement, and scenarios of national defense industry in 2030. The research method was in two phases, a theoretical framework for the methodology of prospecting, and other empirical, for the fieldwork. The empirical phase was conducted via the Internet, with the consultati

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Freitas, Ian, and Daniel Estima De Carvalho. "O AUMENTO NO ACESSO À INTERNET POR JOVENS DA BASE DA PIRÂMIDE NO BRASIL E SUAS PARTICULARIDADES." Future Studies Research Journal: Trends and Strategies 4, no. 2 (2012): 132–63. http://dx.doi.org/10.24023/futurejournal/2175-5825/2012.v4i2.121.

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The present work deals with technological foresight in the defense sector, in Brazil. The theme deals with the case of technological foresight developed by the Brazilian Army (EB), between the years 2009 to 2012. The objective was to identify the systems and materials needed to EB, the technologies required to enable their achievement, and scenarios of national defense industry in 2030. The research method was in two phases, a theoretical framework for the methodology of prospecting, and other empirical, for the fieldwork. The empirical phase was conducted via the Internet, with the consultati

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Custódio, José Francisco, Guilherme Henrique Scotti Bosquetti, and Reginaldo Manoel Teixeira. "Prospecção ontológica como instrumento para a qualificação do sentimento de realidade em estudantes do ensino médio." Revista Brasileira de Educação em Ciências e Educação Matemática 3, no. 3 (2019): 778. http://dx.doi.org/10.33238/rebecem.2019.v.3.n.3.22122.

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Resumo: Na intenção de compreender “o que é real” para estudantes, alguns pesquisadores introduziram na educação científica a noção de sentimento de realidade. Neste trabalho, partimos de uma conceitualização de sentimento de realidade baseada na Teoria dos Três Mundos de Popper, da qual derivamos um instrumento teórico-metodológico denominado prospecção ontológica. Assim, investigaremos o potencial da prospecção ontológica para qualificar o sentimento de realidade em estudantes do Ensino Médio. Por intermédio da técnica de entrevista-sobre-cenários abordamos 10 estudantes a respeito do sentim

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Fayemi, Olalekan, and Qingyun Di. "2D Multitransient Electromagnetic Response Modeling of South China Shale Gas Earth Model Using an Approximation of Finite Difference Time Domain with Uniaxial Perfectly Matched Layer." Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society 2016 (2016): 1–20. http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2016/6863810.

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In this study, we introduced multitransient electromagnetic (MTEM) method as an effective tool for shale gas exploration. We combined the uniaxial perfectly matched layer (UPML) equation with the first derivative diffusion equation to solve for a finite difference time domain (FDTD) UPML equation, which was discretized to form an algorithm for 3D modeling of earth impulse response and used in modeling MTEM response over 2D South China shale gas model. We started with stepwise demonstration of the UPML and the FDTD algorithm as an effective tool. Subsequently, quantitative study on the converge

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Julien, Pierre-André, Pierre Lamonde, and Daniel Latouche. "La méthode des scénarios en prospective." L'Actualité économique 51, no. 2 (2009): 253–81. http://dx.doi.org/10.7202/800621ar.

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Increasingly scenarios are used as an important component of long-term planning. But not all scenarios are equally valid and equally useful for the decision-maker. Defining a scenario as a "synthetic process which stimulates step by step and in a plausible fashion a series of events which eventually lead a system to a new state", this study examines two kinds of scenarios: exploratory, where the inquiry proceeds from the present situation to a future one, and normative, where the search proceeds from a desirable future to the present. For each type of scenarios three sets of theoretical proble

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Meissner, Philip, and Torsten Wulf. "The development of strategy scenarios based on prospective hindsight." Journal of Strategy and Management 8, no. 2 (2015): 176–90. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/jsma-01-2015-0004.

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Purpose – Research focussed on the scenario method has increasingly criticized the widely used intuitive logics (IL) approach to scenario development and introduced enhanced approaches, such as the backwards logic method (BLM) or the antifragile (AF) method, to overcome the restrictions associated with the IL approach. The BLM and the AF method have contributed to the further development of the scenario method by integrating backward reasoning and by increasing the method’s effectiveness for decision making. The purpose of this paper is to build on these ideas and introduce strategy scenarios

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Wibowo, Yuli, Nidya Shara Mahardika, and Lia Sumi Karmila. "PROSPEK PENGEMBANGAN MINAPOLITAN DI KABUPATEN SITUBONDO." JURNAL AGROTEKNOLOGI 14, no. 01 (2020): 78. http://dx.doi.org/10.19184/j-agt.v14i01.16598.

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The Government of Situbondo Regency has implemented an agropolitan program in its region since 2013 to develop the potential of fisheries and marine resources. However, the program has not been able to develop as expected and still lacks the impact. This study aimed to determine the prospects for the development of the Minapolitan program in Situbondo Regency. The results of this study were expected to provide guidelines for the development of the Minapolitan program in Situbondo Regency. This study used a prospective analysis method. Method of minapolitan development strategy formulation used

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Zhang, Ruiting, Zhuoya Yang, Jia Huang, et al. "M141. INDIVIDUALS WITH SCHIZOTYPAL TRAITS SHOW A UNIQUE PATTERN OF CAUDATE ACTIVATION IN PROSPECTION OF POSITIVE EMOTION COMPARED TO HEALTHY CONTROLS." Schizophrenia Bulletin 46, Supplement_1 (2020): S189. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/schbul/sbaa030.453.

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Abstract Background Prospection, the ability to simulate future scenarios and pre-experience future feelings, plays a fundamental role in anhedonia and motivation. Empirical findings have suggested that a wide range of patients who experience anhedonia, with schizophrenia, autism and major depression, exhibit prospection impairment. Altered brain responses while envisioning future events have also been observed in these clinical samples. However, it remains unclear whether similar abnormalities are exhibited by individuals with schizotypal traits (ST), autistic traits (AT) and subsyndromal dep

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Alisyukur, La Ode, Sunarto Sunarto, and Muh Aris Marfai. "SKENARIO PENGELOLAAN KEPESISIRAN BERKELANJUTAN KABUPATEN BUTON SELATAN, PROVINSI SULAWESI TENGGARA." ECOTROPHIC : Jurnal Ilmu Lingkungan (Journal of Environmental Science) 14, no. 2 (2020): 100. http://dx.doi.org/10.24843/ejes.2020.v14.i02.p01.

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The coastal zone of South Buton Regency consists of unique ecosystems and abundant natural resources, but facing problems, mainly in terms of conflict between economic needs and ecological aspects. This study aims to set up scenarios for sustainable coastal zone management (SCZM) in South Buton Regency that are synergistic and benefit all stakeholders, without disregarding the principals of ecological conservation. Data were collected by interviews and field observations and were analyzed using prospective analysis method. Comprehensive analyisis were performed encompassing the effects and int

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Gomes, Carlos Francisco Simões, Helder Gomes Costa, and Alexandre P. de Barros. "Sensibility analysis of MCDA using prospective in Brazilian energy sector." Journal of Modelling in Management 12, no. 3 (2017): 475–97. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/jm2-01-2016-0005.

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Purpose The purpose of this paper is to present a hybrid modelling that combines concepts and techniques for scenario building together with a Multi-criteria Decision Aid (MCDA) outranking approach. The paper presents a case to illustrate the proposed methodology. Design/methodology/approach The research method is a qualitative and quantitative mixture and it is presented as a study case. Bibliographic research is used to construct the theoretical framework. There are a number of studies that develop a sensibility analysis in MCDA modelling; however, none of them explore the robustness of the

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Heimfarth, Tales, João Carlos Giacomin, Edison Pignaton de Freitas, Gustavo Figueiredo Araujo, and João Paulo de Araujo. "PAX-MAC: A Low Latency Anycast Protocol with Advanced Preamble." Sensors 20, no. 1 (2020): 250. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/s20010250.

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Wireless sensor networks employ duty-cycles to save energy, with the cost of enlargement of end-to-end latency. Cross-layer protocols that use anycast medium access control achieve latency reduction in asynchronous duty-cycled wireless sensor networks (WSNs). A series of strobed preambles is sent in order to achieve rendezvous with the next relay, selected from a forwarding candidate set (FCS). This paper proposes PAX-MAC: Pramble Ahead Cross-layer Medium Access Control. It is a novel anycast protocol for low latency packet propagation in duty-cycled WSNs. In PAX-MAC, preambles propagate ahead

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Rulff, Paula, Laura M. Buntin, and Thomas Kalscheuer. "Efficient goal-oriented mesh refinement in 3-D finite-element modelling adapted for controlled source electromagnetic surveys." Geophysical Journal International 227, no. 3 (2021): 1624–45. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggab264.

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SUMMARY We developed a 3-D forward modelling code, which simulates controlled source electromagnetic problems in frequency domain using edge-based finite elements and a total electric field approach. To evaluate electromagnetic data acquired across complex subsurface structures, software performing accurate 3-D modelling is required, especially for incorporation in inversion approaches. Our modelling code aims at finding a good compromise between the necessary solution accuracy at the points of interest and the general problem size by using a goal-oriented mesh refinement strategy designed for

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Franco, Fernando L., Alberto G. Canen, and Nelio D. Pizzolato. "Strategic alliances: tools for constructing the future." Business Strategy Series 12, no. 2 (2011): 84–97. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/17515631111114886.

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PurposeThe purpose of this article is to develop a methodology for the identification of a desired normative scenario, acceptable and feasible, based on a set of prospective scenarios.Design/methodology/approachThis paper presents strategic alliances as one fundamental tool in the process of constructing the future. The alliances are based on prospective scenarios, within strategic interactions.FindingsThe central key is the view of the most probable future as a NASH balance point. This point identifies not only a balance of forces, but also the negotiation limits for each actor and therefore

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Davies, Peter J., Philip A. Symonds, David A. Feary, and Christopher J. Pi gram. "FACIES MODELS IN EXPLORATION — THE CARBONATE PLATFORMS OF NORTH-EAST AUSTRALIA." APPEA Journal 28, no. 1 (1988): 123. http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/aj87012.

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The carbonate platforms of north-east Australia encapsulate a record of tectonic, eustatic, climatic and oceanographic dynamism that has controlled their formation. Collectively, the Great Barrier Reef and the Queensland and Marion Plateaus, together with the rift basins that separate them, define a new model for carbonate platform evolution with important exploration consequences. Cretaceous rifting, Paleocene breakup, Cainozoic northward drift with concomitant climatic changes, Neogene subsidence pulses, and sea-level perturbations have combined to produce tropical carbonate platforms overly

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Neale, Dennis C., and Jonathan K. Kies. "Scenario-Based Design for Human-Computer Interface Development." Proceedings of the Human Factors and Ergonomics Society Annual Meeting 40, no. 6 (1996): 338–42. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/154193129604000604.

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Scenario-based techniques have been receiving increased attention in the design of human-computer interaction. A cohesive methodology or framework, however, has yet to materialize, and scenario methods have not been well defined. Claims are being made about the ability of scenarios to play a role throughout the development life cycle. The objective of this paper is to examine the ability of scenarios to serve as the primary design representations early in the system design life cycle for envisioning the system, requirements specification, user-designer communication, and design rationale. Thes

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Da Silva Souza, Ivan Domicio, and Vania Passarini Takahashi. "A VISÃO DE FUTURO POR MEIO DE CENÁRIOS PROSPECTIVOS: UMA FERRAMENTA PARA A ANTECIPAÇÃO DA INOVAÇÃO DISRUPTIVA." Future Studies Research Journal: Trends and Strategies 4, no. 2 (2012): 102–31. http://dx.doi.org/10.24023/futurejournal/2175-5825/2012.v4i2.110.

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Future events are unknown, unexpected and even if forecasts may offer some estimation, there is no way to predict the behavior of unprecedented events. Therefore, looking into the future and drafting a strategy is not a simple activity. All this process is even more fastidious in a period of uncertainties, changes and world crises. However, a method named Scenario Planning may contribute to the formulation of strategies in turbulent environments. In this paper it is reviewed and consolidated the theories and reports in the literature, in order to elucidate the use of prospective scenarios as a

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Wang, D., W. Jia, S. C. Olsen, D. J. Wuebbles, M. K. Dubey, and A. A. Rockett. "The impact of a future H<sub>2</sub>-based road transportation sector on the composition and chemistry of the atmosphere – Part 2: Stratospheric ozone." Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions 12, no. 8 (2012): 19423–54. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/acpd-12-19423-2012.

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Abstract. The prospective future adoption of hydrogen to power the road transportation sector could greatly improve tropospheric air quality but also raises the question whether the adoption would have adverse effects on stratospheric ozone. The possibility of these undesirable impacts must be fully evaluated to guide future policy decisions. Here we evaluate the possible impact of a future (2050) H2-based road transportation sector on stratospheric composition and chemistry, especially on stratospheric ozone, with the MOZART chemical transport model. Since future growth is highly uncertain we

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Párraga, Michael Alexander León, Anthony Germán Bravo Quiñonez, and Mikel Ugando Peñate. "Estudio prospectivo: escenarios probabilísticos del sector de la producción de aceite de palma en la provincia de Esmeraldas al 2025." South Florida Journal of Development 2, no. 4 (2021): 5094–110. http://dx.doi.org/10.46932/sfjdv2n4-011.

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La propuesta de implementar la prospectiva estratégica en las empresas de producción de aceite de palma, busca mejorar la toma de decisiones y reducir la incertidumbre del futuro, determinando escenarios con mayor probabilidad de ocurrencia relativa. Mediante el desarrollo de talleres de prospectiva y aplicación de herramientas administrativas se establece el estado del arte; con la utilización de los softwares MIC-MAC, MACTOR y SMIC PROB EXPERT se identifica las variables claves que condicionan el sistema de estudio, implicación de actores y se analiza las hipótesis obtenidas del cuestionario

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Groppelli, B., A. Soncini, D. Bocchiola, and R. Rosso. "Evaluation of future hydrological cycle under climate change scenarios in a mesoscale Alpine watershed of Italy." Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 11, no. 6 (2011): 1769–85. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/nhess-11-1769-2011.

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Abstract. We investigate future (2045–2054) hydrological cycle of the snow fed Oglio (≈1800 km2) Alpine watershed in Northern Italy. A Stochastic Space Random Cascade (SSRC) approach is used to downscale future precipitation from three general circulation models, GCMs (PCM, CCSM3, and HadCM3) available within the IPCC's data base and chosen for this purpose based upon previous studies. We then downscale temperature output from the GCMs to obtain temperature fields for the area. We also consider a projected scenario based upon trends locally observed in former studies, LOC scenario. Then, we fe

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Keen, Sarah, Hashina Begum, Howard S. Friedman, and Chris D. James. "Scaling up family planning in Sierra Leone: A prospective cost–benefit analysis." Women's Health 13, no. 3 (2017): 43–57. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1745505717724617.

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Family planning is commonly regarded as a highly cost-effective health intervention with wider social and economic benefits. Yet use of family planning services in Sierra Leone is currently low and 25.0% of married women have an unmet need for contraception. This study aims to estimate the costs and benefits of scaling up family planning in Sierra Leone. Using the OneHealth Tool, two scenarios of scaling up family planning coverage to currently married women in Sierra Leone over 2013–2035 were assessed and compared to a ‘no-change’ counterfactual. Our costing included direct costs of drugs, su

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Çeliker, Huriye Deniş. "Designing an experiment based on a script: Determining the critical thinking tendency and biological self-efficacy of prospective science teachers." Science Education International 32, no. 1 (2021): 23–33. http://dx.doi.org/10.33828/sei.v32.i1.3.

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The purpose of this research was to investigate the effect of problem-based scenarios method with experiments on the biology self-efficacy and critical thinking tendency of the prospective science teachers. In the study, pre-test and post-test experimental design without any control group was used. The participants of the research were 108 second-grade prospective science teachers in an university in the west of Turkey. Throughout twelve weeks, prospective teachers were given scenarios and they designed experiments based on these scenarios in the Biology Laboratory II course. The biology self-

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Wang, D., W. Jia, S. C. Olsen, D. J. Wuebbles, M. K. Dubey, and A. A. Rockett. "Impact of a future H<sub>2</sub>-based road transportation sector on the composition and chemistry of the atmosphere – Part 2: Stratospheric ozone." Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 13, no. 13 (2013): 6139–50. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/acp-13-6139-2013.

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Abstract. The prospective future adoption of molecular hydrogen (H2) to power the road transportation sector could greatly improve tropospheric air quality but also raises the question of whether the adoption would have adverse effects on the stratospheric ozone. The possibility of undesirable impacts must be fully evaluated to guide future policy decisions. Here we evaluate the possible impact of a future (2050) H2-based road transportation sector on stratospheric composition and chemistry, especially on the stratospheric ozone, with the MOZART (Model for OZone And Related chemical Tracers) m

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Lora-Guzmán, Harold S., and Javier Prieto-Flórez. "El papel del gerente y la prospectiva en escenarios de crisis." Revista científica anfibios 4, no. 1 (2021): 65–78. http://dx.doi.org/10.37979/afb.2021v4n1.86.

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El presente artículo expone el ejercicio del planeamiento estratégico y la prospectiva como una herramienta imprescindible en el ejercicio de la gerencia moderna esto dado por los escenarios de incertidumbre y complejidad que se vislumbran en los diferentes sectores económicos. Algunos aspectos que se consideran al estudiar estas incertidumbres son las dimensiones ambientales, económicas, sociales, políticas y aquellas intrínsecas asociadas a las propias características del ser humano. Lo expresado en este documentos forma parte de un trabajo de investigación que se viene realizando por los au

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Liu, Frank X., Surrey M. Walton, Robert Leipold, Deborah Isbell, and Thomas A. Golper. "Financial Implications to Medicare from Changing the Dialysis Modality Mix under the Bundled Prospective Payment System." Peritoneal Dialysis International: Journal of the International Society for Peritoneal Dialysis 34, no. 7 (2014): 749–57. http://dx.doi.org/10.3747/pdi.2013.00305.

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Background The economic burden of treating end-stage renal disease (ESRD) continues to grow. As one response, effective January 1, 2011, Medicare implemented a bundled prospective payment system (PPS, including injectable drugs) for dialysis patients. This study investigated the 5-year budget impact on Medicare under the new PPS of changes in the distribution of patients undergoing peritoneal dialysis (PD), in-center hemodialysis (ICHD), and home hemodialysis (HHD). Methods An Excel-based budget impact model was created to assess dialysis-associated Medicare costs. The model accounted for dial

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Brunson, Emily, Hannah Chandler, Gigi Gronvall, et al. "The SPARS Pandemic 2025-2028: A Futuristic Scenario to Facilitate Medical Countermeasure Communication." Journal of International Crisis and Risk Communication Research 3, no. 1 (2020): 71–102. http://dx.doi.org/10.30658/jicrcr.3.1.4.

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Effective communication about medical countermeasures—including drugs, devices and biologics—is often critical in emergency situations. Such communication, however, does not just happen. It must be planned and prepared for. One mechanism to develop communication strategies is through the use of prospective scenarios, which allow readers the opportunity to rehearse responses while also weighing the implications of their actions. This article describes the development of such a scenario: The SPARS Pandemic 2025-2028. Steps in this process included deciding on a timeframe, identifying likely crit

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Ryzhenkov, Alexander V. "A PROSPECTIVE STUDY OF THE ABSOLUTE AND RELATIVE SURPLUS VALUE IN THE UNITED STATES BASED ON A MACROECONOMIC MODEL: CONSEQUENCES FOR RUSSIA." Interexpo GEO-Siberia 3, no. 1 (2020): 181–90. http://dx.doi.org/10.33764/2618-981x-2020-3-1-181-190.

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This article develops an optimization neoliberal scenario 1 and a socially-oriented scenario 2 of capitalist reproduction based on US statistics for 2020-40. Scenario 1 preserves the socio-economic structure that generated the systemic, structural, and cyclical crisis of capitalism; it assumes a regular repetition of overproduction and paroxysms. The transforming social relations in the direction of tightening the workers’ control over production and the primary distribution of national income take place in scenario 2. Comparison of these pioneer scenarios with the projections by the Congressi

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Martinez Buitrago, Jenyfeer Andrea, Edilaine Venancio Camillo, and Roque Pedace. "Solar PV diffusion in Argentina: policy implications for a high penetration scenario until 2030." Qualitas Revista Eletrônica 17, no. 2 (2016): 150. http://dx.doi.org/10.18391/req.v17i2.3078.

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This paper aims at proposing a methodological approach to identify the minimal contents for a future solar photovoltaic (PV) roadmap in Argentina, focusing on the actions required to reach a high penetration scenario until 2030. Argentina has been facing energy supply shortages caused by a combination of increasing in energy demand and government inability to meet the additional demand on time with the available resources (mainly fossil fuels). Although versatile and scalable, Solar PV technology has been receiving low incentives from Argentinean government. Two literature’s perspectives - the

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Avetissian, Ara K. "Entangled Gravitons? Prospective Original Scenarios in Cosmology." Gravitation and Cosmology 26, no. 1 (2020): 22–28. http://dx.doi.org/10.1134/s0202289320010028.

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Vargas, Eider Yovanny. "Adaptación del sistema táctico de inteligencia para la toma de decisiones militares ante una pandemia." Suma de Negocios 12, no. 26 (2021): 14–22. http://dx.doi.org/10.14349/sumneg/2021.v12.n26.a2.

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The purpose of this work is to identify a tool that allows a military decision maker at the tactical level to manage the military resources available in the event of a pandemic. The research focused on finding and adapting an epidemiological mathematical model to process data collected in a military jurisdiction and with it the development of prospective scenarios in a military jurisdiction in the event of a pandemic. The results indicate that in the face of a pandemic, military decision makers must have a model of prospective scenarios and the adaptation of the intelligence process, especiall

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Souza, Laudiceia Normando de, Ana Eleonora Almeida Paixão, Cleide Ane Barbosa da Cruz, and Teresinha Fonseca. "HYBRID MODE OF BIBLIOMETRY AND TECHNIQUE OF PROSPECTIVE SCENARIOS FOR INDUSTRY 4.0 ASSOCIATED WITH INTELLECTUAL CAPITAL." International Journal for Innovation Education and Research 9, no. 5 (2021): 534–49. http://dx.doi.org/10.31686/ijier.vol9.iss5.3124.

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The prospective scenarios technique conducts strategic planning as a futuristic signpost for the management goals of Industry 4.0 in its technological advances, directed towards the development of productive digitalization and creation of value connected to Intellectual Capital as an aggregator of economic value in the organizational process. The objective of this research is to propose a hybrid modality of bibliometrics and the prospective scenario technique for Industry 4.0 associated with Intellectual Capital. In the methodological stages of this study, the insertion of the Bibliometric Law

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Wakka, Abdul Kadir, and San Afri Awang. "Development scenario of collaborative management at Bantimurung Bulusaraung National Park, South Sulawesi Province." Jurnal Penelitian Kehutanan Wallacea 6, no. 1 (2017): 31. http://dx.doi.org/10.18330/jwallacea.2017.vol6iss1pp31-40.

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Collaborative management is the most appropriate strategy in an effort to accommodate the interests of local communities in the management of protected areas. Success of collaborative management is highly dependent on the extent of identification of key factors for strategy success to compile scenarios into operational recommendations. This study aimed to formulate a collaborative management strategy for Bantimurung Bulusaraung National Park (Babul NP) based on scenarios that may occur in the future. The study was conducted by observation, interviews and questionnaires to a number of expert in

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Nidhiritdhikrai, Raksanai, Supawat Vivanpatarakij, and Weerin Wangjiraniran. "Development of Thailand Low Carbon Society Scenario." Advanced Materials Research 622-623 (December 2012): 1094–98. http://dx.doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/amr.622-623.1094.

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The objective of this paper is to establish and manage the study group of Thailand and conduct the research activities and create the possible scenario stories of Thailand under the global trend of carbon reduction. The goal of "Balance of Economic, Environment, Energy and Social development (3E&1S) for Low Carbon Societies (LCS)” has been set to be the key decision focus of this study. The tool to handle this future issue is the scenario planning method. This approach is widely applied for exploring the different possible future prospective. Outcome of scenario creation is derived by the

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Raugei, Marco, Mashael Kamran, and Allan Hutchinson. "A Prospective Net Energy and Environmental Life-Cycle Assessment of the UK Electricity Grid." Energies 13, no. 9 (2020): 2207. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/en13092207.

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National Grid, the UK’s largest utility company, has produced a number of energy transition scenarios, among which “2 degrees” is the most aggressive in terms of decarbonization. This paper presents the results of a combined prospective net energy and environmental life cycle assessment of the UK electricity grid, based on such a scenario. The main findings are that the strategy is effective at drastically reducing greenhouse gas emissions (albeit to a reduced degree with respect to the projected share of “zero carbon” generation taken at face value), but it entails a trade-off in terms of dep

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Erdogan, B., C. Abbott, and G. Aouad. "Construction in year 2030: developing an information technology vision." Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences 368, no. 1924 (2010): 3551–65. http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2010.0076.

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Emerging technologies offer new solutions to the construction industry, improving processes, enabling automation and effective decision-making mechanisms and changing current ways of work. Previous research has tended to consider a direct causal relationship between the emerging and prospective technologies and the future of construction. However, the future of construction will be influenced not only by the developments in the information technology (IT) industry, but also by other technological changes. Societal, economic, environmental and political factors will shape the future, together w

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McKiernan, Peter. "Prospective thinking; scenario planning meets neuroscience." Technological Forecasting and Social Change 124 (November 2017): 66–76. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.10.069.

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Smith, Mark W., Michelle L. Hill, Karen L. Hopkins, B. Jenny Kiratli, and Ruth C. Cronkite. "A Modeled Analysis of Telehealth Methods for Treating Pressure Ulcers after Spinal Cord Injury." International Journal of Telemedicine and Applications 2012 (2012): 1–10. http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2012/729492.

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Home telehealth can improve clinical outcomes for conditions that are common among patients with spinal cord injury (SCI). However, little is known about the costs and potential savings associated with its use. We developed clinical scenarios that describe common situations in treatment or prevention of pressure ulcers. We calculated the cost implications of using telehealth for each scenario and under a range of reasonable assumptions. Data were gathered primarily from US Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) administrative records. For each scenario and treatment method, we multiplied probabil

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Rabiner, Joni E., Marc Auerbach, Jeffrey R. Avner, Dina Daswani, and Hnin Khine. "Comparison of GlideScope Videolaryngoscopy to Direct Laryngoscopy for Intubation of a Pediatric Simulator by Novice Physicians." Emergency Medicine International 2013 (2013): 1–6. http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/407547.

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Objective. To compare novice clinicians’ performance using GlideScope videolaryngoscopy (GVL) to direct laryngoscopy (DL).Methods. This was a prospective, randomized crossover study. Incoming pediatric interns intubated pediatric simulators in four normal and difficult airway scenarios with GVL and DL. Primary outcomes included time to intubation and rate of successful intubation. Interns rated their satisfaction of the devices and chose the preferred device.Results. Twenty-five interns were included. In the normal airway scenario, there were no differences in mean time for intubation with GVL

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Garcia-Verdugo, Rosa, Michael Erbach, and Oliver Schnell. "Need for Outcome Scenario Analysis of Clinical Trials in Diabetes." Journal of Diabetes Science and Technology 11, no. 2 (2016): 327–34. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1932296816670925.

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Since the FDA requirement for cardiovascular safety of all new antihyperglycemic drugs to enter the market, the number and extent of phase 3 clinical trials has markedly increased. Unexpected trial results imply an enormous economic, personal and time cost and has deleterious effects over R&D. To prevent unforeseen developments in clinical trials, we recommend performing a comprehensive prospective outcome scenario analysis before launching the trial. In this commentary, we discuss the most important factors to take in consideration for prediction of clinical trial outcome scenarios and pr

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Nelson, Julien, Stéphanie Buisine, Améziane Aoussat, and Claude Gazo. "Generating prospective scenarios of use in innovation projects." Le travail humain 77, no. 1 (2014): 21. http://dx.doi.org/10.3917/th.771.0021.

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Wright, Alex. "The role of scenarios as prospective sensemaking devices." Management Decision 43, no. 1 (2005): 86–101. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/00251740510572506.

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Schimpf, Corey, Pete Barbrook-Johnson, and Brian Castellani. "Cased-based modelling and scenario simulation for ex-post evaluation." Evaluation 27, no. 1 (2021): 116–37. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1356389020978490.

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Despite 20 years of increasing acceptance, implementing complexity-appropriate methods for ex-post evaluation remains a challenge: instead of focusing on complex interventions, methods need to help evaluators better explore how policies (no matter how simple) take place in real-world, open, dynamic systems where many intertwined factors about the cases being targeted affect outcomes in numerous ways. To assist in this advance, we developed case-based scenario simulation, a new visually intuitive evaluation tool grounded in a data-driven, case-based, computational modelling approach, which eval

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Chen, Jiefu, Jing Wang, and Yao Yu. "An Improved Complex Image Theory for Fast Resistivity Modeling and Its Application to Geosteering." SPE Journal 21, no. 04 (2016): 1450–57. http://dx.doi.org/10.2118/170661-pa.

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Summary azimuthal resistivity logging-while-drilling (LWD) tools with tilted antennas (Bittar 2002; Li et al. 2005) are widely used in geosteering because of their azimuthal sensitivity and the relatively large depth of investigation compared with other LWD tools such as nuclear, acoustic, or gamma ray measurements. Compared with conventional resistivity tools, azimuthal-resistivity LWD measurements can provide additional information including distance-to-boundary, relative dip angle, and resistivity anisotropy (Li et al. 2014). Because of the computing efficiency requirement, modeling and inv

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Reynolds, Andy M. "Signatures of active and passive optimized Lévy searching in jellyfish." Journal of The Royal Society Interface 11, no. 99 (2014): 20140665. http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2014.0665.

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Some of the strongest empirical support for Lévy search theory has come from telemetry data for the dive patterns of marine predators (sharks, bony fishes, sea turtles and penguins). The dive patterns of the unusually large jellyfish Rhizostoma octopus do, however, sit outside of current Lévy search theory which predicts that a single search strategy is optimal. When searching the water column, the movement patterns of these jellyfish change over time. Movement bouts can be approximated by a variety of Lévy and Brownian (exponential) walks. The adaptive value of this variation is not known. On

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Cooke, Gavan M., David B. Anderson, Marie-Laure Begout, et al. "Prospective severity classification of scientific procedures in cephalopods: Report of a COST FA1301 Working Group survey." Laboratory Animals 53, no. 6 (2019): 541–63. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0023677219864626.

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Cephalopods are the first invertebrate class regulated by the European Union (EU) under Directive 2010/63/EU on the protection of animals used for scientific purposes, which requires prospective assessment of severity of procedures. To assist the scientific community in establishing severity classification for cephalopods, we undertook a web-based survey of the EU cephalopod research community as represented by the participants in the European COoperation on Science and Technology (COST) Action FA1301, Cephs InAction'. The survey consisted of 50 scenarios covering a range of procedures involvi

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Hermanto, Bambang, and Azhari SN. "Klasifikasi Nilai Kelayakan Calon Debitur Baru Menggunakan Decision Tree C4.5." IJCCS (Indonesian Journal of Computing and Cybernetics Systems) 11, no. 1 (2017): 43. http://dx.doi.org/10.22146/ijccs.15946.

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In an effort to improve the quality of customer service, especially in terms of feasibility assessment of borrowers due to the increasing number of new prospective borrowers loans financing the purchase of a motor vehicle, then the company needs a decision making tool allowing you to easily and quickly estimate Where the debtor is able to pay off the loans.This study discusses the process generates C4.5 decision tree algorithm and utilizing the learning group of debtor financing dataset motorcycle. The decision tree is then interpreted into the form of decision rules that can be understood and

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Vanckavičienė, Aurika, Jūratė Macijauskienė, Algidas Basevičius, and Aurelija Blaževičienė. "Radiographer Training in Lithuania: Prospects of the Planning for the Number of Entrants." Sveikatos mokslai 25, no. 2 (2015): 70–75. http://dx.doi.org/10.5200/sm-hs.2015.033.

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Over the last two decades, a number of studies have been conducted on the planning of human resources in various professional qualifications of the healthcare sector in various parts of the world. The studies evaluated the supply and demand (as well as factors affecting them) of human resources in healthcare, yet no studies have been conducted in Lithuania on the planning of the number of radiographers as human resources in the healthcare system. The aim of this study was to estimate the prospective number of students accepted for studies in radiography up to 2030 in order to satisfy the need

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