Academic literature on the topic 'Risk-neutral valuation'
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Journal articles on the topic "Risk-neutral valuation"
Costantini, Cristina, Marco Papi, and Fernanda D’Ippoliti. "Singular risk-neutral valuation equations." Finance and Stochastics 16, no. 2 (December 9, 2011): 249–74. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00780-011-0166-8.
Full textvan Bragt, David, Marc K. Francke, Stefan N. Singor, and Antoon Pelsser. "Risk-Neutral Valuation of Real Estate Derivatives." Journal of Derivatives 23, no. 1 (August 31, 2015): 89–110. http://dx.doi.org/10.3905/jod.2015.23.1.089.
Full textIbrahim, Siti Nur Iqmal, John G. O’Hara, and Nick Constantinou. "Risk-neutral valuation of power barrier options." Applied Mathematics Letters 26, no. 6 (June 2013): 595–600. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.aml.2012.12.016.
Full textBalbás, Alejandro, Raquel Balbás, and Silvia Mayoral. "Risk-neutral valuation with infinitely many trading dates." Mathematical and Computer Modelling 45, no. 11-12 (June 2007): 1308–18. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.mcm.2006.11.002.
Full textClement, E., C. Gourieroux, and A. Monfort. "Econometric specification of the risk neutral valuation model." Journal of Econometrics 94, no. 1-2 (January 2000): 117–43. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0304-4076(99)00019-6.
Full textBauer, Daniel, Rüdiger Kiesel, Alexander Kling, and Jochen Ruß. "Risk-neutral valuation of participating life insurance contracts." Insurance: Mathematics and Economics 39, no. 2 (October 2006): 171–83. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2006.02.003.
Full textSTEIN, HARVEY J. "FIXING RISK NEUTRAL RISK MEASURES." International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance 19, no. 03 (April 21, 2016): 1650021. http://dx.doi.org/10.1142/s0219024916500217.
Full textBauer, Daniel, Daniela Bergmann, and Rüdiger Kiesel. "On the Risk-Neutral Valuation of Life Insurance Contracts with Numerical Methods in View." ASTIN Bulletin 40, no. 1 (May 2010): 65–95. http://dx.doi.org/10.2143/ast.40.1.2049219.
Full textCarmona, René, and Juri Hinz. "Risk-Neutral Models for Emission Allowance Prices and Option Valuation." Management Science 57, no. 8 (August 2011): 1453–68. http://dx.doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1110.1358.
Full textHAREL, ARIE, GIORA HARPAZ, and JACK CLARK FRANCIS. "PRICING SECURITIES WITH EXCHANGE-IMPOSED PRICE LIMITS VIA RISK NEUTRAL VALUATION." International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance 10, no. 03 (May 2007): 399–406. http://dx.doi.org/10.1142/s021902490700424x.
Full textDissertations / Theses on the topic "Risk-neutral valuation"
Camara, Antonio Guimaraes de Sousa da. "Four theoretical essays on risk neutral valuation relationships." Thesis, Lancaster University, 1997. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.389934.
Full textKazlovich, Uladzimir. "Využití finančních derivátů pro risk management subjektů mezinárodního obchodu." Master's thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2011. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-195487.
Full textLundström, Edvin. "On the Proxy Modelling of Risk-Neutral Default Probabilities." Thesis, KTH, Matematisk statistik, 2020. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-273624.
Full textSedan Lehman Brothers konkurs 2008 har det blivit allt viktigare att mäta, hantera och prissätta kreditrisken i finansiella derivat. Kreditrisk i finansiella derivat benämns ofta motpartsrisk (CCR). Priset på motpartsrisk fångas i kreditvärderingsjustering (CVA). Denna justering bör i princip alltid ingå i värderingen av ett derivat som handlas över disk (eng. over-the-counter, OTC). För att beräkna CVA behöver man veta sannolikheten för fallissemang (konkurs) hos motparten. Eftersom CVA är ett pris, behöver man den riskneutrala sannolikheten för fallissemang. Det typiska tillvägagångsättet för att erhålla riskneutrala sannolikheter är att bygga kreditkurvor kalibrerade med hjälp av kreditswappar (CDS:er). För en majoritet av en banks motparter finns emellertid ingen likvid handel i CDS:er. Detta utgör en stor utmaning. Hur ska man modellera riskneutrala fallissemangssannolikheter vid avsaknad av observerbara CDS-spreadar? Ett antal metoder för att konstruera proxykreditkurvor har föreslagits tidigare. Ett särskilt populärt val är den så kallade Nomura- (eller cross-section) modellen. När vi studerar denna modell hittar vi ett par svagheter, som i vissa fall leder till degenererade proxykreditkurvor. I den här uppsatsen föreslår vi en förändrad modell, där den modellerade kvantiteten byts från CDS-spreaden till riskfrekvensen (eng. hazard rate). Därmed säkerställs att de erhållna proxykurvorna är giltiga, per konstruktion. Vi finner att Nomura-modellen i praktiken i många fall ger degenererade proxykreditkurvor. Vi finner inga sådana problem för den förändrade modellen. I andra fall ser vi att skillnaderna mellan modellerna är små. Slutsatsen är att den förändrade modellen är ett bättre val eftersom den är teoretiskt sund och robust.
Moenig, Thorsten. "Optimal Policyholder Behavior in Personal Savings Products and its Impact on Valuation." Digital Archive @ GSU, 2012. http://digitalarchive.gsu.edu/rmi_diss/28.
Full textHaj, Kazem Kashani Hamed. "A real options model for the financial valuation of infrastructure systems under uncertainty." Diss., Georgia Institute of Technology, 2012. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/43630.
Full textVentura, Ana Cristina Alves. "Tratamento dos mecanismos de mitigação de risco através da transferência de riscos de seguros para o mercado financeiro." Master's thesis, Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão, 2010. http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/2234.
Full textO presente trabalho tem como principal objectivo fornecer um contributo ao nível dos estudos realizados sobre o regime Solvência II, que visa implementar um novo sistema de solvência para as empresas de seguros e resseguros na União Europeia. Pretende-se apresentar uma avaliação do impacto da utilização de mecanismos de mitigação do risco (securitização) através da transferência de alguns riscos técnicos de seguros, mais concretamente do ramo Vida, para o mercado financeiro, analisando o seu impacto nas provisões técnicas, nos requisitos de capital e no processo de supervisão. Assim, serão criados dois produtos que pretendem transferir para os mercados financeiros os riscos técnicos de seguros, mais concretamente os riscos de longevidade e de mortalidade, realizando-se uma avaliação em ambiente de Solvência 2 através do cálculo das provisões técnicas e dos requisitos de capital. Posteriormente um deles será avaliado numa óptica de investidor, utilizando duas metodologias distintas: a Transformada de Wang e uma abordagem neutra face ao risco.
The major goal of this dissertation is to make a contribution to the current studies about Solvency II which aims to implement a new solvency system for the insurance and reinsurance companies in the European Union. It is intended to evaluate the impact of some risk mitigation mechanisms (securitization), through a transfer of some technical insurance risks (Life Risks) into the financial markets, with the consequent analysis of its impact in technical provisions, capital requirements and supervision processes. As a means to further evaluate risk mitigation mechanisms in context to Solvency 2, two unique products were derived that transferred the technical insurance risks, such as longevity and mortality, into the financial markets. Ultimately, one of the products was priced accordingly with investor's sentiment, using two different methodologies, namely Wang Transform and a risk neutral valuation.
Frederico, Sofia Gandiaga. "Avaliação de opções e garantias embutidas em seguros ligados a fundos de investimento." Master's thesis, Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão, 2011. http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/3758.
Full textA avaliação de opções contratuais e garantias financeiras encontra-se no centro das atenções do sector segurador e tem despertado um forte interesse académico nos anos recentes. Tal decorre, por um lado, das tendências evolutivas ao nível dos seguros comercializados no ramo Vida, com características cada vez mais complexas e ligadas a uma vertente financeira e, por outro, do desenvolvimento de importantes projectos internacionais, tal como o Solvência II. Em linhas gerais, o presente trabalho visa estudar a aplicação da teoria das opções financeiras à avaliação de contratos de seguros ligados a fundos de investimento com determinadas opções contratuais e garantias financeiras, tendo por base o princípio de avaliação market-consistent. Para alcançar esse objectivo, uma parte importante da análise centra-se no processo de calibragem de modelos estocásticos para certos riscos de mercado, designadamente o risco de taxa de juro e o risco accionista, de forma o mais consistente possível com a informação disponível nos mercados financeiros, com o propósito de gerar cenários económicos futuros num ambiente neutro face ao risco. Posteriormente, o valor de certas garantias financeiras e da opção de resgate total de um contrato é determinado através da aplicação de metodologias baseadas na simulação de Monte Carlo.
The valuation of contractual options and financial guarantees is at the center of attention of the insurance sector and has drawn a strong academic interest in recent years. This is due, on one hand, to the evolutionary trends in Life insurance products, with features that are increasingly complex and connected to the financial market and, on the other hand, to the development of important international projects, such as Solvency II. In general, this paper aims to study the application of financial options theory to the valuation of unit-linked contracts with some contractual options and financial guarantees. The study is based on the principle of market-consistent valuation. To achieve this purpose, an important part of the analysis focuses on the calibration process of stochastic models for certain market risks, namely the interest rate risk and the equity risk, in a way as consistent as possible with the information available in the financial markets, with the aim of generating future economic scenarios in a risk-neutral world. Afterwards, the value of some financial guarantees and of the surrender option is determined by means of methodologies based on the Monte Carlo simulation method.
Oliveira, Luís Miguel Godinho de. "A extracção e a importância da informação contida nos preços dos derivados financeiros. Expectativas de mercado e prémios de opções: uma aplicação a opções sobre futuros de taxa de juro." Master's thesis, Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão, 2002. http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/635.
Full textIt's usually accepted that financial asset prices reflect market participants' expectations concerning the evolution of certain important economic and financial variables. In comparison with the majority of the other financial assets, in particular against the futures or forwards, option prices have an additional interest resulting from their ability to provide information, not only in terms of the expected future value of an asset, but also about the higher moments of the probability distribution perceived by economic agents. Regarding the relationship among option prices and their strike prices it's possible to estimate the risk-neutral probability density function (RNPDF), which allow us to characterise almost completely, market expectations regarding the price of the underlying asset at the maturity date of the option. In the Black-Sholes framework, RNPDF estimation would be a trivial issue only consisting in implied volatility estimation. However, the systematic differences observed between theoretical model prices and those observed in the market, raise some suspicions about the reality adjustment of some of its premises, namely the lognormality for the underlying price distribution and the constant volatility assumed across the time and different strike prices. In this work, a set of alternative approaches for the RNPDF estimation is presented, along with its advantages and drawbacks, as a way to characterise the current state of the art. Using EURIBOR 3-month interest rate future option prices, and considering a mixture of lognormal distributions, we estimate RNPDF for some days around ECB Council meetings, in order to analyse market views about possible changes in ECB reference interest rates in these meetings. We also study the impact in market expectations, regarding the evolution of shorter-term interest rates, from the events that occurred in the USA on the 11th of September 2001, and the "time-to-maturity" effect on RNPDF volatility.
É geralmente aceite que os preços dos activos financeiros reflectem as expectativas dos participantes nos mercados. Face à maioria dos activos financeiros, em particular aos futuros ou "forwards", os preços das opções possuem um interesse adicional oriundo da capacidade que têm de fornecer informação relativa, não só, ao valor médio esperado pelo mercado para o preço futuro do activo subjacente, mas também, sobre os momentos de ordem mais elevada da distribuição de probabilidade percepcionada pelos agentes económicos. Com base na relação entre os preços das opções e respectivos preços de exercício é possível estimar a função de densidade de probabilidade neutra ao risco (FDPNR) que permite caracterizar, de uma forma quase completa, o perfil de expectativas dos agentes relativamente ao preço do activo subjacente na maturidade opção. No universo do modelo Black-Sholes, a estimação da FDPNR seria um assunto trivial consistindo apenas na estimação da volatilidade implícita. Porém, as diferenças sistemáticas observadas, entre os preços gerados pelo modelo e os observados no mercado, levantam a suspeita que algumas das suas hipóteses são pouco realísticas, nomeadamente a lognormalidade para a distribuição do preço do activo subjacente e a volatilidade constante assumida para os diferentes preços de exercício e ao longo do tempo. Neste trabalho é apresentado um conjunto de abordagens alternativas para a estimação de FDPNR, suas vantagens e desvantagens relativas, procurando-se caracterizar o actual estado da arte. Recorrendo aos preços de opções sobre futuros da taxa de juro EURIBOR a três meses e com base numa mistura de distribuições lognormais, estimamos as FDPNR para algumas datas em torno das reuniões do Conselho do BCE, utilizando-as na análise das expectativas do mercado relativamente a possíveis alterações das taxas de juro directoras nessas reuniões. Analisamos ainda o impacto nas expectativas dos agentes, relativamente à evolução das taxas de juro, dos acontecimentos ocorridos nos EUA, em 11 de Setembro de 2001 e o efeito "time-to-maturity" na volatilidade das FDPNR.
Hakala, Michal. "Modely úrokových měr - praktické aspekty." Master's thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2017. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-359256.
Full textChen, Pei-Jung, and 陳姵蓉. "How to Measure the Credit Risk of Loan Positions by Risk Neutral Valuation for Commercial Banks." Thesis, 2003. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/91585069800424081217.
Full text國立中央大學
財務金融研究所
91
For the past decades, we usually use 5C, 5P methods and financial ratio analysis to measure credit risk for bank loans; however, they are too subjective. Therefore this paper uses an objective and quantitative model, Risk Neutral Valuation, to measure credit risk of loan positions. The model is used to study: 1) If Risk Neutral Valuation is better than traditional methods; and 2) If credit spread is significant correlated with different types of data. Those data are from market interest rates, TEJ, and bank loans. We estimate credit spread, the probability of default and the differences between actual spread (AS) and credit spread (CS). The empirical results: 1) By Chi—Square Test, actual spread is significant correlated with different types of lending companies, conditions of loans, terms of loans, collateral and purposes. It means the direction of the subjective analysis is not wrong.2) the average of the differences between AS and CS are negatives, so we infer actual spread is too low. In order to know if our inference is right, the probability of default (or loss given default) is significant correlated with the differences between AS and CS. In other words, actual spread is lower than credit spread, and it proves our inference. Hence, we suggest the bank should use quantitative model to calculate the accurate spread to enhance credit risk management and policies.
Books on the topic "Risk-neutral valuation"
Bingham, Nicholas H., and Rüdiger Kiesel. Risk-Neutral Valuation. London: Springer London, 1998. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4471-3619-4.
Full textBingham, Nicholas H., and Rüdiger Kiesel. Risk-Neutral Valuation. London: Springer London, 2004. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4471-3856-3.
Full textBingham, N. H. Risk-neutral valuation: Pricing and hedging of financial derivatives. London: Springer, 1998.
Find full textBingham, Nicholas H., and Rudiger Kiesel. Risk-Neutral Valuation: Pricing and Hedging of Financial Derivatives. Springer, 2014.
Find full textBingham, Nicholas H., and Rudiger Kiesel. Risk-Neutral Valuation: Pricing and Hedging of Financial Derivatives (Springer Finance). Springer, 2001.
Find full textBingham, Nicholas H., and Rüdiger Kiesel. Risk-Neutral Valuation: Pricing and Hedging of Financial Derivatives (Springer Finance). 2nd ed. Springer, 2004.
Find full textBook chapters on the topic "Risk-neutral valuation"
Bingham, Nicholas H., and Rüdiger Kiesel. "Credit Risk." In Risk-Neutral Valuation, 375–408. London: Springer London, 2004. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4471-3856-3_9.
Full textBingham, Nicholas H., and Rüdiger Kiesel. "Derivative Background." In Risk-Neutral Valuation, 1–31. London: Springer London, 1998. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4471-3619-4_1.
Full textBingham, Nicholas H., and Rüdiger Kiesel. "Projections and Conditional Expectations." In Risk-Neutral Valuation, 279–80. London: Springer London, 1998. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4471-3619-4_10.
Full textBingham, Nicholas H., and Rüdiger Kiesel. "The Separating Hyperplane Theorem." In Risk-Neutral Valuation, 281–82. London: Springer London, 1998. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4471-3619-4_11.
Full textBingham, Nicholas H., and Rüdiger Kiesel. "Probability Background." In Risk-Neutral Valuation, 33–65. London: Springer London, 1998. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4471-3619-4_2.
Full textBingham, Nicholas H., and Rüdiger Kiesel. "Stochastic Processes in Discrete Time." In Risk-Neutral Valuation, 67–82. London: Springer London, 1998. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4471-3619-4_3.
Full textBingham, Nicholas H., and Rüdiger Kiesel. "Mathematical Finance in Discrete Time." In Risk-Neutral Valuation, 83–131. London: Springer London, 1998. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4471-3619-4_4.
Full textBingham, Nicholas H., and Rüdiger Kiesel. "Stochastic Processes in Continuous Time." In Risk-Neutral Valuation, 133–70. London: Springer London, 1998. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4471-3619-4_5.
Full textBingham, Nicholas H., and Rüdiger Kiesel. "Mathematical Finance in Continuous Time." In Risk-Neutral Valuation, 171–228. London: Springer London, 1998. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4471-3619-4_6.
Full textBingham, Nicholas H., and Rüdiger Kiesel. "Incomplete Markets." In Risk-Neutral Valuation, 229–44. London: Springer London, 1998. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4471-3619-4_7.
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