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Journal articles on the topic 'Ruble exchange rate'

Author: Grafiati

Published: 3 June 2025

Last updated: 31 July 2025

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1

Moroz, Yu S. "Exchange Rate of the Ruble: Status, Trends." Vestnik NSUEM, no. 2 (June 19, 2021): 120–26. http://dx.doi.org/10.34020/2073-6495-2021-2-120-126.

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The purpose is to determine the state of the ruble exchange rate, to identify the main factors affecting changes in the Russian ruble exchange rate in modern conditions. The opinions of domestic authors on the factors affecting the ruble exchange rate (balance of payments, inflation, oil price, coronavirus pandemic, unemployment) are considered. Among the most significant factors affecting the ruble exchange rate is the price of oil. The article studies the dynamics of the impact on the national currency rate of oil prices. Conclusions are made.

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2

Menshikh, D. A. "Estimation of fiscal rule impact on Russian ruble equilibrium exchange rate." Voprosy Ekonomiki, no. 2 (February 7, 2021): 70–84. http://dx.doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2021-2-70-84.

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This paper describes a new approach that makes it possible to assess the impact of foreign exchange interventions implemented under the fiscal rule on the Russian ruble equilibrium exchange rate. The essence of the approach is to quantify the impact of foreign exchange interventions carried out within the framework of the fiscal rule on the balance of supply and demand of foreign exchange, and to reflect this influence in macroeconomic models using the “effective” oil price indicator. The article describes in detail the calculation of this indicator. The advantage of using the “effective” oil

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3

Bozhechkova, A. V., S. G. Sinelnikov-Murylev, and P. V. Trunin. "Factors of the Russian ruble exchange rate dynamics in the 2000s and 2010s." Voprosy Ekonomiki, no. 8 (August 3, 2020): 5–22. http://dx.doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2020-8-5-22.

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The article discusses the key factors of the ruble exchange rate dynamics, analyzes the features of Russian currency market in the context of inflation targeting and the application of the budget rule. The basic theoretical approaches to modeling the dynamics of real and nominal exchange rates are presented, including behavioral models of the exchange rate, the monetary model of the exchange rate, and the hypothesis of uncovered interest parity. The most important factors of long-term and short-term dynamics of the exchange rate are revealed. The results of an econometric evaluation of the mod

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4

Ershov, Mikhail V., and Anna S. Tanasova. "On Sanctions and the Exchange Rate." Economic Strategies 144, no. 4 (184) (2022): 17–21. http://dx.doi.org/10.33917/es-4.184.2022.17-21.

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The article emphasizes that freezing of Russian gold and foreign exchange reserves was previously accurately predicted by Russian experts. Attention is drawn to the fact that weakening of the ruble was one of the goals of the sanctions impact on the Russian economy that Western countries were bearing in mind. It is obvious that the exact opposite — preventing its depreciation and turning the ruble into a stable strong currency — is an anti-sanction measure. With high dependence of the Russian economy on imports, as well as in the situation when it is necessary to find alternative ways for impo

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MAL'SAGOVA, Radima G., Tat'yana P. LISKOVETSKAYA, and Il'ya N. LENKOV. "Changes in the ruble exchange rate during the economic crisis: Consequences and effectiveness of the efforts undertaken." Finance and Credit 27, no. 1 (2021): 113–28. http://dx.doi.org/10.24891/fc.27.1.113.

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Subject. We consider the main trends and factors of changes in the Ruble exchange rate. Objectives. The purpose of the study is to identify the consequences and effectiveness of measures taken to stabilize the Ruble exchange rate during the economic crisis, and reveal factors of Ruble appreciation. Methods. The study rests on methods of systems analysis and synthesis, estimation techniques, the content analysis of literature and analytical data on the topic, statistical data analysis, graphical and regulatory methods. Results. We considered the specifics of the exchange rate in Russia, its adv

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6

Esina, P., and Li Jie. "THE IMPACT OF THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC ON THE EXCHANGE RATE OF THE RUSSIAN NATIONAL CURRENCY." Norwegian Journal of development of the International Science, no. 91 (August 26, 2022): 15–19. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7032100.

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Abstract This article considers the impact of the coronavirus pandemic on the ruble exchange rate. In modern realities, the exchange rate, having a strong relationship with the main macroeconomic indicators, has a tangible impact on the country's economic system.  The ruble exchange rate was analyzed using multiple linear regression (MLR) correlation analysis. The results have shown that the price of oil significantly affects the exchange rate. Moreover, other independent variables such as RTS Index and foreign investment in Federal loan bonds included in the model also have a disting

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7

Kudrin, A. "Ruble Real Effective Exchange Rate: Problems of Appeciation." Voprosy Ekonomiki, no. 10 (October 20, 2006): 4–18. http://dx.doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2006-10-4-18.

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The article is focused on the estimation of advantages and risks of the policy of "strong" ruble. The author analyzes factors, that cause effective exchange rate appreciation, studies the influence of ruble appreciation on the import dynamics. In the end suggestions on the optimal exchange rate policy in Russia are offered.

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8

Andryushin, S. "Arguments for the Ruble Exchange Rate Management." Voprosy Ekonomiki, no. 12 (December 20, 2015): 51–68. http://dx.doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2015-12-51-68.

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The paper discusses the target guides and the Bank of Russia’s monetary policy operational instruments. Events of 2014-2015 showed that the inflation targeting regime is not an effective target guide of the Bank of Russia’s monetary policy. The key interest rate fails to reflect the proper price of holding and using of financial resources of households, financial and non-financial organizations. The floating exchange rate regime has not become an automatic mechanism of external shocks absorption, but intensifies the exchange rate volatility instead. The exchange rate management is the only eff

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9

Blank, A., E. Gurvich, and A. Ulyukaev. "Exchange Rate and Competitiveness of Russia’s Industries." Voprosy Ekonomiki, no. 6 (June 20, 2006): 4–24. http://dx.doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2006-6-4-24.

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The impact of real exchange rate on the Russian economy in internal and external markets is studied. The analysis takes into account that imported goods are only partial substitutes for those produced domestically, as the former is comprised mainly by manufactures with diverse properties. Positive or negligible effect of real appreciation of the ruble on the share of Russian goods in internal markets is found for major industries. This means that real appreciation of the ruble shifts domestic demand from imported to domestically produced goods, i.e. increases their competitiveness. Higher shar

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10

Li, Jiahui. "Navigating the Uncertain Waters: An Analysis of the Near Future Profitability of the Russian Ruble." Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences 73, no. 1 (2024): None. http://dx.doi.org/10.54254/2754-1169/73/20230906.

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This paper aims to provide a comprehensive analysis of the near future of the Russian ruble, with a particular focus on its potential profitability as an investment asset. Amidst a backdrop of political tensions, economic sanctions, and ineffective forex interventions by the Russian Central Bank, the ruble has experienced significant volatility. The paper examines key factors influencing the rubles value, including political climate, inflation, interest rates, and main exports. The study analyzes the causes and solutions of Russias three major devaluations since the dissolution of the Soviet U

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11

Gasanov, Oscar. "Five Years of Inflation Targeting Without Economic Growth: What Should Be Changed? The Case of Russia." International Journal of Financial Research 12, no. 3 (2021): 162. http://dx.doi.org/10.5430/ijfr.v12n3p162.

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The article provides a review of approaches to assessing and analyzing the effectiveness of the interest rate and exchange rate policy of the Bank of Russia in the period 2015-2019. Despite the decrease in the rate of price growth, inflationary expectations of economic agents remain at a high level. Monetary policy continues to be tight. The stability of the exchange rate to external shocks, expected from the introduction of inflation targeting and a free floating rate, did not happen. The complex of conditions that have developed due to geopolitical factors, low growth rates and the global ec

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Shmyreva, Aleksandra, and Yuliya Moroz. "On the State of Exchange Rates in 2019–2021." Auditor 8, no. 3 (2022): 51–54. http://dx.doi.org/10.12737/1998-0701-2022-8-3-51-54.

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The article discusses the dynamics of changes in exchange rates in 2019–2021, analyzes the dynamics of the exchange rate of the Russian ruble against the US dollar and the euro. Th e factors infl uencing the change in the exchange rate of the national currency of Russia are considered, a relationship is drawn between the price of oil, the ruble exchange rate and infl ation in the country.

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13

Anikin, A. "Ruble Exchange Rate and Economic Interests of Russia." World Economy and International Relations, no. 5 (1995): 45–55. http://dx.doi.org/10.20542/0131-2227-1995-5-45-55.

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14

Polbin, Andrey V., and Margarita A. Kropocheva. "Modeling the relationship between the Russian ruble exchange rate and oil prices using artificial neural networks." Journal Of Applied Informatics 17, no. 4 (2022): 127–42. http://dx.doi.org/10.37791/2687-0649-2022-17-4-127-142.

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The article examines the dependence between the Russian ruble exchange rate and oil prices with the use of neural network modeling. The relevance of the study can be confirmed by the interest of the monetary authorities in modeling the dynamics of the exchange rate for developing monetary policy measures. The research objective of the article is the estimation of the relationship between the Russian ruble exchange rate and oil prices using multilayer perceptron and recurrent neural network models. Moreover, the influence of additional factors, including foreign exchange interventions and geopo

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15

Grachev, I.D., S.N. Larin, and N.V. Noakk. "Estimating the optimal exchange rate using the probabilistic market model toolkit." Экономика и предпринимательство 19, no. 4 (2025): 69–77. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14775017.

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In the context of globalization of the world economic system, significant fluctuations in the national currency exchange rate, both weakening and strengthening, were observed in Russia. This circumstance gave rise to discussions among practitioners and theorists about the advisability of finding the optimal ruble exchange rate and measures to support it in the context of sanctions. However, these discussions were not based on either model or experimental estimates, since they simply did not exist. The authors attempted to fill this gap. For this purpose, it was proposed to use a probabilistic

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16

Kuzmin, A. Yu. "Russian ruble exchange rate: Modeling of comparative medium-term and long-term dynamics." Finance: Theory and Practice 25, no. 6 (2021): 6–15. http://dx.doi.org/10.26794/2587-5671-2021-25-6-6-15.

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The subject of the study is the dynamic mechanism of the formation of the exchange rate of the Russian ruble in a multilevel system of economic fundamental determinants-aggregates in the context of the independent ﬂoating rate of the national currency. The aim of the study is to develop the author’s theoretical and methodological conceptual approach to modeling the dynamics of the equilibrium exchange rate based on international ﬂows (IFEER) and to develop a new model of the Russian ruble exchange rate dynamics on its basis. The methodological base of the research includes system analysis, fun

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17

Smirnov, S., E. Balashova, and L. Posvyanskaya. "Ruble Exchange Rate and the Structure of Russian Economy." Voprosy Ekonomiki, no. 1 (January 20, 2010): 63–81. http://dx.doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2010-1-63-81.

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The Banks of Russia exchange rate policy influences strongly the competitiveness of national producers at macrolevel. However, the structural consequences of this policy are not thoroughly studied. In particular, it is still almost unknown, which industries and commodities have high, medium or low sensitivity to exchange rate fluctuations. The article considers different approaches to the problem, all based on detailed statistical data. The conclusion is made that any exchange rate policy is an inappropriate tool to influence the structure of Russian economy.

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18

Akhmetov, L. A., and M. A. Bulavina. "Russian economy: challenges and reaction." Entrepreneur’s Guide 18, no. 1 (2025): 81–92. https://doi.org/10.24182/2073-9885-2025-18-1-81-92.

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The article examines and analyzes the problems and dynamics of economic growth in 2024 under the influence of external and internal factors and conditions, the dynamics of the key interest rate and inflation, and ways to reduce the volatility of the Russian ruble. The new rules for calculating the official exchange rate of the Russian ruble against the dollar and euro, introduced on June 13, 2024, based on data from credit institutions based on the results of interbank conversion operations on the over–the–counter foreign exchange market, and the currency exchange rate calculation system chang

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19

Polbin, A. "Modeling the real ruble exchange rate under monetary policyregime change." Voprosy Ekonomiki, no. 4 (April 20, 2017): 61–78. http://dx.doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2017-4-61-78.

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The paper estimates vector error correction model (VECM) for the real ruble exchange rate and real oil prices. The VECM model takes into account the structural break in short-term parameters due to the Bank of Russia monetary policy regime change in November 2014. Estimates show that the real exchange rate response to oil price shocks has dramatically changed. Before November2014 it took approximately one year to correct 50% of the real exchange rate gap due to oil prices permanent change. From November 2014 the real exchange rate adapts to oil price shocks almost instantly. The estimate of lo

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20

SMIRNOV, Valerii V. "Causality of ruble devaluation." Finance and Credit 29, no. 12 (2023): 2795–812. http://dx.doi.org/10.24891/fc.29.12.2795.

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Subject. This article discusses the issues related to the problem of devaluation of the Russian ruble. Objectives. The article aims to show the causality of the devaluation of the Russian ruble. Methods. For the study, I used a systems approach based on a statistical analysis. Results. The study reveals a significant increase in the debt of the non-financial sector and households, and the high volatility of quoted shares of Russian issuers. Conclusions and Relevance. The causality of the devaluation of the ruble, associated with the need to securitize Russian assets in the context of growing i

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21

CHALDAEVA, L. A., and A. A. DANILIN. "FORECASTING THE RUBLE EXCHANGE RATE BASED ON THE MACROECONOMIC PARAMETERS." EKONOMIKA I UPRAVLENIE: PROBLEMY, RESHENIYA 2, no. 6 (2020): 73–81. http://dx.doi.org/10.36871/ek.up.p.r.2020.06.02.010.

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This article covers the forecasts of the USD/RUB exchange rate based on the econometric model. The major factors effect on the national currency exchange rate are interest rate, inflation, and price of oil. The reasons of the exchange rate fluctuation have been presented in this paper. A possible scenario of future USD/RUB fluctuations has been considered in this article.

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22

Kiyutsevskaya, A. "Floating exchange rate of the russian ruble: myth or reality?" Voprosy Ekonomiki, no. 2 (February 20, 2014): 50–67. http://dx.doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2014-2-50-67.

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Active globalization of the Russian economy has required more flexible exchange rate policy. By 2015, the Bank of Russia plans to finish transition to the floating exchange rate. Though the regulator has been aspiring to achieve this goal since 2007, the exchange rate policy’s mechanism has been changed only after sharp deterioration of external economic conditions in 2008—2009. Expanding bounds of a currency corridor and reducing volumes of carried out interventions, the Bank of Russia continues to weaken the influence on internal currency market, limited to leveling the speculative expectati

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23

Borochkin, A. A. "Volatility and predictability of the Russian ruble exchange rate." Финансы и кредит 23, no. 5 (2017): 274–91. http://dx.doi.org/10.24891/fc.23.5.274.

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24

Yershov, Mikhail V., Anna S. Tanasova, and Viktor Yu Tatuzov. "The ruble exchange rate: What is the preferable level?" Journal of the Ural State University of Economics 19, no. 6 (2018): 16–32. http://dx.doi.org/10.29141/2073-1019-2018-19-6-2.

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25

Tsvil, Mariya, V. Bakhareva, and D. Matveeva. "FORECASTING THE VALUE OF THE YUAN-RUBLE EXCHANGE RATE." Science & World, no. 3 (December 22, 2024): 11–15. https://doi.org/10.26526/2307-9401-2024-3-11-15.

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the article provides a statistical analysis and forecasting of the dynamics of the yuan-ruble exchange rate depending on inflation in China. Based on annual data for the period 2003-2023, a regression model was built in order to predict the future course for 2024. The adequacy and quality of the compiled model were assessed

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Moiseev, S. "Russian Ruble as an International Reserve Currency." Voprosy Ekonomiki, no. 9 (September 20, 2008): 4–21. http://dx.doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2008-9-4-21.

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Can the Russian ruble become an international reserve currency? By identifying the key determinants of the international status of national currency this paper estimates possibilities of the ruble. The significant determinants include: the size of the home country, inflation rate, exchange rate volatility, the size of the relevant home financial market, and network externality. The author believes that several factors are in favor of the Russian currency, in particular the turnover and liquidity of foreign exchange market, the size of foreign trade, the development of international market of d

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27

Skrobotov, Anton A., and Nikita D. Fokin. "Testing Asymmetric Convergence of the Real Exchange Rate to Equilibrium During Ruble Exchange Rate Targeting." Economic Policy 13, no. 3 (2018): 132–47. http://dx.doi.org/10.18288/1994-5124-2018-3-06.

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28

Alekhin, Boris I. "Oil and the Ruble: Collapse of Cointegration." Financial Journal 13, no. 1 (2021): 58–74. http://dx.doi.org/10.31107/2075-1990-2021-1-58-74.

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Oil still contributes around 30 % to Russia's commodity export earnings, therefore the impact of oil prices on Ruble's exchange rate is of current interest to Russian economists. Instruments of time series analysis were used to test a proposition that the Russian ruble’s exchange rate has become less dependent on Brent crude oil price in recent years. We obtained 1,095 weekly observations for years 2000 to 2020 were obtained from FINAM company website. Our empirical model is a linear regression of the ruble’s exchange rate on Brent crude oil price. The Bai-Perron test has identified three stru

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FEDOTOV, Dmitrii Yu. "Devaluation of the national currency and the economic security of the State." Finance and Credit 27, no. 11 (2021): 2442–64. http://dx.doi.org/10.24891/fc.27.11.2442.

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Subject. This article examines the currency relations formed under the influence of the monetary policy of the Bank of Russia, and the dynamics of the official exchange rate of the ruble against the US dollar and the exchange rate at purchasing power parity. Objectives. The article aims to investigate the impact of changes in exchange rates on the development of the Russian economy. Methods. For the study I used the methods of correlation, logical, and statistical analyses. Results. The article identifies the main objectives of the monetary policy of the Bank of Russia related to the strengthe

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Zhang, Qingci. "Analysis of Indian Economic Situation and Influencing Factors of the Exchange Rate of Rupee." Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences 150, no. 1 (2025): 78–84. https://doi.org/10.54254/2754-1169/2024.19275.

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With the turmoil in the international foreign exchange market and the rapid development of the Indian economy, the role of the Indian rupee in the international exchange rate market has gradually increased. At the end of May 2024, the Reserve Bank of India announced its plan to allow rupee accounts to be opened outside India. This move has led to speculation about a big change in India's foreign exchange policy. This article provides some analysis of the Indian rupee based on these hot events, and also includes forecasts of its exchange rate changes. The whole analysis will be divided into som

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31

Chukhnina, Galina, and Daria Tregubova. "Optimization of Settlements for Export Operations in National Currency Under Modern Geopolitical Conditions." Regionalnaya ekonomika. Yug Rossii, no. 2 (July 2024): 222–30. http://dx.doi.org/10.15688/re.volsu.2024.2.19.

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The financial security of enterprises in modern geopolitical conditions is negatively affected by political and financial sanctions imposed on the Russian Federation. In modern conditions of a rather aggressive exchange rate policy of the Bank of Russia, which ensures the containment of the national currency exchange rate and has a direct impact on the receipt of negative exchange rate differences in the process of export operations of domestic enterprises, it is necessary to improve settlement measures when conducting foreign economic activity. The purpose of this study was to develop operati

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Lisin, V. "Investment Processes in the Russian Economy." Voprosy Ekonomiki, no. 6 (June 20, 2004): 4–27. http://dx.doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2004-6-4-27.

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The problem of interaction between Russian currency appreciation and positive dynamics of macroeconomic indicators is studied. Main economic factors of ruble appreciation are analyzed. Consequences of the Russian Central Bank's policy directed to oppose ruble appreciation and problems in financial area due to the increase of money supply through the exchange market are considered. Influence of exchange rate appreciation on economic growth, inflation, export, import, capital flows are discussed. It is concluded that Russian ruble appreciation stimulates an increase in efficiency of the Russian

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Zolotoukhina, T. "National Currency Appreciation and Growth of the Russian Economy." Voprosy Ekonomiki, no. 6 (June 20, 2004): 95–111. http://dx.doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2004-6-95-111.

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The problem of interaction between Russian currency appreciation and positive dynamics of macroeconomic indicators is studied. Main economic factors of ruble appreciation are analyzed. Consequences of the Russian Central Bank's policy directed to oppose ruble appreciation and problems in financial area due to the increase of money supply through the exchange market are considered. Influence of exchange rate appreciation on economic growth, inflation, export, import, capital flows are discussed. It is concluded that Russian ruble appreciation stimulates an increase in efficiency of the Russian

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Gurvich, E., V. Sokolov, and A. Ulyukaev. "The Impact of the Balassa-Samuelson Effect on the Real Ruble Exchange Rate: The Assessment." Voprosy Ekonomiki, no. 7 (July 20, 2008): 12–30. http://dx.doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2008-7-12-30.

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The article presents an empirical investigation of the impact of the Balassa-Samuelson effect on the real ruble appreciation in 1999-2007. We consider long-run, supply-side determinants of the real ruble exchange rate, such as changes in terms of trade and labor productivity. Using Russian and German data on price and productivity differentials between tradable and non-tradable sectors of the two economies, we estimate the significance of oil price shocks and the Balassa-Samuelson effect for the real ruble appreciation. Our study demonstrates that, on average, about 1/3 of the observed appreci

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Zubarev, A. V., and P. V. Trunin. "Effect of the ruble exchange rate on Russia’s economic activity." Studies on Russian Economic Development 25, no. 2 (2014): 176–83. http://dx.doi.org/10.1134/s1075700714020130.

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Pikhteev, Y. N., A. N. Novopashina, and E. N. Korneychenko. "The Impact of Oil Shocks on the Ruble Exchange Rate." IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science 459 (April 15, 2020): 062048. http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/459/6/062048.

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Zikunova, I. V. "FUNDAMENTAL FACTORS OF DOLLAR-RUBLE EXCHANGE RATE: EXPECTATIONS IN 2017." Scholarly Notes of Komsomolsk-na-Amure State Technical University 2, no. 29 (2017): 79–84. http://dx.doi.org/10.17084/2017.i-2(29).17.

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Ponkratov, V. V., and A. K. Karaev. "The impact of economic sanctions and the Covis-19 pandemic on the efficiency of the Russian foreign exchange market." Management and Business Administration, no. 3 (October 19, 2022): 125–32. http://dx.doi.org/10.33983/2075-1826-2022-3-125-132.

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The article analyzes the effectiveness of the Russian currency market using the multi-fractal analysis of fluctuations without a trend (MF-DFA) of a time series composed of daily values of the US dollar (USD) to Russian ruble (RUB) (USD/RUB) exchange rate for the period time (01/01/2013 — 04/01/2022), during which events occurred that led to serious changes in the Russian foreign exchange market. Calculations showed that the time series made up of the daily values of the USD/RUB exchange rate showed the least efficiency after the introduction of the fiscal rule and the coronavirus pandem

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Balaban, Suzana, Vladimir Pavićević, and Milica Simić. "INTERDEPENDENCE OF OIL PRICE VOLATILITY AND RUBLE EXCHANGE RATE DURING THE CRISIS IN UKRAINE." Oditor 10, no. 1 (2024): 19–56. http://dx.doi.org/10.59864/oditor12402b.

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The subject of research in this paper is the impact of the crisis in Ukraine on the volatility of the ruble and oil, as well as the correlation of these values with each other. In order to investigate the impact of the crisis in Ukraine as an external shock on the volatility of the ruble and crude oil, changes in the ratio of their values were analyzed on a daily basis, in the observed period during 2022 and the first four months of 2023. The analysis of time series, and then the comparative analysis of the mentioned data and the use of the GARCH model determined a certain divergence in the ve

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Ishkhanov, Alexander, and Elena Linkevich. "Currency Effects of Tax Policy Application." Vestnik Volgogradskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta. Ekonomika, no. 3 (October 2022): 158–70. http://dx.doi.org/10.15688/ek.jvolsu.2022.3.13.

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The article examines the Russian experience in the field of currency regulation and the instruments that affect the exchange rate of the Russian ruble in crisis conditions. It is justified that the dynamics of the Russian ruble exchange rate depends primarily on the influence of four factors: the state of the economy of the issuing country, state monetary and financial policies, price dynamics of international commodity markets, and instability of the global monetary and financial system. It was established that the Russian ruble exchange rate also depends on the volume of foreign currency pur

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Eremin, V. V. "Security of the money supply with gold and foreign exchange reserves as a leading indicator of the ruble exchange rate." Finance: Theory and Practice 27, no. 3 (2023): 43–55. http://dx.doi.org/10.26794/2587-5671-2023-27-3-43-55.

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The purpose of the study is to determine of the influence of the Russian money supply provision with gold and foreign exchange reserves (GFR) on the exchange rate of the Russian ruble in dynamics and to form of approaches to the practical application of the results. The objectives of the study are: theoretical substantiation of the form of connection between the money supply of GFR and the national currency exchange rate; analysis of the relationship of these indicators according to the data of the Russian economy for 27 years at the 1994–2022; reinforcement of theoretical claims with data fro

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Wu, Maoguo, and Yue Yu. "The Impact of Russia’s Oil-Dominated Energy Economic Changes on the Exchange Rate of Russian Ruble – Chinese Renminbi." European Scientific Journal, ESJ 13, no. 22 (2017): 173. http://dx.doi.org/10.19044/esj.2017.v13n22p173.

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Russia’s economic development has a close relation with China, due to geographical and historical reasons. This paper investigates whether the ruble – renminbi exchange rate changes accordingly when the pillar industry of Russia is drastically changing, and how the exchange rate changes and how it affects Russia’s economic development. In this paper, data of 7 variables spanning 122 months are selected based on related literature and availability of data. Regression analysis and empirical tests are carried out consequently. The results show that the energy price index represented by oil prices

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Gainetdinova, Anna A. "Asymmetric Impact of Geopolitical Risk and Economic Policy Uncertainty on Russian Ruble Exchange Rate." Journal of Applied Economic Research 22, no. 2 (2023): 270–93. http://dx.doi.org/10.15826/vestnik.2023.22.2.012.

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The Russian economy has encountered substantial exchange rate volatility due to many endogenous and exogenous shocks, including the global financial crisis, sanctions, and the COVID-19 pandemic. These exogenous shocks tend to increase economic policy uncertainty, eventually leading to exchange rate fluctuations. In addition, the Russian economy is highly exposed to geopolitical risks, which also reflected in the dynamics of the exchange rate. The hypothesis of the study is that the response of the exchange rate to the positive and negative shocks in geopolitical risk and economic policy uncert

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Ilyasov, R. Kh, and N. V. Puchkova. "Dollar exchange rate cyclicality: Phase analysis." Surgut State University Journal 13, no. 2 (2025): 8–15. https://doi.org/10.35266/2949-3455-2025-2-1.

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Dollar exchange rate analysis requires the involvement of relevant methods, which would enable us to study an important component of time series that is cyclicality. This paper investigates the cyclical nature of the US dollar to Russian ruble exchange rate. A fresh approach to the study of cyclicality is the modeling of dynamics by spline function, by differentiation of which we obtain a growth rate model. Cyclicality in economic dynamics is demonstrated by a successive change of phases distinguished by speed of changes in exchange rate. Identification of cyclicality phases is performed by ph

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Kaliński, Janusz. "Rubel trasferowy." Kwartalnik Kolegium Ekonomiczno-Społecznego. Studia i Prace, no. 3 (November 29, 2013): 147–67. http://dx.doi.org/10.33119/kkessip.2013.3.7.

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Common currency of the member states of Comecon came into existence in 1964, 15 years after the organization itself was created. Transfer ruble had a parity in gold (0,987412 g), but still in essence was just a unit of account. Its character was fundamentally different than that of similar currencies of capitalist states. Transfer ruble did not have basic monetary functions, such as measuring worth, paying for expenses, or accumulating value. It was not exchangeable to gold or any other currency, and the official rate of exchange wasn’t real. The transfer ruble was closely linked to planned mu

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Byvshev, V. A., and M. A. Yashchenko. "Assessment of the Volatility of the Main Cryptocurrencies, the Euro and the Direct Exchange Rate of the Ruble." Finance: Theory and Practice 28, no. 1 (2024): 133–44. http://dx.doi.org/10.26794/2587-5671-2024-28-1-133-144.

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The development of financial technologies in modern conditions has contributed to the active use of digital financial instruments — cryptocurrencies — in international settlements. The availability of up-to-date information on digital currency volatility will help crypto market participants predict the consequences of their transactions. The purpose of this work is to construct a new measure of the volatility of financial assets, in particular, cryptocurrencies, the euro and the direct exchange rate of the ruble. In order to obtain this measure, an analysis of known volatility measures was car

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Bunevich, Konstantin G., and Tatyana A. Gorbacheva. "MODERN CHARACTERISTICS OF THE RUBLE EXCHANGE RATE AND BALANCE OF PAYMENTS." Labour and Social Relations Journal 32, no. 2 (2021): 112–23. http://dx.doi.org/10.20410/2073-7815-2021-32-2-112-123.

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Aries, Morgan, Gianfranco Giromini, and Gunter Meissner. "A Model for a Fair Exchange Rate." Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies 09, no. 01 (2006): 51–66. http://dx.doi.org/10.1142/s0219091506000641.

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Financial markets have developed formulas and models to derive fair values for bonds, futures, swaps, options and other securities. This model derives a fair value of an exchange rate, which might be used as a benchmark for a long-term equilibrium level to stabilize currency markets. The model is based on the value-added tax adjusted purchasing power parity exchange rate. This rate is then modified by five components: the macro-economic component, the foreign currency reserve component, the debt component, the interest rate component, and the political stability/leadership component. With resp

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Kuzmin, Anton. "Mathematical Exchange Rates Modeling: Equilibrium and Nonequilibrium Dynamics." Mathematics 10, no. 24 (2022): 4672. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/math10244672.

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The development of the author’s concept of the International Flows Equilibrium Exchange Rate (IFEER) is the basis for the mathematical exchange rate modeling of two interconnected equal economies. IFEER-concept allows modeling the exchange rate dynamics of relatively medium-term equilibrium and short- and long-term disequilibrium. Discrete and integral versions of the concept are the basis for further modeling. New structural models of medium-, short- and long-term dynamics and new final structural dependencies of the exchange rate on the system of fundamental factors are the main results. The

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Bikalova, N., A. Korobko, and E. Konstantinova. "Currency interventions. How the Central Bank participates in overcoming the economic crisis in Russia." Bulletin of Science and Practice, no. 6 (June 14, 2017): 239–44. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.808752.

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The article is devoted to the currency interventions that were carried out by Central Bank of Russia in order to mitigate crisis consequences. Authors made an analysis of the correlation between ruble to dollar exchange rate and Brent price, derivatives of this correlation and made a conclusion about the efficiency of the Central Bank actions. The article is relevant, all analysed actions are connected with the 2017 year and concerned interventions that will be done by Central Bank soon.

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