Academic literature on the topic 'Scenario method'

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Journal articles on the topic "Scenario method"

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SHIOTA, Eiji, and Atsushi OHNISHI. "Scenario Retrieval Method Using Differential Scenario." IEICE Transactions on Information and Systems E99.D, no. 9 (2016): 2202–9. http://dx.doi.org/10.1587/transinf.2015kbp0001.

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Jo, Hanghun, Seong-A. Kim, and Heungsoon Kim. "Forecasting the Reduction in Urban Air Pollution by Expansion of Market Shares of Eco-Friendly Vehicles: A Focus on Seoul, Korea." International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 19, no. 22 (2022): 15314. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph192215314.

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Due to global climate change, various countries have agreed upon the use of conventions. In this study, the eco-friendly vehicular policy on carbon neutrality implemented in Seoul, Korea, was examined. To this end, various policy-based scenarios were set, and the changes in automotive exhaust gas emissions were evaluated and compared. The evaluation method combined macroscopic and microscopic emission models as its analysis framework. Micro-traffic data available in Korea were used for analyses, and the results for all autonomous districts were derived to cover the entire area of Seoul. The findings confirmed that the most effective measure is the initial replacement of old, mid-size, or large diesel passenger cars with eco-friendly vehicles (Middle-sized: Scenario 2-1 5.52%, Scenario 2-2 6.86%, Scenario 3-1 80.93%, and Scenario 3-2 83.98%). The replacement of old vehicles exhibited the highest effect in all tested scenarios, while the initial replacement of diesel vehicles was more effective than the replacement of gasoline and liquified petroleum gas vehicles (Diesel: Scenario2-1 6.64%, Scenario 2-2 8.21%, Scenario3-1 86.23%, and Scenario 3-2 90.51%). Among the autonomous districts of Seoul, the Gangnam-gu area exhibited the largest emission-reduced effect among all the tested scenarios (Gangnam-gu: Scenario 2-1 5.80%, Scenario 2-2 6.74%, Scenario 3-1 80.44%, and Scenario 3-2 82.62%). Overall, it was demonstrated that the findings of this study may have significant policy implications in terms of urban emission changes pertaining to transportation.
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Anggara Purba, Reno Dias, M. Iqbal Sabit, and Joko Sulistio. "Evaluation of SME (Small Medium Enterprise) production system with discrete system simulation method." MATEC Web of Conferences 154 (2018): 01067. http://dx.doi.org/10.1051/matecconf/201815401067.

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Like manufacturing companies that have flowshop production lines, SME facing the amount of flow time and makespan. Unfulfilled production targets, buildup on some machines that result in other machines being idle, increasing waiting times across multiple machines, and poor performance of workers are a series of problems facing SME. This article uses a discrete system simulation method to analyze and evaluate SME production lines to improve performance. Simulation is an appropriate tool used when experiments are needed in order to find the best response from system components. From the results of modeling and simulation done found the root of the problem is due to accumulation that occurs in one machine and the lack of utility of the operator in producing bags. So do the experimental design with 3 scenarios on the system that have been modeled and obtained some solutions that can be offered to solve the problem. Furthermore, after the alternative selection is obtained the best scenario based on the alternative selection test is the scenario3 by adding 2 new machines and 1 new operator on the production line obtained a significant output increase compared to other scenarios of approximately 30%. While the best scenario based on the minimum cost is the scenario2 by adding 2 new operators obtained output that is not much different than the scenario3. However, it has not been able to solve a series of problems facing SME. Therefore, the results of this study to solve a series of problems faced by SME is to add facilities in the production line of 2 new machines and 1 operator (scenario3).
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OHNISHI, Atsushi, and Koji KITAMOTO. "A Generation Method of Alternative Scenarios with a Normal Scenario." IEICE Transactions on Information and Systems E93-D, no. 4 (2010): 693–701. http://dx.doi.org/10.1587/transinf.e93.d.693.

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OHNISHI, A. "A Generation Method of Exceptional Scenarios from a Normal Scenario." IEICE Transactions on Information and Systems E91-D, no. 4 (2008): 881–87. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ietisy/e91-d.4.881.

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Liu, Tianyue, Cong Wang, Ziqiao Yin, Zhilong Mi, Xiya Xiong, and Binghui Guo. "Complexity Quantification of Driving Scenarios with Dynamic Evolution Characteristics." Entropy 26, no. 12 (2024): 1033. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/e26121033.

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Complexity is a key measure of driving scenario significance for scenario-based autonomous driving tests. However, current methods for quantifying scenario complexity primarily focus on static scenes rather than dynamic scenarios and fail to represent the dynamic evolution of scenarios. Autonomous vehicle performance may vary significantly across scenarios with different dynamic changes. This paper proposes the Dynamic Scenario Complexity Quantification (DSCQ) method for autonomous driving, which integrates the effects of the environment, road conditions, and dynamic entities in traffic on complexity. Additionally, it introduces Dynamic Effect Entropy to measure uncertainty arising from scenario evolution. Using the real-world DENSE dataset, we demonstrate that the proposed method more accurately quantifies real scenario complexity with dynamic evolution. Although certain scenes may appear less complex, their significant dynamic changes over time are captured by our proposed method but overlooked by conventional approaches. The correlation between scenario complexity and object detection algorithm performance further proves the effectiveness of the method. DSCQ quantifies driving scenario complexity across both spatial and temporal scales, filling the gap of existing methods that only consider spatial complexity. This approach shows the potential to enhance AV safety testing efficiency in varied and evolving scenarios.
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Nazarko, Joanicjusz, and Anna Kononiuk. "THE CRITICAL ANALYSIS OF SCENARIO CONSTRUCTION IN THE POLISH FORESIGHT INITIATIVES." Technological and Economic Development of Economy 19, no. 3 (2013): 510–32. http://dx.doi.org/10.3846/20294913.2013.809030.

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The aim of the article is to present the diagnosis of scenario method application in the Polish foresight initiatives. The concept of scenario method, its evolution, the state of the art of the Polish foresight studies and the critical analysis of the application of this method have been presented. From the questionnaire results the authors have identified (i) the approach used in scenario construction, (ii) the most important phases of scenario construction, (iii) the interconnection of scenario method with other methods of scenario construction, (iv) the profile of experts involved in foresight projects, (v) the profile of experts involved in scenario construction, (vi) the application of the triangulation principle in scenario construction, (vii) the application of wild cards in scenario construction and techniques to identify them, (viii) the average time of scenario construction process, (ix) the linkage of scenarios to other documents, (x) the number of scenarios elaborated upon, and (xi) the main difficulties in the process of scenario construction. To achieve article aims there have been used the following research methods: a literature review, the method of critical analysis and logical construction, survey research, the status of Polish foresight projects, interim and final report analysis. The research has been funded by the National Science Centre in Poland within a research project entitled Scenarios in future shaping and anticipation for foresight studies, project number: 4194/B/H03/2011/40.
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Jansen van Vuuren, David. "Valuing specialised property: cost vs profits method uncertainty." Journal of Property Investment & Finance 34, no. 6 (2016): 655–63. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/jpif-06-2016-0048.

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Purpose The purpose of this paper is to compare the value outcomes of the cost approach to the DCF profits method when valuing specialised property under different scenarios as a test for choice of method or model uncertainty; and to quantify valuation uncertainty under each scenario and to argue for an increasing adoption of the profits method of valuation. Design/methodology/approach A qualitative case study approach was used to analyse four physical valuations performed in practice under four specific scenarios, namely, a business-as-usual scenario, an underperforming business scenario, an expanding capacity scenario and a combined business-as-usual funding a start-up joint venture scenario. Findings The cost approach relative to the DCF profits approach consistently under-values specialised property under business-as-usual and business expanding scenarios while it over-values in instances of underperforming business scenario. Practical implications Financial institutions that predominantly uses or accepts the cost approach for valuing specialised property should consider adopting the DCF profits approach as the default approach when valuing for mortgage lending purposes. Business owners of specialised properties should contract practitioners knowledgeable and skilled in the application of the DCF profits method. Originality/value This paper quantifies choice of method or model uncertainty of four different scenarios of specialised properties where both the cost approach and DCF profits methods of valuation were employed. It suggests the adoption of the DCF profits method as the default method of valuation for specialised property.
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Huang, Xinghua, Gonglin Zhang, Yuanliang Fan, et al. "Distribution Network Optimization Dispatch Method Based on Renewable Energy Scenario Reduction." Journal of Physics: Conference Series 2661, no. 1 (2023): 012020. http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/2661/1/012020.

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Abstract The scenario analysis method is an important method to adapt to the optimal dispatch of power systems with a high percentage of new energy sources. As a hot research topic in scenario analysis methods, the significance of scenario reduction is to describe many complex scenarios that feature a small number of representative scenarios to achieve the purpose of reducing computational complexity. In this paper, a distribution network optimization dispatch method based on the hierarchical clustering algorithm for scenario reduction is proposed considering wind power output and photovoltaic output. Firstly, the original scenes are quickly categorized because of the hierarchical clustering algorithm to derive typical scenarios. Secondly, an optimal dispatch model of the distribution network containing renewable energy is established. Finally, the arithmetic example is verified by using the IEEE33 distribution network, and the experimental results validate the validity and superiority of the proposed scenario reduction method.
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Svatošová, Veronika, and Josef Smolík. "The Scenarios of Social Policy Development in the Czech Republic." Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis 63, no. 5 (2015): 1749–67. http://dx.doi.org/10.11118/actaun201563051749.

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The main objective of this paper is to create scenarios of possible development of social policy in the Czech Republic and evaluate the probability of each scenario. Based on the literature review and scenario method, three scenarios are created (scenario of a positive development, scenario of a negative development, and explorative scenario), which are compared with the current state of Czech social policy and which evaluate the possible development of Czech social policy in the period up to 2050. For the implementation of scenarios, basic factors that influence the development of Czech social policy are identified. The complementary research methods are creative methods brainstorming and mind mapping, modelling, an intuitive method of estimating trends and decision-making method of scoring. The research shows that the Czech social policy system is threatened without accepting the strategic and conceptual social policy solutions. The probability of the scenario of negative development (critical scenario) of Czech social policy is more than ninety percent. This scenario is based on a deep economic crisis, the collapse of the entire system of social policy and great social unrest. The created scenarios are useful for actors of social policy which can reverse the negative development of Czech social policy.
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Dissertations / Theses on the topic "Scenario method"

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Bengtsson, Jonna. "Scenario-Based Evaluation of a Method for System Security Assessment." Thesis, Linköping University, Department of Electrical Engineering, 2005. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-6004.

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<p>This thesis evaluates a method for system security assessment (MASS), developed at the Swedish Defence Research Agency in Linköping. The evaluation has been carried out with the use of scenarios, consisting of three example networks and several modifications of those. The results from the scenarios are then compared to the expectations of the author and a general discussion is taken about whether or not the results are realistic.</p><p>The evaluation is not meant to be exhaustive, so even if MASS had passed the evaluation with flying colors, it could not have been regarded as proof that the method works as intended. However, this was not the case; even though MASS responded well to the majority of the modifications, some issues indicating possible adjustments or improvements were found and commented on in this report.</p><p>The conclusion from the evaluation is therefore that there are issues to be solved and that the evaluated version of MASS is not ready to be used to evaluate real networks. The method has enough promise not to be discarded, though. With the aid of the issues found in this thesis, it should be developed further, along with the supporting tools, and be re-evaluated.</p>
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Hooper, Seth T. "Enhancing the enhanced scenario-based method of cost risk analysis." Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2011. http://hdl.handle.net/10945/10622.

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The current S-Curve method of cost risk analysis for major DON acquisitions projects does not accurately estimate actual cost when the program reaches Full Rate Production. Another, sometimes more effective method of measuring cost risk, is by using the enhanced scenario-based method (eSBM) of risk analysis. The reason that cost estimations from the milestone B costs are inaccurate is that very little, if any, real information about the project is known. eSBM allows managers a less statistically tasking method of determining cost risk for a project while still maintaining the requirements of the Weapons System Acquisitions Reform Act. The key factors in measuring the usefulness of eSBM should be focused on the acquisition strategy being used for the project and the time frame from Milestone B to later Milestones. I presume that different acquisition strategies will yield different levels of success in estimating cost risk for eSBM.
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Thomas, Victoria Katherine. "A Method for Scenario-based Risk Assessment for Robust Aerospace Systems." Diss., Georgia Institute of Technology, 2007. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/14536.

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A methodology for the conceptual design phase risk assessment of an aerospace system was proposed. The method was designed to examine political, social, and economic risk over a systems lifecycle through the use of future scenarios to bound uncertainty. A decision support framework was developed to allow the user to visualize the differences in performance and economic metrics between design options as well as allowing the user to visualize the effects of mitigating certain risks. A historical proof of concept was developed to test the methodology. The results indicated that the new method will work to examine political, social, and economic risk during conceptual level design, and that this information can be used to aid in design down-selection and decision making. The use of scenario-based analysis as an alternative to traditional probabilistic analysis allowed for better traceability and bounding of uncertainty. Other findings regarding the use of a risk analysis early during concept design and future work are also discussed.
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KREMER, VALERIE JACOBS. "TOWARDS EXPANDING A METHODOLOGY: UTILIZING SCENARIO PLANNING IN FASHION FORECASTING." University of Cincinnati / OhioLINK, 2002. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=ucin1022782166.

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Siketina, Natalya Hennadievna. "Strategies for sustainable development of machine-building enterprise." Thesis, Mieszko I School of Education and Administration, 2018. http://repository.kpi.kharkov.ua/handle/KhPI-Press/36610.

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Enterprises must identify those that affect its activities, identify the acceptable level of risk and how to calculate it, in order to reduce or prevent the risk of making managerial decisions. Since in the process of functioning of the enterprise there is a lagging of the values of the actually obtained indicators from the desired, there is not only the need to respond to changes in the environment of the enterprise, as well as their prediction. Consequently, the management of machine-building enterprises should develop a forecast of possible changes (positive and negative deviations) in the dynamics of the main indicators of its activities
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Sundmark, Thomas. "Improvement and Scenario-Based Evaluation of the eXtended Method for Assessment of System Security." Thesis, Linköping University, Department of Electrical Engineering, 2008. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-16555.

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<p>This master’s thesis consists of a scenario-based evaluation of an IT-security assessment method known as the eXtendedMethod for Assessment of System Security (XMASS), as well as an assessment of a real-world network using the softwareimplementation of this method known as the Security AssessmeNT Application (SANTA).This thesis also describes a number of improvements made to the software implementation, some which could also be addedto the method itself. These were performed during the preparation of the assessment but had no effect on the outcome.The evaluation showed that the method and implementation contained a number of flaws in the way the filtering effect ofthe traffic mediators of a network, such as network-based firewalls, was implemented. When it comes to the assessment ofthe real-world network it was seen that the network, given the supplied information regarding the software and hardwaresetup of its entities, appeared to be sufficiently secure to handle the transmission of data at the lowest classification level(Restricted). However, as with almost all security assessments, this does not mean that the network is guaranteed to besecure enough; it just indicates that, given the information specified, the network has the potential of being sufficientlysecure.The main conclusion of this thesis is that the way XMASS and SANTA calculates the effect of filtering traffic mediatorsshould be looked into and improved to increase the usability of the tool. The method can however still be used in its currentstate, but requires the individual(s) performing the assessment to be aware of the drawbacks of the current implementationand thus compensate for these when producing the input for the assessment method.</p>
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Siketina, Natalya Hennadievna. "Scenario approach to develop machine-building enterprise’s strategy." Thesis, Аналітичний центр "Нова Економіка", 2017. http://repository.kpi.kharkov.ua/handle/KhPI-Press/32893.

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During the last years maintenance of competitive activity changed and the that subject of management, that creates competitive potential, finds out potential of any value, generates unique ideas and knowledge that can interest the future consumers of his products. For reduction or prevention of risk of acceptance of administrative decisions the enterprises must find out those that influence on its activity, find out the possible level of risk and methods of his calculation .
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Jiang, Hongjun. "The development of a scenario independent method for evaluating the evacuation complexity of a building." Thesis, University of Greenwich, 2012. http://gala.gre.ac.uk/8783/.

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Over the past two decades, more than 30 evacuation models have been developed to reproduce people’s movement patterns in evacuation. However, evacuation models cannot assess whether one building is better than another in regards to evacuation wayfinding. There exist techniques that attempt to compare different buildings for evacuation complexity. However, these graph measures are primarily used to measure the relative accessibility of different locations in a spatial system and were not generated for the purpose of comparing the complexity of different buildings. Currently only one method exists, Donegan’s method [DT98] [PD96] [DT99], which can be applied to compare building for evacuation ability. However, this technique is severely limited to specific building layouts and only considers connectivity. Taking the Donegan’s method as a first step, this thesis extends this algorithm to obtain a new Distance Graph Method, which considers travel distance as well as being able to be applied to graphs with circuits. Then a further building complexity measures is presented, the Global Complexity (PAT) method. This is shown to be a valid measure which considers additional important factors such as wayfinding time, travel distance and the areas of compartments. The Distance Graph Method and Global Complexity (PAT) methods are based on a room graph representation which does not have the descriptive power to describe the actual routes taken during the wayfinding process. To resolve this drawback a further method is presented which utilises a ‘route-based graph’ that has the ability to represent the real route that an evacuee will take during the wayfinding process. Furthermore the Distance Graph Method and Global Complexity (PAT) methods assume a “worst state” calculation for the nodal information. This means for buildings with more than one exit these methods calculate a global building complexity according to a mathematical formula, which considers all exits separately. To address these problems, the final method, Complexity Time Measure, is presented, which is based around a number of wayfinding behaviour rules over a ‘route-based graph’ representation. This addresses the question: ‘If an occupant is positioned at a random location within a building, on average how long does the occupant need to spend to find an available exit?’ Hence, provides a means to compare complex buildings, with circuits, in relation to evacuation capability.
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Stix, Volker. "Stochastic branch & bound applying target oriented branch & bound method to optimal scenario tree reduction." Institut für Informationsverarbeitung und Informationswirtschaft, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business, 2002. http://epub.wu.ac.at/1212/1/document.pdf.

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In this article a new branch & bound method is described. It uses an artificial target to improve its bounding capabilities. Therefore the new approach is faster compared to the classical one. It is applied to the stochastic problem of optimal scenario tree reduction. The aspects of global optimization are emphasized here. All necessary components for that problem are developed and some experimental results underline the benefits of the new approach. (author's abstract)<br>Series: Working Papers on Information Systems, Information Business and Operations
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Pradhan, Ligaj. "User Interface Test Automation and its Challenges in an Industrial Scenario." Thesis, Mälardalens högskola, Akademin för innovation, design och teknik, 2012. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:mdh:diva-14126.

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The growing demand for UI test automation has triggered the development of many tools. Researchers and developers have been continuously working to further improvise the existing approaches. If we look at GUI test evolution we can observe a clear progress from manual testing towards complete automation. Numerous approaches have been made to automate the GUI testing process. Record and playback tools, key-word driven methodologies, event flow exploration strategies, model based approaches are continuously evolving with higher level of automation. Similarly, new ideas and strategies to make these tests efficient are also emerging. Optimization of this resource consuming activity is another very important aspect in this area.  Dependencies between different tests can create deadlock scenarios, while running larger test suites. A concept of Ordered Test Suite can be used to cope with such dependencies. Following the Model Driven Architecture initiative by Object Management Group, a new global trend of Model Driven Engineering is creating a big sensation in the field of model based software development. Using the same principle, studies have also been made to automatically generate tests from models. Behavioral models can be made using the model driven approaches and these models can be analyzed to generate tests automatically. This master thesis addresses different approaches made for Graphical User Interface test automation, some optimization issues and solutions, a case study done at a software company to automate User Interface testing and a model driven approach for automatic test case generation.
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Books on the topic "Scenario method"

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Abbott, David W. Scenario role play: The Blees method. 2nd ed. AuthorHouse, 2005.

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Jan, Chleboun, and Babuška Ivo, eds. Uncertain input data problems and the worst scenario method. Elsevier, 2004.

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Chermack, Thomas J. Scenario planning in organizations: How to create, use, and assess scenarios. Berrett-Koehler, 2011.

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Barykin, Alex, Valentin Ikryannikov, and Yuriy Budkin. National system of standardization of the Russian Federation. Principles, goals, objectives, forecast of development. INFRA-M Academic Publishing LLC., 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.12737/1058023.

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The monograph presents the research questions of efficiency of functioning of national standardization system of the Russian Federation, which was conducted by the authors in the framework of the analytical work on the order of Minpromtorg of Russia in 2018 (the state contract from April 17, 2018 No. 18401.16Д0190019.10.002) taking into account the actual directions of development of national standardization system of the Russian Federation and additional generalizations. The assessment of the current scenario of the development of the national standardization system of the Russian Federation was carried out using comparable indicators of the national standardization systems of France, Germany, great Britain and the USA. The findings and proposals were based on the results of a survey of civil servants at the Federal and regional levels on approaches to strategic dimensions of standardization. The methodology of forecasting the development of the national standardization system of the Russian Federation includes a scenario approach and a method of constructing dispersion diagrams (bubble diagrams) and sufficiently illustrates the current state of Affairs in the field of standardization at the national level. The developed tools will require additional configuration when changing the current development scenario from "inertial" to "progressive". A number of author's proposals to change the current scenario of development of the national standardization system of the Russian Federation are presented.&#x0D; It is of interest to a wide range of readers and specialists in the field of public administration, standardization and can be used in the preparation of curricula and manuals for undergraduate, graduate and further education.
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Canada. Human Resources Development Canada. Applied Research Branch., ed. Canadian Occupational Projection System 1999 macroeconomic reference scenario. Human Resources Development Canada, Applied Research Branch, 1999.

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Agency, OECD Nuclear Energy, ed. Scenario development methods and practice: An evaluation based on the NEA Workshop on Scenario Development, Madrid, May 1999. Nuclear Energy Agency, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, 2001.

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M, O'Byrne John, and Devitt Brian, eds. Sports emergencies: Management scenarios. Churchill Livingstone, 2010.

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Bozzo, Luciano. The Kosovo quagmire: Conflict scenarios and methods for resolution. F. Angeli, 2000.

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Hannah, Kosow. Methods of future and scenario analysis: Overview, assessment. and selection criteria. Dt. Inst. für Entwicklungspolitik, 2008.

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Hannah, Kosow. Methods of future and scenario analysis: Overview, assessment. and selection criteria. Dt. Inst. für Entwicklungspolitik, 2008.

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Book chapters on the topic "Scenario method"

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Cairns, George, and George Wright. "Building on the Basic Method: Power, Ethics and Critical Scenario Method." In Scenario Thinking. Springer International Publishing, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-49067-0_4.

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Cairns, George, and George Wright. "Advanced Methods in Scenario Development: Uncovering Causality and Using the Delphi Method." In Scenario Thinking. Springer International Publishing, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-49067-0_7.

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Cairns, George, and George Wright. "Working with Scenarios: Introducing the Basic Method." In Scenario Thinking. Springer International Publishing, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-49067-0_2.

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Wright, George, and George Cairns. "Working with Scenarios: Introducing the Basic Method." In Scenario Thinking. Palgrave Macmillan UK, 2011. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/9780230306899_2.

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Wright, George, and George Cairns. "The Backwards Logic Method of Constructing Extreme Scenarios." In Scenario Thinking. Palgrave Macmillan UK, 2011. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/9780230306899_8.

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Cairns, George, and George Wright. "The Backwards Logic Method of Constructing Extreme Scenarios and Considering Local Agency in Branching Scenarios." In Scenario Thinking. Springer International Publishing, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-49067-0_6.

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Yanagida, Koji, Yoshihiro Ueda, Kentaro Go, Katsumi Takahashi, Seiji Hayakawa, and Kazuhiko Yamazaki. "Structured Scenario-Based Design Method." In Human Centered Design. Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2009. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-02806-9_43.

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Ralyté, Jolita, Colette Rolland, and Véronique Plihon. "Method Enhancement with Scenario Based Techniques." In Advanced Information Systems Engineering. Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 1999. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/3-540-48738-7_9.

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Chorafas, Dimitris N. "Scenario Analysis and the Delphi Method." In Modelling the Survival of Financial and Industrial Enterprises. Palgrave Macmillan UK, 2002. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/9780230501737_7.

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Eid, Bana, and Hanan M. Taleb. "Simulation Study on the Effect of Courtyards Design on Natural Ventilation: The Case Study of a Beauty Centre in Germany." In Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering. Springer Nature Switzerland, 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-27462-6_15.

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AbstractThis paper examines how to enhance the indoor environmental quality and thermal comfort in a beauty centre in Germany, by implementing courtyard in the building as a natural ventilation method. The courtyard ventilation method will be discussed in the literature review and will apply it using IES VE computer software with different strategies in different scenarios to achieve the optimum natural ventilation with the best scenario. This will include designing the base case scenario, and next, the HVAC system will be switched off during the summer and apply 3 different strategies with 3 scenarios each to study the effect of natural ventilation of courtyards in terms of energy consumption and thermal comfort and choose the best-case scenario. The winning case scenario is “scenario 8” as it has dropped 2.3 MWh from the total energy based on the base case scenario. Natural ventilation is important as it helps in improving the thermal comfort of the indoor and outdoor environment and controlling the inside temperature along with the air quality and movement. Moreover, it helps in reducing the usage of energy and thus reducing costs. All the strategies, scenarios and simulations were done by the authors using IES VE software.
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Conference papers on the topic "Scenario method"

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Cai, Zhi, Shengnan Xu, Linghao Li, and Wei Wang. "Wasserstein Distance-Based Renewable Scenario Generation Method." In 2024 IEEE 8th Conference on Energy Internet and Energy System Integration (EI2). IEEE, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1109/ei264398.2024.10991845.

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Fang, Zhiyu, Boyang Li, Mingyue Cui, and Kai Huang. "A Cooperative LiDAR Perception Method in V2I Scenario." In 2024 5th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Computer Engineering (ICAICE). IEEE, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1109/icaice63571.2024.10864259.

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Peng, Wensheng, and Zhaoyang Zeng. "A Scenario-Goal Hybrid Method for Reliability Requirement Capture." In 2023 14th International Conference on Reliability, Maintainability and Safety (ICRMS). IEEE, 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/icrms59672.2023.00149.

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Liu, Tong. "Conditional WGAN-GP-based Renewable Energy Scenario Generation Method." In 2025 4th International Conference on Smart Grid and Green Energy (ICSGGE). IEEE, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1109/icsgge64667.2025.10982692.

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Wang, Lina, Dong Sun, and Wei Li. "Typical scenario clustering method and application of oilfield microenergy grid." In Fourth International Conference on Advanced Algorithms and Neural Networks (AANN 2024), edited by Qinghua Lu and Weishan Zhang. SPIE, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.1117/12.3049600.

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Xie, Chundong, Zixuan Wang, Shuailong He, et al. "A Distribution Network Optimization Operation Method Considering Extreme Uncertainty Scenario." In 2024 7th International Conference on Power and Energy Applications (ICPEA). IEEE, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1109/icpea63589.2024.10784727.

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Chang, Yuntao, Bohui Zhang, and Siqi Zhou. "Research on scenario-based trustworthiness evaluation method of autonomous vehicles." In 9th International Conference on Electromechanical Control Technology and Transportation (ICECTT 2024), edited by Jinsong Wu and Azanizawati Ma'aram. SPIE, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.1117/12.3039710.

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Zhao, Le, Qinxin Huang, Mengyao Zhang, and Zheyu Yuan. "Multi-scenario power grid planning method based on sensitivity factors." In Ninth International Conference on Energy System, Electricity and Power (ESEP 2024), edited by Mohan Lal Kolhe, Yunfei Mu, Ze Cheng, and Qian Xiao. SPIE, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1117/12.3061449.

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Zhang, Zukun, and Ruijin Zhu. "A Photovoltaic Power Scenario Generation Method Based on HiLo-WGAN." In 2024 11th International Forum on Electrical Engineering and Automation (IFEEA). IEEE, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1109/ifeea64237.2024.10878745.

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"A SCENARIO GENERATION METHOD USING A DIFFERENTIAL SCENARIO." In 1st International Conference on Software and Data Technologies. SciTePress - Science and and Technology Publications, 2006. http://dx.doi.org/10.5220/0001313102790282.

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Reports on the topic "Scenario method"

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Hooper, Seth T. Enhancing the Enhanced Scenario-Based Method of Cost-Risk Analysis. Defense Technical Information Center, 2011. http://dx.doi.org/10.21236/ada555669.

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Biddlecom, Ann, Taylor Riley, Jacqueline E. Darroch, Elizabeth A. Sully, Vladimíra Kantorová, and Mark C. Wheldon. Future Scenarios of Adolescent Contraceptive Use, Cost and Impact in Developing Regions. Guttmacher Institute, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.1363/2018.29732.

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Key Points This report presents scenarios of adolescent contraceptive use through 2030 to highlight the potential impact and costs associated with overall increased contraceptive use among adolescents and an increased use of long-acting, reversible contraceptives (LARCs), specifically. Under a scenario that assumes the most likely level of modern contraceptive use to be reached in a particular year (median values of probabilistic projections), the number of adolescent women using modern contraceptives in developing regions would reach 19.8 million in 2030, and 57% of adolescent women would have their need for modern contraception met. The total annual cost of services in 2030 for the projected 19.8 million modern method users would be an estimated $310 million. The cost would be lower, at $275 million, if 20% of adolescent women using short-acting methods were to choose LARCs. An estimated 7.1 million unintended pregnancies would be averted under this scenario. Because LARCs are highly effective, a shift toward use of these methods would avert an additional 300,000 unintended pregnancies. Under a scenario with accelerated growth in modern contraceptive use among adolescent women in developing regions, the number of modern method users would reach 27.1 million in 2030, and the proportion of adolescent women whose need for modern contraception would be met would rise to 79%. Contraceptive services for the 27.1 million modern method users in 2030 would cost an estimated $412 million. The cost would drop to $365 million under an assumption of increased LARC use. In 2030, an estimated 9.6 million unintended pregnancies would be averted under this accelerated growth scenario, and an additional 400,000 unintended pregnancies would be averted with a shift to LARC use.
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Desjardins and Sahney. PR-351-083602-R01 Field Demonstration of Reliability Based Guidelines for Pipeline Integrity. Pipeline Research Council International, Inc. (PRCI), 2011. http://dx.doi.org/10.55274/r0010786.

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An in-depth review of the reliability framework developed by C-FER for PRCI (PR-244-05302 Guidelines for Reliability Based Pipeline Integrity Methods) was undertaken in Phase I of this project. In Phase II of this project, the guidelines were applied to a second set of inline inspection data � along with more specifically defined input parameters. Specifically, two scenarios were assessed for the corrosion data set: one scenario consisted of corrosion growth rate applied on a defect-specific basis whereas the second scenario consisted for corrosion growth rate applied on a segment-specific basis. The analysis was intended to test the method for repeatability of results as well as the sensitivity to one of the critical assumptions associated with corrosion growth rate. The results are presented in this report.
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Burch, Katrina. An MCA linear additive method for research project analysis. Engineer Research and Development Center (U.S.), 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.21079/11681/48156.

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This report describes a business intelligence (BI) model developed by the Cold Regions Research and Engineering Laboratory (CRREL) to evaluate multiple projects simultaneously and help researchers learn descriptive phrases found in alignment sources representative of their projects. The BI model combines the linear additive model with the analytical hierarchy process to take advantage of the qualitative and quantitative nature of both methods. The model has five variations, all built along the same objectives but with different criteria due to the specialized emphasis areas of each variation. The BI model operates around three central concepts for evaluating the projects: Alignment Variables, Timing, and Customer Relationship. A use-case scenario with ten projects shows the effectiveness of the model and compares it with another model from the United States Military Academy. This new BI model will assist researchers in developing and proposing research ideas that are more relevant and fundable.
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Jiang, S., B. Liu, and B. Carpenter. IPv6 Enterprise Network Renumbering Scenarios, Considerations, and Methods. RFC Editor, 2013. http://dx.doi.org/10.17487/rfc6879.

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Bass, Len, Mark klein, and Gabriel Moreno. Applicability of General Scenarios to the Architecture Tradeoff Analysis Method. Defense Technical Information Center, 2001. http://dx.doi.org/10.21236/ada388958.

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Bi, J., G. Yao, and J. Halpern. Source Address Validation Improvement (SAVI) for Mixed Address Assignment Methods Scenario. Edited by E. Levy-Abegnoli. RFC Editor, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.17487/rfc8074.

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Prinn, Ronald, and Mort Webster. Methods for Developing Emissions Scenarios for Integrated Assessment Models. Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI), 2007. http://dx.doi.org/10.2172/1080199.

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Bäumler, Maximilian, Günther Prokop, Matthias Lehmann, and Linda Dziuba-Kaiser. Use Information You Have Never Observed Together: Data Fusion as a Major Step Towards Realistic Test Scenarios. TU Dresden, 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.26128/2024.3.

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Scenario-based testing is a major pillar in the development and effectiveness assessment of automated driving systems. Thereby, test scenarios address different information layers and situations (normal driving, critical situations and accidents) by using different databases. However, the systematic combination of accident and / or normal driving databases into new synthetic databases can help to obtain scenarios that are as realistic as possible. This paper shows how statistical matching (SM) can be applied to fuse different categorical accident and traffic observation databases. Hereby, the fusion is demonstrated in two use cases, each featuring several fusion methods. In use case 1, a synthetic database was generated out of two accident data samples, whereby 78.7% of the original values could be estimated correctly by a random forest classifier. The same fusion using distance-hot-deck reproduced only 67% of the original values, but better preserved the marginal distributions. A real-world application is illustrated in use case 2, where accident data was fused with over 23,000 car trajectories at one intersection in Germany. We could show that SM is applicable to fuse categorical traffic databases. In future research, the combination of hotdeck- methods and machine learning classifiers needs to be further investigated.
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Manai, Jojo, and Jeremy Roschelle. Connecting SEERNet and Improvement Science to Pursue Better Outcomes in Schools. SEERNet, Digital Promise, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.51388/20.500.12265/234.

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In every school, dedicated teachers strive to support their students' unique learning journeys. Imagine a classroom where potential challenges are quickly identified and met with precise interventions. Imagine a school or school district where the many potential ways to solve problems can be quickly tested, and the best solutions rapidly scaled up across the district. We explore how this vision can become a reality through the integration of Improvement Science with SEERNet's data and research capabilities. Improvement Science offers a structured approach to identifying and solving problems. SEERNet—a network of digital learning platforms, researchers, and educators—provides a method to use evidence to compare alternative approaches to supporting students on the basis of detailed data from students’ experiences in digital learning platforms. However, this vision cannot be realized in isolation. Collaboration between researchers and practitioners is vital for improving student outcomes. Researchers contribute theoretical knowledge and empirical skills, while practitioners bring on-the-ground professional experience and knowledge about what works for their students. Working together, they can advance how educational technologies are used for student learning in ways that are research based, practical and relevant. This white paper explores how and why SEERNet could be combined with Improvement Science methodologies. We delve into the collaborative power of Networked Improvement Communities (NICs), a core method in Improvement Science. We then examine the dynamic interplay between SEERNet's approach and Improvement Science. A scenario illustrates how a school district could use Terracotta, a platform that enables research within a popular LMS, to address reading comprehension barriers in STEM subjects for English learners and students with disabilities. Researchers and teachers collaborate to test assignment modifications, such as adding text-to-speech tools and steps to clarify questions. Using iterative Plan-Do-Study-Act (PDSA) cycles, they refine these strategies based on data, resulting in improved outcomes. The paper concludes with five recommendations: fostering collaboration, enhancing data sharing, leveraging root cause analysis, implementing iterative improvements, and scaling successful interventions.
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