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1

Xiao, Yang, Qinli Xiong, and Kaiwen Pan. "What Is Left for Our Next Generation? Integrating Ecosystem Services into Regional Policy Planning in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area of China." Sustainability 11, no. 1 (2018): 3. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su11010003.

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Land use/Land cover (LULC) changes as a result of policy planning influence ecosystem structures, processes, and functions, which are the basis for providing a wide range of ecosystem services (ES). There is an increasing consensus about the importance of integrating ES into ecological policy but quantifying the potential impacts of different policy on ES has proven difficult. We designed a remote sensing, geographic information system and scenario analysis-based approach to estimate and analyze the relationship between ES (soil conservation and carbon sequestration) and ecological policy desi
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2

Freeman, Oliver, and Hugh M. Pattinson. "Exploring client scenarios associated with scenario planning." Futures 42, no. 4 (2010): 304–12. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2009.11.016.

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3

Coates, Joseph F. "Scenario planning." Technological Forecasting and Social Change 113 (December 2016): 99–102. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.10.043.

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4

Coates, Joseph F. "Scenario Planning." Technological Forecasting and Social Change 65, no. 1 (2000): 115–23. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0040-1625(99)00084-0.

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Godet, Michel, Fabrice Roubelat, and Guest Editors. "Scenario Planning." Technological Forecasting and Social Change 65, no. 1 (2000): 1–2. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0040-1625(99)00119-5.

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6

Enzmann, Dieter R., Norman J. Beauchamp, and Alexander Norbash. "Scenario Planning." Journal of the American College of Radiology 8, no. 3 (2011): 175–79. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jacr.2010.08.022.

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7

Erridge, S. "Scenario Planning." Clinical Oncology 19, no. 3 (2007): S11. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.clon.2007.01.306.

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8

Bloom, Michael J., and Mary K. Menefee. "Scenario Planning and Contingency Planning." Public Productivity & Management Review 17, no. 3 (1994): 223. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/3380654.

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9

Miesing, Paul, and Raymond K. Van Ness. "Exercise: Scenario Planning." Organization Management Journal 4, no. 2 (2007): 148–67. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/omj.2007.16.

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10

Young, Jimmy B., and Scott E. Hall. "Individual Scenario Planning." Journal of Workplace Behavioral Health 21, no. 1 (2006): 39–52. http://dx.doi.org/10.1300/j490v21n01_04.

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11

Maslikhina, V. Yu. "Scenario planning for the development of spatial economic and social systems: Methodological approaches." Regional Economics: Theory and Practice 18, no. 10 (2020): 1839–68. http://dx.doi.org/10.24891/re.18.10.1839.

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Subject. This article reviews and systematizes methodological approaches to generate scenarios and develop a scenario planning algorithm in relation to spatial socio-economic systems. Objectives. The article aims to analyze and classify scenarios and algorithms of scenario planning, as well as choose and justify an approach to scenario planning of the development of spatial socio-economic systems. Methods. For the study, I used the methods of analysis and synthesis, induction and deduction, comparison, and classification. Results. The article clarifies the definitions of Scenario and Scenario
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12

Freeth, Rebecca, and Scott Drimie. "Participatory Scenario Planning: From Scenario ‘Stakeholders’ to Scenario ‘Owners’." Environment: Science and Policy for Sustainable Development 58, no. 4 (2016): 32–43. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00139157.2016.1186441.

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13

Moats, Jason B., Thomas J. Chermack, and Larry M. Dooley. "Using Scenarios to Develop Crisis Managers: Applications of Scenario Planning and Scenario-Based Training." Advances in Developing Human Resources 10, no. 3 (2008): 397–424. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1523422308316456.

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14

Kwon, Soon Ho, Donghwi Jung, and Joong Hoon Kim. "Development of a Multiscenario Planning Approach for Urban Drainage Systems." Applied Sciences 10, no. 5 (2020): 1834. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/app10051834.

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A traditional urban drainage system (UDS) planning approach generally considers the most probable future rainfall scenario. However, this single scenario (i.e., scenario-optimal) planning approach is prone to failure under recent climatic conditions, which involve increasing levels of uncertainty. To overcome this limitation, an alternative is to consider multiple scenarios simultaneously. A two-phase multi-scenario-based UDS planning approach was developed. Scenario-optimal solutions were determined for a set of scenarios in Phase I, as the traditional planning approach, while common elements
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15

Konno, Noboru, Ikujiro Nonaka, and Jay Ogilvy. "Scenario Planning: The Basics." World Futures 70, no. 1 (2014): 28–43. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02604027.2014.875720.

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16

Hannabuss, Stuart. "Scenario planning for libraries." Library Management 22, no. 4/5 (2001): 168–76. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/01435120110388724.

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17

Kippenberger, T. "Pitfalls in scenario planning." Antidote 4, no. 4 (1999): 32–33. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/eum0000000006712.

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18

Steil, Gilbert, and Michele Gibbons-Carr. "Large Group Scenario Planning." Journal of Applied Behavioral Science 41, no. 1 (2005): 15–29. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0021886304272888.

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19

Spaniol, Matthew J., and Nicholas J. Rowland. "The scenario planning paradox." Futures 95 (January 2018): 33–43. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2017.09.006.

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20

Finlay, P. N. "Steps towards scenario planning." Engineering Management Journal 8, no. 5 (1998): 243. http://dx.doi.org/10.1049/em:19980510.

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21

Lembi, Rafael, Chelsea Wentworth, and Jennifer Hodbod. "Recipe for a scenario: Moving from vision to actionable pathways towards sustainable futures." Progress in Environmental Geography 3, no. 2 (2024): 89–114. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/27539687241253616.

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In this paper we present an overview of future-oriented research in sustainability science and place-based research and offer a tool for researchers and community partners to use to guide participatory scenario planning activities that result in actionable steps toward achieving sustainable futures. Within place-based community-engaged research projects, future-oriented methods, such as visioning and participatory scenario planning, have been increasingly utilized as an approach to integrate diverse voices and foster positive change. However, this emerging literature contains some overlapping
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22

Jafari, Hamid, Ahmad Jonidi Jafari, Mahmoud Nekoei-Moghadam, and Salime Goharinezhad. "The use of uncertain scenarios in disaster risk reduction: a systematic review." foresight 21, no. 3 (2019): 409–18. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/fs-11-2018-0099.

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Purpose In recent years, futures study methods, especially scenario analysis, are used to plan for disaster and emergency management. Scenario method is suitable for public level policy making. Scenarios generated alternative descriptive futures in all of the development field such as disaster studies. This paper aims to systematically review the articles that generated scenarios in disaster management to attain gaps, challenges and opportunities related to use of scenario analysis in disasters. Design/methodology/approach This is a systematic review that was conducted based on the Preferred R
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23

Li, Wei, Chong Chen, Jing Du, and Ling Xu. "A System Dynamic (SD) Model for Logistics Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA)." Applied Mechanics and Materials 535 (February 2014): 217–21. http://dx.doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/amm.535.217.

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Strategic environmental assessment (SEA) plays a role before the logistics planning carrying out, which can effectively avoid environmental problems caused by strategic errors. This paper adopts system dynamic software to set up SD model, and takes Dalians logistics planning as a case. Six alternative scenarios based on the plannings goal and direction are simulated. It is found that the integrated scenario turns out to be the best scenario, and this work can provide scientific decision basis for governments.
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24

Lacher, Iara, Thomas Akre, William J. McShea, Marissa McBride, Jonathan R. Thompson, and Craig Fergus. "Engaging Regional Stakeholders in Scenario Planning for the Long-Term Preservation of Ecosystem Services in Northwestern Virginia." Case Studies in the Environment 3, no. 1 (2019): 1–13. http://dx.doi.org/10.1525/cse.2018.001180.

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This case study describes the application of a framework for developing stakeholder-driven scenarios of the future. The purpose of these scenarios is to inform land use planning toward the protection of ecosystems and derivable ecosystem services in Northwestern Virginia. We held two scenario development workshops with regional experts in conservation, agriculture, land use planning, policy, and economic development to create scenarios of land use in the northern Piedmont and northern Shenandoah Valley of Virginia. We structured the workshops around a framework that guided stakeholders through
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25

Zegras, Christopher, Joseph Sussman, and Christopher Conklin. "Scenario Planning for Strategic Regional Transportation Planning." Journal of Urban Planning and Development 130, no. 1 (2004): 2–13. http://dx.doi.org/10.1061/(asce)0733-9488(2004)130:1(2).

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26

Chen, Ruinan, Jie Hu, Xinkai Zhong, Minchao Zhang, and Linglei Zhu. "A Cognitive Environment Modeling Approach for Autonomous Vehicles: A Chinese Experience." Applied Sciences 13, no. 6 (2023): 3984. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/app13063984.

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Existing environment modeling approaches and trajectory planning approaches for intelligent vehicles are difficult to adapt to multiple scenarios, as scenarios are diverse and changeable, which may lead to potential risks. This work proposes a cognitive spatial–time environment modeling approach for autonomous vehicles, which models a multi-scenario-adapted spatial–time environment model from a cognitive perspective and transforms the scenario-based trajectory planning problem into a unified spatial–time planning problem. The commonality of multiple typical Chinese road scenarios is analyzed,
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27

Stojanovic, Milica, Petar Mitkovic, and Mihailo Mitkovic. "The scenario method in urban planning." Facta universitatis - series: Architecture and Civil Engineering 12, no. 1 (2014): 81–95. http://dx.doi.org/10.2298/fuace1401081s.

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Scenario planning techniques are increasingly gaining attention in the process of spatial and urban planning because of their usefulness in times of uncertainty and complexity. Scenario planning encourages strategic thinking and helps to overcome thinking limitations by creating multiple futures. In this way, it can help to shape the future according to the values and desires of society. Although scenario planning has been used a lot in the business world, there are scarce examples of its application in the field of urban planning. One of the reasons for this is the huge variety of methods and
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28

Bezrucav, Stefan-Octavian, and Burkhard Corves. "Modelling Automated Planning Problems for Teams of Mobile Manipulators in a Generic Industrial Scenario." Applied Sciences 12, no. 5 (2022): 2319. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/app12052319.

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Flexible control strategies are required in industrial scenarios to coordinate the actions of mobile manipulators (e.g., robots and humans). Temporal planning approaches can be used as such control strategies because they can generate those actions for the agents that must be executed to reach the goals, from any given state of the world. To deploy such approaches, planning models must be formulated. Although available in the literature, these models are not generic enough such that they can be easily transferred to new use cases. In this work, a generic industrial scenario is derived from rea
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29

Chen, Tser-Yieth, and Chi-Jui Huang. "A Two-Tier Scenario Planning Model of Environmental Sustainability Policy in Taiwan." Sustainability 11, no. 8 (2019): 2336. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su11082336.

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This study proposes a two-tier scenario planning model, consisting of scenario development and policy portfolio planning, to demonstrate the environmental sustainability policy planning process. Scenario development embodies future scenarios that incorporate the uncertainties regarding the decision values and technological alternatives. Policy portfolio planning is used to assess the selected policy alternatives under each scenario and to develop a robust and responsive plan. We organized first- and second-tier committees of 10–12 experts from diverse professional fields to undertake environme
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30

PSHENYCHNA, Iryna, Yuliia PRODIUS, and Serhii IZOTOV. "Scenario planning for the development of foreign economic activity of the hotel business enterprise in the conditions of the world pandemic." Economics. Finances. Law, no. 6 (June 18, 2021): 9–13. http://dx.doi.org/10.37634/efp.2021.6.2.

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Introduction. The hotel business is traditionally considered a highly profitable area of foreign economic activity. The most significant risk factors are considered to be economic, political and social instability in countries and regions. In 2020, almost all global tourism and hotel businesses faced a serious challenge in their development – a severe crisis caused by the rapid spread of a pandemic of a new species of coronavirus (COVID-19) around the world. In the context of a global pandemic, to support the activities of the hotel business, it is necessary to clearly define the content and s
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31

Yusuf, Sri Malahayati. "MODEL OF SOIL AND WATER CONSERVATION MEASURES APPLICATION BASED ON DISTRICT SPATIAL PLANNING IN MAMASA WATERSHED, SOUTH SULAWESI." Geoplanning: Journal of Geomatics and Planning 4, no. 2 (2017): 263. http://dx.doi.org/10.14710/geoplanning.4.2.263-272.

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Depletion of watershed carrying capacity cannot be omitted from mismanagement of the watershed. The integration between SWAT model and remote sensing data are able to identify, assess, and evaluate watershed problem as well as a tool to apply the mitigation of the problem. The aim of this study was to arrange the scenario of watershed management, and decide the best recommendation of sustainable watershed management of Mamasa Sub Watershed. The best recommendation was decided by hydrology parameters, e.i. surface runoff, sediment, and runoff coefficient. Hydrology characteristics of Mamasa Sub
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32

Yusuf, Sri Malahayati. "Model of Soil and Water Conservation Measures Application based on District Spatial Planning in Mamasa Watershed, South Sulawesi." Geoplanning: Journal of Geomatics and Planning 4, no. 2 (2017): 263. http://dx.doi.org/10.14710/geoplanning.4.2.263-274.

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Depletion of watershed carrying capacity cannot be omitted from mismanagement of the watershed. The integration between SWAT model and remote sensing data are able to identify, assess, and evaluate watershed problem as well as a tool to apply the mitigation of the problem. The aim of this study was to arrange the scenario of watershed management, and decide the best recommendation of sustainable watershed management of Mamasa Sub Watershed. The best recommendation was decided by hydrology parameters, e.i. surface runoff, sediment, and runoff coefficient. Hydrology characteristics of Mamasa Sub
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33

Ramírez, Rafael, and Cynthia Selin. "Plausibility and probability in scenario planning." Foresight 16, no. 1 (2014): 54–74. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/fs-08-2012-0061.

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Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to explore extant distinctions between plausibility and probability in scenario planning and re-frame the either/or stance in the literature within a broader set of methodological choice possibilities. Design/methodology/approach – The paper surveys the history of both terms in both the English language and more narrowly within scenario planning, critically assessing the confusions that have arisen. The paper questions the distinctions that have been made and offers a richer set of combinations to open up the methodological space available. Findings – The
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34

Van Lente, Harro, Jasper Willemse, Claartje Vorstman, and Johan F. Modder. "Scenario planning as policy instrument: Four scenarios for biotechnology in Europe." Innovation 5, no. 1 (2003): 4–14. http://dx.doi.org/10.5172/impp.2003.5.1.4.

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35

Abuzaid, Ahmad Nasser. "Scenario planning as approach to improve the strategic performance of multinational corporations (MNCs)." Business: Theory and Practice 19 (October 16, 2018): 195–207. https://doi.org/10.3846/btp.2018.20.

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The primary purpose of this study was to explore the relationship between scenario planning and strategic performance. The data was collected from 121 Multinational corporations operating in Jordan by using a questionnaire. Pearson correlation and the partial least squares (PLS) methodology for factor analysis and path modelling was used to test the study hypotheses. The study found a positive and statistically significant relationships between scenario planning and the four components of strategic performance: financial performance, customer performance, learning and growth, and internal busi
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Ismail, Syadan Hussein, and Lilies Setiartiti. "Renewable energy integration for lower emission planning and achieving regional energy independence: study in Yogyakarta." E3S Web of Conferences 508 (2024): 02009. http://dx.doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202450802009.

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We propose and try to find a model renewable energy integration for lower emission and achieving regional energy independence. The research uses three stages. First, building an energy system model, to analyze the impact of implementing energy efficiency programs. The second stage is developing an integrated model from the energy demand and supply. Finally, arranging a mitigation scenarios to develop a low-carbon energy and achieving energy independence. Long-range Energy Alternative Planning (LEAP) software was utilized to simulate two scenarios are used to analyze energy demand and supply, n
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37

NISHIMURA, Michinari. "The Overview of Scenario Planning." Journal of Life Cycle Assessment, Japan 10, no. 3 (2014): 230–38. http://dx.doi.org/10.3370/lca.10.230.

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38

Lyons, Glenn, Charlene Rohr, Annette Smith, Anna Rothnie, and Andrew Curry. "Scenario planning for transport practitioners." Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives 11 (September 2021): 100438. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.trip.2021.100438.

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39

Farber, Darryl, and Akhlesh Lakhtakia. "Scenario planning and nanotechnological futures." European Journal of Physics 30, no. 4 (2009): S3—S15. http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/0143-0807/30/4/s02.

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40

KITAOKA, Hajime. "How to Practice Scenario Planning." INTELLIGENCE MANAGEMENT 1, no. 1 (2009): 13–22. http://dx.doi.org/10.9764/jsciim.1.13.

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41

Schumacher, Terry R. "Constructing Vision with Scenario Planning." Academy of Management Proceedings 2014, no. 1 (2014): 15270. http://dx.doi.org/10.5465/ambpp.2014.15270abstract.

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42

Giesecke, Joan. "Scenario Planning and Collection Development." Journal of Library Administration 28, no. 1 (1999): 81–92. http://dx.doi.org/10.1300/j111v28n01_07.

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43

Balarezo, Jose, and Bo Bernhard Nielsen. "Scenario planning as organizational intervention." Review of International Business and Strategy 27, no. 1 (2017): 2–52. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/ribs-09-2016-0049.

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Purpose This paper aims to identify four areas in need of future research to enhance the theoretical understanding of scenario planning (SP), and sets the basis for future empirical examination of its effects on individual and organizational level outcomes. Design/methodology/approach This paper organizes existing contributions on SP within a new consolidating framework that includes antecedents, processes and outcomes. The proposed framework allows for integration of the extant literature on SP from a wide variety of fields, including strategic management, finance, human resource management,
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44

Foster, M. John. "Scenario planning for small businesses." Long Range Planning 26, no. 1 (1993): 123–29. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0024-6301(93)90240-g.

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45

Amer, Muhammad, Tugrul U. Daim, and Antonie Jetter. "A review of scenario planning." Futures 46 (February 2013): 23–40. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2012.10.003.

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46

Escudero, Laureano F., Pasumarti V. Kamesam, Alan J. King, and Roger J.-B. Wets. "Production planning via scenario modelling." Annals of Operations Research 43, no. 6 (1993): 309–35. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/bf02025089.

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47

Soontornrangson, W., D. G. Evans, R. J. Fuller, and D. F. Stewart. "Scenario planning for electricity supply." Energy Policy 31, no. 15 (2003): 1647–59. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0301-4215(02)00231-8.

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48

Pearman, A. D. "Scenario construction for transport planning." Transportation Planning and Technology 12, no. 1 (1988): 73–85. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/03081068808717361.

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49

Rowland, Nicholas J., and Matthew J. Spaniol. "Social foundation of scenario planning." Technological Forecasting and Social Change 124 (November 2017): 6–15. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2017.02.013.

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BOWMAN, MALCOLM J. "Introduction to Scenario Planning Results." Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 790, no. 1 The Baked App (1996): 163–75. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1749-6632.1996.tb32478.x.

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