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Books on the topic 'Scenario uncertainty'

Author: Grafiati

Published: 1 June 2024

Last updated: 31 July 2025

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1

1940-, Acar William, ed. Scenario-driven planning: Learning to manage strategic uncertainty. Quorum Books, 1995.

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2

Lantermann, Ernst-Dieter. Ravenhorst: Gefühle, Werte und Unbestimmtheit im Umgang mit einem ökologischen Scenario. Quintessenz, 1992.

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3

Jan, Chleboun, and Babuška Ivo, eds. Uncertain input data problems and the worst scenario method. Elsevier, 2004.

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4

Hammitt, James K. Subjective-probability-based scenarios for uncertain input parameters: Stratospheric ozone depletion. Rand, 1990.

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5

Hammitt, James K. Subjective probability based scenarios for uncertain input parameters: Stratospheric ozone depletion. Rand, 1990.

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6

Schwartz, Peter, and Peter Schwartz. The art of the long view: Planning for the future in an uncertain world. Currency Doubleday, 1995.

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7

Schwartz, Peter. The art of the long view: Planning for the future in an uncertain world. Wiley, 1998.

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8

Campi, Marco C., and Simone Garatti. Introduction to the Scenario Approach. Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics, 2019.

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9

Samimian-Darash, Limor. Uncertainty by Design: Preparing for the Future with Scenario Technology. Cornell University Press, 2022.

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10

Martelli, A. Models of Scenario Building and Planning: Facing Uncertainty and Complexity. Palgrave Macmillan, 2014.

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11

Martelli, A. Models of Scenario Building and Planning: Facing Uncertainty and Complexity. Palgrave Macmillan, 2014.

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12

Martelli, A. Models of Scenario Building and Planning: Facing Uncertainty and Complexity. Palgrave Macmillan, 2016.

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13

Samimian-Darash, Limor. Uncertainty by Design: Preparing for the Future with Scenario Technology. Cornell University Press, 2022.

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14

Babuska, Ivo, Ivan Hlavacek, and Jan Chleboun. Uncertain Input Data Problems and the Worst Scenario Method, Volume 46 (North-Holland Series in Applied Mathematics and Mechanics). Elsevier Science, 2004.

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15

Forlenza, Rosario. The Liminal Origins of Italian Democracy. Oxford University Press, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198817444.003.0002.

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This chapter conceptualizes the end of Fascism and the beginning of the civil war, after the armistice of September 8, 1943, as the collapse of the markers of certainty and the beginning of a liminal period of chaos and political, as well as existential, uncertainty. It takes the reader for a ride in what was a confusing and bewildering scenario that followed the removal of the Duce, the collapse of the nation, the dissolution of the structure of power, and the disintegration of national unity. A situation of pure liminality and radical uncertainty, pulling and pushing, imbued with a deep sens

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16

Gundy, Tony. Business Foresight: Scenarios for Managing Uncertainty Strategically. Business Expert Press, 2023.

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17

Gundy, Tony. Business Foresight: Scenarios for Managing Uncertainty Strategically. Business Expert Press, 2023.

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18

Scenario Planning Handbook: Developing Strategies in Uncertain Times. South-Western Educational Pub, 2006.

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19

Brindley, Sue, Peter Aubusson, Sandy Schuck, and Kevin Burden. Uncertainty in Teacher Education Futures: Scenarios, Politics and STEM. Springer, 2019.

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20

Brindley, Sue, Peter Aubusson, Sandy Schuck, and Kevin Burden. Uncertainty in Teacher Education Futures: Scenarios, Politics and STEM. Springer, 2018.

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21

Uncertain Input Data Problems and the Worst Scenario Method. Elsevier, 2004. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0167-5931(04)x8001-3.

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22

Babuska, Ivo, Ivan Hlavacek, Jan Chleboun, and Jan Achenbach. Uncertain Input Data Problems and the Worst Scenario Method. Elsevier Science & Technology Books, 2004.

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23

Strategic Planning for Dynamic Supply Chains: Preparing for Uncertainty Using Scenarios. Springer International Publishing AG, 2022.

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24

Sheffi, Yossi, Shardul Phadnis, and Chris Caplice. Strategic Planning for Dynamic Supply Chains: Preparing for Uncertainty Using Scenarios. Springer International Publishing AG, 2022.

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25

Stapleton, Jeremy. How to Use Exploratory Scenario Planning: Navigating an Uncertain Future. Lincoln Institute of Land Policy, 2020.

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26

Stapleton, Jeremy. How to Use Exploratory Scenario Planning: Navigating an Uncertain Future. Lincoln Institute of Land Policy, 2020.

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27

Wulf, Torsten, Christian Krys, and Burkhard Schwenker. Scenario-Based Strategic Planning: Developing Strategies in an Uncertain World. Springer Gabler. in Springer Fachmedien Wiesbaden GmbH, 2013.

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28

Wulf, Torsten, Christian Krys, and Burkhard Schwenker. Scenario-based Strategic Planning: Developing Strategies in an Uncertain World. Springer Gabler, 2014.

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29

Clasen, Mathias. Never Go Swimming Again. Oxford University Press, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780190666507.003.0010.

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Steven Spielberg’s Jaws (1975) terrified audiences through its convincing depiction of shark attacks off the coast of the New England island Amity. A great white shark terrorizes bathers, but local politicians refuse to acknowledge the danger, fearing a drop in tourism. The protagonist, Chief Brody, faces the truth and unselfishly attempts to save his community from the danger. This chapter argues that the power of Jaws to engage and disturb audiences comes from its success in immersing viewers in a primal scenario of predation by a malevolent monster, the shark, which meets the input specific

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30

Scenario Planning for Cities and Regions: Managing and Envisioning Uncertain Futures. Columbia University Press, 2020.

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31

Watson, Max, Caroline Lucas, Andrew Hoy, and Jo Wells. Ethical issues. Oxford University Press, 2010. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/med/9780199234356.003.0001.

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Chapter 1 discusses four clinical scenarios andapplyies the principles of ethics in order to reach a balanced compromise that can help provide a path through uncertainty. The chapter also looks at consent and compliance, and euthanasia.

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32

The art of the long view: Scenario planning - protecting your company against an uncertain future. Century Business, 1992.

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33

Steinmüller, Karlheinz, Hans-Liudger Dienel, and Roman Peperhove. Envisioning Uncertain Futures: Scenarios as a Tool in Security, Privacy and Mobility Research. Springer VS, 2019.

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34

Carvalho, Carlos, and Jill Rickershauser. Characterizing the uncertainty of climate change projections using hierarchical models. Edited by Anthony O'Hagan and Mike West. Oxford University Press, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780198703174.013.20.

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This article focuses on the use of Bayesian hierarchical models for integration and comparison of predictions from multiple models and groups, and more specifically for characterizing the uncertainty of climate change projections. It begins with a discussion of the current state and future scenarios concerning climate change and human influences, as well as various models used in climate simulations and the goals and challenges of analysing ensembles of opportunity. It then introduces a suite of statistical models that incorporate output from an ensemble of climate models, referred to as gener

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35

Cook, Kerry H. Climate Change Scenarios and African Climate Change. Oxford University Press, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/acrefore/9780190228620.013.545.

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Accurate projections of climate change under increasing atmospheric greenhouse gas levels are needed to evaluate the environmental cost of anthropogenic emissions, and to guide mitigation efforts. These projections are nowhere more important than Africa, with its high dependence on rain-fed agriculture and, in many regions, limited resources for adaptation. Climate models provide our best method for climate prediction but there are uncertainties in projections, especially on regional space scale. In Africa, limitations of observational networks add to this uncertainty since a crucial step in i

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36

Rouse, William B. Computing Possible Futures. Oxford University Press, 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198846420.001.0001.

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This book discusses the use of models and interactive visualizations to explore designs of systems and policies in determining whether such designs would be effective. Executives and senior managers are very interested in what “data analytics” can do for them and, quite recently, what the prospects are for artificial intelligence and machine learning. They want to understand and then invest wisely. They are reasonably skeptical, having experienced overselling and under-delivery. They ask about reasonable and realistic expectations. Their concern is with the futurity of decisions they are curre

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37

Marshall, Helen, Kim Wilkins, and Lisa Bennett. Story Thinking and the Real-world Applications of Sci-Fi and Fantasy Writing. Bloomsbury Publishing Plc, 2025. https://doi.org/10.5040/9781350359291.

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In the 21st century, the rapid advance of technology and the existential threat of climate breakdown mean the real world increasingly resembles something out of fiction, filled with ambiguity and uncertainty. Such challenges need imaginative, creative solutions. To find them, teams of experts must pool their knowledge, make new connections, and forge paths forward. InStory Thinking, award-winning authors Helen Marshall, Kim Wilkins, and Lisa Bennett show how the principles of science fiction and fantasy writing – which speculate about and imagine different futures, people, and worlds - can enr

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38

Maliszewska, Maryla, Jakob Engel, Guillermo Arenas, and Barbara Kotschwar. Small African Economies in a More Uncertain Global Trade Environment: The Potential Impact of Post-AGOA Scenarios for Lesotho. World Bank, Washington, DC, 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-8861.

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39

Howes, Andrew, Xiuli Chen, Aditya Acharya, and Richard L. Lewis. Interaction as an Emergent Property of a Partially Observable Markov Decision Process. Oxford University Press, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198799603.003.0011.

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In this chapter we explore the potential advantages of modeling the interaction between a human and a computer as a consequence of a Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (POMDP) that models human cognition. POMDPs can be used to model human perceptual mechanisms, such as human vision, as partial (uncertain) observers of a hidden state are possible. In general, POMDPs permit a rigorous definition of interaction as the outcome of a reward maximizing stochastic sequential decision processes. They have been shown to explain interaction between a human and an environment in a range of scena

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40

Schwartz, Peter. The Art of the Long View: Planning for the Future in an Uncertain World. Random House Audio, 1995.

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41

Schwartz, Peter. The Art of the Long View: Planning for the Future in an Uncertain World. Currency, 1996.

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42

Fry, Tony. Writing Design Fiction. Bloomsbury Publishing Plc, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.5040/9781350217331.

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Written by leading design philosopher Tony Fry, Writing Design Fiction: Relocating a City in Crisis is both an introduction to the power of “design fiction” in the design process, and a novella-length work of fiction in itself—telling the dramatic story of the relocation of the City of Harshon. Set in the near future, Harshon, a delta city, is facing environmental catastrophe due to rising sea levels—consequently, a decision is made to relocate the entire city inland. A diverse cast of voices—including an architect, a journalist, an economist, a construction worker, and residents—narrate the e

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43

Steffen (Lead Author), Will. Australia's Biodiversity and Climate Change. CSIRO Publishing, 2009. http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/9780643098190.

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Australia's unique biodiversity is under threat from a rapidly changing climate. The effects of climate change are already discernible at all levels of biodiversity – genes, species, communities and ecosystems. Many of Australia's most valued and iconic natural areas – the Great Barrier Reef, south-western Australia, the Kakadu wetlands and the Australian Alps – are among the most vulnerable. But much more is at stake than saving iconic species or ecosystems. Australia's biodiversity is fundamental to the country's national identity, economy and quality of life. In the face of uncertaint

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44

Biel Portero, Israel, Andrea Carolina Casanova Mejía, Amanda Janneth Riascos Mora, et al. Challenges and alternatives towards peacebuilding. Edited by Ángela Marcela Castillo Burbano and Claudia Andrea Guerrero Martínez. Ediciones Universidad Cooperativa de Colombia, 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.16925/9789587602388.

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Rural development and peacebuilding in Colombia have been highly prioritized by higher education institutions since the signing of the Peace Agreement between the National Government and the FARC-EP. This has resulted in the need to further analyze rural strategies that contribute towards a better life for the population of territories where armed conflict is coming to an end, whilst understanding the pressing uncertainty that this process implies; on the one hand, for the urgency of generating rapid and concrete responses to social justice and equity, and on the other, because fulfilling the

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45

Araque, Juan Carlos, and Eugenia L. Weiss. Leadership with Impact. 2nd ed. Oxford University PressNew York, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780197753392.001.0001.

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Abstract Following the release of the initial edition of Leadership with Impact: Preparing Health and Human Service Practitioners in the Age of Innovation and Diversity, the authors have had the privilege of extensively instructing on these leadership concepts and observing the application of the IDDEA Leadership Framework in various organizational settings. Their experiences garnered from both classroom teachings and active participation in the National Executive Leadership and Fellowship Program in collaboration with the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMHSA) and

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46

MacLean, Allan B. Vulval pain. Oxford University Press, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/med/9780198749547.003.0009.

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Vulval pain or pain involving the vulval tissue is discussed in Chapter 9. It becomes chronic when lasting for at least three months. Vulvodynia is a subset of chronic vulval pain, once known causes (infective, inflammatory, neoplastic, neurological, traumatic, iatrogenic and hormone deficiencies) are excluded. It reportedly affects one in six women at some stage of their lives. Uncertain terminology has hampered understanding. Even the latest classification from the International Society for the Study of Vulvovaginal Disease has deficiencies but it allows the discarding of previously used unh

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47

Busuioc, Aristita, and Alexandru Dumitrescu. Empirical-Statistical Downscaling: Nonlinear Statistical Downscaling. Oxford University Press, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/acrefore/9780190228620.013.770.

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This is an advance summary of a forthcoming article in the Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Climate Science. Please check back later for the full article.The concept of statistical downscaling or empirical-statistical downscaling became a distinct and important scientific approach in climate science in recent decades, when the climate change issue and assessment of climate change impact on various social and natural systems have become international challenges. Global climate models are the best tools for estimating future climate conditions. Even if improvements can be made in state-of-the art

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