Academic literature on the topic 'Small Global Model (Macroeconomics)'
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Journal articles on the topic "Small Global Model (Macroeconomics)"
Malley, James R., David Bell, and John Foster. "The specification, estimation and simulation of a small global macroeconomic model." Economic Modelling 8, no. 4 (October 1991): 546–59. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0264-9993(91)90033-k.
Full textMilani, Fabio. "HAS GLOBALIZATION TRANSFORMED U.S. MACROECONOMIC DYNAMICS?" Macroeconomic Dynamics 16, no. 2 (March 13, 2012): 204–29. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s1365100510000477.
Full textKhan, Gulzar, Adiqa Kiani, and Ather Maqsood Ahmed. "Globalization, Endogenous Oil Price Shocks and Chinese Economic Activity." LAHORE JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS 22, no. 2 (January 1, 2017): 39–64. http://dx.doi.org/10.35536/lje.2017.v22.i2.a2.
Full textFang, Xiaoping, Jake Ansell, and Weiya Chen. "Modeling of a Small Transportation Company’s Start-Up with Limited Data during Economic Recession." Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society 2013 (2013): 1–10. http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/802528.
Full textOladunni, Sunday. "External Shocks and Business Cycle Fluctuations in Oil-exporting Small Open Economies: The Case of Nigeria." Central Bank of Nigeria Journal of Applied Statistics, Vol. 10 No. 2 (February 21, 2020): 39–71. http://dx.doi.org/10.33429/cjas.10219.2/6.
Full textGevorkyan, Aleksandr V. "The foreign exchange regime in a small open economy: Armenia and beyond." Journal of Economic Studies 44, no. 5 (October 9, 2017): 781–800. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/jes-08-2016-0155.
Full textKiseľáková, Dana, Beáta Šofranková, Miroslav Gombár, Veronika Čabinová, and Erika Onuferová. "Competitiveness and Its Impact on Sustainability, Business Environment, and Human Development of EU (28) Countries in terms of Global Multi-Criteria Indices." Sustainability 11, no. 12 (June 18, 2019): 3365. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su11123365.
Full textDevereux, Michael B., and Changhua Yu. "International Financial Integration and Crisis Contagion." Review of Economic Studies 87, no. 3 (October 9, 2019): 1174–212. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/restud/rdz054.
Full textOladunni, Sunday. "Oil Price Shocks and Macroeconomic Dynamics in an Oil-Exporting Emerging Economy: A New Keynesian DSGE Approach." Central Bank of Nigeria Journal of Applied Statistics, Vol. 11 No. 1 (September 9, 2020): 1–34. http://dx.doi.org/10.33429/cjas.11120.1/5.
Full textWang, Shu Ping, Tao Wen, and Zhen Xin Wu. "The Evolution of Loss Aversion Coefficient in Energy Futures Market Considering Investor Heterogeneity." Applied Mechanics and Materials 291-294 (February 2013): 1263–70. http://dx.doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/amm.291-294.1263.
Full textDissertations / Theses on the topic "Small Global Model (Macroeconomics)"
Lau, Ka-woon Roddy. "Monetary policy in a small open economy : a case study of Hong Kong in the light of the Mundell-Fleming model /." [Hong Kong : University of Hong Kong], 1992. http://sunzi.lib.hku.hk/hkuto/record.jsp?B13278824.
Full textLau, Ka-woon Roddy, and 劉家換. "Monetary policy in a small open economy: a case study of Hong Kong in the light of the Mundell-Fleming model." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 1992. http://hub.hku.hk/bib/B31977005.
Full textFeldkircher, Martin, Florian Huber, and Gregor Kastner. "Sophisticated and small versus simple and sizeable: When does it pay off to introduce drifting coefficients in Bayesian VARs?" WU Vienna University of Economics and Business, 2018. http://epub.wu.ac.at/6021/1/wp260.pdf.
Full textSeries: Department of Economics Working Paper Series
Meier, Glen, and Manuel Staehli. "Taking off from Switzerland : A qualitative study of how Swiss Start-Ups internationalize into foreign markets." Thesis, Linnéuniversitetet, Institutionen för marknadsföring (MF), 2016. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:lnu:diva-56256.
Full textZeugner, Stefan. "Macroeconometrics with high-dimensional data." Doctoral thesis, Universite Libre de Bruxelles, 2012. http://hdl.handle.net/2013/ULB-DIPOT:oai:dipot.ulb.ac.be:2013/209640.
Full textThe default g-priors predominant in Bayesian Model Averaging tend to over-concentrate posterior mass on a tiny set of models - a feature we denote as 'supermodel effect'. To address it, we propose a 'hyper-g' prior specification, whose data-dependent shrinkage adapts posterior model distributions to data quality. We demonstrate the asymptotic consistency of the hyper-g prior, and its interpretation as a goodness-of-fit indicator. Moreover, we highlight the similarities between hyper-g and 'Empirical Bayes' priors, and introduce closed-form expressions essential to computationally feasibility. The robustness of the hyper-g prior is demonstrated via simulation analysis, and by comparing four vintages of economic growth data.
CHAPTER 2:
Ciccone and Jarocinski (2010) show that inference in Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) can be highly sensitive to small data perturbations. In particular they demonstrate that the importance attributed to potential growth determinants varies tremendously over different revisions of international income data. They conclude that 'agnostic' priors appear too sensitive for this strand of growth empirics. In response, we show that the found instability owes much to a specific BMA set-up: First, comparing the same countries over data revisions improves robustness. Second, much of the remaining variation can be reduced by applying an evenly 'agnostic', but flexible prior.
CHAPTER 3:
This chapter explores the link between the leverage of the US financial sector, of households and of non-financial businesses, and real activity. We document that leverage is negatively correlated with the future growth of real activity, and positively linked to the conditional volatility of future real activity and of equity returns.
The joint information in sectoral leverage series is more relevant for predicting future real activity than the information contained in any individual leverage series. Using in-sample regressions and out-of sample forecasts, we show that the predictive power of leverage is roughly comparable to that of macro and financial predictors commonly used by forecasters.
Leverage information would not have allowed to predict the 'Great Recession' of 2008-2009 any better than conventional macro/financial predictors.
CHAPTER 4:
Model averaging has proven popular for inference with many potential predictors in small samples. However, it is frequently criticized for a lack of robustness with respect to prediction and inference. This chapter explores the reasons for such robustness problems and proposes to address them by transforming the subset of potential 'control' predictors into principal components in suitable datasets. A simulation analysis shows that this approach yields robustness advantages vs. both standard model averaging and principal component-augmented regression. Moreover, we devise a prior framework that extends model averaging to uncertainty over the set of principal components and show that it offers considerable improvements with respect to the robustness of estimates and inference about the importance of covariates. Finally, we empirically benchmark our approach with popular model averaging and PC-based techniques in evaluating financial indicators as alternatives to established macroeconomic predictors of real economic activity.
Doctorat en Sciences économiques et de gestion
info:eu-repo/semantics/nonPublished
Cicconi, Claudia. "Essays on macroeconometrics and short-term forecasting." Doctoral thesis, Universite Libre de Bruxelles, 2012. http://hdl.handle.net/2013/ULB-DIPOT:oai:dipot.ulb.ac.be:2013/209660.
Full textis composed of three chapters. The first two chapters are on nowcasting,
a topic that has received an increasing attention both among practitioners and
the academics especially in conjunction and in the aftermath of the 2008-2009
economic crisis. At the heart of the two chapters is the idea of exploiting the
information from data published at a higher frequency for obtaining early estimates
of the macroeconomic variable of interest. The models used to compute
the nowcasts are dynamic models conceived for handling in an efficient way
the characteristics of the data used in a real-time context, like the fact that due to the different frequencies and the non-synchronicity of the releases
the time series have in general missing data at the end of the sample. While
the first chapter uses a small model like a VAR for nowcasting Italian GDP,
the second one makes use of a dynamic factor model, more suitable to handle
medium-large data sets, for providing early estimates of the employment in
the euro area. The third chapter develops a topic only marginally touched
by the second chapter, i.e. the estimation of dynamic factor models on data characterized by block-structures.
The firrst chapter assesses the accuracy of the Italian GDP nowcasts based
on a small information set consisting of GDP itself, the industrial production
index and the Economic Sentiment Indicator. The task is carried out by using
real-time vintages of data in an out-of-sample exercise over rolling windows
of data. Beside using real-time data, the real-time setting of the exercise is
also guaranteed by updating the nowcasts according to the historical release calendar. The model used to compute the nowcasts is a mixed-frequency Vector
Autoregressive (VAR) model, cast in state-space form and estimated by
maximum likelihood. The results show that the model can provide quite accurate
early estimates of the Italian GDP growth rates not only with respect
to a naive benchmark but also with respect to a bridge model based on the
same information set and a mixed-frequency VAR with only GDP and the industrial production index.
The chapter also analyzes with some attention the role of the Economic Sentiment
Indicator, and of soft information in general. The comparison of our
mixed-frequency VAR with one with only GDP and the industrial production
index clearly shows that using soft information helps obtaining more accurate
early estimates. Evidence is also found that the advantage from using soft
information goes beyond its timeliness.
In the second chapter we focus on nowcasting the quarterly national account
employment of the euro area making use of both country-specific and
area wide information. The relevance of anticipating Eurostat estimates of
employment rests on the fact that, despite it represents an important macroeconomic
variable, euro area employment is measured at a relatively low frequency
(quarterly) and published with a considerable delay (approximately
two months and a half). Obtaining an early estimate of this variable is possible
thanks to the fact that several Member States publish employment data and
employment-related statistics in advance with respect to the Eurostat release
of the euro area employment. Data availability represents, nevertheless, a
major limit as country-level time series are in general non homogeneous, have
different starting periods and, in some cases, are very short. We construct a
data set of monthly and quarterly time series consisting of both aggregate and
country-level data on Quarterly National Account employment, employment
expectations from business surveys and Labour Force Survey employment and
unemployment. In order to perform a real time out-of-sample exercise simulating
the (pseudo) real-time availability of the data, we construct an artificial
calendar of data releases based on the effective calendar observed during the first quarter of 2012. The model used to compute the nowcasts is a dynamic
factor model allowing for mixed-frequency data, missing data at the beginning
of the sample and ragged edges typical of non synchronous data releases. Our
results show that using country-specific information as soon as it is available
allows to obtain reasonably accurate estimates of the employment of the euro
area about fifteen days before the end of the quarter.
We also look at the nowcasts of employment of the four largest Member
States. We find that (with the exception of France) augmenting the dynamic
factor model with country-specific factors provides better results than those
obtained with the model without country-specific factors.
The third chapter of the thesis deals with dynamic factor models on data
characterized by local cross-correlation due to the presence of block-structures.
The latter is modeled by introducing block-specific factors, i.e. factors that
are specific to blocks of time series. We propose an algorithm to estimate the model by (quasi) maximum likelihood and use it to run Monte Carlo
simulations to evaluate the effects of modeling or not the block-structure on
the estimates of common factors. We find two main results: first, that in finite samples modeling the block-structure, beside being interesting per se, can help
reducing the model miss-specification and getting more accurate estimates
of the common factors; second, that imposing a wrong block-structure or
imposing a block-structure when it is not present does not have negative
effects on the estimates of the common factors. These two results allow us
to conclude that it is always recommendable to model the block-structure
especially if the characteristics of the data suggest that there is one.
Doctorat en Sciences économiques et de gestion
info:eu-repo/semantics/nonPublished
Sunde, Tafirenyika. "A small macro-econometric model for Namibia emphasising the dynamic modelling of the wage-price, productivity and unemployment relationship." Thesis, 2015. http://hdl.handle.net/10500/21721.
Full textEconomics
D. Litt. et Phil. (Economics)
Books on the topic "Small Global Model (Macroeconomics)"
Malley, James R. The specification, estimation, and simulation of a small global macroeconomic model. [Washington, DC] (1301 New York Ave., NW, Washington 20005-4788): U.S. Dept. of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, Agriculture and Rural Economy Division, 1990.
Find full textMurchison, Stephen. A structural small open-economy model for Canada. Ottawa, Ont: Bank of Canada, 2004.
Find full textMurchison, Stephen. A structural small open-economy model for Canada. Ottawa: Bank of Canada, 2004.
Find full textMurchison, Stephen. A structural small open-economy model for Canada. Ottawa: Bank of Canada, 2004.
Find full textMcKibbin, Warwick J. The McKibbin-Sachs global model: Theory and specification. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research, 1989.
Find full textAhlstedt, Monica. Small sample estimation and stochastic simulation of an econometric model. Helsinki: Suomen Pankki, 1986.
Find full textLalonde, René. The Bank of Canada's version of the global economy model (BoC-GEM). Ottawa: Bank of Canada, 2007.
Find full textPiretti, Anna. Launching the NEUQ: The New European Union Quarterly model, a small model of the euro area and U.K. economies. Ottawa: Bank of Canada, 2006.
Find full textBasdevant, Olivier. Learning process and rational expectations: An analysis using a small macroeconomic model for New Zealand. Wellington, N.Z: Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Economics Dept., 2003.
Find full textShin, Ku. The effects of the changing policy environment on the global economy: A small-scale model approach. Santa Monica, CA: Rand Corporation, 1992.
Find full textBook chapters on the topic "Small Global Model (Macroeconomics)"
Holtham, Gerald, and Andrew Hughes Hallett. "International Policy Cooperation and Model Uncertainty." In Global Macroeconomics: Policy Conflict and Cooperation, 128–84. London: Palgrave Macmillan UK, 1987. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-18916-8_5.
Full textCurrie, David, Paul Levine, and Nic Vidalis. "International Cooperation and Reputation in an Empirical Two-Bloc Model." In Global Macroeconomics: Policy Conflict and Cooperation, 75–127. London: Palgrave Macmillan UK, 1987. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-18916-8_4.
Full textIndarto, Aprih Santoso, and P. Chatarina Yekti. "Exploration of social responsibility implementation model in small and medium micro enterprises." In Facing Global Digital Revolution, 199–202. Boca Raton : CRC Press, Taylor & Francis Group, [2020] | “Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on Economics, Management, and Accounting (BES 2019), July 10, 2019, Semarang, Indonesia”--Title page.: Routledge, 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.1201/9780429322808-47.
Full textStrzepek, Katy, Beatrice Jacobson, and Katherine Van Blair. "The Long Table Model: Bringing Transnational Feminist Debates to a Small Midwestern University." In Transnational Borderlands in Women’s Global Networks, 221–39. New York: Palgrave Macmillan US, 2011. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/9780230119475_11.
Full textHameyer, Kay, and Ronnie Belmans. "Automated Optimal Design of a Small Dc Motor with Global Evolution Strategy and FEM-Model." In Electric and Magnetic Fields, 369–72. Boston, MA: Springer US, 1995. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4615-1961-4_85.
Full textKarmacharya, Dikpal Krishna, Tirth Raj Ghimire, and Ganga Ram Regmi. "Small and Effective NGOs as a Role Model for Bigger Success: The Global Primate Network (Now ‘Third Pole Conservancy’)." In Hindu Kush-Himalaya Watersheds Downhill: Landscape Ecology and Conservation Perspectives, 749–69. Cham: Springer International Publishing, 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-36275-1_39.
Full textRomagnoli, Dania, and Maria Emilia Garbelli. "Why Promoting Online in a Global Electronic Marketplace Is a Successful Strategy for Small and Medium Sized Enterprises: The Alibaba Group Holding Business Model." In Country Experiences in Economic Development, Management and Entrepreneurship, 423–42. Cham: Springer International Publishing, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-46319-3_26.
Full textTakeda, Shiro. "The Competitiveness Issue of the Japanese Economy Under Carbon Pricing: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis of 2050." In Economics, Law, and Institutions in Asia Pacific, 181–96. Singapore: Springer Singapore, 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-981-15-6964-7_10.
Full textQuicke, Donald L. J., Buntika A. Butcher, and Rachel A. Kruft Welton. "Species abundance, accumulation and diversity data." In Practical R for biologists: an introduction, 200–217. Wallingford: CABI, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.1079/9781789245349.0200.
Full textQuicke, Donald L. J., Buntika A. Butcher, and Rachel A. Kruft Welton. "Species abundance, accumulation and diversity data." In Practical R for biologists: an introduction, 200–217. Wallingford: CABI, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.1079/9781789245349.0018.
Full textConference papers on the topic "Small Global Model (Macroeconomics)"
Tören, Evrim. "On the Source of Macroeconomic Fluctuations in the Middle Eastern and North African Countries: A Structural Vector Autoregression Analysis." In International Conference on Eurasian Economies. Eurasian Economists Association, 2013. http://dx.doi.org/10.36880/c04.00684.
Full textMeng, Yue, Chunxiao Jiang, Zhu Han, Tony Q. S. Quek, and Yong Ren. "Learning in Small Cell Networks: A Social Interactive Model." In GLOBECOM 2015 - 2015 IEEE Global Communications Conference. IEEE, 2015. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/glocom.2015.7417449.
Full textMeng, Yue, Chunxiao Jiang, Zhu Han, Tony Q. S. Quek, and Yong Ren. "Learning in Small Cell Networks: A Social Interactive Model." In GLOBECOM 2015 - 2015 IEEE Global Communications Conference. IEEE, 2014. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/glocom.2014.7417449.
Full textHan, Peng, Xiling Yao, Jiayuan Zhan, and Yuanyuan Bai. "A Bootstrap-Bayesian Dynamic Modification Model Based on Small Sample Target Features." In Global Oceans 2020: Singapore - U.S. Gulf Coast. IEEE, 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/ieeeconf38699.2020.9389444.
Full textLuo, Diansong, Tie Qiu, Nakema Deonauth, and Aoyang Zhao. "A small world model for improving robustness of heterogeneous networks." In 2015 IEEE Global Conference on Signal and Information Processing (GlobalSIP). IEEE, 2015. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/globalsip.2015.7418317.
Full textMandelli, Stefano, Emanuela Colombo, Andrea Redondi, Francesco Bernardi, Bonaventure B. Saanane, Prosper Mgaya, and Johnstone Malisa. "A small-hydro plant model for feasibility analysis of electrification projects in Rural Tanzania." In 2013 IEEE Global Humanitarian Technology Conference (GHTC). IEEE, 2013. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/ghtc.2013.6713646.
Full textArvanitakis, George, Thrasyvoulos Spyropoulos, and Florian Kaltenberger. "An Analytical Model for Flow-Level Performance of Large, Randomly Placed Small Cell Networks." In GLOBECOM 2016 - 2016 IEEE Global Communications Conference. IEEE, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/glocom.2016.7841582.
Full textBabu, Satish. "A software model for precision agriculture for small and marginal farmers." In 2013 IEEE Global Humanitarian Technology Conference: South Asia Satellite (GHTC-SAS). IEEE, 2013. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/ghtc-sas.2013.6629944.
Full textAstuti, Mudji, and Hana Catur Wahyun. "Human Capital Integration Model With Technology Innovation In Small And Medium Enterprises (SME)." In 1st International Conference on Intellectuals' Global Responsibility (ICIGR 2017). Paris, France: Atlantis Press, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.2991/icigr-17.2018.6.
Full textMaviel, Laurent, Yves Lostanlen, and Jean-Marie Gorce. "A hybrid propagation model for large-scale variations caused by vehicular traffic in small cells." In GLOBECOM 2012 - 2012 IEEE Global Communications Conference. IEEE, 2012. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/glocom.2012.6503916.
Full textReports on the topic "Small Global Model (Macroeconomics)"
Kim, Changmo, Ghazan Khan, Brent Nguyen, and Emily L. Hoang. Development of a Statistical Model to Predict Materials’ Unit Prices for Future Maintenance and Rehabilitation in Highway Life Cycle Cost Analysis. Mineta Transportation Institute, December 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.31979/mti.2020.1806.
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