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Relevant bibliographies by topics / Spread betting

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Academic literature on the topic 'Spread betting'

Author: Grafiati

Published: 4 June 2021

Last updated: 31 January 2023

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Journal articles on the topic "Spread betting"

1

Buik, David. "Financial spread betting." Significance 3, no. 1 (March 2006): 26–27. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1740-9713.2006.00148.x.

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Fodor, Andy, Kevin Krieger, David Kirch David Kirch, and Andrew Kreutzer. "INFORMATIONAL DIFFERENCES IN NFL POINT SPREAD AND MONEYLINE MARKETS." Journal of Prediction Markets 6, no. 2 (December 19, 2012): 1–11. http://dx.doi.org/10.5750/jpm.v6i2.498.

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In this paper we test the efficiency of NFL betting markets by examining the ability of NFL point spread and moneyline markets to incorporate information. While bookmakers may properly evaluate available information when setting point spreads and moneylines, we show that the nature of point spread markets makes full information incorporation difficult. We test if information from the finer moneyline market can be used to predict whether favorites will cover the spread in the point spread market. We find that for games with the same point spread, betting on (against) the most (least) favored teams to win (lose), according to the moneyline, results in chances to profit, suggesting an inefficiency in the point spread market.

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Jang-Young, Lee. "Legal Spread of Sports Betting Industry." kookmin Social Science Review 32, no. 01 (August 31, 2019): 97–122. http://dx.doi.org/10.54711/kssr.32.1.04.

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Hong, Yancheng, and Steven Skiena. "The Wisdom of Bookies? Sentiment Analysis Versus. the NFL Point Spread." Proceedings of the International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media 4, no. 1 (May 16, 2010): 251–54. http://dx.doi.org/10.1609/icwsm.v4i1.14074.

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The American Football betting market provides a particularly attractive domain to study the nexus between public sentiment and the wisdom of crowds. In this paper, we present the first substantial study of the relationship between the NFL betting line and public opinion expressed in blogs and microblogs (Twitter). We perform a large-scale study of four distinct text streams: LiveJournal blogs, RSS blog feeds captured by Spinn3r, Twitter, and traditional news media. Our results show interesting disparities between the first and second halves of each season. We present evidence showing usefulness of sentiment on NFL betting. We demonstrate that a strategy betting roughly 30 games per year identified winner roughly 60% of the time from 2006 to 2009, well beyond what is needed to overcome the bookie's typical commission(53%).

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Lacey, Nelson J., and Donald R. Chambers. "Option Wagering in Point Spread Betting Markets." Journal of Derivatives 2, no. 1 (August 31, 1994): 31–37. http://dx.doi.org/10.3905/jod.1994.407903.

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Fitt, A. D. "Markowitz portfolio theory for soccer spread betting." IMA Journal of Management Mathematics 20, no. 2 (August 29, 2008): 167–84. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/imaman/dpn028.

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GANDAR, JOHN, RICHARD ZUBER, THOMAS O'BRIEN, and BEN RUSSO. "Testing Rationality in the Point Spread Betting Market." Journal of Finance 43, no. 4 (September 1988): 995–1008. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1988.tb02617.x.

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8

Davis, Justin, Jarrod Dawson, and Kevin Krieger. "Correlated Parlay Betting: An Analysis of Betting Market Profitability Scenarios in College Football." Journal of Prediction Markets 12, no. 2 (December 5, 2018): 68–84. http://dx.doi.org/10.5750/jpm.v12i2.1562.

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In this paper we consider the case of potential “correlated parlays” in American college football wagering. The structure of college football games is such that games in which favorites prevail in “against-the-spread” (spread) bets are expected to be more likely to go over the posted “total” of the game. Using a longitudinal data set over the years from 2005-2015, our findings confirm this to be the case. However, to prevent bettors from utilizing this trend to profit in their wagers, many sportsbooks disallow some, or all, same-game parlay bets. Consequently, we find that sportsbooks have generally been too conservative in refusing such bets and have thus foregone profitability in the vast majority of betting situations. This analysis opens a new line of discussion in the area of sports market efficiency research – that of correlated parlay betting. We consider this case and present potential directions for future research.

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Salaga, Steven, Scott Tainsky, and Michael Mondello. "Betting Market Outcomes and NBA Television Viewership." Journal of Sport Management 34, no. 2 (March 1, 2020): 161–72. http://dx.doi.org/10.1123/jsm.2019-0046.

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The authors demonstrate that betting market outcomes are a statistically significant and economically relevant driver of local market television viewership in the National Basketball Association. Ratings are higher when the local market team covers the point spread and when point spread outcome uncertainty is increased. They further illustrate that point spread market outcomes have a larger relative impact on viewership in less-popular games and when the local market team is expected to perform poorly. This suggests wagering market access serves as insurance to the league and its franchises against reduced viewership in games that are less appealing to consumers. The results assess the degree to which wagering interest has driven past revenues as well as how the legalization of sports wagering may influence future revenues.

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Haigh, John. "The Kelly Criterion and Bet Comparisons in Spread Betting." Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series D (The Statistician) 49, no. 4 (December 2000): 531–39. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1467-9884.00251.

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Dissertations / Theses on the topic "Spread betting"

1

Twomey, Paul. "Market efficiency of horse-race betting markets with applications to spread betting." Thesis, University of Sussex, 2005. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.483596.

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Spinosa, Charles L. "Testing the Efficiency of the NFL Point Spread Betting Market." Scholarship @ Claremont, 2014. http://scholarship.claremont.edu/cmc_theses/986.

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This paper examines the efficiency of pricing in the NFL point spread betting market, as hypothesized by the Efficient Market Hypothesis, through both statistical and economic tests. This market provides a simpler framework to test such economic hypotheses than conventional financial markets. Using a larger sample size than past literature, this paper finds that while the market is efficient in the aggregate sense, there are still some profit opportunities which imply pricing inefficiencies.

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Lust, Alexander D. "A Test of Efficiency in NBA Point Spread Markets." Miami University / OhioLINK, 2018. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=miami1533158563565605.

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Jottreau, Benoît. "Financial models and price formation : applications to sport betting." Thesis, Paris Est, 2009. http://www.theses.fr/2009PEST1031.

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Cette thèse est composée de quatre chapitres. Le premier chapitre traite de l'évaluation de produits financiers dans un modèle comportant un saut pour l'actif risque. Ce saut représente la faillite de l'entreprise correspondante. On étudie alors l'évaluation des prix d'options par indifférence d'utilité dans un cadre d'utilité exponentielle. Par des techniques de programmation dynamique on montre que le prix d'un Bond est solution d'une équation différentielle et le prix d'options dépendantes de l'actif est solution d'une équation aux dérives partielles d'Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman. Le saut dans la dynamique de l'actif risque induit des différences avec le modèle de Merton que nous tentons de quantifier. Le second chapitre traite d'un marché comportant des sauts : les paris sur le football. Nous rappelons les différentes familles de modèles pour un match de football et introduisons un modèle complet permettant d'évaluer les prix des différents produits apparus sur ce marché ces dix dernières années. La complexité de ce modèle nous amène à étudier un modèle simplifié dont nous étudions les implications et calculons les prix obtenus que l'on compare à la réalité. On remarque que la calibration implicite obtenue génère de très bons résultats en produisant des prix très proches de la réalité. Le troisième chapitre développe le problème de fixation des prix par un teneur de marche monopolistique dans le marché des paris binaires. Ce travail est un prolongement direct au problème introduit par Levitt [Lev04]. Nous généralisons en effet son travail aux cas des paris européens et proposons une méthode pour estimer la méthode de cotation utilisée par le book-maker. Nous montrons que deux hypothèses inextricables peuvent expliquer cette fixation des prix. D'une part, l'incertitude du public sur la vraie valeur ainsi que le caractère extrêmement risque-averse du bookmaker. Le quatrième chapitre prolonge quant à lui cette approche au cas de produits financiers non binaires. Nous examinons différents modèles d'offre et de demande et en déduisons, par des techniques de programmation dynamique, des équations aux dérivées partielles dictant la formation des prix d'achat et de vente. Nous montrons finalement que l'écart entre prix d'achat et prix de vente ne dépend pas de la position du teneur de marche dans l'actif considère. Cependant le prix moyen dépend lui fortement de la quantité détenue par le teneur de marche. Une approche simplifiée est finalement proposée dans le cas multidimensionnel
This thesis is composed of four chapters. The first one deals with the pricing of financial products in a single jump model for the risky asset. This jump represents the bankrupcy of the quoted firm. We study the pricing of derivatives in the context of indifference of utility with an exponential utility. By means of dynamic programming we show that the bond price is solution of an ordinary differential equation and that stock price dependent options are solutions of an equation with partial derivatives of Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman type generalizing the Black-Scholes one. We then try to quantify differences in the price obtained here and the one from Merton model without jump. The second chapter deals with a specific jump market : the soccer betting market. We recall the different model families for a soccer match and introduce some full model which allows to price the products recently born in this market in last ten years. Nevertheless the model complexity leads us to study a simplified model introduced by Dixon and Robinson from which we are able to derive closed formulas and simulate prices that we compare to market prices. We remark that implicit calibration gives pretty goof fit of market data. Third chapter developps the approach of Levitt [Lev04] on price formation in binary betting market held by a monopolistic market-maker operating in a one time step trading. We generalize Levitt results with european format of betting. We show that prices are distorded on the pressure of demand and offer, that phenomena introducing a market probability that allows to price products under this new measure. We identify some best model for demand and offer and market maker strategy and show that probability change is obvious in case of imperfect information about the value of the product. Fourth chapter generalizes this approach to the case of general payoffs and continuous time. The task is more complex and we just derive partial derivative equations from dynamic programming that enable us to give the bid-ask prices of the product traded by the market-maker. One result is that, in most models, bid-ask spread does not depend on the inventory held by the dealer whereas mid-quote price strongly reflects the unbalance of the dealer

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Matthews, Gregory J. "Improved paired comparison models for NFL point spreads by data transformation." Link to electronic thesis, 2005. http://www.wpi.edu/Pubs/ETD/Available/etd-050505-144934/.

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Schwalbach, Bettina Spreng David. "Die rheumatoide Polyarthritis beim Hund ... Bettina Schwalbach, David Spreng." Bern, 1991. http://www.ub.unibe.ch/content/bibliotheken_sammlungen/sondersammlungen/dissen_bestellformular/index_ger.html.

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Books on the topic "Spread betting"

1

Ford, Gary. Systems trading for spread betting: An end-to-end guide for developing spread betting systems. Petersfield: Harriman House, 2008.

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2

Fieldhouse, Stuart. The Financial times guide to spread betting. Harlow, England: Longman, 2012.

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3

Nicholl, Sally. Bets and the city: Sally Nicoll's spread betting diary. Petersfield: Harriman House, 2006.

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Baltazar, Michelle. Beginner's guide to financial spread betting: Step-by-step instructions and winning strategies. Petersfield: Harriman House, 2008.

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5

Harvey, Geoff. Spread Betting. Verulam Publishing Ltd, 1998.

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6

(Foreword), Compton Hellyer, ed. Spread Betting. Aesculus Press Limited, 1998.

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Arends, Brett. Spread Betting. Warner Books, 2003.

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8

Harvey, Geoff. Successful Spread Betting. Global Professional Publishing, 2008.

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Arends, Brett. Spread Betting a Pbp. Little, Brown Book Group Limited, 2002.

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Arends, Brett. Spread Betting a Special. Little, Brown Book Group Limited, 2002.

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Book chapters on the topic "Spread betting"

1

Stern, Hal S. "Point Spread and Odds Betting: Baseball, Basketball, and American Football." In Handbook of Sports and Lottery Markets, 223–37. Elsevier, 2008. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/b978-044450744-0.50014-7.

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Twomey, Paul M. "Market efficiency of the 50–30–20–10 horse-racing spread betting market." In Information Efficiency in Financial and Betting Markets, 277–86. Cambridge University Press, 2005. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/cbo9780511493614.013.

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Kandler, Anne, and Fabio Caccioli. "Networks, Homophily, and the Spread of Innovations." In The Connected Past. Oxford University Press, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198748519.003.0016.

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The question of how and why innovations spread through populations has been the focus of extensive research in various scientific disciplines over recent decades. Generally, innovation diffusion is defined as the process whereby a few members of a social system initially adopt an innovation, then over time more individuals adopt until all (or most) members have adopted the new idea (e.g. Rogers 2003; Ryan and Gross 1943; Valente 1993). Anthropologists and archaeologists have argued that this process is one of the most important processes in cultural evolution (Richerson et al. 1996) and much work has been devoted to describing and analysing the temporal and spatial patterns of the spread of novel techniques and ideas from a particular source to their present distributions. Classic case studies include the spread of agricultural inventions such as hybrid corn (e.g. Griliches 1957; Ryan and Gross 1943), the spread of historic gravestone motifs in New England (Dethlefsen and Deetz 1966; Scholnick 2012), and the spread of bow and arrow technology (Bettinger and Eerkins 1999). (For a more comprehensive list see Rogers and Shoemaker (1971) who reviewed 1,500 studies of innovation diffusion.) Interestingly, the temporal diffusion dynamic in almost all case studies is characterized by an S-shaped diffusion curve describing the fraction of the population which has adopted the innovation at a certain point in time. Similarly, the spatial dynamics tend to resemble travelling wave-like patterns (see Steele 2009 for examples). The basic puzzle posed by innovation diffusion is the observed lag between an innovation’s first appearance and its general acceptance within a population (Young 2009). In other words, what are the individual-level mechanisms that give rise to the observed population-level pattern? Again, scientific fields as diverse as economics/marketing science (e.g. Bass 1969; Van den Bulte and Stremersch 2004; Young 2009), geography (e.g. Hägerstrand 1967), or social science (e.g. Henrich 2001; Steele 2009; Valente 1996; Watts 2002) offer interesting insights into this question without reaching a consensus about the general nature of individual adoption decisions. In archaeological and anthropological applications, population-level patterns inferred from the archaeological record, such as adoption curves, are often the only direct evidence about past cultural traditions (Shennan 2011).

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Huler, Scott. "The Corps’s Work Is Never Done." In A Delicious Country, 47–68. University of North Carolina Press, 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.5149/northcarolina/9781469648286.003.0004.

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This chapter reviews Lawson’s adventure with the Santee Indians. During Lawson’s stay with the Santee, he learns of their customs and traditions, and even discovers a dark past. Huler emphasizes the slavery trade between the British and the Indians. Additionally, Lawson records his study of diseases such as syphilis, comparing Europe’s spread of syphilis to that in North American. In a reflection of Lawson’s period with the Santee, Huler visits the Santee tribe and Vice Chief Peggy Scott who tells him stories and of her appreciation for Lawson. She reflects on bettering her tribe and her appreciation for their traditions.

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Conference papers on the topic "Spread betting"

1

Birge, John R., Yifan Feng, N. Bora Keskin, and Adam Schultz. "Dynamic Learning and Market Making in Spread Betting Markets with Informed Bettors." In EC '19: ACM Conference on Economics and Computation. New York, NY, USA: ACM, 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.1145/3328526.3329646.

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