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1

Introduction to credibility theory. 3rd ed. Winsted, CT: ACTEX Publications, 1999.

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2

Herzog, Thomas N. Introduction to credibility theory. 4th ed. Winsted, CT: ACTEX Publications, 2010.

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3

Introduction to credibility theory. 2nd ed. Winsted, CT: ACTEX Publications, 1996.

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4

Herzog, Thomas N. Introduction to credibility theory. Winsted, CT: ACTEX Publications, 1994.

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5

Robert, Powell. Nuclear deterrence theory: The search for credibility. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1990.

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6

Ball, Laurence M. Disinflation with imperfect credibility. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research, 1992.

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7

Jasiulewicz, Helena. Teoria zaufania: Modele aktuarialne. Wrocław: Wydawn. Akademii Ekonomicznej im. Oskara Langego we Wrocławiu, 2005.

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8

Cukierman, Alex. Central bank strategy, credibility, and independence: Theory and evidence. Cambridge, Mass: MIT Press, 1992.

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9

The scientific credibility of folk psychology. Mahwah, N.J: Lawrence Erlbaum Asociates, 1995.

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10

Ireland, Peter N. Expectations, credibility, and time-consistent monetary policy. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research, 1999.

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11

International lending, long-term credit relationships, and dynamic contract theory. Princeton, N.J: International Finance Section, Dept. of Economics, Princeton University, 1987.

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12

Bayesian statistics in actuarial science: With emphasis on credibility. Boston: Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1992.

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13

Das Konzept der orthogonalen Projektion zur Bestimmung von Credibility-Schätzern in diskreter und kontinuierlicher Zeit. Frankfurt am Main: P. Lang, 2004.

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14

Merz, Michael. Das Konzept der orthogonalen Projektion zur Bestimmung von Credibility-Schätzern in diskreter und kontinuierlicher Zeit. Frankfurt am Main: P. Lang, 2004.

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15

Marco, Rossi. Measuring disinflation credibility in emerging markets: A Bayesian approach with an application to Turkey. [Washington, D.C]: International Monetary Fund, Europen Dept. and Research Dept., 2004.

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16

Kozicki, Sharon. What do you expect?: Imperfect policy credibility and tests of the expectations hypothesis. Kansas City [Mo.]: Research Division, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, 2001.

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17

Copestake, James G. NGO sponsorship of group lending in rural India: Context, theory and a case study. Bath: University of Bath, Centre for Development Studies, 1994.

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18

Zur ökonomischen und politisch-institutionellen Analyse öffentlicher Kredithilfen. Frankfurt am Main: P. Lang, 1992.

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19

Ennuste, Ülo. On optimal Bayesian market mechanisms with credibility constraints: The example of the CEECs and EU accession and enlargement process. Tallinn: Estonian Institute of Economics, Tallinn Technical University, 2000.

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20

Zhongguo da zhong mei jie de chuan bo xiao guo yu gong xin li yan jiu: Ji chu li lun, ping ce fang fa yu shi zheng fen xi = Study on communication effects and credibility of Chinese mass media : the foundational theory, measuring methods and empirical analyses. Beijing Shi: Jing ji ke xue chu ban she, 2009.

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21

Ashworth, Scott, Christopher R. Berry, and Ethan Bueno de Mesquita. Theory and Credibility. Princeton University Press, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.1515/9780691215006.

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22

Aidan, Berry, ed. Bank lending: Beyond the theory. London: Chapman & Hall, 1993.

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23

Jarvis, Robin, Sue Faulkner, Mark Hughes, and Aidan Berry. Bank Lending: Beyond the Theory. Intl Thomson Business Pr, 1993.

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24

Robert, Powell. Nuclear Deterrence Theory: The Search for Credibility. Cambridge University Press, 2008.

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25

Herzog, Thomas N. Solutions manual for Introduction to credibility theory. 3rd ed. ACTEX Publications, 1999.

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26

Stone, Randall W. Lending Credibility: The International Monetary Fund and the Post-Communist Transition. Princeton University Press, 2012.

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27

Stone, Randall W. Lending Credibility: The International Monetary Fund and the Post-Communist Transition. Princeton University Press, 2012.

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28

The Genesis 'Gap Theory': Its Credibility and Consequences. Twoedged Sword Publications, 2005.

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29

A Course in Credibility Theory and its Applications. Berlin/Heidelberg: Springer-Verlag, 2005. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/3-540-29273-x.

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30

Alois Gisler,Hans B. Hlmann. A Course in Credibility Theory and Its Applications. Springer, 2008.

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31

Central Bank Strategy, Credibility, and Independence: Theory and Evidence. MIT Press, 1992.

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32

A Course in Credibility Theory and its Applications (Universitext). Springer, 2005.

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33

A Course in Credibility Theory and its Applications (Universitext). Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2006.

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34

Prem, Christian. The Theory of Credit Contracts: With a Focus on Group Lending. Springer Gabler, 2020.

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35

Lending Credibility: The International Monetary Fund and the Post-Communist Transition (Princeton Studies in International History and Politics). Princeton University Press, 2002.

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36

Stone, Randall W. Lending Credibility: The International Monetary Fund and the Post-Communist Transition (Princeton Studies in International History and Politics). Princeton University Press, 2002.

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37

Cox, Samuel. Notes and Exercises for Cas/Soa Course 4: Loss Model Estimation, Credibility Theory and Simulation. Stipes Pub Llc, 2001.

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38

1946-, Goovaerts M. J., ed. Effective actuarial methods. Amsterdam: North-Holland, 1990.

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39

Robinson, Daniel H., Joel R. Levin, Steve Graham, Gregory Schraw, Lynn Fuchs, and Sharon R. Vaughn. Improving the Credibility of Educational Intervention Research. Edited by Angela O'Donnell. Oxford University Press, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780199841332.013.46.

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This article discusses various forms of research that are contemporaneously being undertaken for either investigating or establishing the efficacy of educational interventions, along with their strengths and limitations. It first explains what “credible” educational intervention research means, taking into account the importance of causal inference in intervention research methodologies, before turning to single-case intervention designs and how they can be profitably applied in a number of educational and psychological intervention research contexts. It then describes randomization as a means to enhance the scientific credibility of single-case intervention research and how theory can make intervention research more credible. Finally, it offers recommendations for conducting, analyzing, and reporting educational intervention research, with an eye toward improving its quality and associated credibility.
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40

Klugman, Stuart A. Bayesian Statistics in Actuarial Science: With Emphasis on Credibility (Huebner International Series on Risk, Insurance and Economic Security). Springer, 1991.

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41

Basu, Kaushik, and Joseph E. Stiglitz. International Lending, Sovereign Debt and Joint Liability: An Economic Theory Model for Amending the Treaty of Lisbon. The World Bank, 2013. http://dx.doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-6555.

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42

Healey, Richard. Theories, Models, and Representation. Oxford University Press, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198714057.003.0008.

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Quantum theory involves a novel, indirect use of models to further the aims of fundamental science. It is revolutionary because of the way it improves our use and understanding of representations of the universe we could offer without it. The so-called semantic approach takes a scientific theory to supply a collection of models to be used to represent phenomena: but models of quantum theory are applied more indirectly to provide good advice on the significance and credibility of claims about physical things whose existence is assumable here. Inferentialism takes these claims to derive their content through inferential links to others. They are objective, as are the probabilities they are assigned, and some are objectively true.
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43

Stephenson, Barry. 7. The fortunes of ritual. Oxford University Press, 2015. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/actrade/9780199943524.003.0008.

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‘The fortunes of ritual’ charts the history of ritual, its study, and its reception beginning with the Confucian text Liji. This outlines means to counter humanity's fallen state through devices, guides, and practices called li, which are imagined as knots binding society together. Jumping to Enlightenment Europe, ritual came to be viewed as staid and outmoded, a superstitious remnant of a primitive past, a past that prevented humanity from truly advancing. In the early twentieth century, ritual was given some credibility via the Durkhemian tradition of social functionalism and Julian Huxley's causal connection between society's ills and ineffectual ritualization in society. Recent ritual theory articulates the relationship between ritual and group solidarity as seen through participation in contemporary festivals.
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44

Rice, Ronald E., and Ryan Fuller. Theoretical Perspectives in the Study of Communication and the Internet. Edited by William H. Dutton. Oxford University Press, 2013. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780199589074.013.0017.

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This chapter exposes the prominence of different theoretical perspectives on the Internet. A broad scope of primary and secondary theories has been increasingly used to understand the social and communicative aspects of the Internet and the increasingly specialized areas being developed by Internet researchers, such as around social media. The chapters published in the first half of the period (2000–04) are compared to those in the second period of the sample (2005–09). It is observed that the media attributes, the public sphere, and community have been the most popular theory themes. There are also opportunities for further theoretical development in the areas of credibility/trust, participatory media/users, relational management, and cultural differences.
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45

Meyer, Timothy. The Role of Science in Climate Change Lawmaking. Edited by Kevin R. Gray, Richard Tarasofsky, and Cinnamon Carlarne. Oxford University Press, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/law/9780199684601.003.0020.

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This chapter examines how international legal institutions foster cooperation in the presence of scientific uncertainty, especially in the area of international climate change law. It analyses the theory of epistemic institutions and applies it to the primary international scientific organization working on climate change issues, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The IPCC’s assessment reports play a major role in setting the terms of the public debate about climate change negotiations that takes place within the Conference of the Parties (COP) to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). Although independent of the UNFCCC, the IPCC’s work product is thus a key input into the UNFCCC’s efforts to negotiate international climate change rules. However, the IPCC’s credibility has been called into question due to a relative lack of participation by scientists from developing countries in the assessment process.
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46

Gugerty, Mary Kay, and Dean Karlan. The CART Principles in More Detail. Oxford University Press, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780199366088.003.0004.

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Chapter 4 discusses the CART principles in more detail, showing how they can help organizations make difficult tradeoffs about the data they should collect. To ensure credibility, organizations should collect high-quality data and analyze them accurately. This means that all data collected must be valid, reliable, and appropriately used. Actionability requires that organizations only collect data they can commit to use. This chapter explains how the actionable principle, combined with a well-articulated theory of change, guides organizations to only collect data that will have a specific use. It then explains that, for credible data collection, organizations must ensure that the benefits of data collection outweigh the costs. All data have opportunity costs—the money and time spent collecting data could also be spent implementing programs. Finally, it explains how organizations can collect transportable data that can generate knowledge for other programs.
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47

Quackenbush, Stephen L. Empirical Analyses of Deterrence. Oxford University Press, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/acrefore/9780190228637.013.313.

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Deterrence is an important subject, and its study has spanned more than seven decades. Much research on deterrence has focused on a theoretical understanding of the subject. Particularly important is the distinction between classical deterrence theory and perfect deterrence theory. Other studies have employed empirical analyses. The empirical literature on deterrence developed at different times and took different approaches. The early empirical deterrence literature was highly limited for varying reasons. Much of the early case study literature did not seek to test deterrence theory. Early quantitative studies did seek to do so, but they were hampered by rudimentary methods, poor research design, and/or a disconnect between quantitative studies and formal theories of deterrence. Modern empirical research on deterrence has made great strides toward bridging the formal-quantitative divide in the study of deterrence and conducting theoretically driven case studies. Further, researchers have explored the effect of specific variables on deterrence, such as alliances, reputations and credibility, and nuclear weapons. Future empirical studies of deterrence should build on these modern developments. In addition, they should build on perfect deterrence theory, given its logical consistency and empirical support.
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48

Camper, Martin. The Interpretive Stases. Oxford University Press, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780190677121.003.0001.

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Chapter 1 introduces the interpretive stases as a neglected rhetorical method that could be productively employed by scholars to analyze debates over the meaning of texts in virtually any sphere. The chapter begins with a debate over one of the leaked 2009 “climategate” emails, which seriously damaged the credibility of climatologists, to illustrate the far-reaching consequences of interpretive arguments. A brief sketch is provided of the interpretive stases’ history, from their origins in ancient Greco-Roman legal theory to when they were dropped from rhetorical manuals in the seventeenth century. The chapter explores the relationship between rhetoric and hermeneutics—philosophical, literary, legal, and religious—and argues that no school of hermeneutics offers a general method for analyzing the argumentative push and pull involved in the interpretation of any text. The final part of the chapter outlines the six interpretive stases and discusses how they frame textual interpretation in terms of argument and persuasion.
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49

Healey, Richard. The Quantum Revolution in Philosophy. Oxford University Press, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198714057.001.0001.

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Quantum theory launched a revolution in twentieth-century physics. But we have yet to appreciate the revolution’s significance for philosophy. Most studies of the conceptual foundations of quantum theory first try to interpret the theory—to say how the world could possibly be the way the theory says it is. But, though fundamental, quantum theory is enormously successful without describing the world in its own terms. When properly applied, models of quantum theory offer good advice on the significance and credibility of claims about the world expressed in other terms. This first of several philosophical lessons of the quantum revolution dissolves the quantum measurement problem. Pragmatist treatments of probability and causation show how quantum theory may be used to explain the non-localized correlations that have been thought to involve ‘spooky’ instantaneous action at a distance. Given environmental decoherence, a pragmatist inferentialist approach to content shows when talk of quantum probabilities is licensed, resolves any residual worries about whether a quantum measurement has a determinate outcome, and solves a dilemma about the ontology of a quantum field theory. This approach to meaning and reference also reveals the nature and limits of objective description in the light of quantum theory. While these pragmatist approaches to probability, causation, explanation, and content may be independently motivated by philosophical argument, their successful application here illustrates their practical importance in helping philosophers come to terms with the quantum revolution.
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50

Brulé, David, and Alex Mintz. Foreign Policy Decision Making: Evolution, Models, and Methods. Oxford University Press, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/acrefore/9780190846626.013.185.

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Choices made by individuals, small groups, or coalitions representing nation-states result in policies or strategies with international outcomes. Foreign policy decision-making, an approach to international relations, is aimed at studying such decisions. The rational choice model is widely considered to be the paradigmatic approach to the study of international relations and foreign policy. The evolution of the decision-making approach to foreign policy analysis has been punctuated by challenges to rational choice from cognitive psychology and organizational theory. In the late 1950s and early 1960s, scholars began to ponder the deterrence puzzle as they sought to find solutions to the problem of credibility. During this period, cross-disciplinary research on organizational behavior began to specify a model of decision making that contrasted with the rational model. Among these models were the bounded rationality/cybernetic model, organizational politics model, bureaucratic politics model, prospect theory, and poliheuristic theory. Despite these and other advances, the gulf between the rational choice approaches and cognitive psychological approaches appears to have stymied progress in the field of foreign policy decision-making. Scholars working within the cognitivist school should develop theories of decision making that incorporate many of the cognitive conceptual inputs in a logical and coherent framework. They should also pursue a multi-method approach to theory testing using experimental, statistical, and case study methods.
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