Dissertations / Theses on the topic 'Time-of-departure'

In order to respond to growing interregional rail traffic, rail capacity should be allocated better. To achieve this, one possibility is to optimise suitability of departure times for rail passengers in the timetabling process. The suitability of departure and arrival times refers to how well the timetable can diminish constraints on passengers that must adapt their activities to train schedules. However, current knowledge on this issue is limited. Indeed, only few studies have quantified how passengers valuate departure time suitability. These studies are also quite brief in their coverage of the influence of travellers’ profiles on these valuations. In addition, current methods comparing the socioeconomic consequences of different timetables are not applicable in all contexts, and most of them rely on strong simplifications. In summary, this thesis aims to answer the following research questions:

What are the determinants for passenger valuations of departure time suitability? How to improve the welfare assessment of departure time shifts in interregional timetables? In paper 1, I focus on the first research question. To this end, we present a new study in which we estimate new valuations of departure time suitability. To achieve this, we conducted a stated-preference survey on several Swedish rail lines. We present the design of the survey and its result in the paper. With this work, I aim to fulfil two objectives: first, to provide figures to improve inputs for travel demand forecast models and socioeconomic assessments. Second, to determine the influence of trip characteristics and traveller’s socioeconomic profile on their valuations. In paper 2, I focus on the second research question. To this end, we present a method that enables calculating changes in welfare due to departure time shifts in any interregional timetable. In this method, we bridge schedule-based model forecasts with cost-benefit analysis framework. This enables a better approximation of consumer and producer surplus than in previous literature. In addition, we show the applicability and potential of our method on a case study covering a Swedish interregional line.
För att svara mot den växande interregionala järnvägstrafiken bör järnvägskapaciteten fördelas bättre. För att uppnå detta kan man i tidtabellsprocessen optimera lämpligheten för tågpassagerares avgångstid. Lämpligheten för avgångs- och ankomsttider avser tidtabellens förmåga att minska passagerarnas begränsningar när de måste anpassa sin verksamhet efter tågplanen. Men det finns en brist i aktuella kunskaper i denna fråga. Faktum är att endast få studier har kvantifierat hur passagerare värderar lämplighet för avgångstid. Dessa studier är också ganska översiktliga i sin beskrivning av hur resenärers profiler påverkar värderingarna. Dessutom är de nuvarande metoderna som jämför de socioekonomiska konsekvenserna av olika tidtabeller inte tillämpliga i alla sammanhang, och de flesta av dem förlitar sig på starka förenklingar. Sammanfattningsvis har denna avhandling syftat på att svara följande forskningsfrågor:  1. Vilka faktorer påverkar passagerares utvärdering av lämpligheten för avgångs- och ankomsttider?   2. Hur kan man förbättra utvärderingen av skillnader i välfärd av varierande avgångstider för interregionala tåg? I artikel 1 behandlar vi första forskningsfrågan. För detta ändamål presenterar vi en ny studie där vi analyserar nya värderingar av lämplighet för avgångstid. För att uppnå detta genomförde vi en stated-preference undersökning på tre svenska järnvägslinjer. Vi presenterar undersökningens utformning och dess resultat i uppsatsen. Med detta arbete syftar vi till att uppfylla två mål: för det första, att tillhandahålla siffror för att förbättra indata i prognosmodeller för reseefterfrågan och samhällsekonomiska bedömningar. För det andra, att bestämma påverkan av resans egenskaper och resenärers socioekonomiska profil på värderingarna. I artikel 2 behandlar vi den andra forskningsfrågan. För detta ändamål presenterar vi en metod som gör det möjligt att beräkna förändringen i välfärd på grund av förskjutningar i avgångstiderna i en interregional tidtabell. I den här metoden överbryggar vi kunskapen i schemalagda modeller med kostnadsnyttoanalysramen. Detta möjliggör en bättre uppskattning av konsument- och producentöverskott än i tidigare litteratur. Dessutom visar vi användbarheten av vår metod i en fallstudie som täcker en svensk interregional linje.


QC 20200423

This thesis addresses the possibility of using a delay-on-ground concept in which flights with less than 1 hour flying time (often referred to as pop-up flights) absorb their arrival sequencing delay at the departure gate by being issued their Arrival Manager (AMAN)-scheduled time as a Required Time of Arrival (RTA) that is inserted into the Flight Management System (FMS). Due to their short duration these flights are currently often inserted into the AMAN sequence shortly before Terminal Manoeuvring Area (TMA) entry and thereby often need to absorb their arrival sequencing delay in the inefficient manner of airborne holding or vectoring close to the arrival airport. The literature review examines current operational procedures of AMANs and Departure Managers (DMANs), the current FMS RTA function and live trials in which the delay-on-ground concept was tested in real operations. A case study airport in Europe that has potential to benefit from the concept is identified. The performance of the delay-on-ground concept for the case study airport is then assessed by performing 180 fast-time Monte Carlo simulation runs. For each run the arrival flow to the case study airport and the departure flows from two medium-sized airports from which the pop-up flights originate are simulated. Each run represents an operational day and variations in departure/arrivals time is put into the timetables to simulate the variation in actual departure/arrival times resulting from operational factors normally encountered in day-to-day operations. An algorithm is written in Matlab to simulate an AMAN-DMAN cooperation in which pop-up flights are locked to the required departure times to meet their RTAs. It is shown that a significant reduction in airborne delay time and fuel consumption can be achieved at the case study airport by using the concept. It is also shown that it is possible to ensure that the pop-up flights depart at the required times to meet their RTAs without negatively affecting the departure sequences.

Value pricing is now an accepted strategy for congestion and demand management in metropolitan areas. Along with alternate congestion management strategies, many transportation agencies have started looking at value pricing as a method to help financial shortfalls of new congestion management projects. Value pricing allows revenue collected from toll facilities to reduce operational concerns with underutilized High Occupancy Vehicle (HOV) facilities and relieves environmental concerns by reducing travel demand. Recently, transportation agencies have become increasingly interested in a high-occupancy toll (HOT) lane value pricing system with time-dependent tolls or dynamic tolls that change by the congestion level. However, there is a lack of proper travel demand forecasting tools that can evaluate and determine the impacts of pricing on travelersâ decision in relation to congestion. The current methods use aggregated and zonal based approaches that lack the capability of tracing individual travelers through the supply network in order to capture his/her travel decisions as it pertains to the estimated cost for toll usage. The conventional models do not consider individual traveler socio-economic characteristics, particularly the heterogeneous value of time (VOT). TRANSIMS (Transportation Analysis Simulation System) differs from current travel demand forecasting methods in its underlying concepts and structure. These differences include a consistent and continuous representation of time, a detailed representation of persons and households, time-dependent routing, and a person-based Microsimulator. The TRANSIMS Microsimulator is the only simulation tool that maintains the identity of the traveler throughout the simulation and is capable of accessing the database of each individual (e.g., income, age, trip purpose). It traces the movement of people as well as vehicles on a second-by-second basis. Although TRANSIMS environment has significantly improved over the past few years, there are still issues that need to be improved upon including: the pricing of a HOT lane with dynamic tolls and the rescheduling of activities (i.e., departure time choice model) in response to network conditions. The primary objectives of this study are to improve functions of TRANSIMS by modifying source codes in order to utilize non-linear, individual VOT function in route choice of a HOT lane value pricing system, to implement 15-min dynamic tolls that vary by level of service (i.e., volume/capacity ratio) in the HOT lane(s) and to develop departure time choice model. Testing the proposed methodologies using real-world data as case studies and evaluating the impacts of dynamic tolls and/or departure time choice model are other objectives of this study. The test site of the HOT lane system is a segment of I-5 northbound from Hwy 217 to I-405 near the central business district (CBD) in Portland metropolitan region, Oregon. The experimental analyses of the application of dynamic tolls and individual VOT demonstrate the feasibility of the proposed simulation methodology. The outputs from the microscopic analysis clearly indicate the effectiveness of the analysis in scrutinizing travelersâ route choice behavior based on different socio-economic and travel characteristics when different toll rates are applied. The effects of individual VOT on route choice are consistent with intuition; that is, travelers with higher VOTs are more likely to choose the HOT lane(s). In addition, the impacts of various tolls on route choice are analyzed on the basis of socio-economic and trip characteristics of each traveler. In addition to the development of the dynamic value pricing along with individual VOT, the departure time choice model is also developed. The proposed method is a post-processing of route choice and represents a sequential decision making process of travelers who want to depart early or late based on congestion, individual attributes and activity characteristics. This paper presents the results of a departure time choice model and its impacts on a HOT lane system using Portland, Oregon as a case study. The results show that 13.9% of households did change their departure time because of congestion and/or tolls.
Ph. D.

Developing equations to compute congestion measures for the general G/G/s/c queueing model and networks of such nodes has always been a challenge. One approach to analyzing such systems is to approximate the model-specified general input processes and distributions by processes and distributions from the more computationally friendly family of phase-type processes and distributions. We develop numerical approximation methods for analysis of general time-dependent queueing nodes by introducing new approximations for the time-dependent first two moments of the number-in-system and departure-count processes.
Ph. D.

Dans l'océan, les changements de température induisent des perturbations de la vitesse de propagation des ondes acoustiques. La tomographie acoustique océanique utilise les fluctuations de signaux acoustiques enregistrés pour cartographier ces perturbations de vitesse du son. Cette étude propose une méthode alternative utilisant la direction de propagation des ondes acoustiques (plutôt que les temps de propagation utilisés classiquement) pour imager un guide d'onde océanique peu profond (~100 m), petite échelle (1 à 10 km), avec une haute résolution spatiale (10 m horizontalement, 2 m en profondeur). Dans ce contexte, les ondes acoustiques basse fréquence (~1 kHz) à large bande spectrale (~1.5 kHz) se propagent selon des trajectoires multiples assimilables à des rayons géométriques épais spatialement. L'utilisation d'un couple d'antennes (émission/réception) et de la double formation de voies permet de séparer les signaux en provenance des différents trajets acoustiques et de mesurer leur : temps de propagation (TP), direction d'arrivée (DA) et direction de départ (DD). Dans l'hypothèse de faibles perturbations, les variations des TP, DA et DD sont reliées linéairement aux perturbations de la distribution de vitesse du son de manière analytique. Cette formulation, basée sur la physique de la diffraction de Born au 1er ordre, utilise des fonctions noyaux appelées : noyaux de sensibilité temps-angles (NSTA). Les méthodes classiques d'inversion permettent alors de retrouver les perturbations de vitesse à partir des variations de TP, DA et DD en utilisant les NSTA. Les méthodes développées ont été validées sur données simulées, puis appliquées à des données réelles d'expériences à échelle réduites réalisées dans la cuve ultrasonore de l'ISTerre, Grenoble
In the ocean, temperature changes induce sound-speed perturbations. Ocean acoustic tomography uses the fluctuations of recorded acoustic signals, to map those sound-speed perturbations. To this end, sound-speed perturbations are classically related to the acoustic-wave travel-times measured on the records. This study suggests an alternative method to perform acoustic thermometry based on acoustic-wave propagation directions. It allows imaging a shallow-water waveguide (~100 m), at small scale (1 to 10 km), with high spatial resolution (10 m in range, 2 m in depth). In this context, wideband (~1.5 kHz) low frequency (~1 kHz) acoustic waves propagates along multiple paths similar to spatially « fat » geometrical rays. Using a pair of arrays (source/receiver) and the double-beamforming processing to separate acoustic signals coming from different paths and measure their: travel-time (TT), directions-of-arrival (DOA) and directions-of-departure (DOD). Under the hypothesis of small perturbations, TP, DOA and DOD variations are linearly related to sound-speed perturbations in an analytical way. This formulation based on Born's diffraction physics at the first order uses kernel functions called: the time-angle sensitivity kernels (T-A-SK). The T-A-SK model is then combined to classical inversion methods to retrieve sound-speed perturbations from TT, DOA and DOD variations. The methods developed here have been validated on simulated data, and applied on real small-scale data coming from the ultrasonic tank of the ISTerre, Grenoble

Vasaloppet is a cross country ski event which has been held in Sweden for about 50 years. Now more than 50,000 people of different ages participate in various cross country ski races during the Vasaloppet winter week in Dalarna County. This increasing demand needs good traffic and transportation planning to avoid congestion and provide safe, on time and environmentally friendly transportation for participants and visitors to the area. The key for a good event traffic planning is reliable and up-to-date traffic data which is not available for the Vasaloppet winter week. This study is an attempt to collect traffic data in order to find the movement patterns in the area and estimate origin-destination matrices for the main event of Vasaloppet week. Based on resources and time limitation it was decided to use a web-base d participants’ survey in order to collect traffic data. The link to the survey was sent to email address of a sample of 5000 participants. About 64% of the participants drove from their home town to the area and about 31 percent travelled by bus. Train and airplane have a very small share in travel mode to the area. Malungsälen, Mora and Älvdalen are three municipalities in Dalarna County with the highest share in accommodating participants. On the day of the race, bus and car have approximately the same share in travel mode with 45% and 47% respectively.

Congestion charging has drawn considerable attention of transport analysts and policymakers as a mean of relieving urban traffic congestion. Proper prediction of the impacts of charging is necessary for policy makers to take right decisions. A European project named SILVERPOLIS have been introduced in this connection to describe state-of-practice in modelling effects of congestion charging and to identify features of transport models that are crucial for reliable forecasting of effects of congestion charging. This master thesis is a part of the SILVERPOLIS project, where Stockholm congestion charging scheme has been analysed using two different types of dynamic simulators: METROPOLIS and SILVESTER. The simulations are based on traffic data collected before and after the Stockholm congestion charging trial performed in spring 2006. The result of simulation suggests that METROPOLIS, which has been used for predicting effects of congestion charging in Ile-de-France, manages well to forecast the consequences of congestion charging for Stockholm. Comparison with SILVESTER model disclosed that, although calibration results of the two models differs in some respect, both models give similar results regarding impacts of congestion charging. The different modelling features and assumptions have been described for the two models. Despite the fact that the two models vary a lot in their assumptions and modelling style, both of them has proved to be good at describing the effect of congestion charging.

Fahrerassistenzsysteme werden zunehmend in Fahrzeuge eingebaut mit dem Ziel, den Fahrer beim Fahren zu unterstützen, Fahrfehler zu vermeiden und damit die Fahrsicherheit zu erhöhen. Derzeit sind häufig Systeme im Einsatz, die den Fahrer vor bestimmten Sicherheitsrisiken warnen (z.B. vor einem unbeabsichtigten Verlassen der Fahrspur). Der Trend geht aber hin zu Systemen, die stärker ins Fahrgeschehen eingreifen und somit Teile der Fahraufgabe automatisieren (z.B. selbständig die Spurhaltung des Fahrzeugs übernehmen). Aus der Forschung zur Mensch-Maschine Interaktion ist jedoch bekannt, dass Automatisierung nicht zwangsläufig zur Erhöhung von Sicherheit führt, sondern dass sie vielmehr auch unerwünschte Nebeneffekte für Performanz und Sicherheit mit sich bringen kann in dem Maße, wie Menschen an die veränderten Aufgabenanforderungen adaptieren. Im Straßenverkehr wird insbesondere befürchtet, dass Fahrer sich zu stark auf Fahrerassistenzsysteme verlassen, sich teilweise aus der Fahraufgabe zurückziehen („abschalten“) und ihre Aufmerksamkeit fahrfremden Dingen widmen. Dies kann unter Umständen dazu führen, dass Fahrer im Falle von Systemfehlern oder –ausfällen nicht mehr in der Lage sind rechtzeitig und angemessen einzugreifen bzw. die Kontrolle über das Fahrzeug zu übernehmen. Ziel der Dissertation war es zu untersuchen, inwieweit sich die Involviertheit von Fahrern in die Fahraufgabe verändert je stärker sie durch ein Assistenzsystem unterstützt werden (d.h., je stärker das System Teile der Fahraufgabe automatisiert). Um dies zu untersuchen wurden zwei theoretische Konzepte herangezogen: a) das Verlassen der Fahrer (auf ein System) und b) das Situationsbewusstsein der Fahrer. Basierend auf einer umfassenden Analyse der Forschungsliteratur zum Thema Automatisierung wurde ein theoretisches Rahmenmodell entwickelt, welches Veränderungen in der Involviertheit des Fahrers in die Fahraufgabe auf menschliche Adaptationsprozesse auf verschiedenen Ebenen zurückführt, die sich in Folge der veränderten Aufgaben­anforderungen durch zunehmende Automatisierung ergeben. Dazu zählen Veränderungen in Einstellungen, sowie in kognitiven, energetischen, und motivationalen Prozessen. Um Veränderungen in diesen Prozessen zu untersuchen, wurde eine Vielzahl an objektiven und subjektiven Maßen erhoben. Hauptgegenstand der Dissertation ist eine umfangreiche Fahrsimulatorstudie im Fahrsimulator mit Bewegungsplattform bei VTI (Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute) in Linköping, Schweden. Dabei kamen zwei Querführungsassistenzsysteme (ein Heading Control System und ein Lane Departure Warning System) zum Einsatz, die den Fahrer in unterschiedlichem Maße bei der Spurhaltung unterstützten. Im Gegensatz zu einem Großteil der bisherigen Studien wurden prozessorientierte Performanzmaße zur Erfassung des Verlassens der Fahrer auf die Assistenzsysteme und des Situationsbewusstseins der Fahrer verwendet. Das Verlassen der Fahrer auf die Querführungsassistenzsysteme wurde durch Blickverhaltensmaße über die Bereitschaft der Fahrer erfasst, ihre visuelle Aufmerksamkeit von der Straße ab hin zu einer Zweitaufgabe im Fahrzeuginnenraum zu wenden. Zur Messung des Situationsbewusstseins der Fahrer wurden Fahrverhaltensmaße herangezogen welche als Indikator für die Schnelligkeit und Abruptheit der Reaktionen der Fahrer auf unerwartete kritische Fahrsituationen dienten. Ein Hauptbefund der Dissertation war, dass die Fahrer sich signifikant im Ausmaß ihres Verlassens auf einen hohen Grad an Assistenz unterschieden. Diese interindividuelle Varianz im Verlassen der Fahrer auf einen hohen Grad an Assistenz konnte am besten durch das Vertrauen der Fahrer in das Querführungsassistenzsystem und ihr Aktivierungsniveau erklärt werden: Je höher das Vertrauen der Fahrer in das System und je geringer ihr Aktivierungsniveau, desto stärker verließen sie sich auf das System. Individuelle Fahrermerkmale (Fahrstil) erklärten einen signifikanten Anteil der Varianz im Vertrauen der Fahrer in die Spurhalteassistenzsysteme. (ersetzt wegen neuem Herausgeber)
Advanced driver assistance systems are increasingly built in vehicles with the aim to support drivers while driving, to reduce driver errors and thereby to increase traffic safety. At present, these systems are often designed to warn drivers of specific safety risks (e.g., of an imminent departure from the driving lane). However, there is a trend towards systems that more strongly intervene in driving and that hence, automate parts of the driving task (e.g., autonomously keep the vehicle within the driving lane). However, research on human-machine interaction has shown that automation does not necessarily increase safety, but that it may also lead to unanticipated side effects on performance and safety to the extent that humans adapt to the changing task demands. A major concern in road traffic is that drivers rely too heavily on driver assistance systems, become less actively involved in the driving task, and divert their attention to things unrelated to driving. Thus, in the case of system malfunctions or failures, drivers possibly may not be prepared to intervene timely and accordingly and to regain control over the vehicle, respectively. The aim of this dissertation was to investigate changes in drivers’ active engagement in the driving task as a function of the degree to which they are supported by a driver assistance system (i.e., as a function of the degree to which the system automates the driving task). Drivers’ active task engagement was studied by referring to two theoretical concepts: a) drivers’ reliance (on a system) and b) drivers’ situation awareness. Based on an extensive review of previous research on automation, a conceptual theoretical framework was developed that links changes in operators’ active task engagement to human adaptation processes on different levels in response to the changing task demands due to automation. Among them are changes in human attitudes as well as in cognitive, motivational and energetic processes. In order to determine the relative influence of these processes, a range of objective and subjective measures was collected. The essential part of the dissertation is an extensive driving simulator study in an advanced moving-base driving simulator at VTI (Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute) in Linköping, Sweden. Two lateral support systems (a Heading Control system and a Lane Departure Warning system) were implemented which assisted drivers to different degrees in lane keeping. Contrary to most previous automation studies, drivers’ reliance on the lane keeping assistance systems and their situation awareness were studied by using process-oriented performance-based measures. Drivers’ reliance on the lane keeping assistance systems was assessed by eye glance behaviour measures indicating drivers’ preparedness to allocate their visual attention away from the road scene to an in-vehicle secondary task. Drivers’ situation awareness was assessed by behavioural measures of the latency and magnitude of drivers’ initial reactions to unexpected critical driving situations. A major finding of the study was that drivers differed significantly in their reliance on a high level of lane keeping assistance. This interindividual variance in drivers’ reliance on higher-level assistance could be best explained by drivers’ trust in the system and their energetic arousal: The greater drivers’ trust in the system and the lower their arousal, the more did they rely on the system. Individual driver variables (driving style) explained a significant proportion of the variance in drivers’ trust in the lane keeping assistance systems. (replaced because a new publisher)

The statistics of the amplitude, time and angle of arrival of multipaths in an indoor environment are all necessary components of multipath models used to simulate the performance of spatial diversity in receive antenna configurations. The model presented by Saleh and Valenzuela, was added to by Spencer et. al., and included all three of these parameters for a 7 GHz channel. A system was built to measure these multipath parameters at 2.4 GHz for multiple locations in an indoor environment. Another system was built to measure the angle of transmission for a 6 GHz channel. The addition of this parameter allows spatial diversity at the transmitter along with the receiver to be simulated. The process of going from raw measurement data to discrete arrivals and then to clustered arrivals is analyzed. Many possible errors associated with discrete arrival processing are discussed along with possible solutions. Four clustering methods are compared and their relative strengths and weaknesses are pointed out. The effects that errors in the clustering process have on parameter estimation and model performance are also simulated.

碩士
國立成功大學
交通管理(科學)學系
82
In existed research,there is rarely concerned with time choice. In fact,time is a very important factor to behavior. A good model of departure time choice not only can help government to understand the pattern of people departure time,but also to be a important reference for transit scheduling. This research built several joint choice models by using ted multinomial logit model and continuous logit model. It adopt the choice- based sampling and investigate the traveler who take public mode (i.e. airplane,train,bus) from tainan to taipei for siness. The investigative data was used to estimate above models and the fuzzy theory concept was applied to some dummy variables. The emperical result show that the continuous logit models superior than nested ultinomial logit models ,and the models were modified by fuzzy concept are better than the models which not.

碩士
逢甲大學
交通工程與管理所
96
Nowadays, business strategy of highway passenger transportation industry mostly focuses on price competitions, bus equipment and station facility improvement. As to the travel time passengers spend on bus and arrival time at destinations, accurate information is not provided for tourists. Following social changes and progress, tourists start pay attention to the time spent for transportation; by the way, after high speed railway joins transportation market, tourists not only consider price and service quality when they select national highway passenger carriers, but they also take into consideration concerning departure time and whether the arrival time is as expected to reach a destination. Thus, for highway passenger transportation business owners, travel time will also become an important service item in the future. With the roundtrip route between Taipei and Taichung Chao Ma offered by a highway passenger transportation company as the research subject, the purpose of this study is to investigate operation of the route at bus stations. Firstly, method of questionnaire survey is used to obtain information about customers’ experiences and opinions of taking the buses. Secondly, accelerated failure time model is applied to construct models and examine factors which may affect anticipated and actual travel time, and explore the factors those cause difference between actual and anticipated travel time, and the magnitudes of these effects. The result of a suitable actual travel time model is taken to calculate probabilities regarding window of travel time so as to provide tourists accurate information for them to make good use of time. According to the results of studied models, the perceived in-vehicle time is affected by departure time for current trip, departure/arrival stations, and the way of get information. The actual in-vehicle time is changed by departure time for current trip, departure/arrival stations, and the number of traffic accidents and traffic incidences. The difference between perceived and actual in-vehicle time is influenced by departure/arrival stations and the way of get information. Later, further application of actual in-vehicle time models reveals whether arriving in certain time window is reliable. The outcomes include the probabilities of bus arriving in passengers’ acceptable time window and the probabilities of bus arriving destination too early or too late. Then, passengers can pre-plan their trips, thus use their time more flexibly. Keywords: accelerated failure time model, departure time, in-vehicle time

碩士
淡江大學
土木工程學系
84
The focus of this thesis is on the drivers'' day-to-day dynamic departuretime and route choice behavior including the influence of trip-chain as well.To realize commuters'' dynamic behavior characteristic and the important factorsaffecting travel behavior through analyzing actual commuting data. Basedon these result, the dynamic switch behavior models were established. A two-stage survey was employed to record such behavior at Tamshui-Taipeicommuting corridor. In the first stage, questionnaire with the stated-preferenceform was record to capture the general characteristic. For the secondstage, a travel diary was designed to record the day-to-day commuting behaviorover a two-week period. Finally, the dynamic switch behavior models were establishedthrough the construction of the so-called "Indifference Band" concept. To reducethe complexity of model estimation, a MNL model structure was then applied tocalibrate model parameters. This study can provide useful information as a priori for studying dynamictravel behavior for both modelling structure and behavior analysis in the future. Results of this study is also useful as supplement for issues regarding dynamictraffic assignment and traffic control. Hopefully, this study could be a benchmarkfor dynamic behavior research in this country and call for more attentions inthis regards for domestic researches. Major findings of this thesis are summarized in the following :1.There exist some "cyclic" phenomenon within a week for the day-to-daycommuting choice behavior, where each Monday can be treated as a starting dayfor a week-long day-to-day travel cycle.2.The application of satisficing rule to construct day-to-day choice model seemsto be appropreate, hence it is more adequate to describe the day-to- day dynamiccommuting behavior as "switches" then "choices".3. Factors significantly affecting the day-to-day departure time switches are :the cummulative outcome failure and the standard deviation of travel time,when the magnitude of these variables would affect commuters switch departure timeindifference band in the same direction; same would factors affecting day-to-day routeswitch with the difference that the standard deviation of travel time wouldpost negative effect on the route indifference band.4.It exhibits stronger switching intensity of both departure time and route switches fornon-routine trip-chain trips.5.Among various definitions of "departure time switch" in terms of switchthreshold showed that better parameter estimation result was obtained when a10-minute threshold was defined.While, definition of "route switch" in terms of "switch from the main route" seemedto be most appropreate.

碩士
元智大學
資訊工程學系
106
According to the statistic, there are 18% car accidents caused by the anomaly lane change. The advanced driver assistance system (ADAS) is employed to mitigate car accident occur effectively, which is the popular area recently. In this study, we propose the Lane Action Prediction System (LAPS) to predict the driver’s behavior that include lane change and lane departure. The LAPS based on a multi-layer deep learning architecture, which consist CNN and bidirectional LSTM algorithm, is usefully for the high dimension and time-series data. In this study, we use camera, thermal, wearable device and OBDII to collect five drivers on-road data. In the result, the accuracy of the proposed architecture is higher than BiLSTM and LSTM. In addition, we discuss the different scenarios in high/low speed and use the leave-one-driver-out validation to discuss whether the significant differences between the different data sources.

碩士
國立成功大學
交通管理科學系
104
There are a lot of transportation industry have the phenomenon that ridership exists significantly difference between peak hour and off-peak hour, resulting congestion problem in peak hour. In order to induce passengers shift from peak hour to off-peak hour, we need a better understanding in passengers’ departure time choice behavior. This study adopts Taiwan High Speed Rail (THSR) as a case study to identify THSR leisure passengers’ perceptions of the essential factors that affect departure time choice. In the earlier departure time choice relevant literature paid little attention in returning trip. In fact there may be exist differences and association between outgoing trip and returning trip. Therefore this study analysis THSR leisure passengers’ both outgoing trip and returning trip departure time choice behavior. Moreover, this study using hybrid choice model to included psychological factors that affect passengers’ departure time choice behavior. The findings of this study provides empirical evidence that no matter in outgoing trip or returning trip THSR passengers’ departure time choice will be affected by delay time, fares and psychological factors. This study also found that passengers’ departure time choice behavior in outgoing trip and returning trip will affect each other. The conclusions of this study have implication for THSR to design appropriate products that can balance difference between peak hour and off-peak hour. Key words: Departure Time Choice; Hybrid Choice Model; High Speed Rail; Leisure Passengers

This thesis develops econometric models of departure time and travel mode choice to evaluate dynamic transportation policies. Dynamic policies affect travel attributes differently throughout the day. Both departure time and mode choice are modelled with Random Utility Maximizing (RUM) Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) discrete choice models that capture systematic and random heterogeneity. Departure time is represented by a heteroskedastic generalized extreme value model (Het-GEV) with overlapping choice sets. Studying the Greater Toronto and Hamilton Area (GTHA), models are estimated using Revealed Preference (RP) household travel data from the 2006 Transportation Tomorrow Survey (TTS). Empirical models are used to evaluate dynamic transit and road pricing policies. Results indicate that the models are capable of capturing mode and time switching behaviour in response to peak pricing policies. To alleviate demand while maintaining transit mode share, a road charge and a moderate, flat, transit fare increase throughout the morning peak are recommended.

Fahrerassistenzsysteme werden zunehmend in Fahrzeuge eingebaut mit dem Ziel, den Fahrer beim Fahren zu unterstützen, Fahrfehler zu vermeiden und damit die Fahrsicherheit zu erhöhen. Derzeit sind häufig Systeme im Einsatz, die den Fahrer vor bestimmten Sicherheitsrisiken warnen (z.B. vor einem unbeabsichtigten Verlassen der Fahrspur). Der Trend geht aber hin zu Systemen, die stärker ins Fahrgeschehen eingreifen und somit Teile der Fahraufgabe automatisieren (z.B. selbständig die Spurhaltung des Fahrzeugs übernehmen). Aus der Forschung zur Mensch-Maschine Interaktion ist jedoch bekannt, dass Automatisierung nicht zwangsläufig zur Erhöhung von Sicherheit führt, sondern dass sie vielmehr auch unerwünschte Nebeneffekte für Performanz und Sicherheit mit sich bringen kann in dem Maße, wie Menschen an die veränderten Aufgabenanforderungen adaptieren. Im Straßenverkehr wird insbesondere befürchtet, dass Fahrer sich zu stark auf Fahrerassistenzsysteme verlassen, sich teilweise aus der Fahraufgabe zurückziehen („abschalten“) und ihre Aufmerksamkeit fahrfremden Dingen widmen. Dies kann unter Umständen dazu führen, dass Fahrer im Falle von Systemfehlern oder –ausfällen nicht mehr in der Lage sind rechtzeitig und angemessen einzugreifen bzw. die Kontrolle über das Fahrzeug zu übernehmen. Ziel der Dissertation war es zu untersuchen, inwieweit sich die Involviertheit von Fahrern in die Fahraufgabe verändert je stärker sie durch ein Assistenzsystem unterstützt werden (d.h., je stärker das System Teile der Fahraufgabe automatisiert). Um dies zu untersuchen wurden zwei theoretische Konzepte herangezogen: a) das Verlassen der Fahrer (auf ein System) und b) das Situationsbewusstsein der Fahrer. Basierend auf einer umfassenden Analyse der Forschungsliteratur zum Thema Automatisierung wurde ein theoretisches Rahmenmodell entwickelt, welches Veränderungen in der Involviertheit des Fahrers in die Fahraufgabe auf menschliche Adaptationsprozesse auf verschiedenen Ebenen zurückführt, die sich in Folge der veränderten Aufgaben­anforderungen durch zunehmende Automatisierung ergeben. Dazu zählen Veränderungen in Einstellungen, sowie in kognitiven, energetischen, und motivationalen Prozessen. Um Veränderungen in diesen Prozessen zu untersuchen, wurde eine Vielzahl an objektiven und subjektiven Maßen erhoben. Hauptgegenstand der Dissertation ist eine umfangreiche Fahrsimulatorstudie im Fahrsimulator mit Bewegungsplattform bei VTI (Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute) in Linköping, Schweden. Dabei kamen zwei Querführungsassistenzsysteme (ein Heading Control System und ein Lane Departure Warning System) zum Einsatz, die den Fahrer in unterschiedlichem Maße bei der Spurhaltung unterstützten. Im Gegensatz zu einem Großteil der bisherigen Studien wurden prozessorientierte Performanzmaße zur Erfassung des Verlassens der Fahrer auf die Assistenzsysteme und des Situationsbewusstseins der Fahrer verwendet. Das Verlassen der Fahrer auf die Querführungsassistenzsysteme wurde durch Blickverhaltensmaße über die Bereitschaft der Fahrer erfasst, ihre visuelle Aufmerksamkeit von der Straße ab hin zu einer Zweitaufgabe im Fahrzeuginnenraum zu wenden. Zur Messung des Situationsbewusstseins der Fahrer wurden Fahrverhaltensmaße herangezogen welche als Indikator für die Schnelligkeit und Abruptheit der Reaktionen der Fahrer auf unerwartete kritische Fahrsituationen dienten. Ein Hauptbefund der Dissertation war, dass die Fahrer sich signifikant im Ausmaß ihres Verlassens auf einen hohen Grad an Assistenz unterschieden. Diese interindividuelle Varianz im Verlassen der Fahrer auf einen hohen Grad an Assistenz konnte am besten durch das Vertrauen der Fahrer in das Querführungsassistenzsystem und ihr Aktivierungsniveau erklärt werden: Je höher das Vertrauen der Fahrer in das System und je geringer ihr Aktivierungsniveau, desto stärker verließen sie sich auf das System. Individuelle Fahrermerkmale (Fahrstil) erklärten einen signifikanten Anteil der Varianz im Vertrauen der Fahrer in die Spurhalteassistenzsysteme. (ersetzt wegen neuem Herausgeber)
Advanced driver assistance systems are increasingly built in vehicles with the aim to support drivers while driving, to reduce driver errors and thereby to increase traffic safety. At present, these systems are often designed to warn drivers of specific safety risks (e.g., of an imminent departure from the driving lane). However, there is a trend towards systems that more strongly intervene in driving and that hence, automate parts of the driving task (e.g., autonomously keep the vehicle within the driving lane). However, research on human-machine interaction has shown that automation does not necessarily increase safety, but that it may also lead to unanticipated side effects on performance and safety to the extent that humans adapt to the changing task demands. A major concern in road traffic is that drivers rely too heavily on driver assistance systems, become less actively involved in the driving task, and divert their attention to things unrelated to driving. Thus, in the case of system malfunctions or failures, drivers possibly may not be prepared to intervene timely and accordingly and to regain control over the vehicle, respectively. The aim of this dissertation was to investigate changes in drivers’ active engagement in the driving task as a function of the degree to which they are supported by a driver assistance system (i.e., as a function of the degree to which the system automates the driving task). Drivers’ active task engagement was studied by referring to two theoretical concepts: a) drivers’ reliance (on a system) and b) drivers’ situation awareness. Based on an extensive review of previous research on automation, a conceptual theoretical framework was developed that links changes in operators’ active task engagement to human adaptation processes on different levels in response to the changing task demands due to automation. Among them are changes in human attitudes as well as in cognitive, motivational and energetic processes. In order to determine the relative influence of these processes, a range of objective and subjective measures was collected. The essential part of the dissertation is an extensive driving simulator study in an advanced moving-base driving simulator at VTI (Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute) in Linköping, Sweden. Two lateral support systems (a Heading Control system and a Lane Departure Warning system) were implemented which assisted drivers to different degrees in lane keeping. Contrary to most previous automation studies, drivers’ reliance on the lane keeping assistance systems and their situation awareness were studied by using process-oriented performance-based measures. Drivers’ reliance on the lane keeping assistance systems was assessed by eye glance behaviour measures indicating drivers’ preparedness to allocate their visual attention away from the road scene to an in-vehicle secondary task. Drivers’ situation awareness was assessed by behavioural measures of the latency and magnitude of drivers’ initial reactions to unexpected critical driving situations. A major finding of the study was that drivers differed significantly in their reliance on a high level of lane keeping assistance. This interindividual variance in drivers’ reliance on higher-level assistance could be best explained by drivers’ trust in the system and their energetic arousal: The greater drivers’ trust in the system and the lower their arousal, the more did they rely on the system. Individual driver variables (driving style) explained a significant proportion of the variance in drivers’ trust in the lane keeping assistance systems. (replaced because a new publisher)