Relevant bibliographies by topics / Unemployment Effect of inflation on

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Academic literature on the topic 'Unemployment Effect of inflation on'

Author: Grafiati
Published: 4 June 2021
Last updated: 30 July 2024

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Journal articles on the topic "Unemployment Effect of inflation on"

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Malik, Muhammad Fahad, Rukhsana Rasheed, and Mazhar Nadeem Ishaq. "Evaluation of Systematic Monetary Influences in Pakistan’s Perspective." Review of Applied Management and Social Sciences 4, no. 4 (December 31, 2021): 897–907. http://dx.doi.org/10.47067/ramss.v4i4.195.

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Traditional macroeconomic theories establish relationship among certain macroeconomic variables based on assumptions of perfect competition and resulting flexible prices. Theories based on these assumptions might not hold for developing economies due to imperfect market structure and fragile financial institutions. This study attempts to analyze the quantity theory of money (QTM) and Phillips curve (PC) relationship from long-run perspective for economy of Pakistan. QTM relates complete absorption of money growth effect into inflation, and PC establishes negative relationship between inflation and unemployment. In the long-run, money is assumed to have only inflationary or nominal effect. Therefore, presence of any long-run tradeoff between inflation and unemployment, once inflations is a pure monetary phenomenon in the long-run, cast serious doubts regarding long-run neutrality of money. Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) modelling approach is opted to analyze long-run impact of money growth on inflation, and long-run effect of inflation on unemployment. The long-run relationship between inflation and unemployment is statistically insignificant for economy of Pakistan. Furthermore, results of this study show that inflation, even in the long-run, does not adjust as theorized in QTM.
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Ahmad, Hussain, Zia Ur Rehman, Abdullah Tariq, and Sajjad Ahmad. "The effects of military expenditure and inflation on the unemployment in Pakistan." Journal of Humanities, Social and Management Sciences (JHSMS) 5, no. 1 (April 21, 2024): 67–93. http://dx.doi.org/10.47264/idea.jhsms/5.1.4.

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This study examines the effect of inflation and military expenditure on unemployment in the case of Pakistan. This study used the data set from 1972-2021 and, based on the behaviour of the data, employed the ARDL procedure for assessment. This study found that FDI, GDP, inflation, military expenditure, gross capital formation, and human capital have adverse and noteworthy effects on unemployment over a long period. However, the FDI, GDP, military expenditure, gross capital formation, and human capital have an inconsequential impact on the unemployment rate. However, inflation has an adverse and noteworthy effect on unemployment in a short period. Furthermore, there exists a bi-directional causality between military expenditure and unemployment, while there exists no causality between inflation and unemployment, and military expenditure and inflation. This study concluded that the rise in military expenditure and inflation inversely influence unemployment in Pakistan. This study supported the Philips theory in Pakistan that inflation and unemployment have an adverse link. Based on these findings, this study recommended that the government increase military expenditure to maintain peace in Pakistan and minimise inflation and unemployment.
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Sapuwati, Tina, and Ika Chandriyanti. "Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Tingkat Pengangguran di Kota Banjarmasin Tahun 2009-2019." JIEP: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi dan Pembangunan 5, no. 2 (November 24, 2022): 525. http://dx.doi.org/10.20527/jiep.v5i2.6954.

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The purpose of this study was used to (1) analyze the effect of model 1 labor force participation rate, inflation, minimum wages and aconomic growth on unemployment; (2) to analyze the influence of model 2 the labor force, inflation, minimum wages and economic growth on unemployment; (3) to determine which factor is the most in influencing unemployment in Banjarmasin City.The source of the data used in this study is secodary data obtained through the Central Bureau of Statistic of the City of Banjarmasin and the Department of Cooperatives for Micro Enterprises and Manpower of Banjarmasin City. The analysis which will be stated through the F test (simultaneously) and T test (Partially) using the SPSS version 16.0 aplication.The results of this study indicate that (1) the level og labor force participation, inflation, minimum wages and economic growth individually (partially), inflation and economic growth have a significant effect on unemployment. While the labor force participation rate and the minimum wage do not have a significant effect on unemployment; (2) labor force, inflation, minimum wages and economic growth individual (partial), inflation and economic growth have a significant effect on unemployment. While the labor force and minimum wages have no significant effect on unemployment; (3) together (simultaneously) the level of labor force participation, inflation, minimum wages and economic growth have a positive and significant effect on unemployment; (4) together (simultaneously) the labor force, inflation, minimum wages, and economic growth have a positive and significant effect on unemployment; (5) the most dominant factor affecting unemployment in Banjarmasin City, model 1 is inflation, while model 2 is economic growth.
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Nelonda, Selli. "THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN INFLATION RATE AND UNEMPLOYMENT RATE IN INDONESIA, 1985-2008." Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan 1, no. 2 (November 1, 2012): 95. http://dx.doi.org/10.24036/ecosains.348557.00.

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This paper aims to investigate the relationship between inflation rate and unemployment. Tradeoff between inflation and unemployment rate showed a negative correlation between unemployment and wage inflation. Using the OLS method (1985-2008), the estimates indicate that the rate of inflation does not significantly influence the level of unemployment. It can be seen from a positive inflation coefficient value and not significant. Total labor force significantly affect unemployment rates. The unemployment rate last year significant effect on the unemployment rate today. Granger causality test shows that there is no causal relationship between unemployment and inflation.
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Silaban, Putri Sari MJ, and Stevi Jesika Siagian. "PENGARUH INFLASI DAN INVESTASI TERHADAP TINGKAT PENGANGGURAN TERBUKA DI INDONESIA PERIODE 2002-2019." Niagawan 10, no. 2 (July 4, 2021): 109. http://dx.doi.org/10.24114/niaga.v10i2.18965.

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Open Unemployment is a labor force that truly does not have a job. This study was conducted aiming to examine the effect of inflation and investment on open unemployment in Indonesia from 2002 to 2019. The data used are time series data. The analysis technique used in this study is the classical assumption testing, hypothesis testing and multiple regression analysis. The analysis shows that partially positive and significant effect on open unemployment means that the higher the inflation, the higher the open unemployment will be, and vice versa. Investment is partially negative and significant effect on open unemployment means that the higher the investment, the open unemployment will decrease, and vice versa. And inflation and investment simultaneously have a significant effect on open unemployment. The results can be expected to provide input to the government so that it can maintain a stable inflation and investment rate so that the level of open unemployment can remain stable.Keywords: Inflation, Investment, and Open Unemployment.
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Yadav Mani Upadhyaya and Khom Raj Kharel. "Inflation with GDP, Unemployment and Remittances: An Outline of the Joint Effect on Nepalese Economy." Interdisciplinary Journal of Management and Social Sciences 3, no. 1 (June 30, 2022): 154–63. http://dx.doi.org/10.3126/ijmss.v3i1.50244.

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The major objective of this research is to examine the trend of inflation, the trend of Nepal's economic development, trends of unemployment, and trends of remittances. Likewise, another one is the analysis and the effect of inflation on the GDP, unemployment, and the remittances of Nepal. The method of this research is to analyze and use the secondary data to create a simple regression model based on econometrics. Furthermore, the article concludes the mathematical relation between inflation and economic growth, inflation and unemployment, and inflation and remittances. There is a positive strong relationship between inflation among GDP remittances and unemployment.
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Evans, Yeboah. "The Effect of External Debt, Unemployment Rate, and Inflation on Economic Growth in Ghana." Journal of Empirical Studies 9, no. 2 (October 21, 2022): 24–34. http://dx.doi.org/10.18488/66.v9i2.3178.

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Inflation and unemployment rates are part of the macroeconomic factors affecting growth within Ghana's economy over the years. The continued rise in the country's gross domestic product and a high dependency on external debt for development projects have sparked a lot of controversies. This study investigates whether external debt, inflation, and unemployment rate stimulate economic development, intending to determine the causal relationship between the variables to serve as an important factor for policymakers. The econometrics methods include the stationarity test, Johansen cointegration test, and regression (ordinary least squares). The data used was from the World Bank from 1991-2021. The stationarity test showed that external debt, GDP, and unemployment were non-stationarity and integrated at the first-order difference, whereas inflation was stationary at the level. The Johansen cointegration test found a long-run relationship between selected variables, but only external debt positively impacted economic growth in the long term. In contrast, inflation and unemployment had a negative impact. The regression results found external debt to be positively correlated to growth in Ghana, but inflation and unemployment harm it with GDP as the explained variable. The findings also indicate that external debt increased inflation, whereas GDP reduced inflation, but unemployment did not influence inflation. The outcome further proves that external debt positively impacted the unemployment rate, and GDP negatively influenced it.
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Kajuth, Florian. "NAIRU Estimates for Germany: New Evidence on the Inflation–Unemployment Tradeoff." German Economic Review 17, no. 1 (February 1, 2016): 104–25. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/geer.12055.

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Abstract Meaningful estimates of the non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU) within a Phillips curve framework require an identified tradeoff between inflation and unemployment. However, observations of inflation and unemployment are equilibrium points giving rise to a simultaneity problem. We assess conventional identifying assumptions in the literature on the German NAIRU in a general bi-variate equations system of inflation and unemplyoment. We use a data-driven method for identification based on shifts in the relative volatility of shocks to unemployment and inflation to identify the tradeoff for Germany. Our results support models which estimate a contemporaneous effect of unemployment on inflation and those which model inflation and unemployment jointly.
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Singh, Dolly, and Nmp Verma. "Tradeoff between Inflation and Unemployment in the Short Run: A Case of the Indian Economy." International Finance and Banking 3, no. 1 (April 18, 2016): 77. http://dx.doi.org/10.5296/ifb.v3i1.9378.

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Unemployment and inflation are issues that are central to economic life of every developing country. This paper estimates the short-run tradeoff between inflation and unemployment for the Indian economy over the period 2009-2015, in order to know whether there is a tradeoff between inflation and unemployment. In short run there is inverse relationship of inflation with the unemployment, increase in inflation leads to decrease in unemployment and vice versa. This variable is subjected to Bi-variants regression analysis, with unemployment as its dependent variable in the first model, inflation in the second model and real GDP in the third model. The research outcomes proved the effective orientation of unemployment for the inflation and real GDP at statistically non-significance level. The findings proved the negative effect of unemployment for inflation and positive effect on real GDP. The unemployment is a continuously occurring phenomenon in all economies of developing countries where it is affecting highly the level of employment; price level, living standard of people, and real GDP. The findings proved the influential relationship between unemployment and inflation conditions, Unemployment and Real GDP conditions, but in our economic condition it is proved as non-significant. Consequently, the major policy implication of these results is that concerted efforts should be made by policy makers towards restructuring the economy, managing price instability and level of employment.
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Hodijah, Siti, and Leonardo Simamora. "Pengaruh tingkat pengangguran, inflasi dan negara sasaran terhadap perdagangan Internasional Indonesia." Jurnal Paradigma Ekonomika 16, no. 2 (April 5, 2021): 247–54. http://dx.doi.org/10.22437/jpe.v16i2.12554.

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The purpose of this study was to determine the effect of unemployment and inflation as well as the reasons for choosing target players in carrying out export activities (international trade). This type of research is quantitative research. The data used are secondary data from Indonesia for the 2001-2020 period. The data is processed using data analysis Vector Autoregression or VAR. The results showed that unemployment had a positive and significant effect on inflation and inflation had no significant effect on unemployment. while exports have a positive and insignificant effect on unemployment. And exports and inflation are insignificant.
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Dissertations / Theses on the topic "Unemployment Effect of inflation on"

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Craft, Vanessa. "Central bank credibility, endogenous beliefs and short-run Phillips curves." Diss., Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, 1987. http://hdl.handle.net/10919/49839.

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Horton, Wendy Elizabeth. "A vector autoregressive model of a regional Phillips curve in the United States." Thesis, Georgia Institute of Technology, 1996. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/30515.

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Ralston, Roy W. "The Effects of Socio-Structural, Economic, and Race Considerations on Rates of Property Crime in the United States, 1958-1993." Thesis, University of North Texas, 1996. https://digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc279181/.

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This study investigates changes in rates of property crime in the United States from 1958 to 1993. Predictor variables include changes in rates of economic factors (inflation, technological/cyclical/frictional unemployment), arrest rates for property crimes disaggregated by race (ARPCDR), interaction of ARPCDR and technological unemployment, alcohol offenses, interaction of alcohol offenses and poverty, drug abuse violations, and interaction of drug abuse violations and poverty. Changes in poverty, population growth, and police presence are employed as control variables. The Beach-McKinnon Full Maximum- Likelihood EGLS AR1 Method (accompanied by residual analysis) is used to test seven hypotheses. Significant positive effects upon changes in aggregate property crime rates are found for five predictors: (a) inflation, (b) cyclical unemployment, (c) frictional unemployment, (d) the interaction of white arrest rates and technological unemployment, and (e) the interaction of rates of alcohol offenses and poverty. To explain changes in property crime rates, further research should decompose aggregate rates particularly those pertaining to the economy. Also, the relationship between the interaction of poverty and drug abuse violations, at the aggregate level, and changes in property crime rates should be clarified. This research has important policy implications related to the impact of social, economic, and educational issues on mainstream society and its criminal elements. Law makers should consider this type of research in all macro and micro-oriented policies.
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Govera, Hemish. "The relationship between inflation and unemployment." University of the Western Cape, 2017. http://hdl.handle.net/11394/5923.

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Magister Commercii - MCom (Economics)
The nature of the relationship between inflation and unemployment has implications for the appropriate conduct of monetary policy. However, the question as to whether the traditional Phillips curve relationship holds true remains debatable despite advances in both theoretical and empirical evidence. This study revisits this debate for South Africa by examining data on unemployment, the repo interest rate and core CPI for the period from 1994Q1 to 2015Q4. This was in the light of recent developments in both theoretical and empirical Phillips curve literature. The research employed a hybrid version of the NKPC and various econometric techniques. The Augmented Dickey-Fuller test was used to examine the unit root properties of the data series. The Johansen cointegration technique was applied to test for cointegration among the variables. The research derived and estimated an error correction model for inflation. The model results demonstrated that the repo interest rate is statistically significant in explaining inflation. The VECM was derived and estimated to examine both short-run and long-run relationships among the variables. The results confirmed the existence of a positive but insignificant long-run relationship between unemployment and inflation. The study used the Granger causality test to ascertain the nature of causality among the variables. The research established the presence of unidirectional Granger causality running from core CPI to unemployment. Forecast error variance decomposition shows that large percentages of variations in each variable are attributable to each variable respectively. The empirical findings are helpful to the understanding of the Phillips curve relationship in South Africa and emerging economies in general.
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Kapadia, Sujit. "Essays on unemployment and inflation dynamics." Thesis, University of Oxford, 2006. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.425721.

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Sköld, Edvin, and Kaleb Tesfay. "The relationship between inflation and unemployment in Sweden." Thesis, Mälardalens högskola, Akademin för ekonomi, samhälle och teknik, 2020. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:mdh:diva-48586.

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Lee, Jae Joon. "Studies on the Phillips curve /." Thesis, Connect to this title online; UW restricted, 2004. http://hdl.handle.net/1773/7498.

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Khetan, Sood Premlata. "Profit sharing, unemployment, and inflation in Canada, a simulation analysis." Thesis, National Library of Canada = Bibliothèque nationale du Canada, 1997. http://www.collectionscanada.ca/obj/s4/f2/dsk2/tape16/PQDD_0002/NQ30390.pdf.

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Donovan, John Christopher. "The inflation-unemployment trade-off in the United States revisited." Thesis, Georgia Institute of Technology, 2001. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/28564.

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Sood, Premlata Khetan. "Profit sharing, unemployment, and inflation in Canada : a simulation analysis." Thesis, McGill University, 1996. http://digitool.Library.McGill.CA:80/R/?func=dbin-jump-full&object_id=34459.

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The thesis examines the impact of a partial switch to a share system in Canada on unemployment and inflation. Simulations with an independent Canadian macro model and Canadian data for the period 1973-1983 show that profit sharing will not always resolve unemployment and inflation, as claimed by Martin Weitzman. Some combinations of the share parameters resolve them, while others aggravate them. Thus, the combinations of the share parameters play a key role in terms of impact of the profit sharing on unemployment and inflation.
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Books on the topic "Unemployment Effect of inflation on"

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Gowland, David. Money, inflation, and unemployment. Totowa, N.J: Barnes & Noble Books, 1985.

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Mincer, Jacob. Technology, unemployment, and inflation. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research, 2000.

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Clifton, Eric V. Inflation targeting and the unemployment-inflation trade-off. [Washington, D.C.]: International Monetary Fund, IMF Institute, 2001.

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Andrew, Sentance, ed. How to beat unemployment. New York: Oxford University Press, 1986.

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Mocan, H. Naci. Structural unemployment, cyclical unemployment, and income inequality. Denver, Colo: CRESP, Center for Research on Economic and Social Policy, University of Colorado at Denver, 1998.

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Wadhwani, Sushil. "Is inflation dead?". New Delhi: National Council of Applied Economic Research, 2000.

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E, Argy Victor, and Nevile J. W, eds. Inflation and unemployment: Theory, experience, and policy making. London: G. Allen & Unwin, 1985.

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Sesler, Christopher J. The natural rate of unemployment: Fact or fiction. Austin, TX: Labor Market Information Dept., Texas Workforce Commission, 1998.

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Joiner, Alex. The costs of inflation and unemployment in Australia. [Bundoora, Vic.]: LaTrobe University, School of Business, 2000.

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McLeod, Alex N. The fearsome dilemma: Simultaneous inflation and unemployment. Stratford, Ont: Mercury Press, 1994.

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Book chapters on the topic "Unemployment Effect of inflation on"

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Simamora M, Pernando, Nisrul Irawati, and Chairul Muluk. "The Effect of Macroeconomic Variables on Kompas 100 Indeks on the Indonesia Stock Exchange." In Proceedings of the 19th International Symposium on Management (INSYMA 2022), 230–36. Dordrecht: Atlantis Press International BV, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.2991/978-94-6463-008-4_31.

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Abstract This study aims to determine the effect of macroeconomic variables, inflation, economic growth, interest rate, exchange rate, and unemployment rate on the KOMPAS 100 Index on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The sample in this study used the KOMPAS 100 Stock Price Index data from 2015 to 2020 with monthly data. The data type used was secondary data and multiple linear regression analysis was used for data analysis. This study’s results show that macroeconomic variables: inflation, economic growth, interest rates, exchange rates, and unemployment rate significantly influence the KOMPAS 100 Index. Partially the results of this study indicate that inflation does not significantly influence the KOMPAS 100 Index. Economic growth has a positive and significant effect on the KOMPAS 100 Index. Interest rate has a negative and significant effect on the KOMPAS 100 Index. Exchange rate has a positive and significant effect on the KOMPAS 100 Index. Unemployment has a negative and insignificant influence on the KOMPAS 100 Index.
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Hill, Berkeley. "Macroeconomics: the workings of the whole economy." In An introduction to economics: concepts for students of agriculture and the rural sector, 152–73. 5th ed. Wallingford: CABI, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.1079/9781800620063.0008.

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Abstract As a first step in analysing the workings of the aggregate economy and offering explanations for macroeconomic phenomena, this chapter constructs a simple model of the flow of income within the economy and uses it to explain what determines the level of that flow. The multiplier effect, the level of aggregate demand, the equilibrium level of national income, policies to control unemployment, inflation, the quantity theory of money, economic growth and its costs are then discussed.
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Borioni, Paolo. "Il movimento sindacale, la crisi del fordismo, lo “spazio sociale europeo”." In Diritti, Europa, Federalismo, 49–60. Florence: Firenze University Press, 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.36253/979-12-215-0049-3.06.

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The author reconstructs the debate that developed in the 1980s in the Etuc in which Trentin was committed to the construction of a European social model. The essay analyzes the difficulties, contradictions and novelties of the trade union proposal in response to the interconnected effects of inflation, oil crises and mass unemployment in the 1970s, starting with the "Keynes-plus" approach, which proposed new investments for the improvement of working conditions, protection of natural and social environment, and for an equitable distribution of growth and the reduction of consumption of scarce resources, especially energy. Within this framework Trentin stressed the importance of a renewal of the Union's task in post-Fordism in which the European dimension and its ability to affect the process of integration become central.
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Tobin, J. "Inflation and Unemployment." In Essential Readings in Economics, 232–54. London: Macmillan Education UK, 1995. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-24002-9_12.

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Krugman, Paul, and Robin Wells. "Unemployment and Inflation." In Essentials of Economics, 462–98. New York: Macmillan Learning, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-319-18664-7_14.

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Wagner, Helmut. "Globalization and Inflation." In Globalization and Unemployment, 343–88. Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2000. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-04082-9_16.

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Mallard, Graham. "Unemployment, Money and Inflation." In The Economics Companion, 200–228. London: Macmillan Education UK, 2012. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-0-230-35645-0_11.

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Welfens, Paul J. J. "Comment on Wagner : “Globalization and Inflation”." In Globalization and Unemployment, 389–95. Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2000. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-04082-9_17.

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Cornwall, Wendy. "The Institutional Determinants of Unemployment." In Growth, Employment and Inflation, 254–69. London: Palgrave Macmillan UK, 1999. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-27393-5_18.

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Krugman, Paul, and Robin Wells. "»Labor Markets, Unemployment, and Inflation." In Economics, 768–92. London: Macmillan Education UK, 2006. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-91968-0_33.

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Conference papers on the topic "Unemployment Effect of inflation on"

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Eriani Putri, Yulia, and Santi Tri Indriani. "The Effect of Inflation, Investment and Wages Rate on Unemployment in The East Java Province." In 2nd International Conference on Economic Education and Entrepreneurship. SCITEPRESS - Science and Technology Publications, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.5220/0006893607910798.

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Okasha, Ahmed, and Colin Johnson. "Agent-based computational economics: Studying the effect of different levels of rationality on inflation and unemployment." In 2009 IEEE Symposium on Computational Intelligence for Financial Engineering (CIFEr). IEEE, 2009. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/cifer.2009.4937498.

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FERUNI, Nerajda. "MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS OF HAPPINESS: CASE OF THE EUROPEAN UNION COUNTRIES." In Happiness And Contemporary Society : Conference Proceedings Volume. SPOLOM, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.31108/7.2021.23.

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The aim of this paper is to test empirically the relationship between life satisfaction, another term used for happiness, and macroeconomic indicators such as GDP per capita, which is a proxy for economic growth, unemployment, inflation, income distribution and government expenditure in the European Union countries during the period of 2005-2017. The chosen variables are some of the most significant determinants of economic growth as well. Using the Fixed Effects model, which falls under the Panel Generalized Least Square method, the empirical results are in accordance with the literature review and suggest that unemployment and inflation have negative significant impacts on life satisfaction. Additionally, higher government expenditures and a higher level of economic growth lead to a higher level of life satisfaction in the EU countries, while unfair income distribution leads to a lower level of life satisfaction. Keywords: life satisfaction, macroeconomic indicators, economic growth, EU
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Erdoğan, Savaş, Ahmet Ay, and Mustafa Gerçeker. "An Analysis of 2008 Global Crisis through Comparative Economic Performance on CIS and Baltic States." In International Conference on Eurasian Economies. Eurasian Economists Association, 2010. http://dx.doi.org/10.36880/c01.00175.

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With the collapse of USSR in 1991 all countries declared their independence and started to integrated to the World Economy. Since then these countries have made so many effort to developing their economies. This effort exist through economic growth performance and significant improvement of growth dynamics. For these reason, it will be analysis comparatively countries performance through growth rates and growth dynamics. In this paper CIS and Baltic States, which is leaved from USSR, economic performance will be evaluate on economic growth, unemployment rate, inflation rate, foreign trade volume and FDI indicators etc. with TOPSIS method. This paper especially search on 2007 and 2008 crisis whether or not equally effect these countries economic performance.
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Yılmaz, Fatih, Onur Şeker, and Eren Pektaş. "Testing The Validity of The Phillips Curve for Turkey With Vector Autoregressive and Markov Switching Models on The Basis of Inflation and Unemployment." In International Conference on Eurasian Economies. Eurasian Economists Association, 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.36880/c11.02349.

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In this study, we tested the validity of the Phillips Curve for Turkey. We used Markov Switching Model for examine the relationship between two variables in different regime periods, Engle Granger Causality Test for detect the causality between two variables, Johansen Cointegration Test for observe the long term equilibrium relationship and The Impulse Response Analysis and Variance Decomposition Analysis for investigate the explanatory effect of two variables on each other. As a result of the analysis, it was determined that Inflation and Unemployment act together in the short and long term. Between 2010M01 and 2017M10, it was determined that the Phillips Curve is ineffective for Turkey.
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Öngel, Volkan, and Serdar Kuzu. "An Evaluation of the Major Indicators of Economical Crisis in Central Asian Countries within the Framework of Global Financial Crisis of 2008." In International Conference on Eurasian Economies. Eurasian Economists Association, 2012. http://dx.doi.org/10.36880/c03.00478.

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Several financial crises that have different causes and effects occured in financial markets in which globalization takes its effect increasingly. Central Asian Countries which have gained their independence after the disintegration of the Soviet Union in 1991 both faced important socio-cultural and political changes and were affected many global crises during 1991-2012. The global financial crisis which occured in the USA in 2008 as a mortgage crisis spreaded as a result of globalization and affected the developing economies. 2008 global financial crisis caused trouble especially in macroeconomic issues such as employment, production, supply, demand, level of welfare, openness, price stability, economic growth, inflation and unemployment. This study aims to imply how the selected Central Asian Countries have been affected by the 2008 global financial crisis and their future expectations by analysing leading macroeconomic indicators. In this context, the effects of the global financial crisis on macroeconomic variables of Kazakhistan, Azerbaijan, Kyrgyzstan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan will be interpreted. In the light of these indicators, it will be analysed if there are leading indicators for a coming economic crisis in Central Asian Countries and also how their economic structure will be in the near future.
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Mkiyes, Hussein. "The Importance of Stabilizing the Syrian Pound Exchange Rate for Achieving Economic Stability." In EDAMBA 2022: 25th International Scientific Conference for Doctoral Students and Post-Doctoral Scholars. Bratislava: University of Economics in Bratislava, 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.53465/edamba.2022.9788022550420.277-286.

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The aim of this article is to measure the impact of the fluctuations in the real exchange rate of the Syrian pound on the key macroeconomic indicators of the Syrian economy during the period 1961- 2020 to analyze the role of the real exchange rate in achieving economic stability. Since 2011, the Syrian economy suffered from a devastating war that effected all economic and social aspects of business activities leading to high fluctuations and instability of the macroeconomic ecosystem. During the first 40 years of study, the political stability in Syria has not been translated into economic stability on at the macroeconomic level. Moreover, during the last 11 years, the political instability has worsened the economic situation. To achieve the objective of this study, we applied autoregressive model and simple regression model on a various macroeconomic variables including the real exchange rate. The results show that the real exchange rate has a significant positive impact on the balance of payment, inflation, GDP gap, and negative impact on Real GDP, unemployment rate, monetary supply (M2).
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Taşar, M. Okan. "The Public Policy in Agricultural Product Markets and Effectiveness of Regulations." In International Conference on Eurasian Economies. Eurasian Economists Association, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.36880/c09.02009.

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Parallel to the developments in the global economy, perhaps the most problematic market structure within the liberalization process in the transition economies and in the Turkish economy is highlighted as agricultural product markets. The effects of agricultural product prices on other macroeconomic indicators and the fundamental economic problems such as inflation, income distribution, poverty and unemployment constitute a fundamental dynamic. At this point, public policies and regulations of market processes need to be analyzed in terms of the effects they will cause. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the effects of interventions and regulations on agricultural products markets on market economy and macroeconomic indicators. However, it will be possible to establish the most appropriate agricultural policies possible for the macroeconomic performance of the Turkish economy. In the first section; the impacts and consequences of regulations will be determined by establishing the relationship between agricultural product markets and government interventions. The second part is to analyze these effects and results with the help of data and indicators belonging to the Turkish economy and to analyze the different effects caused by the applied agricultural regulations. The last part is; the discussion of rational agricultural intervention policies and regulations with the least possible negative impact.
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Jablanovic, Vesna. "A Nonlinear Inflation Growth Model." In 8th International Scientific Conference ERAZ - Knowledge Based Sustainable Development. Association of Economists and Managers of the Balkans, Belgrade, Serbia, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.31410/eraz.2022.31.

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In the short run, the fall in aggregate demand leads to falling out­put and price level and rising unemployment. In this sense, it is important to use the Phillips curve, i.e., the curve that shows the short-run relationship between inflation and unemployment. This paper creates a relatively sim­ple chaotic inflation rate growth model. Also, this paper examines the infla­tion rate growth stability in the period 2000-2021 in France, and confirms the existence of the convergent fluctuations of the inflation rate in France in the observed period.
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Bildirici, Melike E., and Fulya Ozaksoy Sonustun. "Chaotic characteristic of inflation-unemployment relation in Turkey." In TURKISH PHYSICAL SOCIETY 35TH INTERNATIONAL PHYSICS CONGRESS (TPS35). AIP Publishing, 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.1063/1.5135468.

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Reports on the topic "Unemployment Effect of inflation on"

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Gargiulo, Valeria, Christian Matthes, and Katerina Petrova. Monetary Policy across Inflation Regimes. Federal Reserve Bank of New York, January 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.59576/sr.1083.

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Does the effect of monetary policy depend on the prevailing level of inflation? In order to answer this question, we construct a parsimonious nonlinear time series model that allows for inflation regimes. We find that the effects of monetary policy are markedly different when year-over-year inflation exceeds 5.5 percent. Below this threshold, changes in monetary policy have a short-lived effect on prices, but no effect on the unemployment rate, giving a potential explanation for the recent “soft landing” in the United States. Above this threshold, the effects of monetary policy surprises on both inflation and unemployment can be larger and longer lasting.
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Gabriel, Ricardo. Monetary Policy and the Wage Inflation-Unemployment Tradeoff. APHES Working Paper in Economic and Social History, May 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.55462/wpaphes_a_504.

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Using newly assembled data for 18 advanced economies between 1870 and 2020, I study how monetary policy affects wage inflation and unemployment and document two key findings regarding their tradeoff. First, the wage Phillips curve displays a time-varying slope. Second, the tradeoff becomes weaker in low price inflation environments due to a more pronounced unemployment response to monetary policy. These findings lend support to the idea that monetary policy has state-dependent effects with the central banks’ ability in exploring the tradeoff being impaired by a low price inflation environment.
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3

Paternesi Meloni, Walter, Davide Romaniello, and Antonella Stirati. On the Non-Inflationary effects of Long-Term Unemployment Reductions. Institute for New Economic Thinking Working Paper Series, April 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.36687/inetwp156.

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The paper critically examines the New Keynesian explanation of hysteresis based on the role of long-term unemployment. We first examine its analytical foundations, according to which rehiring long-term unemployed individuals would not be possible without accelerating inflation. Then we empirically assess its validity along two lines of inquiry. First, we investigate the reversibility of long-term unemployment. Then we focus on episodes of sustained long-term unemployment reductions to check for inflationary effects. Specifically, in a panel of 25 OECD countries (from 1983 to 2016), we verify by means of local projections whether they are associated with inflationary pressures in a subsequent five-year window. Two main results emerge: i) the evolution of the long-term unemployment rate is almost completely synchronous with the dynamics of the total unemployment rate, both during downswings and upswings; ii) we do not find indications of accelerating or persistently higher inflation during and after episodes of strong declines in the long-term unemployment rate, even when they occur in country-years in which the actual unemployment rate was estimated to be below a conventionally estimated Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment (NAIRU). Our results call into question the role of long-term unemployment in causing hysteresis and provide support to policy implications that are at variance with the conventional wisdom that regards the NAIRU as an inflationary barrier.
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Garciga, Christian L., Randal J. Verbrugge, and Saeed Zaman. The Effect of Component Disaggregation on Measures of the Median and Trimmed-Mean CPI. Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, January 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.26509/frbc-wp-202402.

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For decades, the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (FRBC) has produced median and trimmed-mean consumer price index (CPI) measures. These have proven useful in various contexts, such as forecasting and understanding post-COVID inflation dynamics. Revisions to the FRBC methodology have historically involved increasing the level of disaggregation in the CPI components, which has improved accuracy. Thus, it may seem logical that further disaggregation would continue to enhance its accuracy. However, we theoretically demonstrate that this may not necessarily be the case. We then explore the empirical impact of further disaggregation along two dimensions: shelter and non-shelter components. We find that significantly increasing the disaggregation in the shelter indexes, when combined with only a slight increase in non-shelter disaggregation, improves the ability of the median and trimmed-mean CPI to track the medium-term trend in CPI inflation and marginally increases predictive power over future movements in CPI inflation. Finally, we examine the practical implications of our preferred degree of disaggregation. Our preferred measure of the median CPI suggests that trend inflation was lower pre-pandemic, while both our preferred median and trimmed-mean measures suggest a faster acceleration in trend inflation in 2021. We also find that higher disaggregation marginally weakens the Phillips curve relationship between median CPI inflation and the unemployment gap, though it remains statistically significant.
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Montoya, Silvia, and Guillermo Mondino. The Effects of Labor Market Regulations on Employment Decisions by Firms: Empirical Evidence for Argentina. Inter-American Development Bank, May 2000. http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0011240.

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There are few Latin American countries that produced such a remarkable turnaround in policies and outcomes as Argentina did in the 1990s. The large number of reforms yielded surprisingly strong growth and the near-disappearance of inflation. Perhaps the most striking change took place in the labor market, where job creation and destruction reigned in earnest. There, where reforms were moderate, high open unemployment was the result. This paper looks at the potential effect regulations might have on labor demand dynamics. In particular, we try to ascertain how movements in labor costs influence firms' decisions regarding job creation. The paper first presents descriptive evidence on who benefits from regulations and how much they cost. The evidence is based on PHS Microdata and identifies the effects on individuals' labor market outcomes stemming from varying regulations. The paper then turns to labor demand estimation.
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Morley, Samuel A., and Gustavo Márquez. Poverty and the Employment Problem in Argentina. Inter-American Development Bank, March 1997. http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0008955.

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This paper discusses poverty and unemployment in Argentina, beginning with the turbulent years since 1980. Argentina suffered a 25 percent reduction in per capita income, two bouts of hyperinflation and a sharp rise in poverty during the 1980s. In 1990, the Menem government began a profound restructuring of Argentine economy. A centerpiece of the new program was a plan designed to control inflation once and for all. Other elements of the program were a control of the government deficit, privatization, reduction in tariff barriers, and a reform of social spending. What was the effect of all these changes on the level of poverty, employment and social equity? These are the questions the authors address in this paper. The work is divided into three parts. In the first one, they examine movements in poverty and distribution, and their causes. In the second, the labor market is examined. In final one the authors draw some conclusions on Argentina's experience for the general debate on how to create a sustainable growth strategy that can reduce poverty and unemployment without hyperinflation.
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Mincer, Jacob, and Stephan Danninger. Technology, Unemployment, and Inflation. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research, July 2000. http://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w7817.

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Benigno, Pierpaolo, and Luca Antonio Ricci. The Inflation-Unemployment Trade-Off at Low Inflation. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research, May 2008. http://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w13986.

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Blanchflower, David. Is Unemployment More Costly Than Inflation? Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research, October 2007. http://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w13505.

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Berentsen, Aleksander, Guido Menzio, and Randall Wright. Inflation and Unemployment in the Long Run. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research, April 2008. http://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w13924.

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