Dissertations / Theses on the topic 'Vieillissement de la population – Chine'
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Mo, Long. "Le vieillissement de la population en Chine et au Canada deux voies pour une même destination? /." [Montréal] : Université de Montréal, 2002. http://wwwlib.umi.com/cr/umontreal/fullcit?pNQ82744.
Full text"NQ-82744." "Thèse présentée à la faculté des études supérieures en vue de l'obtention du grade de philosophiae doctor (Ph. D.) en démographie." Version électronique également disponible sur Internet.
Dreyfuss, Julien. "Le développement du système gérontologique chinois : étude sur l'arrondissement de Changping de la municipalité de Beijing." Thesis, Paris, EHESS, 2017. http://www.theses.fr/2017EHES0096.
Full textPopulation ageing and social changes, due to urbanization and modernization of China, lead to a pressing need of services and facilities for the elderly. The government must address this situation by developing an elder care system answering the needs of the country. Late government involvement leads to the need for major reforms, and the establishment of a legislative framework to redirect the development that took the already existing elder care system, in order to put it in line with the needs of the population.This thesis has been set up in parallel with the launch of ambitious political goals for an overhaul of the Chinese elder care system. This has led to a need to emphasize fieldwork research. The main fieldwork study is on the Changping district of Beijing Municipality. It analyzes how policymakers take decisions regarding the development of services and facilities for the elderly, through a research project on this theme, realized by a team of researchers working for the government, team in which I was integrated. This allows me to study the relationship of the local government with researchers, with the directors of senior care institutions, and with the municipal government. Through this approach, I aim to reveal the decision making process regarding the development of the elder care system, and explain what phenomena disrupt the setup of functional solutions, however well identified by the central government
Xuan, Hélène. "Vieillissement démographique et croissance : vers une définition économique du vieillissement." Paris 9, 2005. https://portail.bu.dauphine.fr/fileviewer/index.php?doc=2005PA090075.
Full textShen, Jianfa. "Internal migration and regional population dynamics in China /." London : Pergamon, 1996. http://catalogue.bnf.fr/ark:/12148/cb37632208s.
Full textBouchery, Pascal. "Les Hani : introduction à l'étude d'une population de langue tibéto-birmane du Yunnan en relation avec la Chine." Paris 10, 1995. http://www.theses.fr/1995PA100064.
Full textThe research mainly analyses the relationship between political and religious forms of authority among the hani, one of major ethnic minorities of south-china. It focuses on the fact that the religious system and the traditional way of legitimating authority, primarily based on the concept of "virtue", and a capacity to act on the supernatural world (especially the gods of the "soil" or "eath"), represent a coherent structure that can be compared to the frame of reference underlying the conception of legitimate power in ancient china. The comparative study thus reveals that a very ancient and widespread mode of legitimacy, based ont he submission of the "earth-god", or "god of the soil", seems to play a key role in various processes of political centralization, leading to the formation of state. Historical documents, taken in different parts of asia, further demonstrate that this process is not restricted to the chinese world, and that everywhere deliberate manipulations of such concepts were essential for the representatives of the central power to be accepted by the subjugated peoples as their legitimate rulers
Ntetani, Batuvuidi Jean Germain. "Demande des produits laitiers et vieillissement de la population au Canada." Thesis, Université Laval, 2012. http://www.theses.ulaval.ca/2012/29193/29193.pdf.
Full textChanges in demand are of public interest because of their effect on consumer health and the profitability of the industry. While the Canadian population ages, we observe a consistent downward trend in per capita milk consumption. This study investigates differences in the behav-iour of different profiles of Canadian households in terms of their purchases of dairy products. A two–stage econometric procedure was implemented on subsamples of a dataset pooling three food expenditure surveys. In the first stage, the probability of purchase is estimated to account for the relatively high frequency of zero purchases for some of the ten goods. In the second stage, a demand system allowing for quadratic expenditure effects is estimated. The findings indicate that demand elasticities tend to be higher for households headed by a person between 35 and 64 years old and when household size increases. Relative to other goods, low-fat milk has a higher probability of purchase and its demand is price and expenditure elastic. Generally, price and income elasticity patterns across goods are quite robust across household profiles differing in terms of the age of the head, size, and income. Keywords: dairy products, household demand, QUAIDS, elasticities
Ntetani, Batuvuidi Jean-Germain. "Demande des produits laitiers et vieillissement de la population au Canada." Master's thesis, Université Laval, 2012. http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11794/23521.
Full textChanges in demand are of public interest because of their effect on consumer health and the profitability of the industry. While the Canadian population ages, we observe a consistent downward trend in per capita milk consumption. This study investigates differences in the behav-iour of different profiles of Canadian households in terms of their purchases of dairy products. A two–stage econometric procedure was implemented on subsamples of a dataset pooling three food expenditure surveys. In the first stage, the probability of purchase is estimated to account for the relatively high frequency of zero purchases for some of the ten goods. In the second stage, a demand system allowing for quadratic expenditure effects is estimated. The findings indicate that demand elasticities tend to be higher for households headed by a person between 35 and 64 years old and when household size increases. Relative to other goods, low-fat milk has a higher probability of purchase and its demand is price and expenditure elastic. Generally, price and income elasticity patterns across goods are quite robust across household profiles differing in terms of the age of the head, size, and income. Keywords: dairy products, household demand, QUAIDS, elasticities
Attané, Isabelle. "Resistance a la politique de limitation des naissances en milieu rural chinois depuis le debut des annees 1980." Paris, EHESS, 1998. http://www.theses.fr/1998EHES0065.
Full textWith nearly 860 million people, china's rural population represents more than 70 per cent of the total population of the country. But the rural society remains traditionnal and meets slow social and economical changes. That is one of the reasons why family planning policy encounters great resistance among the rural population. This study focuses on the gap existing between marriage and fertility behaviours and birth limitation policy prescriptions in rural china since the eighties. But major disparities in demographic behaviours remain between the provinces. Provincial variations in demographic transition stages are first described. Then we focus on levels of resistance to family planning in each province (marriage before legal age, fertility higher than official prescriptions, high sex-ratio at birth. . . ). Finally, we highlight the social, economical and cultural factors influencing resistance to family planning policy
Hsiung, Pin-shan. "Étude des variations de la population de la province du Jiangxi au 19ème et au début du 20ème siècle : les catastrophes naturelles et les catastrophes humaines." Paris, EHESS, 2003. http://www.theses.fr/2003EHES0017.
Full textThe result of this these is the realisation of a graph from the variations of the population of the Jiangxi province, from the 19th century to the beginning of the 20th century, which shows a slow growth at the 19th century, and also an interaction between the natural catastrophes and the human catastrophes in the beginning of the 20th century. The main point of this study proposes a new method of analysing the demography variations : the distinction of the different factors of the variations, the natural catastrophes, the human catastrophes and other factors. First, the macro-historical method was based on one province with the unchanged variation of population. And then, one method of classification by degree is used for distinguishing the differences of gravity from the natural and human catastrophes, with a mathematical modele in order to find the relation between the cause and mortality
Fadier-Salice, Gwenaëlle. "Etude des fonctions exécutives sur une population de seniors." Rennes 2, 2004. http://www.theses.fr/2004REN20005.
Full textActually, the executive functions have got an increased central role in the models of cognition (system attentionnel of supervision; Norman and Shallice, 1980 or central executive of the working memory ; Baddeley, 1986). The efficacity of these high level cognitive processes, whose principal function is the adaptation to the novelty, classically reserved for the frontal lobes (Stuss, 1992), decreases with the age. The performance evaluation to 11 executive tasks of a sample of 94 old people from 45 to 98 years confirms the deterioration of the executive performances with the age, and shows a modest stability of those between the two occasions of measurement. Although empirically different, the executive processes of planning, cognitive inhibition, cognitive flexibility are correlated, and in relation to general intellectual efficiency. We defend the idea of a de-differentiation of the cognitive processes at the old people (Li, 2002). The negative effect of the age on the efficacity of a general cognitive system which one would measure various components would be mitigated by a significant level of schooling
Shi, Lu. "Le mariage et la fécondité à Shanghai͏̈." Paris, EHESS, 1991. http://www.theses.fr/1991EHES0064.
Full textThis thesis is a socio-demographic study of the evolution of marriage and fertility in the municipal area of shanghai in the people's republic of china since 1949. Draconian measures taken by the authorities to limit the growth of the enormous pomulation have shown results. From 1940 to 1980 the average marrying age of women in shanghai increased from 20 to 25 years. Because of the older marrying age, there were 1,152,719 fewer biths between 1950 to 1982. Family planning is carefully adhered to in shanghai, but this is due to strict control and is not spontaneous. Despite social progress over the last few decades, marriage is still a social convention and a child symbolies complete happiness for couples and the requition of society. Consequently the political pressure for a single child is in conflict with tradition and the unconstrained will of couples
Bourdelais, Patrice. "La population française du XVIIIe siècle à nos jours : histoire du vieillissement." Paris 1, 1992. http://www.theses.fr/1992PA010537.
Full textThis thesis reconsiders the aging of the population as a category and a notion for analysis, and as a demographic reality. The main point is to understand the reasons why the concept of population aging succeeded just at the moment when it lost its scientific relevance, and to examine the effects of this distorsion today. The epistemological part deals with all the changes which have occurred since the 17th century. Thinking the demographic aging notion dates back to the end of the 19th century, while having been clearly formulated in 1928 only. Then, the aging of the population followed the "denatalite", as the main argument of the natalist propaganda. The classical quantitative analysis results in three conclusions : the earliness of the phenomenon in france, the slowness and the regularity of its development, and the expression of doubts about the relevance of the usual indicator. In fact, the statistical category still begins at sixty, as if the reality of the old age would not have changed over the two centuries. So, we proposed a new indicator, built up from a study of mortality over sixty in a long term perspective, which allows to estimate the real starting point of the age depending on the health historical evolution. The new indicator suggests new conclusions : from the beginning of the 19th century, the aging of the french population seems to be no longer obvious. The last part of the study is devoted to a new analysis of economic and social consequences of demographic aging, and the bad effects of the notion are shown (what touchs presentation of population perspectives for instance). It emphasizes how the recent, and contradictory representation of the old age is a result of the demographic aging notion, linked to unchanging age categories, just at the time when the reality of the age of the old age is changing
Doignon, Yoann. "Le vieillissement démographique en Méditerranée : convergences territoriales et spatiales." Thesis, Aix-Marseille, 2016. http://www.theses.fr/2016AIXM3097.
Full textThe demographic transition upsets population balances worldwide. If population growth has been studied by demographers throughout the second half of the 20th century, ageing is an equally significant consequence of this demographic change. Nevertheless, studies demographic and geoprospective are not so many. In order to understand the observed changes, it seems appropriate to look beyond national borders for choose the level of sub-national territories. We study the future of Mediterranean societies' ageing in its dynamic dimension. The Mediterranean is an interesting laboratory because we found a great plurality of situations. To reach our goal, several challenges had to be overcome regarding the collection of data, their harmonization, their projection and analysis. For the whole Mediterranean area, we have collected and harmonized geo-demographic data to sub-national scales from many disparate sources. They were then used to establish future scenarios and projections for the next 50 years. Finally, we had to adapt methods from other disciplines (especially econometrics) to establish convergence of measures. We even propose news methods to answer our questions. The Ph.D. highlights the diversity of convergence proccess involved in the ageing populations of the Mediterranean. Territorial convergence and spatial convergence are taking part in the approximation of the regions' characteristics in terms of ageing. All the different scenarios analyzed describe future that highlight the global convergence of ageing but also remind that the observed heterogeneity in the spatial distribution of the phenomenon should last a long time and could strengthen locally
Cao, Hui. "Nouvelles tendances de l'urbanisation au Sichuan et à Chongqing : agglomérations urbaines et périmètres administratifs des villes." Paris 7, 2014. http://www.theses.fr/2014PA070044.
Full textMeasuring and comparing urban population in different countries, including China, have been a well-known problem because the national statistical agencies of different countries may use different definitions of "urban populations. " In this thesis, we use the e-Geopolis urban population statistics to uncover new trends of urbanization in Sichuan and Chongqing, two shengji divisions situated in the southwestern part of China, between 2000 and 2010. Our analysis shows that the urban population statistics estimated by e-Geopolis are very different from those reported by the National Bureau of Statistics, the official statistical agency of China. This comparison suggests that the official statistics can be misleading and can portrait an inaccurate picture of the actual extent of urbanization in China. For example, based on the e-Geopolis urban population statistics for Chongqing Zhixiashi and Sichuan Sheng, we find that the primacy index at shengji is higher. This situation can be explained by the concentration of capital in a labor-intensive economy where economies of agglomerations can reduce the costs of production. However, we cannot see the same patterns when we use the official urban population statistics provided by the National Bureau of Statistics. We view our results as the first step of using e-Geopolis to understand the urbanization patterns of China. When the complete set of e-Geopolis urban population statistics of China is available, it should be very useful for researchers and policy makers to better measure China's urbanization and also compare the urbanization experiences of China and other countries in the world
He, Yongfeng. "Structure of endemic fish assemblages in the upper Yangtze river basin and population differentiation of an endangered endemic fish (Gobiocypris rarus)." Toulouse 3, 2010. http://thesesups.ups-tlse.fr/913/.
Full textThe Yangtze River, also called Changjiang, supports rich biodiversity, especially diverse fish fauna, i. E. , about 400 fish species and subspecies. As an eco-functional barrier of the Yangtze River, the upper Yangtze River exhibits complicated natural environment, pronounced habitat heterogeneity, well-developed drainage system, abundant water resources and rich biodiversity. There were 286 fish species and subspecies distributing in the upper Yangtze River, among which 124 species were endemic. However, these fish resources are experiencing large threats: overexploitation, water pollution, hydropower projects, invasion by exotic species, and global environmental changes. It is imperative to evaluate the influences of the changes in environmental features on the fish resources and to accelerate the progress of conservation projects. Therefore, two parts of content have been studied in this thesis for the conservation of endemic fishes in the upper Yangtze River. Firstly, for the purpose of providing insight into mechanisms structuring fish assemblages and enhancing knowledge on ecological processes in the upper Yangtze River, spatial pattern of endemic fishes in the upper Yangtze River basin and their relationship with environmental features have been studied in P1 and P2 of this thesis. We identified five endemic fish assemblages in the upper Yangtze River basin. Not only species composition but also endemic species richness varied significantly among these five assemblages. They not only reflect the longitudinal gradient pattern but also are closely correlated with the topography and geomorphology of the Yangtze River. Each endemic fish assemblage has its specific indicator species. The endemic fish distribution patterns are significantly correlated with environmental factors such as land-cover features and river characteristics. The mixed models containing both land-cover features and river characteristics are more effective than any individual one in explaining complex endemic fish distribution patterns in the upper Yangtze River basin. Finally, we suggested that three key points for the conservation of endemic fishes in the upper Yangtze River basin should be paid more attention: selection of several protected sites aiming at various species; maintenance of at least one flowing reach in each river; developing the conservation of tributaries. Secondly, in order to obtain enough background of an endangered endemic fish (Gobiocypris rarus) and provide guidelines for other species conservation in the upper Yangtze River basin, the author used this Chinese rare minnow (G. Rarus) as an example to do the studies of conservation biology using microsatellite markers and morphological traits in P3, P4 and P5 of this thesis. .
Vrancken, Didier. "L'hôpital et la question gériatrique : l'organisation hospitalière face au défi du vieillissement de population." Paris, Institut d'études politiques, 1993. http://www.theses.fr/1993IEPP0032.
Full textBelgian geriatrics appeared in a hospital rationalization context. To the professionals, that means acuteness cares, higher cadences in a general context of hard and dirty work. Indeed, they discover in their every day's life old age. Illness and suffering images. Studying different care units through cultural and strategical approach, the analysis reveals innovation shapes in technics and organization. Different actors appear and developp revalidation projects. However, these shapes are not admitted and not valorized by general hospital. They lay down a question of legitimity. Professionals find this legitimity and give meaning to action with a human subject ethical conception
Ghekière, Jean-François. "Les mécanismes spatiaux du vieillissement démographique dans la ville : le cas de l'agglomération lilloise." Lille 1, 1996. https://pepite-depot.univ-lille.fr/LIBRE/Th_Num/1996/50377-1996-207.pdf.
Full textThe growth of ageing forecast for the early xxist century gives a new geographical dimension to the phenomenon. Urban spaces are inevitably affected. Until now, the demographic ageing had been exclusively concentrated within the agglomerations. However, during the last inter-census period, it has seemed to move toward the close periphery. Our thesis aims at determining the causes of this move. Does it result from urban expansion ? Have the young adults who successively settled at the agglomeration edges, stay at the same places as they grew older ? In this case, demographic ageing would affect the city cores and the next the farther and farther periphery. Moreover, what is the impact of the migration of elderly people on the phenomenon ? Our analysis seeks to specify the interrelations between the urban dynamics and the changes in the age structure
Jyoung, Taik-Hwan. "Vieillissement de la population et durabilité financière : le cas du système national de retraite coréen." Paris 1, 2011. http://www.theses.fr/2011PA010023.
Full textBOUILLOT, WILBERT CHRISTIANE. "Resultats preliminaires d'une etude paraclinique sanguine et cutanee de population du m'zab, temoins, diabetiques et a risque diabetique." Toulouse 3, 1990. http://www.theses.fr/1990TOU31704.
Full textMagnani, Riccardo Mercenier Jean. "Sur la quantification des effets du vieillissement démographique une approche intégrée de micro-macro-simulations /." [S.l.] : [s.n.], 2008. http://biblioweb.u-cergy.fr/theses/06CERG0325.pdf.
Full textRengang, Yu. "L'évolution de la répartition sectorielle de la population active : l'expérience mondiale et les perspectives en Chine." Paris 1, 1990. http://www.theses.fr/1990PA010027.
Full textAccording to the Petty-Clark' law, the sectional evolution of the active population is first characterized by the passage from the primary sector to the secondary sector, and then from the secondary sector to the tertiary sector. In the 1960s, Y. Sabolo indicated a new phenomenon: hypertrophy of the tertiary sector in the developing countrys. In this thesis, the author point out a new phenomenon : the swell of the secondary sector in the socialist countrys and proposes a new classification of 5 types: the pyramid, the trumpet, the tambourin, the bobbin and the reversal pyramid. From this point, the author proposes two models of the structural evolution of the active population: trumpet--bobbin--reversal pyramid and pyramid-tambourin--reversal pyramid. In addition, the common tendencys and the causes of the evolution is also analysed. Lastly, the author suggests a prevision of the future evolution in china
Docquier, Frédéric. "L'avenir des retraites publiques face au vieillissement des populations." Aix-Marseille 2, 1995. http://www.theses.fr/1995AIX24008.
Full textEl, Bcheraoui Charbel. "Etude du vieillissement de la population libanaise vivant en milieu urbain, rural et émigrée au Sénégal." Aix-Marseille 2, 2007. http://www.theses.fr/2007AIX20675.
Full textAlassane, Seydou. "Modification du pigment maculaire lors du vieillissement oculaire : analyse à partir de l'étude de population Montrachet." Thesis, Bourgogne Franche-Comté, 2018. http://www.theses.fr/2018UBFCI007/document.
Full textGiven the limits of the literature on the environmental nutritional impact in ocular aging witch is partially due to the lack of data in general population notably in French elderly, first, we were interested in the relationships of diet, plasma xanthophylls and macular pigment optical density as well as its spatial distribution and second of plasma fatty acids and dry eye disease signs in the 1153 Montrachet study participants.Firstly, we reported the high consumption of squash, the high plasma lutein and zeaxanthin levels and also the high plasma lutein level, the high macular pigment optical density level in nonsmokers subjects. In addition, the macular pigment values we provided in the study could be used as reference in population based study. Our results are very consistent with those found in other epidemiological studies even though our population is on average older. Secondly, we have shown that dry eye disease signs are more frequent in elderly subjects with low plasma polyunsaturated and saturated fatty acids level. Thus, our results provide new elements in the involvement of fatty acids in the process of dry eye disease.Finally, this work enriches the literature on macular pigment, its density, as well as its spatial distribution and its determinants as well as the determinants of dry eye disease. However, given the transversal nature of our studies, these results make only possible to formulate hypotheses that will be confirmed with longitudinal studies and could reinforce the interest of interventions based xanthophylls carotenoids supplementation in elderly
Bureau, Andrée. "L’importance des MRC dans l’adaptation au vieillissement de la population au Québec : trois études de cas." Mémoire, Université de Sherbrooke, 2016. http://hdl.handle.net/11143/8599.
Full textDemers, Daniel. "L'intégration des opposés en fin de carrière: évolution en lien avec le profil de Holland et l'androgynie." Sherbrooke : Université de Sherbrooke, 2001.
Find full textMerchez, Luc. "Impacts du barrage des Trois Gorges : un modèle de relocalisation des populations rurales." Université Joseph Fourier (Grenoble), 2000. http://www.theses.fr/2000GRE10014.
Full textCharifi, Nadia. "Effets du vieillissement sur la population des cellules satellites et sur la microvascularisation du muscle squelettique humain : adaptations à l'entraînement en endurance chez le sujet âgé." Université Jean Monnet (Saint-Étienne). Faculté de médecine Jacques Lisfranc, 2006. http://www.theses.fr/2006STET007T.
Full textAblise, Mourboul. "Préparation et évaluation in vitro de l'activité anti-oxydante d'extraits et de principes actifs (naturels et synthétiques) de plantes médicinales chinoises : liens éventuels avec le vieillissement et la longévité." Nancy 1, 2004. http://www.theses.fr/2004NAN12503.
Full textToutain, Stéphanie. "Vieillissement, age de la retraite et emploi des travailleurs agés : aspects géneraux, comparaison internationale, et étude du cas italien." Paris 10, 1997. http://www.theses.fr/1997PA100154.
Full textAccording to a common demographic reasoning, the result of population ageing should be a rise of retirement age. At least, that is the forecast for the next century. The purpose of this thesis is to question the relevance of this diagnosis and its consequences. We start by noting that the postulate isn't empirically confirmed over the past or in diachronic section when countries at different development stages are compared. Ageing is rather related to a lowering of retirement age. We then look at the factors that can, in retrospect, explain the phenomenon. Two analysis may be offered: - a work offer side analysis, based on an income/pleasure arbitration approach. - a second analysis intends to focus on one of the factors that could explain this paradox: the exclusion from work market phenomenon for older workers being particularly strong in developed countries, we set out to review the details of the retirement and early-retirement systems which explain part of the world-wide inequalities in employment rates for older ages in five industrialised countries (united-states, france, netherlands, germany, great-britain). What should be inferred at a prospective level ? could this be reversed ? it is indeed a possibility that the collective arbitration between income and pleasure stops automatically being in favour of an earlier retirement, given the induced costs in terms of social transfers. But the problem remains for the work demand. This leads to wonder about the factors that could make keeping older workers at work easier. We will in particular explore the concept that keeping these workers could only be done subject to a certain flexibility at career end. We will try to answer by an analysis of the relationship between elderly age employment rate and salary evolution in the years before retirement, as well as a little more detailed presentation of the japanese model. To finish, the retirement age theme in its whole will be illustrated by a case study of italy. The approach will be from three sides : demographic, retirement systems reform and work market
Chouinard, Isabelle. "Transformation des formes identitaires en contexte d'émergence du modèle de gestion de cas et enjeux pour le travail social." [S.l. : s.n.], 2006.
Find full textSahraoui, Salah-Eddine. "L'impact du vieillissement de la population sur les dépenses des retraites et les dépenses de santé en Algérie." Thesis, Bordeaux 4, 2012. http://www.theses.fr/2012BOR40003/document.
Full textThe research aims to study the impact of future aging of the Algerian population on the financial balance of the pension system and health expenditure. After a period of rapid demographic growth, Algeria entered a phase of population aging. This was noticed on the age-sex pyramid for the first time in 1998, with a significant change in the age structure. Thischange was confirmed by the last census in 2008. In Algeria, as for fertility, aging is likely to follow a rapid or extremely rapid pace, within two to three decades, compared with observed experiences in developed countries. This will imply consequences in many areas including in pensions’ funding and health expenditure control. Within two to three decades, the pension and health spending will grow significantly as a result of aging. The government has to face the challenge of the future burden of aging of the Algerian population and to ensure the financial stability and sustainability of both systems, namely pensions and health
Magnani, Riccardo. "Sur la quantification des effets du vieillissement démographique : une approche intégrée de micro-macro-simulations." Cergy-Pontoise, 2006. http://biblioweb.u-cergy.fr/theses/06CERG0325.pdf.
Full textThe aim of this PhD thesis is to quantify the economic impacts of population ageing, in particular on the macroeconomic system and on the pension system, using a general equilibrium approach. The thesis is divided in two parts. The first one is made up by two chapters in which we analyse the Italian demographic phenomenon. In particular, the first chapter is devoted to the detailed description of the OLG model of the type Auerbach-Kotlikoff (1987) - with endogenous growth, human capital accumulation and immigration - and shows the effects of the pension system reforms introduced during the 90’s. In the second chapter, we analyse different reforms (the increase in the retirement age, immigration policies, and the reduction in pension benefits) that could be introduced in order to solve the long run financial problem of the Italian pension system. The second part of the thesis develops a new methodology allowing integrating macro general equilibrium models and microsimulation models, where individuals make discrete choices (work-leisure, type of profession, etc. ). This methodology is described in the third chapter. In the fourth chapter, we apply this methodology in order to analyse the effects of Canadian population ageing at the macro level and at the micro level, in particular on the evolution of the individual choices, of the income distribution, and of inequalities
Bonnin, Michel. "Génération perdue : le mouvement d'envoi des jeunes instruits à la campagne en Chine, 1969-1980 /." Paris : Éd. de l'École des hautes études en sciences sociales, 2004. http://catalogue.bnf.fr/ark:/12148/cb392710417.
Full textBibliogr. p. 455-478. Glossaire. Index.
Peng, Zhun. "Population aging and asset prices." Thesis, Université Paris-Saclay (ComUE), 2015. http://www.theses.fr/2015SACLE009/document.
Full textPopulation of advanced economies is rapidly aging while emerging countries follow closely the same transformation. Population aging is due to three factors: delayed child-bearing, falling birth rates, and rising life expectancy. This process causes significant economic consequences, especially due to the rise in the dependency ratio that is defined as the number of retirees divided by the working age population. This thesis is particularly interested in the consequences of population aging on the price of capital as well as the pension funding under current financial crisis. In the first chapter, we study the effect of the dynamics of population structure on the price of capital in an overlapping generations model with capital adjustment costs. The results show that the asset prices increase and then decrease with changes in the demographic structure. The second chapter focuses on the performance of a large portfolio during turbulent periods in financial markets. Using the copula theory, we develop a methodology for analyzing the exposure of a portfolio to different extreme market risks. The third chapter covers the analysis of the sensitivity of the funding situation of a representative pension fund to market risks, by using the methodology developed in the second chapter. We find that both the asset and liability sides of pension fund's balance sheets are vulnerable to volatile movements in financial markets
Brun-Schammé, Amandine. "Impact du vieillissement démographique sur le système de retraite français : contraintes macroéconomiques et comportements individuels." Phd thesis, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne - Paris I, 2008. http://tel.archives-ouvertes.fr/tel-00354279.
Full textMonti, Régine. "La gestion prospective des âges : Régine Monti." Paris : Futuribles international : LIPSOR : DATAR [etc.], 2004. http://catalogue.bnf.fr/ark:/12148/cb39283714z.
Full textLIPSOR = Laboratoire d'investigation en prospective, stratégie et organisation. DATAR = Délégation à l'aménagement du territoire et à l'action régionale. En appendice, choix de documents. Bibliogr. p. 107-110.
Barnay, Thomas Majnoni d'Intignano Béatrice. "La santé comme facteur d'équité dans la cessation d'activité." Créteil : Université de Paris-Val-de-Marne, 2004. http://doxa.scd.univ-paris12.fr:80/theses/th0224783.pdf.
Full textBchir, Mohamed Hedi. "Genèse et avenir des systèmes de retraite : enjeux théoriques et application au cas français." Paris 1, 2004. http://www.theses.fr/2004PA010055.
Full textKarakaya, Gungor. "Essays on population ageing, dependency and overeducation." Doctoral thesis, Universite Libre de Bruxelles, 2008. http://hdl.handle.net/2013/ULB-DIPOT:oai:dipot.ulb.ac.be:2013/210405.
Full textDoctorat en Sciences économiques et de gestion
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Jacovella, Diane. "La gestion du vieillissement de la main-d'oeuvre : le secteur de l'éducation dans l'Outaouais urbain /." Thèse, Chicoutimi : Université du Québec à Chicoutimi, 1994. http://theses.uqac.ca.
Full textSUN, MINGLEI. "La politique de population chinoise mise en place et conséquences démographiques : le cas de la région de Shanghai." Paris 10, 1999. http://www.theses.fr/1999PA100094.
Full textZacklad, Rachel. "L’entrepreneuriat dans le champ du vieillissement : de l’analyse structurale de récits biographiques aux trajectoires professionnelles." Thesis, Paris, HESAM, 2020. http://www.theses.fr/2020HESAC013.
Full textThe economic and social changes of contemporary societies are based on the observation of an inevitable demographic dynamic and on the construction of a particular economic paradigm: on the one hand, the aging of the population, and on the other hand, the importance of innovation as a source of economic growth. The economic paradigm of innovation has been developing since the 1970s, growing from a central preoccupation in large firms, into a larger framework for the development of entrepreneurship more generally, even at a regional level. At the same time, public policies supporting the elderly initially set up during the 20th century for purposes of social protection, have increasingly privileged the initiatives and the development of private actors, thus encouraging the development of the silver economy. It is therefore in light of the interweaving of these two social dynamics that this thesis has sought to study the career paths of innovative entrepreneurs in the aging sector through a qualitative analysis of biographical stories. In an interactionist perspective, and based on the structural analysis of Demazière and Dubar (1997), the thesis studies the links between the operative logics pursued by silver-economy entrepreneurs on the one hand, as shaped by their professional trajectories and by their representations, and on the other hand, the macroeconomic challenges which characterize these logics and these representations. Based on this analysis, the thesis sheds light upon both the contributions and the limits of relevant structuralist methodology of analysis
Nowik, Laurent. "Le devenir des salariés de plus de 45 ans : stratégies d'entreprises et trajectoires des salaries ages : le cas de l'entreprise edf-gdf." Lille 1, 1998. http://www.theses.fr/1998LIL12012.
Full textThis research is concerned with the issue of the so-called "older" employees. It is based on the existing antagonism between the exclusion processes at the end of career and the demographic ageing of the working population : in the future employers will necessarily have to deal with a growing number of "older" employees. In this context the analysis of the employees' relation to their job helps us reflect on the desirable evolution of the management of ends of career and, more globally, professional lives. By means of sociological interviews led at electricite et gaz de france, this research models the "older" employees' relation to their job in a longitudinal perspective. It is observed that the disengagement of some people approaching retirement can be explained by a double process of marginalization and selfmarginalization. It is also shown that the evolution of the surveyed employees' relation to their job does not only result from an "end of career" effect, but also from a generational effect seldom mentioned in the literature on "older" employees. A typology is then set up on the basis of the professional profile of the employees interviewed. The presence of a generational effect shows overall that future "older" employees could display characteristics different from those of their predecessors, more integrated with the employers' economic scheme. It therefore cannot be concluded that demographic ageing will necessarily prejudice the businesses' operations
Nafti, Mohamed. "Étude de la relation entre la prise de benzodiazépines et le risque de démence et de déclin cognitif dans une population âgée canadienne." Master's thesis, Université Laval, 2017. http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11794/27684.
Full textSeveral observational studies suggested that the use of benzodiazepines could increase the risk of dementia or cognitive decline. The present work aims to evaluate the association between exposure to benzodiazepines and the incidence of dementia, Alzheimer's disease and cognitive impairment ‒ not dementia using data from the three phases of the Canadian Study of Health and Aging. Results showed that the exposure to benzodiazepines is significantly associated with a higher risk of cognitive impairment but did not suggest any association with the risk of dementia. The mechanisms by which benzodiazepines possibly induce cognitive decline should be explored further.
Chen, Zhenduo. "Le mouvement migratoire provoqué par la construction du barrage de Xin’an Jiang en Chine : politique, acteurs, communauté." Thesis, Paris, EHESS, 2020. http://www.theses.fr/2020EHES0079.
Full textThe doctoral thesis deals with the challenges of the emigrant movement caused by the construction of large dams and reservoirs in China, by including certain aspects of Chinese history and the context of modernization of the 20th century. We will study this subject through a multidisciplinary methodology in social sciences, and focus the questions on some fundamental areas: politics, actors, community. We study these constitutive elements of reservoir immigration, which also comes under the Chinese concept of migration, the institutional processes of hydraulic governance, the modern nation state, and more broadly, the relationship between the state and society through institutional means: roots in traditional society, bureaucracy, sovietization, etc. We think that the movement linked to the construction of the dam in the Chinese context is a multi-subject / actor movement, mobilized mainly according to the dynamics of the state-society relationship. A field study on the Xin'an Jiang dam and reservoir, one of the three large dams "built independently by the Chinese ourselves" comes to feed our research in historical and geographic dimensions, revealing among other things the engineering institution , the formation of the emigration and immigration, uprooting, the new community formed by the movements, which shape the subjectivities and the performances of the different actors of the movements around the the construction of dam and reservoir of Xin'an Jiang. This holistic, structured and social morphological analysis seeks to understand the complex relationships and transformations that operate during the construction of large dams and the forced migration that accompanies it with the objective of establishing a national planned economy and a powerful Chinese nation. Our research shows that China, which is in the process of modernization, is moving towards a society uprooted and suspended from its tradition of Xiangtu shehui. The movement by the construction of big dam and reservoir allows us to grasp this change driven by a future for autonomy, which seems uncertain but creates a new subject for modernisation
Harris, Josée. "Deux ressources d'habitation et d'hébergement pour personnes âgées en Estrie entre 2003 et 2005 l'évaluation et le positionnement des résidents par rapport aux services reçus et aux rôles qu'ils occupent au sein de leur milieu de vie /." [S.l. : s.n.], 2007.
Find full textJolivet, Annie. "Entreprise et gestion de la main d'oeuvre vieillissante : organisation, discrimination." Paris 1, 1999. http://www.theses.fr/1999PA010018.
Full textThe disadvantageous situation of ageing workers on the labour market questions the economic mechanisms generating this inequality. Our purpose is to contribute to their explanation by a microeconomic analysis of firms' behaviour towards these workers, focused on practices differenciating individuals in the firm : recruitment, training, promotion, lay-off. Discrimination theories are taken as a point of departure. Different models explaining the part played by the firm in the evolution of individual productive characteristics are then used (human capital, tournaments, delayed payment contracts, internal labour market). The consequences of the training and promotion practices pointed out upon recruitment and lay-off practices are finally analysed (parsons, oi and stankiewicz models, delayed payment contracts, internal labour market). To understand the diversity but also the consistency of firms' behaviours, their practices need to be considered simultaneously. Therefore, configurations of practices are built up trough the models previously used, completed by aoki's analysis. Those configurations are then compared to observed configurations in france, using two kinds of data : - monographic date concerning six establishments, gathered in 1993 and 1994; - data derived from the matching of a postal survey on ageing workforce management, carried out in 1991, with emmo-dmmo surveys. Those data, exploitable for 1,112 establishments, are submitted to a principal components analysis, an upward classification and a logistic regression. Nine clusters of establishents are analysed, revealing a strong differenciation of firms' behaviours
Aita, Jean-Paul. "Personnes âgées, vieillissement démographique et maladies dans le quart sud-est de la France : étude géographique." Montpellier 3, 2003. http://www.theses.fr/2003MON30052.
Full textIn many places, and more particulary in the South-East quarter of France, the number of elders, nowadays, reaches levels which the country will experience again in some fifteen years. Hence, the objective of our study would be to draw up a comparative, prospective and long-term inventory and statement of state of the ageing of the regions under consideration (Languedoc-Roussillon, PACA, Auvergne, Rhône-Alpes) and to measure their geographic inequalities. At the same time as the list is established, it is necessary to localize and to define the state of health of old and even very old people. Let us underline that the geography of the ageing process is fit to supply precious indicators for the organization of medical cares, to show whether such functioning is adapted or not, to reveal the inequalities or the insufficiencies, and to interprete the disparities in prescriptions, in medical practises. Its compared nature appears to be helpful for the evaluation of the different types of answers to these questions, in accordance with the politics of elderness
M', zali Kamel. "Le vieillissement de la population française et sa prise en charge dans les structures hospitalières de soins de suite et de réadaptation." Thesis, Paris 1, 2013. http://www.theses.fr/2013PA010595.
Full textFollowing the trend of European continent population, French population is aging. Thus in the wake of a demographic transition that lasted more than two centuries with an important and continuous decline of mortality these years in the aged population, the life expectancy of the French population has experienced a fabulous boon. This regular progression of life expectancy ended up by increasing over the years the proportion of older persons and therefore their care needs. The Hospital as the cornerstone of the French health system has the more arduous task to care for the needs of aged population. Parallel to the continuous increase in demands for geriatric care, the difficult economic situation which characterizes the French public finances has led the authorities to introduce several reforms of heath institutions and facilities which are not without consequences for the quality of health services provided to the elderly patients. This thesis deals with the demographic, social and economic aspects of the aging French population by analyzing their effects in individual and collective spheres. It seeks to understand the challenges of support systems such as hospitals and care units of rehabilitation