Relevant bibliographies by topics / World politics – forecasting

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Academic literature on the topic 'World politics – forecasting'

Author: Grafiati
Published: 27 July 2024
Last updated: 31 July 2025

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Journal articles on the topic "World politics – forecasting"

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Shobande, Olatunji Abdul, and Oladimeji Tomiwa Shodipe. "Re-Evaluation of World Population Figures: Politics and Forecasting Mechanics." Economics and Business 34, no. 1 (2020): 104–25. http://dx.doi.org/10.2478/eb-2020-0008.

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AbstractThis paper forecasts the world population using the Autoregressive Integration Moving Average (ARIMA) for estimation and projection for short-range and long-term population sizes of the world, regions and sub-regions. The study provides evidence that growth and population explosion will continue in Sub-Saharan Africa, tending the need to aggressively promote pragmatic programmes that will balance population growth and sustainable economic growth in the region. The study argued that early projections took for granted the positive and negative implications of population growth on the soc
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Zvyagin, Leonid S. "MATHEMATICAL MODELING OF GLOBAL SYSTEMS AND FORECASTING OF ITS MAIN OBJECTS." SOFT MEASUREMENTS AND COMPUTING 11, no. 60 (2022): 41–52. http://dx.doi.org/10.36871/2618-9976.2022.11.004.

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States interact closely with each other and the economies of each of them depend on various factors affecting them. The modern world cannot be imagined without the interaction of the economies of different countries. The XXI century can be safely called the heyday of globalization. Every day there is an exchange of goods, services, experience and information. The politics of one country somehow affects the politics of another country. Therefore, problems arising in the modern world within one country find their influence on other countries interacting with it. Minimizing risks and predicting t
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Tong, Ye. "Literature Review in International Trade Forecasting Based in Machine Learning Method." SHS Web of Conferences 154 (2023): 03025. http://dx.doi.org/10.1051/shsconf/202315403025.

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In recent years, with the intricacy of international politics and economic situation and the anti-globalization trend, China’s trade with world is facing many serious challenges. There are more factors that effects China export and import. Because of that, high-precision forecasting for international trade is beneficial for nation’s government, guild and export and import enterprise that need a judgement or decision for future. To better promote future research, the paper reviews the paper written by experts from world in trade forecasting field, classifies and summarizes their opinion accordi
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Muza, Dmitry E. "In memory of a Russian scientist (Review of the book “Civilization Path of Russia” by Valery Rastorguev)." Civilization studies review 5, no. 1 (2023): 189–94. http://dx.doi.org/10.21146/2713-1483-2023-5-1-189-194.

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The review is devoted to the posthumous publication of the collection of scientific works written by Valery Rastorguev (1949–2021), Doctor of Philosophical Sciences, Professor of the Department of Philosophy of Politics and Law of Lomonosov Moscow State Uni­versity, in the last years of his life. This publication presents in full the multifaceted sci­entific work of the scientist. His reflections were devoted to the civilizational develop­ment of Russia and the Slavic world, issues of environmental and social policy; his con­cepts of “smart politics” and culture of forecasting. The focus is on
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Podberezkin, A. I., and M. V. Kharkevich. "Political Elites as an Object of Coercive Influence in Contemporary World Politics." MGIMO Review of International Relations, no. 5(44) (October 28, 2015): 136–41. http://dx.doi.org/10.24833/2071-8160-2015-5-44-136-141.

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Abstract: The article discusses the trend of securitization of the political elite as a reaction to strengthening of coercive influence upon these elites in terms of consolidation and strengthening of confrontation between different civilizations. The authors argue that the main object of the coercive influence in world politics, which ensures stable control of regime change and a managed transit is the political elite rather than civil society. The assumption then is that the main object of the security and the securitization in world politics is to be political elite. Securitization of the p
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Voronkova, Valentyna, Olesia Zvezdova, Аnastasiia Khmel, Tetiana Lushahina, and Liudmyla Lanoviuk. "Theoretical and practical aspects of modern politics: challenges and reformatting of the global world." Cuestiones Políticas 40, no. 75 (2022): 537–49. http://dx.doi.org/10.46398/cuestpol.4075.32.

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The aim was to analyze the problems of global development of the modern world, including controversial global processes and to investigate the theoretical and practical aspects of modern politics in the conditions of challenges and reformatting of today's world. The novelty of the research lies in the understanding of objective processes of intensification of global political relations in extreme conditions, including war, crisis, uncertainty and instability. The methodology employed consisted of the use of tools such as political modeling and forecasting, which help to look behind the scenes
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Alekseev, Roman. "Political analysis and forecasting: domestic experience (D.A. Yezhov's textbook "Political analysis and forecasting")." Journal of Political Research 7, no. 4 (2023): 114–18. http://dx.doi.org/10.12737/2587-6295-2023-7-4-114-118.

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The purpose of the published review is to evaluate and analyze a textbook that has no analogues in the domestic political science educational and methodological literature, authored by Candidate of Political Sciences, Associate Professor D.A. Yezhov. The author of the textbook has gained fame in the scientific community due to his research in the field of showization of politics, both in modern Russia and in various countries of the world community, as well as in the study of election campaigns and the peculiarities of electoral behavior of Russian voters during parliamentary and presidential
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Jabbarinasir, Hasan. "The Influence of Modern International Terrorism on the Main Megatrends of Modern World Politics." Vestnik Volgogradskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta. Serija 4. Istorija. Regionovedenie. Mezhdunarodnye otnoshenija 26, no. 3 (2021): 22–33. http://dx.doi.org/10.15688/jvolsu4.2021.3.3.

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The article analyzes the influence of modern terrorism on two megatrends of contemporary world politics – globalization and democratization, which are linked with three levels of political organization of modern world – the Westphalian system, the system of interstate relations and the political system of states. A simplified method of constructing a forecasting scenario is used, which provides a description of the influence of terrorism on the dynamics of the development of globalization and democratization in the future. The author relies on the ideas of a cyclical approach, according to whi
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Belikova, Sofia A., and Roxalana S. Adeeva. "Public relations in the marketing communications system." ACCOUNTING AND CONTROL 12 (2024): 13–16. https://doi.org/10.36871/u.i.k.2024.12.01.003.

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As the modern world is increasingly surrounded by advertising, the growing attention of various spheres to public relations in recent years is not accidental. It is determined by a number of objective factors: variability, growing dynamism, and the ambiguity of the business environment have led organizations to establish and maintain stable information links with partners and consumers. Two-way information links are necessary for monitoring and forecasting. PR is a means of strategic management of the behavior of both external and internal spheres, while powerful informational influence acts a
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Dmytrenko, Mykola. "Modern Civilizational Challenges in the Context of the World Reorganization Concepts." Political Studies, no. 2 (2021): 150–69. http://dx.doi.org/10.53317/2786-4774-2021-2-8.

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The article deals with global forecasting of social development, as well as with the conceptions and possible scenarios for holistic development of mankind. It is justified that contemporary concepts of the world reorganization should consider different dynamics of the country’s civilizational development, its values and traditional culture. The article emphasizes that outlines of processes, oriented towards the formation of a new world order, began to emerge in the 70s of the last century. It is manifested that in modern society, forecasting the future is an integral part of substantiating wo
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Books on the topic "World politics – forecasting"

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Limited, Economist Newspaper, ed. The world in 2020. Economist Publications, 2019.

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Anṣārī, Muḥammad Jābir. al- ʻĀlam wa-al-ʻArab sanat 2000: Naẓarāt mustaqbalīyah fī burūz al-quwá wa-al-ittijāhāt al-ʻālamīyah al-jadīdah wa-taʼthīrihā ala al-maṣīr al-ʻArabī fi al-qarn al-ḥādī wa-al-ʻishrīn. Dār al-Ādāb, 1988.

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Friedman, George. The next decade: Where we've been-- and where we're going. Doubleday, 2011.

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Anṣārī, Muḥammad Jābir. al- ʻĀlam wa-al-ʻArab sanat 2000: Naẓarāt mustaqbalīyah fī burūz ... Dār al-Ādāb, 1988.

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Ronfeldt, David F. Three dark pieces. Rand Corp., 1990.

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L, Taylor Kirsten, ed. Introduction to global politics. 2nd ed. Routledge, 2012.

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Friedman, George. The next decade: Empire and republic in a changing world. Anchor Books, 2012.

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Block, Eskil. Aktörer, trender och hot! Centralförbundet Folk och Försvar, 1986.

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Delpech, Thérèse. La guerre parfaite. Flammarion, 1998.

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Türkkan, Reha Oğuz. 21. yüzyıla doğru dünya ve Türkiye. Türk 2000 Vakfı Yayınları, 1989.

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Book chapters on the topic "World politics – forecasting"

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de Gans, Henk A. "Trend shift or continuation? World War II and the Development of Population Forecasting and Planning in the Netherlands." In Bevölkerungsforschung und Politik in Deutschland im 20. Jahrhundert. VS Verlag für Sozialwissenschaften, 2006. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-531-90427-6_9.

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Di Fiore, Monica, Marta Kuc-Czarnecka, Samuele Lo Piano, Arnald Puy, and Andrea Saltelli. "Mind the framings." In The Politics of Modelling. Oxford University PressOxford, 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198872412.003.0003.

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Abstract This chapter discusses the relevance of spoken and unspoken frames in the mathematical modelling of a problem. Frames, intended as beliefs and normative visions of the world, may underpin a given modelling approach, its technical choices, and the relationships that matter. Frames constrain and prefigure the space of the possible courses of action. The chapter also discusses why the technique is never neutral and illustrates the usefulness as well as the challenges of deliberative stakeholder involvement via participatory forecasting in two domains—flooding risk and the management of f
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Krishna Pasupuleti, Murali. "Cultural Currents: Unveiling Trends, Shifts, and Evolution in Modern Society." In Decoding the Pulse of Modern Culture: Exploring Trends, Shifts, and Evolutions. National Education Services, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.62311/nesx/802898.

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Abstract: The chapter titled "Cultural Currents: Unveiling Trends, Shifts, and Evolution in Modern Society" explores the dynamic forces that drive cultural change and shape the fabric of modern society. It examines how cultural currents—prevailing ideas, practices, and values—emerge, evolve, and influence various aspects of life, from technology and politics to social norms and media. By providing historical context and analyzing contemporary trends, the chapter offers a comprehensive understanding of how cultural shifts occur and their impact on global and local scales. Key topics include the
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Krishna Pasupuleti, Murali. "Cultural Currents: Unveiling Trends, Shifts, and Evolution in Modern Society." In Decoding the Pulse of Modern Culture: Exploring Trends, Shifts, and Evolutions. National Education Services, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.62311/nesx/802867.

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Abstract: The chapter titled "Cultural Currents: Unveiling Trends, Shifts, and Evolution in Modern Society" explores the dynamic forces that drive cultural change and shape the fabric of modern society. It examines how cultural currents—prevailing ideas, practices, and values—emerge, evolve, and influence various aspects of life, from technology and politics to social norms and media. By providing historical context and analyzing contemporary trends, the chapter offers a comprehensive understanding of how cultural shifts occur and their impact on global and local scales. Key topics include the
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Doel, Ronald E., and Kristine C. Harper. "Science and Technology." In The Oxford Handbook of World War II. Oxford University Press, 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780199341795.013.12.

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Abstract The conduct and outcome of World War II was fundamentally shaped by science and technology. Intensive war-time research and development led to breakthrough technologies including radar, guided missiles, proximity fuzes, mass-produced penicillin, and atomic weapons, and scientific discoveries that advanced weather, wave and surf forecasting and anti-submarine warfare. Elevating science and technology as key national priorities in the major belligerent nations strengthened government research laboratories and university science units, and increased their political power as tools of the
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Sehgal, Manu. "Political Economy of Conquest." In Creating an Early Colonial Order. Oxford University Press, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780190124502.003.0004.

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By the final decade of the eighteenth century, the political economy of conquest had crystalized into a distinctively recognizable modern form. Expanded scale of war-making created a need to surveil the financial operations of the colonial state. The changing valence of ‘corruption’ came to include a growing insistence on eliminating leakages from the financial flows that enabled conquest. Corruption was not merely a moral scourge but a structural flaw, which if left unresolved would drain the war-making capability of the early colonial regime. Financial accounts of the East India Company ther
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Grinin, Leonid, and Andrey Korotayev. "Introduction. Reconsidering the Limits to Growth." In History & Mathematics: Political, Demographic, and Environmental Dimensions. Uchitel’ Publishing House, 2024. https://doi.org/10.30884/978-5-7057-6354-2_01.

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We live in a rapidly changing world. It is changing politically, socially, technologically, economically as well as environmentally and the changes taking place are fundamental and long-term. This is a significant challenge for humanity to deal with. In this situation, forecasts are needed to inform us about possibilities and probabilities. However, the main point of forecasting is not whether we anticipate how the future will look exactly. The main point is to project trends in play now forward so that we do not simply wait to see what ‘fate’ has in store for us. What are the alternative path
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Irshad, Afshan, and Ajit Kumar Singh. "AI and Conflict Resolution in Tourism Destinations." In Advances in Hospitality, Tourism, and the Services Industry. IGI Global, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.4018/979-8-3693-6755-1.ch021.

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Tourism remains a key driver and promoter of international economic growth as well as intercultural relations, but, in the modern world, it is associated with vast challenges like resource competition, misunderstandings between cultures and nations, environmental consequences together with politico-economic pressure. This chapter assesses the revolutionary potential of artificial intelligence in solving tourist destination conflicts. AI could enhance conflict resolution by taking advantage of emerging technologies such as machine learning, natural language processing (NLP), and predictive anal
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Bağcı, Ahmet. "Economic Growth and Smart Farming: Examples from Türkiye and the World." In National Technology Initiative: Social Reflections and Türkiye's Future. Türkiye Bilimler Akademisi Yayınları, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.53478/tuba.978-625-8352-17-7.ch37.

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Agriculture is of critical importance for all countries. Developments such as the increasing world population, rapid consumption of resources, climate change, political tensions between countries and epidemics have begun to seriously affect the food sector. These issues have led to the foreground of agriculture, which lagged behind by industry and service sectors. Technological activities affect many developments in the world, as well as agricultural developments. Especially with Industry 4.0, technological developments in the agricultural sector have started to be experienced visibly. In orde
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Koshova, Svitlana. "LEGAL REGULATION OF STATES’ INVESTMENT IN THE SPACE INDUSTRY WITHIN NATIONAL SECURITY STRATEGIES." In Modernization of research area: national prospects and European practices. Publishing House “Baltija Publishing”, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.30525/978-9934-26-221-0-19.

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This article analyzes the data on investments of certain countries in the space industry in the period from 2011 to 2021. It is proved that the Space Industry is one of the industries without which it is impossible to imagine the modern world, as it is one of the primary factors of National Security. After all, with the launch of the first satellites, the Space Program has taken major steps into a new era of technology, significantly expanding the boundaries of the world in which we live. At present, countries around the world are financing the activities of state space corporations, so that t
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Conference papers on the topic "World politics – forecasting"

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Janaćković, Tanja, and Marko Janaćković. "The Importance of Financial Management for the Success of the Organization in a Challenging Business Environment." In Seventh International Scientific-Business Conference LIMEN Leadership, Innovation, Management and Economics: Integrated Politics of Research. Association of Economists and Managers of the Balkans, Belgrade, Serbia, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.31410/limen.2021.111.

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The current economic environment poses challenges for the function of financial management and the financial function in general, on several levels. Organizations are required to change existing priorities, with an emphasis on cash management and forecasting activities, as well as risk management. Challenges in the business environment require organiza­tions to raise additional capital. They need efficient financial management that will create an adequate capital structure, in order to react positively to changes in the business environment and use the available financial re­sources optimally
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Dos Reis Filho, Ivan José, Guilherme Bittencourt Correa, Guilherme Mendonça Freire, and Solange Oliveira Rezende. "Forecasting future corn and soybean prices: an analysis of the use of textual information to enrich time-series." In Symposium on Knowledge Discovery, Mining and Learning. Sociedade Brasileira de Computação, 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.5753/kdmile.2020.11966.

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The commodities corn and soybean are products consumed on a large scale in the world. Fluctuations in market prices have far-reaching effects on consumers, farmers, and grain processors. Thus, forecasting the prices of these grains has attracted significant attention from researchers. Forecasting models generally use quantitative time-series data. However, external qualitative factors can influence data in time-series, such as political events, economic crises, and the foreign exchange market. This information is not explicit in the time-series data, and these factors can influence the predict
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Schütze, Florian. "The demand side of information provision: Using multivariate time series clustering to construct multinational uncertainty proxies." In CARMA 2022 - 4th International Conference on Advanced Research Methods and Analytics. Universitat Politècnica de València, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.4995/carma2022.2022.15080.

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Information demand in the modern world is met to a huge extent by information supply from the search engine Google. Humans use the search engine to gather information which shall help to reduce perceived personal uncertainty about a specific subject. Google Trends is providing insights into this information demand in a timely manner and for a variety of different countries. In this paper, multinational Google Trends data and unsupervised learning techniques are used to construct meaningful country clusters resembling the economic, geographic and political relationships of the considered countr
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Gukasyan, Gurgen, and Ali Nasser Khayder. "PROSPECTS OF THE OIL INDUSTRY OF OPEC+ COUNTRIES - MAJOR OIL EXPORTERS IN THE CONTEXT OF POST-PANDEMIC AND POLITICAL INSTABILITY." In 22nd SGEM International Multidisciplinary Scientific GeoConference 2022. STEF92 Technology, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.5593/sgem2022/1.1/s06.075.

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The purpose of the analysis is to identify prospects and opportunities for the development of the oil industry of Arab countries (including Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates. Kuwait, Qatar. Oman, Iraq) as well as Iran, Venezuela, Russia and some others), in the difficult post�pandemic and political conditions of 2022. In our opinion, there is a strong influence on the oil industry of cyclical and structuralcyclical fluctuations of the world economy, along with the environmental policy of the OECD countries, long-term trends in the consumption of fossil fuels. In this aspect, the historica
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Alekseeva, Natalya A., Zinaida A. Mironova, Elena V. Alexandrova, Vyacheslav A. Sokolov, and Marina V. Mironova. "Structural dynamic shifts in the Russian macroeconomics in the period of global challenges." In Sustainable and Innovative Development in the Global Digital Age. Dela Press Publishing House, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.56199/dpcsebm.spjg4935.

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The Russian economy is one of the most influential economies in the world, since it is fully capable of self-sufficiency in basic foodstuffs, exporting food, being a global technological leader in many industries. In recent years, the Russian economy has been facing major external economic and political threats, which makes it necessary to restructure the macroeconomics in order to increase its financial stability and efficiency. The main provisions of the Decree of the President of Russia on the goals of national development until 2030 were considered. The research purpose is to study the tra
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McCormack, K. L., E. Edelman, N. Moodie, B. J. McPherson, B. Paulsson, and R. He. "The Design of a Downhole Source Tomography Experiment for the Detection of CO2 Plumes in the Subsurface." In 57th U.S. Rock Mechanics/Geomechanics Symposium. ARMA, 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.56952/arma-2023-0474.

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ABSTRACT We developed designs to test a new method of detecting supercritical carbon dioxide plumes, which uses a form of reverse vertical seismic profile. The design focuses on two blocks of sandstone, collectively measuring 1m × 1m × 1m, separated by an epoxy seal that simulates the caprock. To simulate leakage through a legacy wellbore, a perforation will be made in the seal at an offset location from an injection well in the center of the sample, and supercritical carbon dioxide will be injected at a rate of 0.01 kg/s into the central well. The experiment is expected to last approximately
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