Relevant bibliographies by topics / Inflationary expectations

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Academic literature on the topic 'Inflationary expectations'

Author: Grafiati
Published: 28 May 2022
Last updated: 30 July 2025

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Journal articles on the topic "Inflationary expectations"

1

Paquet, Alain. "Inflationary expectations and rationality." Economics Letters 40, no. 3 (1992): 303–8. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0165-1765(92)90009-n.

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Jung, W. S. "Inflationary expectations with heterogeneous information: ‘generational expectations’." Applied Economics 22, no. 9 (1990): 1267–75. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00036849000000045.

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Takemori, Shumpei, and Lioudmila Savtchenko. "Monetary Regimes and Inflationary Expectations." Japanese Economy 35, no. 4 (2008): 3–21. http://dx.doi.org/10.2753/jes1097-203x350401.

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Grant, Alan P., and Lloyd B. Thomas. "Inflationary expectations and rationality revisited." Economics Letters 62, no. 3 (1999): 331–38. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0165-1765(98)00244-4.

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Webley, Paul, and Russell Spears. "Economic preferences and inflationary expectations." Journal of Economic Psychology 7, no. 3 (1986): 359–69. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0167-4870(86)90026-7.

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Moazzami, Bakhtiar. "Interest rates and inflationary expectations." Journal of Banking & Finance 14, no. 6 (1990): 1163–70. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0378-4266(90)90007-o.

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Webley, Paul, J. Richard Eiser, and Russell Spears. "Inflationary expectations and policy preferences." Economics Letters 28, no. 3 (1988): 239–41. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0165-1765(88)90122-x.

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João Sicsú. "Expectativas inflacionárias no regime de metas de inflação: uma análise preliminar do caso brasileiro." Economia Aplicada 6, no. 4 (2002): 703–11. https://doi.org/10.11606/1413-8050/ea220044.

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This paper aims to show some interesting relationships between credibility-reputation economic theory and inflationary expectations - since Brazil adopted inflation target regime, in June of 1999. The main findings are, at first, that Central Bank of Brazil (CBB) has high capacity to influence inflationary expectations if it was successful in reaching its inflation target in recent years, secondly, inflationary expectations are heterogeneous when CBB has high reputation but its inflation targets are loosing credibility.
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Fair, Ray C. "Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior." Review of Economics and Statistics 75, no. 1 (1993): 8. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2109621.

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Darvish, Tikva, and Nava Kahana. "Inflationary Expectations and Consumption over Time." American Economist 34, no. 2 (1990): 85–87. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/056943459003400214.

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Dissertations / Theses on the topic "Inflationary expectations"

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Шумська, С. С. "Вплив діяльності банківської системи на формування інфляційних очікувань". Thesis, Українська академія банківської справи Національного банку України, 2009. http://essuir.sumdu.edu.ua/handle/123456789/60033.

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Серед великої кількості різних факторів, що визначають динаміку розгортання інфляційних процесів в економіці, варто виділити психологічний фактор – інфляційні очікування, тобто очікування зростання цін. Зростання інфляційних очікувань може бути викликане політичними факторами, змінами уряду, заявами представників влади, що відповідають за монетарну політику, зміною грошово-кредитної політики, різкими коливаннями курсу національної валюти та ін. Очікування зростання цін впливають як на виробників, що відповідно змінюють обсяги виробництва і піднімають ціни на свою продукцію, так і на сп
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Soopal, D. C. "An investigation of inflationary expectations, money growth, and the vanishing liquidity effect of money on the interest rate in South Africa : analysis and policy implication." Thesis, 2001. http://hdl.handle.net/10413/4365.

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This thesis measures the extent to which the interest rate falls after an increase in the money supply. Even though the South African Reserve Bank has as a commitment, a goal for the inflation rate to vary between a prescribed band, it still needs to be able to use active monetary policy if economic conditions require intervention. To this end it is of interest to measure the number of quarters for which interest rates remain low after the liquidity of the macro-economy improves. In the monetary literature (for example Melvin (1983)) there are methods that have been used to measure the duratio
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Books on the topic "Inflationary expectations"

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Fair, Ray C. Inflationary expectations and price setting behavior. National Bureau of Economic Research, 1989.

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ha-meḥḳar, Banḳ Yiśraʼel Maḥleḳet, ed. Inflationary expectation formation in Israel: A specification test. Bank of Israel, Research Department, 1987.

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Sargent, Thomas J. Rational Expectations and the Reconstruction of Macroeconomics. Princeton University Press, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.23943/princeton/9780691158709.003.0001.

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This chapter discusses the rational expectations reconstruction of macroeconomics. In particular, it examines how the hypothesis of rational expectations has been used to develop econometric models that take into account that people's behavior patterns will vary systematically with changes in government policies—the rules of the game. The chapter looks at two examples that illustrate the general presumption that the systematic behavior of private agents and the random behavior of market outcomes both will change whenever agents' constraints change, as when government policy or other parts of t
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Book chapters on the topic "Inflationary expectations"

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McCallum, Bennett T. "Inflationary Expectations." In The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics. Palgrave Macmillan UK, 1987. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/978-1-349-95121-5_793-1.

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Ahmad, J. "Inflationary Expectations and Price Interdependence under Floating Exchange Rates." In Structural Change, Economic Interdependence and World Development. Palgrave Macmillan UK, 1987. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-09117-1_25.

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Razin, Assaf. "Israel’s Struggle Toward Macroeconomic Stability: Role of Inflationary Expectations." In Springer Studies in the History of Economic Thought. Springer International Publishing, 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-41357-6_11.

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Ndou, Eliphas, and Nombulelo Gumata. "Wage Increases in Excess of 6 Per cent, Inflationary Dynamics and Expectations." In Inflation Dynamics in South Africa. Springer International Publishing, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-46702-3_31.

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Davidson, Louise. "A Critical Analysis of Monetarist—Rational Expectation—Supply-side (Incentive) Economics Approach to Accumulation During a Period of Inflationary Expectations." In Money and Employment. Palgrave Macmillan UK, 1990. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-11513-6_19.

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"Inflationary Excitement." In Inflated Expectations: A Cosmological Tale. Open Agenda Publishing, 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/j.ctv22jnnqv.6.

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CALVO, GUILLERMO A., OYA CELASUN, and MICHAEL KUMHOF. "A Theory of Rational Inflationary Inertia." In Knowledge, Information, and Expectations in Modern Macroeconomics. Princeton University Press, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/j.ctv18zhdvn.9.

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Calvo, Guillermo A., Oya Celasun, and Michael Kumhof. "4. A Theory of Rational Inflationary Inertia." In Knowledge, Information, and Expectations in Modern Macroeconomics. Princeton University Press, 2003. http://dx.doi.org/10.1515/9780691223933-007.

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Feldman, Gerald D. "The Vicious Circles: From Galloping Inflation to Hyperinflation, January–July 1922." In The Great Disorder. Oxford University PressNew York, NY, 1993. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780195037913.003.0011.

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Abstract While the chief sources of the German inflation were endogenous, the catalyst of inflationary development between the spring of 1921 and the summer of 1922 was reparations. Expectations with respect to the currency both at home and abroad were profoundly affected by the status of the reparations issue. When demands were made upon Germany which the Germans and substantial portions of the outside world felt were un fulfillable, the consequence was a loss of confidence in the mark abroad and a surrender to inflationary tendencies at home. When reparations obligations were reduced, or eve
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Smithers, Andrew. "Deflation." In Productivity and the Bonus Culture. Oxford University Press, 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198836117.003.0019.

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The demonization of deflation has drawn attention away from the key problem of productivity. It arises from the two errors that deflation causes recessions and that investment responds to real interest rates. Deflation can be a symptom of inadequate demand but it can also occur when demand is strong. The fallacy depends on ignoring history and the importance of inflationary expectations. These were low in the late nineteenth century, allowing output to grow strongly while prices declined. Low expectations today have allowed stable prices to be combined with falling unemployment. But such expec
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Conference papers on the topic "Inflationary expectations"

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Kuzmin, Anton. "Modeling of Inflationary Processes with Expectations." In 2023 16th International Conference Management of large-scale system development (MLSD). IEEE, 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/mlsd58227.2023.10304034.

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Yıldırım, Koray, Esma Erdoğan, Neşe Algan, and Harun Bal. "The Effects of Developments in Financial Markets and Currency-Protected Deposit System on Financial Deepening: The Case of Turkey." In International Conference on Eurasian Economies. Eurasian Economists Association, 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.36880/c15.02804.

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In this study, the effects of credit volume, stock market trading volume and currency protected deposit (CPD) system on financial deepening (M2/M1) of the Turkish economy for the period 2010M1:2023M2 (T=158) are analyzed by Structural VAR (SVAR) method. According to the findings, credit volume shocks have a significant effect while the effect of stock market trading volume is limited. In advanced financial systems, the M2/M1 ratio hovers between 4 and 6. The financial deepening ratio, which was measured as 4.86 at the beginning of the analyzed period, was at its lowest level of 2.41 in 2021M12
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Yalman, İlkay Noyan, and Şerife Merve Koşaroğlu. "Analysis of the Relationship between Consumer Confidence Index and Inflation in Türkiye." In International Conference on Eurasian Economies. Eurasian Economists Association, 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.36880/c15.02816.

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The course of macroeconomic indicators has an impact on consumers' decisions and expectations. Consumer confidence refers to the tendencies of consumers in the face of economic conditions and the situation regarding the decisions to be taken by other decision units. It is thought that the realized and expected inflation within the economic indicators is important in the consumers' perception of economic developments. Therefore, price stability represents one of the main factors determining consumer decisions regarding income, consumption expenditure and savings. Price stability in Turkey has v
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Nişancı, Murat, Ziya Çağlar Yurttançıkmaz, Adem Türkmen, and Ömer Selçuk Emsen. "Convergence to Maastricht Criteria Being Economic Performance Criteria: Applications on Transition Countries." In International Conference on Eurasian Economies. Eurasian Economists Association, 2014. http://dx.doi.org/10.36880/c05.00921.

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Together with the destruction of Berlin Wall in 1989 and fall of The Soviets 1991, one of the basic problems of transition economies is the matter of high inflation. The underlying factor of the high and/or hyperinflation process is the rupture of input relations and its negative supply shocks. Emergence of inflationary structure brought irregularity in macroeconomic indicators, too. Many structural adjustments were created in order to lighten the effects of transition process; and improvements were tried to be done in economic indicators such as inflation interest, budget balance and foreign
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Falmagne, Véronique. "Rock Engineering in Canadian Mining – Highlights, Challenges and Contributions." In 58th U.S. Rock Mechanics/Geomechanics Symposium. ARMA, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.56952/arma-2024-0685.

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ABSTRACT: Recent years have been characterized by some significant world events and the continuing evolution of mining in a mature jurisdiction, such as Canada. Topics that will be discussed include managing Covid-19 and social expectations; expanding Canadian mining into harsh environments, in the Arctic and at great depth; and the need to extract more value from every drill hole in the context of rising costs and the push to reduce uncertainty. From March 2020 to the second half of 2022, the mining industry had to manage through the Covid 19 pandemic and is now navigating a period of inflati
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Reports on the topic "Inflationary expectations"

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Fair, Ray. Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior. National Bureau of Economic Research, 1989. http://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w3102.

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Frache, Serafin, Rodrigo Lluberas, Mathieu O. Pedemonte, and Javier Turen. The Transmission of International Monetary Policy Shocks on Firms' Expectations. Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.26509/frbc-wp-202301.

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Motivated by the dominant role of the US dollar, we explore how monetary policy (MP) shocks in the US can affect a small open economy through the expectation channel. We combine data from a panel survey of firms' expectations in Uruguay with granular information about firms' debt position and total imports on a monthly basis. We show that a contractionary MP shock in the US reduces firms' inflation and cost expectations in Uruguay. This result contrasts with the inflationary effect of this shock on the Uruguayan economy, suggesting uncertainty about the policy regime. We discuss the issues and
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Pedemonte, Mathieu, Hiroshi Toma, and Esteban Verdugo. Aggregate Implications of Heterogeneous Inflation Expectations: The Role of Individual Experience. Inter-American Development Bank, 2025. https://doi.org/10.18235/0013495.

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We explore the implications of heterogeneous, history-dependent inflation expectations in a general equilibrium setting. We propose an experience-based expectations-augmented Kalman filter to represent consumers' heterogeneous inflation expectations, where heterogeneity arises from an anchoring-to-the-past mechanism. Using survey data, we show that the model replicates US consumers' inflation expectations and their heterogeneity across cohorts. We introduce this mechanism into a New Keynesian model and find that heterogeneous expectations anchor aggregate responses to the agents' inflation his
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Mitchell, James, and Saeed Zaman. The distributional predictive content of measures of inflation expectations. Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.26509/frbc-wp-202331.

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This paper examines the predictive relationship between the distribution of realized inflation in the US and measures of inflation expectations from households, firms, financial markets, and professional forecasters. To allow for nonlinearities in the predictive relationship we use quantile regression methods. We find that the ability of households to predict future inflation, relative to that of professionals, firms, and the market, increases with inflation. While professional forecasters are more accurate in the middle of the inflation density, households’ expectations are more useful in the
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Grajales-Olarte, Anderson, Franz Hamann, Sara Naranjo-Saldarriaga, and José Pulido. Policy implications of losing credibility: Lessons from Colombia’s post-pandemic inflationary surge. Banco de la República, 2025. https://doi.org/10.32468/be.1304.

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Inflationary surges, such as those experienced in the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic, can undermine the credibility of central bank inflation targets. Using data from expectations surveys, we test whether credibility losses occurred in Colombia and assess their magnitude. We then use these estimates to inform a Bayesian estimation of a monetary policy model in which such credibility is endogenous, depending on the central bank’s past performance in achieving its inflation target. We implement our framework embedded in one of the main semi-structural models for monetary policy analysis in t
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Ferreira, Clodomiro, and Stefano Pica. Households’ subjective expectations: disagreement, common drivers and reaction to monetary policy. Banco de España, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.53479/38316.

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Using granular data on household subjective expectations for several countries, we uncover a robust positive reaction of inflation expectations to a contractionary monetary policy shock, a result at odds with standard equilibrium theories with nominal rigidities. We then investigate what lies behind such result. Although households disagree, their expectations are correlated in the cross-section. Two principal components account for a significant portion of the variance of all expectations. These components capture households’ perceptions of the sources of macroeconomic dynamics, with the firs
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Mitchell, James, Taylor Shiroff, and Hana Braitsch. Practice Makes Perfect: Learning Effects with Household Point and Density Forecasts of Inflation. Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.26509/frbc-wp-202425.

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This paper shows how both the characteristics and the accuracy of the point and density forecasts from a well-known panel data survey of households' inflationary expectations – the New York Fed's Survey of Consumer Expectations – depend on the tenure of survey respondents. Households' point and density forecasts of inflation become significantly more accurate with repeated practice of completing the survey. These learning gains are best identified when tenure-based combination forecasts are constructed. Tenured households on average produce lower point forecasts of inflation, perceive less for
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Muñoz-Martínez, Jonathan Alexander. A Level-Dependence Approach for Assessing De-Anchoring of Inflation Expectations: Evidence from Colombia. Banco de la República, 2025. https://doi.org/10.32468/be.1322.

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This study introduces a methodology for evaluating the de-anchoring of inflation expectations by proposing indicators to measure deviations in short- and long-term inflation expectations from the Central Bank's target, analyzing their dependency over time using traditional and hierarchical statistical copulas, the latter incorporating the effect of the monetary policy stance. Using data from the Colombian financial market, the findings reveal that during inflationary episodes (2008–2009, 2015–2016, and 2022–2023), the dependency between short- and long-term expectations increased, indicating d
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Knotek, Edward S., James Mitchell, Mathieu O. Pedemonte, and Taylor Shiroff. The Effects of Interest Rate Increases on Consumers' Inflation Expectations: The Roles of Informedness and Compliance. Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.26509/frbc-wp-202401.

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We study how monetary policy communications associated with increasing the federal funds rate causally affect consumers' inflation expectations. In a large-scale, multi-wave randomized controlled trial (RCT), we find weak evidence on average that communicating policy changes lowers consumers' medium-term inflation expectations. However, information differs systematically across demographic groups, in terms of ex ante informedness about monetary policy and ex post compliance with the information treatment. Monetary policy communications have a much stronger effect on people who had not previous
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Knotek, Edward S., James Mitchell, Mathieu Pedemonte, and Taylor Shiroff. The Effects of Interest Rate Increases on Consumers’ Inflation Expectations: The Roles of Informedness and Compliance. Inter-American Development Bank, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0013184.

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We study how monetary policy communications associated with increasing the federal funds rate causally affect consumers inflation expectations in real time. In a large-scale, multi-wave randomized controlled trial (RCT), we find weak evidence that communicating these policy changes lowers consumers medium-term inflation expectations on average. However, information differs systematically across demographic groups, in terms of ex ante informedness about monetary policy and ex post compliance with the information treatment. Monetary policy communications have a much stronger effect on the subset
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