Relevant bibliographies by topics / Ruble exchange rate

Contents

  1. Journal articles
  2. Dissertations / Theses
  3. Books
  4. Book chapters
  5. Conference papers
  6. Reports

Academic literature on the topic 'Ruble exchange rate'

Author: Grafiati
Published: 3 June 2025
Last updated: 31 July 2025

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Journal articles on the topic "Ruble exchange rate"

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Moroz, Yu S. "Exchange Rate of the Ruble: Status, Trends." Vestnik NSUEM, no. 2 (June 19, 2021): 120–26. http://dx.doi.org/10.34020/2073-6495-2021-2-120-126.

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The purpose is to determine the state of the ruble exchange rate, to identify the main factors affecting changes in the Russian ruble exchange rate in modern conditions. The opinions of domestic authors on the factors affecting the ruble exchange rate (balance of payments, inflation, oil price, coronavirus pandemic, unemployment) are considered. Among the most significant factors affecting the ruble exchange rate is the price of oil. The article studies the dynamics of the impact on the national currency rate of oil prices. Conclusions are made.
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Menshikh, D. A. "Estimation of fiscal rule impact on Russian ruble equilibrium exchange rate." Voprosy Ekonomiki, no. 2 (February 7, 2021): 70–84. http://dx.doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2021-2-70-84.

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This paper describes a new approach that makes it possible to assess the impact of foreign exchange interventions implemented under the fiscal rule on the Russian ruble equilibrium exchange rate. The essence of the approach is to quantify the impact of foreign exchange interventions carried out within the framework of the fiscal rule on the balance of supply and demand of foreign exchange, and to reflect this influence in macroeconomic models using the “effective” oil price indicator. The article describes in detail the calculation of this indicator. The advantage of using the “effective” oil
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Bozhechkova, A. V., S. G. Sinelnikov-Murylev, and P. V. Trunin. "Factors of the Russian ruble exchange rate dynamics in the 2000s and 2010s." Voprosy Ekonomiki, no. 8 (August 3, 2020): 5–22. http://dx.doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2020-8-5-22.

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The article discusses the key factors of the ruble exchange rate dynamics, analyzes the features of Russian currency market in the context of inflation targeting and the application of the budget rule. The basic theoretical approaches to modeling the dynamics of real and nominal exchange rates are presented, including behavioral models of the exchange rate, the monetary model of the exchange rate, and the hypothesis of uncovered interest parity. The most important factors of long-term and short-term dynamics of the exchange rate are revealed. The results of an econometric evaluation of the mod
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Ershov, Mikhail V., and Anna S. Tanasova. "On Sanctions and the Exchange Rate." Economic Strategies 144, no. 4 (184) (2022): 17–21. http://dx.doi.org/10.33917/es-4.184.2022.17-21.

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The article emphasizes that freezing of Russian gold and foreign exchange reserves was previously accurately predicted by Russian experts. Attention is drawn to the fact that weakening of the ruble was one of the goals of the sanctions impact on the Russian economy that Western countries were bearing in mind. It is obvious that the exact opposite — preventing its depreciation and turning the ruble into a stable strong currency — is an anti-sanction measure. With high dependence of the Russian economy on imports, as well as in the situation when it is necessary to find alternative ways for impo
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MAL'SAGOVA, Radima G., Tat'yana P. LISKOVETSKAYA, and Il'ya N. LENKOV. "Changes in the ruble exchange rate during the economic crisis: Consequences and effectiveness of the efforts undertaken." Finance and Credit 27, no. 1 (2021): 113–28. http://dx.doi.org/10.24891/fc.27.1.113.

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Subject. We consider the main trends and factors of changes in the Ruble exchange rate. Objectives. The purpose of the study is to identify the consequences and effectiveness of measures taken to stabilize the Ruble exchange rate during the economic crisis, and reveal factors of Ruble appreciation. Methods. The study rests on methods of systems analysis and synthesis, estimation techniques, the content analysis of literature and analytical data on the topic, statistical data analysis, graphical and regulatory methods. Results. We considered the specifics of the exchange rate in Russia, its adv
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Esina, P., and Li Jie. "THE IMPACT OF THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC ON THE EXCHANGE RATE OF THE RUSSIAN NATIONAL CURRENCY." Norwegian Journal of development of the International Science, no. 91 (August 26, 2022): 15–19. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7032100.

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Abstract This article considers the impact of the coronavirus pandemic on the ruble exchange rate. In modern realities, the exchange rate, having a strong relationship with the main macroeconomic indicators, has a tangible impact on the country's economic system.  The ruble exchange rate was analyzed using multiple linear regression (MLR) correlation analysis. The results have shown that the price of oil significantly affects the exchange rate. Moreover, other independent variables such as RTS Index and foreign investment in Federal loan bonds included in the model also have a disting
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Kudrin, A. "Ruble Real Effective Exchange Rate: Problems of Appeciation." Voprosy Ekonomiki, no. 10 (October 20, 2006): 4–18. http://dx.doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2006-10-4-18.

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The article is focused on the estimation of advantages and risks of the policy of "strong" ruble. The author analyzes factors, that cause effective exchange rate appreciation, studies the influence of ruble appreciation on the import dynamics. In the end suggestions on the optimal exchange rate policy in Russia are offered.
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Andryushin, S. "Arguments for the Ruble Exchange Rate Management." Voprosy Ekonomiki, no. 12 (December 20, 2015): 51–68. http://dx.doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2015-12-51-68.

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The paper discusses the target guides and the Bank of Russia’s monetary policy operational instruments. Events of 2014-2015 showed that the inflation targeting regime is not an effective target guide of the Bank of Russia’s monetary policy. The key interest rate fails to reflect the proper price of holding and using of financial resources of households, financial and non-financial organizations. The floating exchange rate regime has not become an automatic mechanism of external shocks absorption, but intensifies the exchange rate volatility instead. The exchange rate management is the only eff
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Blank, A., E. Gurvich, and A. Ulyukaev. "Exchange Rate and Competitiveness of Russia’s Industries." Voprosy Ekonomiki, no. 6 (June 20, 2006): 4–24. http://dx.doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2006-6-4-24.

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The impact of real exchange rate on the Russian economy in internal and external markets is studied. The analysis takes into account that imported goods are only partial substitutes for those produced domestically, as the former is comprised mainly by manufactures with diverse properties. Positive or negligible effect of real appreciation of the ruble on the share of Russian goods in internal markets is found for major industries. This means that real appreciation of the ruble shifts domestic demand from imported to domestically produced goods, i.e. increases their competitiveness. Higher shar
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Li, Jiahui. "Navigating the Uncertain Waters: An Analysis of the Near Future Profitability of the Russian Ruble." Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences 73, no. 1 (2024): None. http://dx.doi.org/10.54254/2754-1169/73/20230906.

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This paper aims to provide a comprehensive analysis of the near future of the Russian ruble, with a particular focus on its potential profitability as an investment asset. Amidst a backdrop of political tensions, economic sanctions, and ineffective forex interventions by the Russian Central Bank, the ruble has experienced significant volatility. The paper examines key factors influencing the rubles value, including political climate, inflation, interest rates, and main exports. The study analyzes the causes and solutions of Russias three major devaluations since the dissolution of the Soviet U
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Dissertations / Theses on the topic "Ruble exchange rate"

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Wang, Rudan. "Taylor rule based exchange rate models with wealth effects." Thesis, University of Bath, 2015. https://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.669035.

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This thesis focuses on the relationship between the exchange rate and its determinants using an endogenous monetary policy rule as represented by the Taylor rule. Compared to the recent literature on out-of-sample exchange rate predictability, I extend the model of Molodtsova and Papell (2009) by including two variables representing wealth effects, as has been suggested in the standard Taylor rule models. Using quarterly data from 1975-2008, I first investigate the econometric properties of the Taylor rule applied to U.K., Australian and Swedish data against the US dollar. Various unit root te
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Wan, Yiding. "Can Taylor rule fundamentals predict exchange rates?" Thesis, University of East Anglia, 2012. https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/42380/.

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Recent research suggests that there are many favourable features of the asset- pricing model of exchange rates incorporating Taylor rules. Against this back- ground, this thesis focuses on the relationship between the exchange rate and Taylor rule fundamentals. The introductory chapter provides a short summary of the most relevant literature, and explains the connections between the main chapters. In chapter 2, we mainly follow Engel and West's (2006) framework of the asset-pricing model of exchange rate incorporating Taylor rules to forecast the yen/dollar exchange rate. The central research
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Huber, Florian, and Daniel Kaufmann. "Trend Fundamentals and Exchange Rate Dynamics." WU Vienna University of Economics and Business, 2016. http://epub.wu.ac.at/4808/1/wp214.pdf.

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We estimate a multivariate unobserved components stochastic volatility model to explain the dynamics of a panel of six exchange rates against the US Dollar. The empirical model is based on the assumption that both countries' monetary policy strategies may be well described by Taylor rules with a time-varying inflation target, a time-varying natural rate of unemployment, and interest rate smoothing. The estimates closely track major movements along with important time series properties of real and nominal exchange rates across all currencies considered. The model generally outperforms a benchma
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Kim, Hyeongwoo. "Essays on exchange rate models under a Taylor rule type monetary policy." Columbus, Ohio : Ohio State University, 2006. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc%5Fnum=osu1148588616.

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Costa, Alexis Petri Magalhães. "An assessment of exchange rate impact over Taylor rule determination in Brazil." reponame:Repositório Institucional do FGV, 2017. http://hdl.handle.net/10438/17971.

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Submitted by Alexis Petri Magalhaes Costa (alexis.petri.costa@gmail.com) on 2017-02-22T19:36:54Z No. of bitstreams: 1 Dissertacao.pdf: 1279843 bytes, checksum: b21e4e76b5b7742d95c444d256cd3ec9 (MD5)<br>Rejected by Renata de Souza Nascimento (renata.souza@fgv.br), reason: Alexis, boa tarde Para que possamos aceitar seu trabalho, por gentileza, retire as páginas em branco que constam no trabalho entre a capa, contracapa e folha de assinaturas. Inclua também o resumo em português (mesmo o trabalho estando em inglês). Após correções, submeter o arquivo novamente. Att on 2017-02-22T
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Dror, Marika. "Forecasting of exchange rates." Doctoral thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2010. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-202335.

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The thesis investigates different exchange rate models and their forecasting performance. The work takes previous literature overview and summarize their findings. Despite the significant amount of papers which were done on the topic of exchange rate forecast, basically none of them cannot find an appropriate model which would outperform a forecast of a simple random walk in every horizon or for any currency pair. However, there are some positive findings in specific cases (e.g. for specific pair or for specific time horizon). The study provides up-to-date analysis of four exchange rates (USD/
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Huber, Florian. "Structural breaks in Taylor rule based exchange rate models - Evidence from threshold time varying parameter models." WU Vienna University of Economics and Business, 2017. http://epub.wu.ac.at/5461/1/wp244.pdf.

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In this note we develop a Taylor rule based empirical exchange rate model for eleven major currencies that endogenously determines the number of structural breaks in the coefficients. Using a constant parameter specification and a standard time-varying parametermodel as competitors reveals that our flexible modeling framework yields more precise density forecasts for all major currencies under scrutiny over the last 24 years.<br>Series: Department of Economics Working Paper Series
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Ahmed, Najeer. "Addressing the Post-Keynesian Critique: Exchange Rate Determination with an Extended Mundell-Fleming Model." Scholarship @ Claremont, 2016. http://scholarship.claremont.edu/cmc_theses/1335.

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The assertion that financial flows are the primary drivers of exchange rates may be considered as financial markets become increasingly large and sophisticated. However, the Post-Keynesian critique leaves little room for the real economy to impact exchange rates. This paper aims to extend the Mundell-Fleming model to address the Post-Keynesian critique of mainstream models, by incorporating wealth effects, expectations, and Taylor-rule interest targeting. Discussion of significant financial events affecting the USDJPY exchange rate finds that wealth effects are significant considerations, and
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Mello, Eduardo Morato. "In search of exchange rate predictability: a study about accuracy, consistency, and granger causality of forecasts generated by a Taylor Rule Model." reponame:Repositório Institucional do FGV, 2015. http://hdl.handle.net/10438/13308.

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Submitted by EDUARDO MORATO MELLO (eduardo.mello@br.natixis.com) on 2015-02-04T19:07:16Z No. of bitstreams: 1 MPFE_EduardoMello.pdf: 1511350 bytes, checksum: 0c43eb471871651f1d5b9ab8996e0e63 (MD5)<br>Rejected by JOANA MARTORINI (joana.martorini@fgv.br), reason: Eduardo, Alterar o ano para 2015. on 2015-02-05T15:09:42Z (GMT)<br>Submitted by EDUARDO MORATO MELLO (eduardo.mello@br.natixis.com) on 2015-02-05T15:14:07Z No. of bitstreams: 1 MPFE_EduardoMello.pdf: 1511130 bytes, checksum: ee2bf1cdb611b05a4c962200c29ff28f (MD5)<br>Approved for entry into archive by JOANA MARTORINI (joana.martor
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Dancourt, Oscar. "Monetary policy rules and external shocks an a semi-dollarized economy." Economía, 2014. http://repositorio.pucp.edu.pe/index/handle/123456789/117669.

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The 2008-2009 crisis showed that the main macroeconomic challenge facing an economy such as Peru's is the management of external shocks that deteriorate the balance of payments and reduce aggregate demand. The aim of this paper is to discuss what the monetary policy response to theseexternal shocks should be. Since inflation targeting was implemented in 2002, the most important instrument of Peruvian monetary policy has been a short-term interest rate. Another key instrument of monetary policy has been sterilized intervention in the foreign exchange market. In order to compare the different mo
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Books on the topic "Ruble exchange rate"

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Obstfeld, Maurice. Pricing-to-market, the interest-rate rule, and the exchange rate. National Bureau of Economic Research, 2006.

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Obstfeld, Maurice. Pricing-to-market, the interest-rate rule, and the exchange rate. National Bureau of Economic Research, 2006.

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Cukierman, Alex. How much to commit to an exchange rate rule: Balancing credibility and flexibility. Country Economics Dept., World Bank, 1992.

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Wang, Jian. The Taylor rule and forecast intervals for exchange rates. Federal Reserve Board, 2009.

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LeBaron, Blake Dean. Technical trading rule profitability and foreign exchange intervention. National Bureau of Economic Research, 1996.

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Halushka, Andrij. Foreign exchange markets for Ukrainian karbovantsi in Russia and for Russian rubles in Ukraine: Analysis of development in 1993-1994. Institut für Höhere Studien, 1995.

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Montiel, Peter J. External shocks and inflation in developing countries under a real exchange rate rule. International Monetary Fund, Research Department, 1992.

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Montiel, Peter. External shocks and inflation in developing countries under a real exchange rate rule. International Monetary Fund, 1992.

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Halushka, Andrij A. Foreign exchange markets for Ukrainian karbovantsi in Russia and for Russian rubles in Ukraine: Analysis of development in 1993-1994. Institut für Höhere Studien/Institute for Advanced Studies, 1995.

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Sun, Yan. A monetary policy rule for Jamaica. International Monetary Fund, Western Hemisphere Dept., 2005.

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Book chapters on the topic "Ruble exchange rate"

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Benacek, Vladimir. "Exchange Rates and the Supply Response in the Czech Republic: Is PPP a Relevant Rule for Assessing the Equilibrium?" In Exchange Rate Policies, Prices and Supply-Side Response. Palgrave Macmillan UK, 2001. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/9780230554535_8.

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Cukierman, Alex, Miguel A. Kiguel, and Nissan Liviatan. "How Much to Commit to an Exchange Rate Rule: Balancing Credibility and Flexibility." In Varieties of Monetary Reforms. Springer US, 1994. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4615-2720-6_4.

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Goncharov, A. E., N. I. Penkova, and A. V. Vazina. "Russia’s participation in the international industrial property exchange in conditions of sanctions and the ruble exchange rate volatility." In From the Other Shore: London Journals in Economics, Marketing, Finance, Business and Innovation. Global Partnership on Develoment of Scientific Cooperation, 2015. http://dx.doi.org/10.17809/20(2015)-06.

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Obstfeld, Maurice. "Pricing-to-Market, the Interest-Rate Rule, and the Exchange Rate." In Money, Crises, and Transition. The MIT Press, 2008. http://dx.doi.org/10.7551/mitpress/9780262182669.003.0002.

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Obstfeld, Maurice. "Pricing-to-Market, the Interest-Rate Rule, and the Exchange Rate." In Money, Crises, and Transition. The MIT Press, 2008. http://dx.doi.org/10.7551/mitpress/7762.003.0005.

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Gueorguiev, Dimitar D. "Participation in Oversight." In Retrofitting Leninism. Oxford University Press, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780197555668.003.0003.

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Chapter 3 explores the link between bottom-up societal inputs and top-down regime outputs through the lens of oversight. This is a crucial link insofar as the salutary effects of inclusion can only accrue if the regime heeds and acts on public inputs. Taking advantage of data on corruption investigations and citizen tip-offs, the empirical analysis reveals a strong and positive relationship between public inputs and disciplinary actions. As further evidence of causal linkage, Gueorguiev leverages geographic information on China’s legacy Internet communications infrastructure to help rule out c
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Bofinger, Peter, Julian Reischle, and Andrea Schachter. "Monetary Policy Strategies in an Open Economy." In Monetary Policy. Oxford University PressOxford, 2001. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780199240579.003.0013.

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Abstract In Part II monetary policy was presented from the perspective of a closed economy. This final part of the book will show that in general it is useful for large currency areas (e.g. the United States, the euro area, Japan) to adopt such a closed-economy perspective for their overall monetary policy strategy. This implies above all that the short-term interest rate is determined only by domestic considerations, e.g. according to a Taylor rule. However, as the example of Japan has shown (Section 9.5), even for such large currency areas it is neither necessary nor advisable to adopt a pol
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Gruson, Michael. "The Scope Of Lex monetaein International Transactions: A United States Perspective." In International Monetary Law. Oxford University PressOxford, 2000. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198299233.003.0023.

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Abstract Must a court, when enforcing a contract which by its terms is performable in a cur-23.01 rency other than the currency of the forum, give effect to the monetary laws of the country in which that currency is legal tender? For example, a plaintiff in a 1934 action before a US court had purchased prior to 1918 a life insurance policy payable in rubles. Is the insurer excused from paying on the policy because Russia has in the meantime issued a new currency without providing for a rate of exchange between the old and the new currency, thus making the old currency valueless? Recently, this
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Frank, Jefferson. "Smart Motorways." In Extinction Equilibrium. Policy Press, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1332/policypress/9781529226362.003.0006.

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Traditional economics relied upon guardrails to keep monetary and fiscal policy in check. The gold standard and the Bretton Woods exchange rate regime limited the freedom of central banks to follow expansionary monetary policies. Once these were abandoned, governments relied upon inflation targeting at 2% to constrain central bank policy, while economists generally adopted the Taylor rule on policies to balance inflation and growth. Neither of these constrained the growth in money and consequent explosion in debt and asset prices.
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Michie, Ranald C. "Banks, Brokers, Bonds, and Currencies, 1970–92." In Banks, Exchanges, and Regulators. Oxford University Press, 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780199553730.003.0003.

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After the Second World War governments prioritized banks over markets within both national and international financial systems. The result altered the balance between banks and financial markets firmly in the direction of the former. Banks responded by expanding, reaching a size and scale that allowed them to internalize financial transactions within a single organization. That position then changed from 1970 onwards with an end to the era of control and compartmentalization. The process of change involved the gradual removal of the national boundaries and segregated activities that had protec
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Conference papers on the topic "Ruble exchange rate"

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Patel, Ishan, Gheorghe Bota, and David Young. "Evaluation of Reactive Sulfur for Improved Corrosion Predictions in Oil Refineries." In CONFERENCE 2022. AMPP, 2022. https://doi.org/10.5006/c2022-18039.

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Abstract Refinery operators rely on total sulfur (TS) content (wt.% S) and total acid number (TAN), reported in crude oil assays, to predict high temperature corrosion rates by organosulfur species and naphthenic acids. The sulfur exists in a variety of forms in crude oil, associated with particular molecular moieties; from the standpoint of corrosion, these are grouped into reactive (sulfide and mercaptan) and non-reactive (thiophenic) species. According to an industrial rule-of-thumb, only 1/3 of the TS is considered as reactive sulfur (RS) and, hence, this value, together with TAN, is typic
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Kuzmin, Anton. "Modeling of the Russian Ruble Exchange Rate: Long-Term Dynamics." In 2020 13th International Conference Management of large-scale system development (MLSD). IEEE, 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/mlsd49919.2020.9247763.

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Vorontsovsky, Aleksei, and Lyudmila Vyunenko. "Simulation-based forecasting of the real effective exchange rate of the ruble." In Proceedings of the Third International Economic Symposium (IES 2018). Atlantis Press, 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.2991/ies-18.2019.19.

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Наймит, Наталья, Natalia Naymit, Олеся Гассиева, and Olesya Gassieva. "ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS OF VLIYANIYA OF INFLATION ON THE EXCHANGE RATE (RUBLE TO THE DOLLAR)." In Mathematics in Economics. AUS PUBLISHERS, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.26526/conferencearticle_5c24b1d249c078.78185583.

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Bykau, Aliaksei, Abbas Ghodsi, and Hamid Nezhadhossein. "Impact of oil prices on Russian ruble on condition of floating exchange rate regime." In The 5th International Virtual Scientific Conference. Publishing Society, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.18638/ictic.2016.5.1.274.

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Zolotarev, Oleg, Aida Hakimova, Maria Berberova, and Vera Zolotareva. "Analysis of the dependence of the ruble exchange rate volatility on the oil market in a pandemic." In International Conference "Computing for Physics and Technology - CPT2020". Bryansk State Technical University, 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.30987/conferencearticle_5fce2772f12764.07821914.

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The article attempts to analyze the degree of impact of changes in the ruble exchange rate on the oil market in the conditions of economic instability caused by the coronavirus pandemic. The statistical data for the calculation cover the time from January to May 2020. The importance of the further development of theoretical and methodological approaches to the study of the dependence of the country's economy on external shocks is substantiated. The approach described in the article is considered by the authors based on the analysis of non-stationary time series. The transformation of the post-
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Чан, Ф. Т., Н. М. Чан, and О. А. Леонова. "The impact of global energy prices on the economic development of Russia and on the modern pricing system in Russia." In Международная научно-практическая конференция "УСТОЙЧИВОЕ РАЗВИТИЕ ОБЩЕСТВА: НОВЫЕ НАУЧНЫЕ ПОДХОДЫ И ИССЛЕДОВАНИЯ". Crossref, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.26118/2990.2023.74.55.009.

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В статье анализируется влияние мировых цен на энергоносители на экономическое развитие России и на современную систему ценообразования в стране. Основное внимание уделяется зависимости России от цен на нефть и природный газ, что существенно влияет на экономику страны, включая бюджет, занятость в энергетическом секторе и стабильность рубля. Обсуждается, как изменения в ценах на энергоносители напрямую влияют на экономическую стабильность, валютный курс рубля и индекс потребительских цен, что имеет важное значение для покупательной способности населения и общей экономической ситуации в стране. Р
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Ivanchenko, Igor S., Svetlana S. Galazova, Julia S. Zharkova, and Denis A. Zhukovsky. "Role of gold in Russia's modern monetary system." In Sustainable and Innovative Development in the Global Digital Age. Dela Press Publishing House, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.56199/dpcsebm.zgpr8796.

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The paper analyzes the reasons for the accelerated accumulation of gold in the structure of Russia's international reserves and the impact of this process on our country's monetary system. The purpose of the paper is to identify the prospects for increasing the role of gold as a collateral asset in the ruble money supply emission. The correlation and regression analysis of the most important macroeconomic variables of the money market, which should be influenced by gold quotations, was chosen as a method of research. The novelty of the paper is the justification of the pattern of accelerated g
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Bal, Harun, Mustafa Ildırar, and Esma Erdoğan. "An Analysis of Turkey to Taylor Rule in the Context of Rule-Based and Discretionary Monetary Policy Debate." In International Conference on Eurasian Economies. Eurasian Economists Association, 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.36880/c11.02260.

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The readiness of central bank to adhere to a rule of monetary policy has always been one of the topics discussed in the economic literature. Policy decisions undertaken by monetary authorities in uncertain and unpredictable environments are the main reason for this debate. According to the Taylor Rule, that holds the rules and discretionary policies, the policy rate of the central bank is necessary to be determined in such a way that it provides a balance between the financial and the real sector that will increase foreign exchange inflows and not reduce investment expenditures. Therefore, the
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Zou, Gaolu. "Market Efficiency of Ruble-RMB Exchange Rates: Long-run Equilibrium, VAR Estimates and Granger Causality Tests." In 2015 International Conference on Social Science, Education Management and Sports Education. Atlantis Press, 2015. http://dx.doi.org/10.2991/ssemse-15.2015.340.

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Reports on the topic "Ruble exchange rate"

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Parrado, Eric. An Exchange Rate Policy Rule. Inter-American Development Bank, 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0005491.

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This paper introduces a novel monetary policy framework where the exchange rate becomes the central instrument. Using Singapore as a case study, it explores the Monetary Authority's adoption of the exchange rate as the primary tool since 1981, diverging from conventional approaches centered on interest rates or monetary aggregates. The estimated exchange rate reaction function aligns well with actual deviations, supporting the hypothesis that Singapore's forward-looking policy rule effectively responds to inflation and output volatility, especially during economic crises. This framework offers
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Parrado, Eric, and Rodrigo Heresi. Trade Openness and Exchange Rate Management. Inter-American Development Bank, 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0005490.

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Singapore's unique monetary policy consists of a managed exchange rate framework that can be characterized as a Taylor-like reaction function with the nominal devaluation rate instead of the nominal interest rate as the main policy instrument. We build a small open economy New Keynesian model to estimate and characterize such a monetary rule from a welfare perspective. Welfare gains under an exchange rate rule (ERR) relative to the more standard interest rate-based Taylor rule (IRR) are unambiguously increasing in the degree of trade openness (defined as exports plus imports as a share of GDP)
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Obstfeld, Maurice. Pricing-to-Market, the Interest-Rate Rule, and the Exchange Rate. National Bureau of Economic Research, 2006. http://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w12699.

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Molodtsova, Tanya, and David Papell. Taylor Rule Exchange Rate Forecasting During the Financial Crisis. National Bureau of Economic Research, 2012. http://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w18330.

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Heresi, Rodrigo, and Eric Parrado. Research Insights: Can Exchange Rate Management Improve Welfare in Small Open Economies? Inter-American Development Bank, 2024. https://doi.org/10.18235/0013277.

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By reducing macroeconomic volatility, exchange rate management can generate significant welfare gains in economies with a high degree of trade openness. A country like Singapore, with trade openness (exports imports) at 280% of GDP, has benefited significantly from managing the exchange rate, showing 1.5% welfare gains in permanent consumption, when compared to the mainstream interest rate rule in which the exchange rate floats freely. In the case of an emerging free-floater economy like Chile, any degree of trade openness above 100% (currently at 70%) would also justify using a managed exchan
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Pompeu, Gustavo, and José Luiz Rossi. Real/Dollar Exchange Rate Prediction Combining Machine Learning and Fundamental Models. Inter-American Development Bank, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0004491.

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The study of the predictability of exchange rates has been a very recurring theme on the economics literature for decades, and very often is not possible to beat a random walk prediction, particularly when trying to forecast short time periods. Although there are several studies about exchange rate forecasting in general, predictions of specifically Brazilian real (BRL) to United States dollar (USD) exchange rates are very hard to find in the literature. The objective of this work is to predict the specific BRL to USD exchange rates by applying machine learning models combined with fundamental
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McCracken, Michael W. Comment on 'Taylor Rule Exchange Rate Forecasting During the Financial Crisis'. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, 2012. http://dx.doi.org/10.20955/wp.2012.030.

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Parrado, Eric. Research Insights: What Valuable Lessons Can We Learn from Singapores Unique Monetary Framework? Inter-American Development Bank, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0012997.

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This study introduces a novel monetary policy framework that positions the exchange rate as the central policy instrument, focusing on Singapore as a case study. The estimated changes in Singapores exchange rate coincide fairly well with actual deviations, and the estimated parameters are as predicted. These findings provide compelling evidence in support of the hypothesis that Singapores monetary policy can be characterized by a forward-looking policy rule that responds to both inflation and output volatility, particularly in times of economic crises.
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Pinzón-Puerto, Freddy, and Mauricio Villamizar-Villegas. Do Actions Speak Louder than Words? A Foreign Exchange Intervention Analysis. Banco de la República Colombia, 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.32468/be.1223.

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We revisit an old question but with a new identification strategy, namely the difference in exchange rate effects between announced (“vocal”) and secret (“dirty”) foreign exchange intervention. Using a Regression Discontinuity Design, we exploit a rule-based intervention mechanism enacted by the Central Bank of Colombia that, under observable and deterministic conditions, triggered either the issuance of FX options or the ability to exercise them. We take the former (issuance) as central bank announcements under a sharp setting, since the rule and information that triggered the issuance of opt
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Meneses, Juan Francisco, and José Luis Saboin. Growth Recoveries (from Collapses). Inter-American Development Bank, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0003419.

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This paper analyzes the behavior of a long list of economic variables during episodes of recovery from an economic collapse. A set of stylized facts is proposed so as to depict what in this work is called \saygrowth recoveries. Through different estimation techniques, it is inferred under which conditions and policies the likelihood of experiencing a growth recovery increases. The results of the paper indicate that collapses tend to occur in countries with high dependence on natural resource rents, macroeconomic mismanagement, low levels of democratic accountability and rule of law and high le
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